Romney gained two points in Pennsylvania in two weeks, but…
posted at 12:54 pm on October 27, 2012 by Allahpundit
…still trails by six, which is a tad high but otherwise more or less in line with other recent polls. He’s never led there in any poll since becoming the nominee and, apart from a pair that showed him within two points, he’s trailed in all polls by at least three. I’m guessing his internals aren’t much different:
Pennsylvania has missed the brunt of the presidential campaign. The candidates barnstorm in, and pour hundreds of millions of advertising dollars into, the same nine strategic battleground states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and Wisconsin.
Neither presidential campaign has advertised on Pennsylvania broadcast stations for months. The state has not been on Obama’s travel schedule but for a pair of Philadelphia fund-raisers in June. Romney visited the Union League in Center City and Valley Forge Sept. 28, the first time he had set foot in the state since mid-July – and also the last time he has.
Ohio is Plan A to get to 270 and Wisconsin + New Hampshire/Iowa is Plan B. I guess Pennsylvania or Michigan is Plan C, but if the first two plans fall through, winning with the third would be well nigh miraculous.
Update: Whoops, forgot about the Susquehanna poll that had Romney up by four last week. RCP didn’t pick that one up. So Romney has led in the state, but that’s the only poll I know of where he has.