Green Room

The Romney-Ryan-Reno Medicare gambit

posted at 10:25 am on August 15, 2012 by

Yesterday, Allahpundit wrote about the new Romney ad going on offense regarding Medicare. Anonymous GOP strategists are worried about the inevitable Mediscare campaign coming from Team Obama. However:

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) circulated a memo to lawmakers and candidates on Monday, obtained by The Hill, that they say offers a road map for winning the debate over Ryan’s proposal.

It calls for candidates to follow the model the party used to win an open seat in Nevada last summer in which now-Rep. Mark Amodei (R-Nev.) hammered his Democratic opponent on the spending cuts.

Amodei represents NV-02, which encompasses Reno and — while having a heavy GOP tilt — went narrowly for Obama in 2008. It’s a district Romney-Ryan would have to win to win Nevada.

If you have 10 minutes, here’s the NRCC’s presentation on video:

If you don’t have 10 minutes, you can see one of Amodei’s ads at the 3:38 mark. It finishes with a cameo from Amodei’s mother. The campaign, which also included direct mail to seniors was intended to fight Mediscare to a draw. But Amodei went from being down 26/29 on the Medicare issue to up 41/33.

There are at least three implications of this approach. The first, most obvious implication is that we will almost certainly be seeing Paul Ryan’s mother — a Floridian on Medicare — in upcoming Romney ads. Maybe he will walk the Sunshine State like Lawton Chiles, carrying his mom piggy-back. We are also likely to hear more about the Independent Payment Advisory Board, although the return of the phrase “death panel” may depend on how much the media lets Team O skate on claiming R&R plan to “end Medicare as we know it.”

The second implication is that House and Senate candidates need to think about hanging together on this approach, or they will surely hang separately. Panic and mixed message will only hurt the GOP up and down the ticket.

The third implication from the entire video is more in the subtext. If the Democrats spend a lot of time and money on Mediscare and fail, the debate will ultimately revert to the economy and Obama’s failure to help it get back on track — but less time and money will have been spent personally attacking Mitt Romney and Bain Capital (and Romney will have been pressed less on the details of his economic proposals).

But will things actually play out this way? After all, a special election (Amodei was elected in 2011) in a GOP district may not be representative of Florida, Ohio or anywhere else, particularly regarding how it may play with the national establishment media. Plus, the Amodei campaign had the element of surprise. You can bet Team O has studied it now. Will they have a good counter to this approach? That they won’t is the real Romney-Ryan-Reno gambit.

Recently in the Green Room:

Blowback

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

This post has been promoted to HotAir.com.

Comments have been closed on this post but the discussion continues here.

Allahpundit on August 15, 2012 at 10:50 PM


HotAir — Politics, Culture, Media, 2017, Breaking News from a conservative viewpoint
Top Pick

“The Corps is just starting to grapple with the issues the court has identified.”

Top Pick

“So you want me to sing my praises, is that what you’re saying?”

Why would we possibly want that?

“I mean he sold our country to The Russians.”

I could think of someone else you might want to ask about…

“You can ask a hundred people what hate speech is and you get a thousand different answers”

Trump: I never made any recordings of Comey

Allahpundit Jun 22, 2017 2:01 PM

Bluff.

Hackers stole private data from election databases

John Sexton Jun 22, 2017 1:21 PM

“90,000 records stolen by Russian state actors contained drivers license numbers”

Failure to protect the city

Big man on the Middle Eastern campus

Biased Americans see media as biased.

Tough times down on the liberal ranch

Will Nancy Pelosi survive this latest Dem disaster?

Andrew Malcolm Jun 22, 2017 8:41 AM

Eat quick, before it’s gone.

Slow your roll, boss

“I’m bothered by the lack of emerging evidence…”

FIrst look at the Senate health bill

John Sexton Jun 21, 2017 9:21 PM

“the Senate bill would go farther than the House version in its approach to cutting Medicaid spending.”

Divide and conquer?

“If we do nothing, more companies will back out and more people will lose coverage.”

You know, I may have cracked the case for you, guys

“They’re still running against her and still winning races.”

“…the suspect is from Quebec and has a Canadian passport.”

When the Left lost their way on immigration

Jazz Shaw Jun 21, 2017 2:41 PM

It wasn’t all that long ago, really

“I personally watched some of these students go up to Chief Brown, right up to her face, and call her all kinds of names, cursing at her.”

Did the Queen “nix” a Trump visit to London?

Jazz Shaw Jun 21, 2017 12:41 PM

More like wishful thinking on the American left

Sometimes it’s hard. This was the hardest part

Did the polls get the Handel/Ossoff race wrong?

Allahpundit Jun 21, 2017 11:21 AM

Nah.

Physician, heal thyself

Maybe we’ll stay home and watch.

Good lack of work if you can get it

GOP takes 2 more special House races, meaning what?

Andrew Malcolm Jun 21, 2017 8:41 AM

Two more demoralizing moral victories for Dems.

Not a murder, but nearly as awful

GA Election results thread Update: Handel wins!

John Sexton Jun 20, 2017 7:10 PM

Late night?