Green Room

Final week: Biden to Pennsylvania, Romney (maybe) to Minnesota?

posted at 7:52 pm on October 28, 2012 by

Quite a tidbit tucked away at the end of this AP story about the Frankenstorm:

A senior Republican official, speaking on the condition of anonymity to disclose private deliberations, said Sunday that the Romney team was seriously discussing sending Romney, Ryan or both to Minnesota during the final week. The state hasn’t gone Republican in the presidential race since 1972, but recent polling shows a tighter race there than most anticipated.

In a flashback to the 2008 race, Obama’s campaign announced that Biden will campaign Thursday in Pennsylvania, reprising a visit to his hometown of Scranton that he made during the final week four years ago. Pennsylvania, too, has been Democratic territory in recent years, but Romney has continued to contest the state with an advertising assist from the Republican Party.

Despite today’s tantalizing Strib poll, I assume a Romney/Ryan visit to Minnesota would be aimed mainly at getting out the vote in western Wisconsin. (And giving the Democratic base heart palpitations, natch.) Not sure what to make of Biden’s Pennsylvania visit, though. As noted in the article, he did this four years ago too and the outcome in PA wasn’t in doubt then, so maybe we shouldn’t read too much into it. On the other hand, the outcome nationally in 2008 wasn’t in doubt in the final week either, so they could afford to send Biden home for a victory lap. Not so this year. Would they dare waste precious hours that could be better spent in Ohio, Wisconsin, or Iowa by sending him to a state they thought they had in the bag? Or is this a variation of Romney’s Minnesota strategy — i.e., he’ll be in western Pennsylvania but he’s really aiming at southeastern Ohio? Of the nine polls taken in the state in the past 20 days, Romney’s been closer than four points in just one of them. Hmmm.

Update: I read “Scranton” in the story but for some reason I thought Biden was headed to Pittsburgh. Forget the theory about southeastern Ohio, then. Either they’re giving him a free afternoon to go home for a day — during crunch time of the campaign — or Team O really does feel the need to shore up this state a bit. Wow.

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Why would Romney spend money for a rally here if the purpose was Western Wisconsin? That doesn’t make any sense. There are plenty of towns he could hold a rally in if that is the goal.

If he comes here – he’s coming here for a reason and it’s not Wisconsin solely.

gophergirl on October 28, 2012 at 8:04 PM

I’m good with Biden going to PA., America needs to realize that if Obama gets impeached from all this Benghazi crap- Biden will get to step up. Let that sink in. It’s a good bet that old Joe will be on the 6:00 news tomorrow night with yet another “gaffe”.

BettyRuth on October 28, 2012 at 8:05 PM

Why would Romney spend money for a rally here if the purpose was Western Wisconsin? That doesn’t make any sense. There are plenty of towns he could hold a rally in if that is the goal.

If he comes here – he’s coming here for a reason and it’s not Wisconsin solely.

gophergirl on October 28, 2012 at 8:04 PM

The media coverage of the visit would bleed into western Wisconsin, though.

I’m not reading very much into Biden’s visit. If it were Obama himself, then I think you could say they’re genuinely worried about it. The timing of his visit is odd, though…if the storm is as bad as they say it might be for parts of PA, can’t see him campaigning in the middle of that.

changer1701 on October 28, 2012 at 8:07 PM

i.e., he’ll be in western Pennsylvania but he’s really aiming at southeastern Ohio?

Just a heads up, Scranton is in Northeast PA.

Unlike WPA, WB-Scranton voted heavily for the One in 2008. I expect a huge reversal in that area this year. Biden is there to campaign for reals.

forest on October 28, 2012 at 8:08 PM

the storm has affected where they can go. if he goes to Minnesota its because he can;t go where he wants to go.

gerrym51 on October 28, 2012 at 8:09 PM

You have to remember too that Iowa is souther of MN. If he plays it southeast enough, he will hit northern Iowa and western Wisconsin.

mrscullen on October 28, 2012 at 8:14 PM

forest on October 28, 2012 at 8:08 PM

Yeah, that was a brain fart on my part. For some reason, I thought he was headed to Pittsburgh; I think it’s because that’s where Ryan was recently.

Allahpundit on October 28, 2012 at 8:27 PM

I got a call on the phone that Gov. Romney will be in Fernandina Beach tomorrow.

Cindy Munford on October 28, 2012 at 8:35 PM

Did I mention that that is in Florida? I don’t think I did.

Cindy Munford on October 28, 2012 at 8:37 PM

Unlike WPA, WB-Scranton voted heavily for the One in 2008. I expect a huge reversal in that area this year. Biden is there to campaign for reals.

forest on October 28, 2012 at 8:08 PM

WB-Scranton is also coal country. Hope the miners give him the welcome he deserves.

Wethal on October 28, 2012 at 8:40 PM

It’s probably for WI and IA as mentioned… Since WI is probably the deciding factor in the election because of OH’s stinkiness and love of auto bailouts, I’m not sure why Ryan has been parked out there and told to run up the score in the 1st District.

Illinidiva on October 28, 2012 at 8:52 PM

Or, maybe they’re hoping he gets blown away by Sandy? Just wondering if *they* get tired of him, too.

GWB on October 28, 2012 at 9:05 PM

changer1701 on October 28, 2012 at 8:07 PM

It still doesn’t make sense. If Western Wisconsin is his goal – there is Hudson and LaCrosse that would make a great rally location.

I don’t know – I think this election has fried my brain.

gophergirl on October 28, 2012 at 9:28 PM

It still doesn’t make sense. If Western Wisconsin is his goal – there is Hudson and LaCrosse that would make a great rally location.

gophergirl on October 28, 2012 at 9:28 PM

Well, Hudson is only a 20 min limo ride from MSP…

climbnjump on October 28, 2012 at 10:07 PM

Pennsy IS in play! A few signs this is so. Philly radio host,Michael Smerconish was given a White house interview a few days ago. IMHO. it is a clear sign that Obama is slipping in the Philly suburban belt and he heeds it to be shored up. I listened to the “interview” by Smerconish and it sounded like the questions were all written by David Axelrod. All of the questions were Obama talking point set ups and were laced with anti-Romney “facts” It was one of the weakest softball interviews I have ever heard. Like playing catch with a 2 year old. Next, the polls that show that Sen. Casey is in trouble in his race with Smith, only up by one point at this time! Casey will lose this one! The Republican and Independent turnout will be decisive for Romney and soon to be Senator elect Smith. The third point is that there are several Pennsylvania PACs that are very strong right now in the state that support a Pro Romney agenda.
The internal polls the Obama team see must be troubling to them to say the least. Team Romney should hit the Philly market with an ad blitz and a show of force with a Romney/Ryan appearance sometime next week after the storm cleanup is well under way.

blogforce one on October 28, 2012 at 10:20 PM

Are you kidding me? I was writing a comment and auto-refresh deleted everything I had written. Could you not fix this and check if there is anything in the edit box? My goodness that is infuriating.

MrX on October 28, 2012 at 10:46 PM

Coming to the Twin Cities means media market saturation in Western Cheesheadland.

They’re like Minnesotans over there, but without the good-looks or the triple-digit IQ’s.

Bruno Strozek on October 28, 2012 at 10:56 PM

Here are the itinerary of both candidates for the past couple days and going forward.

Mitt Romney events:
Oct 27: 3xFL
Oct 28: 3xOH
Oct 29: OH, IA, WI (Paul: 3xFL, Ann: NH)
Oct 30: 2xOH, IA w/ Ann, NH (Paul: 3xCO)
Nov 2: OH w/ Ann & Paul
Nov 3: CO w/ Ann

Obama events:
Oct 27: NH
Oct 28: Nothing, flies from White House to FL.
Oct 29: FL, OH, VA
Oct 30: CO, WI
Oct 31: 2xOH

I don’t understand why they are both going to NH. It gives Obama absolutely nothing unless he loses OH and wants to get all 4 (NH, NV, CO and NH). Maybe Mitt knows it and figures that if one of CO or NH are out of reach to Obama, it’s over. Or, it could be that Obama knows WI is going to Romney and Mitt would need both NH (or IA) and CO to win (w/o OH). I don’t know. They are also both going to WI. No one is going to PA except surrogates or VP’s. Mitt is pushing hard with GOTV in MI though, yet they have no early voting.

One thing I’ve noticed is that Mitt isn’t going to NC or VA. In fact, he’s pulled his campaign out of VA to OH “because of the hurricane”. Is Obama still going there?

Polls seem to indicate that FL is in Mitt’s column. You’d think that this late in the game, Obama would concentrate on the states he needs to win. I don’t get his going to NH, FL and CO. Is it just for show?

MrX on October 28, 2012 at 11:11 PM

Either they’re giving him a free afternoon to go home for a day —

You’re aware that Biden himself doesn’t make residence in Scranton, despite all his crowing about his hardscrabble roots?

His official residence, of course, is the Naval Observatory, but his private residence is in Delaware.

KingGold on October 28, 2012 at 11:12 PM

Why not do both?

Mitt/Paul could fly into MSP, do a rally in Woodbury, scuttle over to UW River Falls for another, and be back to MSP and heading out of town within two or three hours. You hit MN and WI that way, and cause a hell of a lot of local media publicity along the way.

letoile du nord on October 29, 2012 at 2:18 AM

An Obama stooge was already on the TV this morning making excuses about this storm preventing their voters from getting to the polls next week.

This whole thing is going to be unbearable.

forest on October 29, 2012 at 7:18 AM

You’re aware that Biden himself doesn’t make residence in Scranton, despite all his crowing about his hardscrabble roots?

His official residence, of course, is the Naval Observatory, but his private residence is in Delaware.

KingGold on October 28, 2012 at 11:12 PM

Biden couldn’t find the way to Scranton from Wilmington, even with a map. He needs GPS…

JohnGalt23 on October 29, 2012 at 9:03 AM