Green Room

Dems are pinning hopes of blunting Romney momentum on … Joe Biden?

posted at 12:25 pm on October 6, 2012 by

Despite the wishful thinking of many on the left that the first presidential debate “won’t change anything,” it already has. The president’s lead in the head-to-head national polls was never commanding, but now it has been reduced once again to a sliver. The Real Clear Politics average shows Mitt Romney trailing President Obama by a statistically insignificant 1.8% margin.

Polls of swing states from Friday and today show an even more dramatic shift, with Romney ahead in Florida, Virginia, and Colorado, and tied with Obama in Ohio. The Romney campaign has also experienced a spike in fund-raising since the debate.

But not to worry, Democrats say. They have a secret weapon. His name is Joe Biden. You can stop rubbing your eyes; you read correctly. The Hill reports that Democratic strategists are counting on Biden (aka the Gaffe King) to halt Romney’s post-debate momentum surge in next Thursday’s debate against Paul Ryan. That’s assuming of course that Biden shows up for the debate, which presupposes that he knows what day of the week it is.

The article quotes Chris Lehane, a strategist who worked in the Clinton White House and on Al Gore’s 2000 presidential campaign, as saying that Biden “needs to be the aggressor, keep the foot on the gas.”

We’re talking here about Joe Biden, who espoused the little-shared view on Thursday that Obama “did well” in the debates. Joe Biden, who confirmed for a crowd in Iowa on the same day that the GOP charge that Obama plans to raise taxes by a trillion dollars is true. Biden, who last week admitted that the middle class has been buried under Obama’s stewardship of the nation. Biden who … well, you get the picture.

Assuming the Biden doesn’t screw up and give the game away (big if), his task will be twofold: (1) to paint Paul Ryan as extreme and out of touch with the middle class, and (2) to link Ryan to Romney. “What I’ve been doing mostly, quite frankly,” he told reporters in Iowa, “is studying up on Congressman Ryan’s positions on the issues.”

Without a doubt, Ryan has been doing the same. Expect him to ask Biden about the success of Recovery Summer, a period in 2010 during which he toured the country touting the effects of the vaunted stimulus. In fact, the unemployment rate for that period averaged 9.5%. This should have come as no surprise to Biden, who—much to his boss’s consternation—said on ABC’s This Week during the summer of 2009 (Pre-Recovery Summer) that the Obama administration had “misread how bad the economy was.”

In a single VP debate, all topics are on the table, and viewers can likely expect Ryan to quiz Biden on his alleged “strong suit”: foreign affairs. Presumably, he will ask the vice president to enlarge upon his advice to Obama in 2009 not to send 40,000 troops into backsliding Afghanistan, which Obama had claimed during the campaign was a “war of necessity.” Maybe Biden can also flesh out the details of his plan in 2007 to balkanize Iraq into three semi-autonomous regions, which most military strategists found baffling.

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Thing is: We won wednesday not only because of the Willards great performance and Obummers miserable clusterf***ing, but because the expectations had been exactly the opposite. The expectations-reality contrast made it a blow out.

So there is a danger in being overconfident and portraying Biden as a blithering idiot. He might be gaffe-prone, but he also gave a, effetive, very good speech at the DNC a few weeks ago. And Paul Ryan is known as bright, smart and articulate.

So even if he performs much better than Obama on Wednesday, we risk losing the expectations game, merely because Biden doesnt start drooling, vomiting or crying at some point.

Dont. Get. Cocky.

Valkyriepundit on October 6, 2012 at 12:48 PM

This should be good to watch. I believe Ryan will be the winner.

I have to ask though, could dear joe be out saying all this stuff just as a cover to make people think he is a gaffe machine? I haven’t seen anything of substance from joe because his mouth overtakes his brain most of the time on all issues. Guess we will see just how smart joe is? I know that Ryan is smart from listening to him.

I am hoping that we have a 4 R&R==0 o&b on the debates.

letget on October 6, 2012 at 12:53 PM

“He might be gaffe-prone, but he also gave a, effetive, very good speech at the DNC a few weeks ago And Paul Ryan is known as bright, smart and articulate.” Valkyriepundit on October 6, 2012 at 12:48 PM

Yes he gave a good speech – read it from the Teleprompter

Txjewelya on October 6, 2012 at 1:51 PM

Ryan vs Biden…Vegas won’t even take this one (the point spread is too large and there are no takers).

teejk on October 6, 2012 at 2:03 PM

Dont. Get. Cocky.

Valkyriepundit on October 6, 2012 at 12:48 PM

I’m always cautious too but its harder this time.

magicbeans on October 6, 2012 at 2:29 PM

I half expect Biden to say something preposterous, the crowd laughs, and he thinks to himself “the crowd loves me; must double down”.

Bitter Clinger on October 6, 2012 at 3:06 PM

so we are going to hear about bain and the 47% comment…

why? ryan didn’t say it…

cmsinaz on October 6, 2012 at 8:13 PM

Maybe Biden can also flesh out the details of his plan in 2007 to balkanize Iraq into three semi-autonomous regions, which most military strategists found baffling.

Actually, Iraq basically IS three regions. The Kurdish North, the Sunni middle and the Shiite South. I figure at some point Iraq won’t exist anymore. Iraq is an artificial creation from after WWI when the Ottoman Empire was carved up. I expect Iran would talk to Syria and the Kurds and do something like:

Syria agrees to take the Sunni portion of Iran, Iran takes the Shiite portion. Iran gives a significant portion of their ethnic Kurdish area to the Kurdish area of Iraq in the North. Turkey agrees to give a portion of their Kurdish region, gets a Turkmen area of Syria in return to stay out of the fray. Kurds are given an autonomous Kurdistan.

But Ryan is going to destroy Biden, I think.

crosspatch on October 6, 2012 at 9:17 PM

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