There Is No Gender Gap
posted at 7:12 am on October 25, 2012 by Matt Vespa
Women are for Obama and men are for Romney. That’s what we’ve been hearing from pollsters and pundits ad nauseum for months. Double X blogger for Slate, Amanda Marcotte used Nate Silver’s post of New York Times’ atrocious 538 blog to demonstrate how the gender gap is really big. “Silver doesn’t really delve into why the gap, which persists in nearly every presidential election, is so big this year, but does mention in passing that abortion rights play a prominent role in presidential elections and that women tend to be more liberal generally,”according to Marcotte. This is why Silver’s blog is bad. Liberals want this election to be about abortion rights, but it isn’t. It’s about the economy. With more women on the front lines of these issues, abortion rights is becoming less of an importance than balancing the checkbook and prioritizing a family’s economic necessities. So, Silver and Marcotte are wrong since a new poll shows Romney as erased Obama’s advantage amongst women.
less than two weeks out from Election Day, Republican Mitt Romney has erased President Barack Obama’s 16-point advantage among women, a new Associated Press-GfK poll shows. And the president, in turn, has largely eliminated Romney’s edge among men.
Those churning gender dynamics leave the presidential race still a virtual dead heat, with Romney favored by 47 percent of likely voters and Obama by 45 percent, a result within the poll’s margin of sampling error, the survey shows.
After a commanding first debate performance and a generally good month, Romney has gained ground with Americans on a number of important fronts, including their confidence in how he would handle the economy and their impressions of his ability to understand their problems.
At the same time, expectations that Obama will be re-elected have slipped: Half of voters now expect the president to win a second term, down from 55 percent a month earlier.
With this new poll, I guess it’s fair to say that Marcotte’s last paragraph of her October 22 post on the gender gap was premature.
Outside of the overtly sexist stances Republicans take that hurt women economically, female voters correctly perceive Romney’s general hostility to the social safety net and to the 47 percent of Americans who don’t make enough to pay federal income tax as more dangerous to women than men. Women are more likely to be on Medicaid and they tend to live longer, meaning they have more years of needing Medicare. They’re more likely to have children they’re directly responsible for and they’re more likely to turn to college education to improve their economic well-being, which means that Republican opposition to student loan reform presents more of a danger to their financial futures. The Romney campaign is absolutely right that women view jobs and the economy as the most important issues. It’s just that the majority of women don’t really believe Mitt Romney will make things better for them in that department. That’s how you get a potentially historic gender gap.
I’m not immune to shooting first and aiming later – but Marcotte’s notion that the the gender gap is ‘huge’ because Republicans are sexist is quaint at best. It never ceases to amaze me how liberals forget that a lot of women are Republicans too. They have similar concerns about the economy, which is the major issue of this race. Women don’t vote with their lady-parts, although it’s what liberals want since it would make political strategy easier for them by just scaring them with anti-abortion propaganda – talk about condescension.
AP’s Jennifer Agiesta and Nancy Benac wrote that “Monica Jensen, a 55-year-old independent from Mobile, Ala., says she voted for Obama in 2008 but will shift her vote to Romney this time, largely because of the economy. I’m ready for a change,” she said. “I want to see the economy go in a different direction.”
Yes, some women are still for Obama and unmarried men have gone over to the president as well, which explains Romney’s lead amongst them being cut from 13 points a month ago, to five currently.
The gender gap has largely vanished due to the economic hardship Obama’s policies has inflicted on the nation. It’s not due to the allegedly sexist, misogynist Republicans who vote to keep women down. In fact, women has faired poorly in the Obama recovery. Liberals’ attempts to drag this election down the whirlpool of abortion, contraception, and Planned Parenthood is never boring in the slightest.
This is going to be a very interesting Election Night.