PPP Ohio: Obama by Four, D+8 Sample
posted at 9:11 pm on October 28, 2012 by Guy Benson
Obama’s “turned the corner” in Ohio, the Democratic pollster concludes. Their new numbers show Obama leading relatively comfortably on the economy (!) and netting three points in just one week. Two major red flags: The D/R/I partisan sample is 43/35/21, or D+8. Obama won the Buckeye State by 4.5 points in 2008 with a D+7 turnout. The 2010 Ohio electorate was R+1. Also, PPP’s data indicates that fully 36 percent of Ohioans have already voted, and that Obama holds a massive lead among this group. By comparison, just over 25 percent of Ohioans voted early last cycle. A number of sharp observers have previously pointed out the exaggerated early voting boost that some polls are measuring for Obama, which is skewing the top-line numbers in his favor. A separate Ohio poll released late last night showed the race knotted at 49 percent.