Green Room

Hot Air Snap Survey Results

posted at 11:13 pm on December 6, 2011 by

We have some movement here, but the “why” is subject to some debate. The December survey suggested that Newt Gingrich would gain some Cain votes after Cain got out. That might have played out, but ultimately it was overwhelmed by an influx of Rick Perry voters, who provided their candidate with a bit of a spike. Two things might account for that: 1.) Perry’s supporters were better-organized this round, and 2.) voters got a sneak peak at the survey’s real-time results because I accidentally left that box ticked, meaning motivated groups of voters knew the sort of ground they needed to make up to make things interesting.

All that said, there weren’t that many attempts at double-voting from anybody, so while it’s relevant to note the nuanced differences in the circumstances of this particular survey, I’m quite comfortable that the rules were followed as intended. Will Rick Perry’s stock continue to rise? Only time will tell.

One final table of note, and then the full results: Candidates’ voters, by age.

Full results follow:


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It’s also possible that there’s a resurgence of support for Perry. If he’s on the primary ballot here, I’m going to vote for him.

J.E. Dyer on December 6, 2011 at 11:38 PM

J.E. Dyer on December 6, 2011 at 11:38 PM

Dittos. Perry posse.

redneck hippie on December 6, 2011 at 11:54 PM

Aslans girl must be giddy.

SouthernGent on December 7, 2011 at 12:01 AM

Well, many of Perry supporters have been disgusted with the coverage on HotAir. Personally, I came to HotAir a good bit less due all the slanted reporting and obnoxious posters.

Kermit on December 7, 2011 at 12:06 AM

Kermit on December 7, 2011 at 12:06 AM

Feel free to reduce that number by one. DLTDHYAOTWO.

alwaysfiredup on December 7, 2011 at 1:02 AM

Let’s go Perry!

we’ll need a Perry v Romney question next go around….

cmsinaz on December 7, 2011 at 6:29 AM

J.E. Dyer on December 6, 2011 at 11:38 PM

3rd that

cmsinaz on December 7, 2011 at 6:30 AM

This post has been promoted to

Comments have been closed on this post but the discussion continues here.

Ed Morrissey on December 7, 2011 at 1:29 PM

People who have studied Perry’s previous campaign saw this coming. I figure there are a lot of people who want Perry to win, they just don’t want to admit it for fear of attack.

The Perry haters are going to be out in force when this gets promoted. Hold onto your hats Perry supporters.

cozmo on December 7, 2011 at 8:30 AM