Voter-ID measure in MN up 12 …
posted at 10:48 am on October 27, 2012 by Ed Morrissey
… in the new Star Tribune Minnesota Poll:
A proposed constitutional amendment that would require voters to show a government-issued photo ID before casting ballots continues to enjoy support of more than half the state’s voters, a new Star Tribune Minnesota poll has found.
A total of 53 percent of those polled support the amendment, compared to 41 percent who oppose it and 6 percent undecided, the poll found. The survey of 800 randomly selected registered voters who said they are likely to vote was conducted Tuesday through Thursday.
With a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, the results are similar to those found in September, when 52 percent said they supported the amendment, 44 percent were opposed and 4 percent were undecided.
Two caveats to this:
- The Minnesota Poll has a long history of a leftward tilt. Mitch Berg, who joins us in the GR occasionally as a Salem radio show host (my NARN partner) has long documentation on this issue. A few months ago, Survey USA showed support for a voter-ID measure at 2:1.
- Constitutional amendments in Minnesota require a majority of all ballots cast — and not votes on the question itself – in order to succeed. An abstention is the same as a “no” vote. That means the Yes side has to push people to make sure they’ve marked their ballots with a “yes.” While support may be +12 or 2:1, this can impact the actual results.
No word yet on the polling for the marriage amendment. Stay tuned.