Green Room

Pew Poll Shocking — Because Their Pollster Thought Obama’s Lead Was Huge

posted at 10:58 pm on October 10, 2012 by

Every election cycle, the American people are inundated with polls.  Polls with blacks, white, Hispanics, women, Jews, Catholics, young people, and the Asians are disseminated ad nauseam ­– despite most of them being flawed or so skewed concerning the sample spread that it’s not worth commenting on in any analysis.  When Romney hit a slump towards the end of September, which led to his dip in the polls, the left thought it was over.  No one was more convinced of this than Pew Research president Andrew Kohut, a public-broadcasting regular, who had to change his tune on the October 8 broadcast of the PBS Newshour.

We know that Kohut is not a fan of Romney or Republicans, but it goes to show you how some in the media can jump the gun and look foolish. A blog post featured on NPR on September 19 had Kohut saying “Obama’s lead at this point in the race…is stronger than the last three winning presidential candidates.” Only Bill Clinton, running in both 1992 and 1996, had bigger leads in mid-September. Clinton’s edge over incumbent President George H.W. Bush at this stage in 1992 was 53 to 38 percent; he led Republican Sen. Bob Dole 50 to 48 percent at this stage in 1996. Obama was tied with Republican Sen. John McCain at this point in 2008.”  This was when Obama was leading Romney by eight.

Furthermore, “the survey found, however, that Obama leads Romney on most key issues, including, and “notably,” Kohut says, “health care, Medicare and abortion. Pew also found that Obama’s support is stronger and more positive than Romney’s.”  And then, the debate happened.

On that night’s All Things Considered, Kohut insisted “you can see the overall drift of the polling is now stronger for Obama and the race is close in some polls and Obama leads in others. But in no polls do we see Romney ahead, and that is a very significant factor as we look forward to the main campaign and the debates.

Romney took Obama to school and independents/undecided voters not only have given Mitt a second look – but also have viewed him more favorably.   After all, President Obama was looked upon as lazy and disengaged.  As a result, Kohut said last night on PBS that:

we have to go back to Romney winning the debate. He won the debate by 46 percentage points. That’s the largest victory in history, according to the Gallup poll. And it gave a tremendous boost to his personal image, which was a real problem in September coming out of the conventions and coming out of the gaffes and problems that he had.

So we see in our poll by a margin of seven points, people say he’s the candidate with new ideas. He ties Obama now on the — for strong leader, when a couple of weeks ago and when we did our September survey, it was Obama who was seen as the strong leader. And for the first time in this campaign, Romney’s personal favorable rating has hit the 50 percent mark. It’s been very, very low. He’s brought it back up. He’s made the race even among registered voters. And he has a slight lead in our poll among likely voters, unlike the big margin that Obama had a month ago.

The left had no idea that their guy was a horrible debater.  The infallible persona that is Barack Obama was shattered on October 3.

Originally posted on Newsbusters.

Recently in the Green Room:

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

On the other hand maybe he’s Just Another Liberal Jackass.

clippermiami on October 10, 2012 at 11:04 PM

I’m still amazed at the echo chamber that the Left constantly live in. They have no idea how the real world thinks and feels, but they believe they are the real world. They’re really Plato’s shadow people.

Ozwitch on October 10, 2012 at 11:31 PM

The blockquote in this post would be easier to read with blockquote indications.

J.S.K. on October 10, 2012 at 11:32 PM

Did PBS interview Big Bird after they had Kohut on? After all, Romney threatened PBS’s welfare check (6% of Sesame Street’s budget, never mind all their holdings of stock, bonds and mutual funds). The actor who plays Big Bird, Carroll Spinney, made $314K in 2010 per Sesame Street’s IRS Form 990.
Robert Gibbs defended the Obama ad featuring Big Bird to Matt Lauer, who stated he couldn’t believe he was asking this question about a President.

Public Broadcasting Service = Pravda TV

DublOh7 on October 10, 2012 at 11:39 PM

I’m still amazed at the echo chamber that the Left constantly live in. They have no idea how the real world thinks and feels, but they believe they are the real world.

Ozwitch on October 10, 2012 at 11:31 PM

B-b-but they told me that “the real world has a liberal bias!”

JimLennon on October 11, 2012 at 7:33 AM

I wonder how many world views we will see crumble in the next month, and how funny it will be? I am torn between laughing at them and fearing what the craziest may do.

Night Owl on October 11, 2012 at 8:01 AM

How the press lies.

The left had no idea that their guy was a horrible debater.

2008 press named him the great orator. That is why he won the election.

The press continued this meme through 2012, continuing to inflate the polls with artificially high numbers, skewing them toward Obama.

The point when the press could no longer skew the numbers hit when the absurd happened–Americans called out dancing v@ginas.

skeeterbite on October 11, 2012 at 8:47 AM

That guy looks creepy.

FineasFinn on October 11, 2012 at 9:29 AM

“the survey found, however, that Obama leads Romney on most key issues, including, and “notably,” Kohut says, “health care, Medicare and abortion.

“Leads Romney” in this particular poll…but you have to know what the question is, and then know what “leading” means.
Obama leads when the survey asks, “who is in favor of abortion?” Obama.
“Who is in favor of government health care, Romney or Obama? Obama. Etc.
You can answer factually correctly, but it does not mean the voter is in favor of those things.

PPP phoned me, and the question wanted me to say I disapproved of what republicans in Congress were doing. I could tell the question was to put down the tea party and to weaken Mitch McConnell even more than they already were.

Gridlock. Who will end the partisan Gridlock? (As if the gridlock is bad, and not protecting us from something worse.)

Who wants the gridlock to end? Not me, not now. Electing republicans to the house and senate, and electing Romney president will end the partisan Gridlock.

Fleuries on October 11, 2012 at 10:04 AM

Fleuries on October 11, 2012 at 10:04 AM

CBS polled me recently. They asked the question “Would you rather lose your “smartfone” or your wallet?

I always wondered what they used that question for?

skeeterbite on October 11, 2012 at 10:25 AM

“Would you rather lose your “smartfone” or your wallet?

It’s a trick question.
If you answer “I dont have a smartphone”, they can identify you as a white male who hasn’t received any free Obama bling, & you’re tossed out of the poll.

MichaelGabriel on October 11, 2012 at 5:12 PM

When Ifil had her praise-Obama book out in January 2009, I stopped watching PBS.

vnohara on October 11, 2012 at 7:08 PM