Green Room

Revealed: Romney’s First Pennsylvania Ad

posted at 2:49 pm on October 30, 2012 by

Surprise, surprise: Coal.


UPDATE
– Check out these early (absentee) voting stats from PA.  Caveat: Pennsylvanians just started sending in ballots, and they overwhelmingly vote on election day.

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Nah, this has got to be an attempt to reach more voters in eastern OH.

/

Red Cloud on October 30, 2012 at 2:51 PM

I love how Mitt/team uses bho’s words against him in their ads! I hope it works to get votes!
L

letget on October 30, 2012 at 2:54 PM

Cloud, It’s airing in the Philadelphia market.

Guy Benson on October 30, 2012 at 2:54 PM

This is going to hurt Romney is states like Oregon, California, New York, & Vermont who hate coal.

/GumbyPokestick

portlandon on October 30, 2012 at 3:07 PM

Why is it that every time I hear Mitt Romney speak, I think of Bad Lip Reading?

Attila (Pillage Idiot) on October 30, 2012 at 3:12 PM

Cloud, It’s airing in the Philadelphia market.

Guy Benson on October 30, 2012 at 2:54 PM

The / at the end of his post meant he was being sarcastic ;)

strictnein on October 30, 2012 at 3:12 PM

Cloud, It’s airing in the Philadelphia market.

Guy Benson on October 30, 2012 at 2:54 PM

Lighten up Francis Guy!

pain train on October 30, 2012 at 3:19 PM

Good ad for PA. It strikes the right amount of optimism with truth telling.

LawnGnomeFanFirst on October 30, 2012 at 3:30 PM

UPDATE – Check out these early (absentee) voting stats from PA. Caveat: Pennsylvanians just starts sending in ballots, and overwhelmingly vote on election day.

An important caveat. A GOP advantage of 21,700 absentee ballots could get wiped out by one ward in Philadelphia controlled by the New Black Panthers.

I like the ad on coal, especially airing in the Philly market. If that can sway some people in the Philly suburbs toward Romney, he could take PA, and might not need Ohio. There are lots of PA suburbanites whose fathers / grandfathers were coal miners…

Steve Z on October 30, 2012 at 3:41 PM

Great Ad… However for Romney to win Pennsylvania it means that at least 3% of Obama voters from 2008 would be staying home in 2012 and at least 19% of Obama “White Voters” from 2008 would be voting for Romney in 2012..

I made an Election Prediction model that is based on vote by “RACE” and based on the “Voters Intensity Factor”. In this model if I assume that 3% of Obama 2008 voters stay home in 2012 then for Romney to win the following battleground states the percentage of “White Voters” who voted for Obama in 2008 who need to switch and vote for Romney in 2012 are as follow:

Florida (5% of Obama 2008 White Voters switch and vote for Romney in 2012 and 3% of Obama 2008 voters staying home)
Ohio (7% of Obama 2008 White Voters switch and vote for Romney in 2012 and 3% of Obama 2008 voters staying home)
Virginia (8% of Obama 2008 White Voters switch and vote for Romney in 2012 and 3% of Obama 2008 voters staying home)
North Carolina (0% of Obama 2008 White Voters switch and vote for Romney in 2012 and 3% of Obama 2008 voters staying home)
Colorado (10% of Obama 2008 White Voters switch and vote for Romney in 2012 and 3% of Obama 2008 voters staying home)
Iowa (7% of Obama 2008 White Voters switch and vote for Romney in 2012 and 3% of Obama 2008 voters staying home)
New Hampshire (10% of Obama 2008 White Voters switch and vote for Romney in 2012 and 3% of Obama 2008 voters staying home)
Wisconsin ( 14% of Obama 2008 White Voters switch and vote for Romney in 2012 and 3% of Obama 2008 voters staying home)
Minnesota (12% of Obama 2008 White Voters switch and vote for Romney in 2012 and 3% of Obama 2008 voters staying home)
Nevada ( 17% of Obama 2008 White Voters switch and vote for Romney in 2012 and 3% of Obama 2008 voters staying home)
Michigan (18% of Obama 2008 White Voters switch and vote for Romney in 2012 and 3% of Obama 2008 voters staying home)
Pennsylvania (19% of Obama 2008 White Voters switch and vote for Romney in 2012 and 3% of Obama 2008 voters staying home)

mnjg on October 30, 2012 at 3:50 PM

Why is it that every time I hear Mitt Romney speak, I think of Bad Lip Reading?

Attila (Pillage Idiot) on October 30, 2012 at 3:12 PM

“Party time, chumps!”

Droopy on October 30, 2012 at 3:57 PM

Don’t be discouraged in PA, get out to vote, the popular vote does count with the media.

Fleuries on October 30, 2012 at 4:08 PM

Two points. IF Obama loses Philadelphia he loses Pa. If Sandy suppresses the Philadelphia vote, Romney could win Pa.

Second point. California, New York, and Oregon are meaningless to Romney (the real 47%), but my sarcasm detector tells me you knew that.

We need to modify the electoral college to provide for proportional electoral winners. My Presidential vote in California is meaningless, even though my part of the state, along with others, is pretty conservative. We are overwhelmed by the welfare mega cities of LA and SF; and the brain dead University cities. Same situation exists in Pa, and others, even Washington state. In my case a few hours drive to the east and a vote in Arizona or Nevada could mean something. Disenfranchising folks in Presidential elections by state boundaries is ridiculous in the 21st century. The system was designed for the 18th century. Proportional allocation of electors would also require candidates to campaign in states that are now completely ignored. Candidates would hate it, but it is the only sensible way to elect a National leader in a Representative Republic.

Oldflyer on October 30, 2012 at 4:33 PM

That is a good ad.

WannabeAnglican on October 30, 2012 at 4:50 PM

Nov 7 headline:

Sandy wins election for Romney. Otherwise Obama would have won reelection.

fred5678 on October 30, 2012 at 5:35 PM

This is going to hurt Romney is states like Oregon, California, New York, & Vermont who hate coal.

/GumbyPokestick

portlandon on October 30, 2012 at 3:07 PM

I know your statement was tongue-in-cheek, but there are a hell of a lot of farmers who are mad as hell because they look across the border into Pennsylvania and see farmers getting 6 or 7 digit checks, allowing them to improve or even save their farms or just outright retire, while the New York farmers get nothing. If I were them, I would make damn sure that not even a single stock of celery from my farm made it across the George Washington bridge. Frack you, NYC!

Glenn Jericho on October 30, 2012 at 6:34 PM