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GOP Beltway Insiders Charles Krauthammer and George Will Describe the Substantive Reasons Sarah Palin Can’t Win

posted at 8:41 am on June 5, 2011 by

Charles Krauthammer‘s substantive reasons that Sarah Palin can’t win in 2012:

I think it would make no sense for her to run. I think her chances of winning the nomination are small. The chances of winning the general election are probably nil. I think, for the same reasons you articulated, 60 percent negatives. That’s almost impossible to overcome. And it isn’t as if that is forever. Hillary Clinton had very high negatives at many points in her career. But over time, they tend to soften.

…The problem with her, I think, is that she is not schooled. I don’t mean she didn’t go to the right schools… But when it comes to policies, she’s had two and a half years to school herself, and she hasn’t. And that’s a problem. You want a president who will be able to not have to learn on the job. We’ve already had that… …with President Obama and with others… It’s the lack of effort to school herself and the lack of insight to see that she needs it…

…I think if you’re going to master policy, especially world affairs, you’ve got to know history. As you said, you have to know how things evolved, and she is weak on that. It’s not as if she can’t learn. The fact is it doesn’t appear as if she wants to sort of sit down, spend some months schooling herself, as many people have done in preparing for the presidency. If you’re a governor of any state, you face a narrow range of issues, and you don’t have to deal with the world. It’s incumbent on you to actually learn about it.

So, just to recap, Sarah Palin can’t win against Barack Obama because she has high negatives, she hasn’t “school[ed] herself”, and she’s weak on history. But an incompetent community agitator with no executive experience, no private sector experience and who is an acolyte of Alinsky is qualified because he has a beautiful, cultured speaking voice.

George Will‘s substantive reasons that Sarah Palin can’t win in 2012:

The independent voters have made up their minds about her, and it is a negative judgment they’ve made… After the 2008 campaign she had two things she had to do: she had to go home to Alaska and study, and she had to govern Alaska well. Instead she quit halfway through her first term and shows up in the audience of ‘Dancing with the Stars’ and other distinctly non-presidential venues…

Just to recap: independent voters have a negative opinion of Palin. And the fact that Democrat operatives had filed 18 frivolous lawsuits — all later dismissed — against her (source: Associated Press), which were bankrupting her family, had nothing at all to do with it. That, plus appearing in the audience of Dancing with the Stars, disqualifies her.

Is this really what passes for informed commentary inside the Beltway?

Remember: Krauthammer worked for Walter-Freaking-Mondale in 1980. George Will endorsed Howard Baker in 1980. Both of these guys completely missed the Reagan revolution.

Krauthammer and Will are certainly smart dudes, but their political instincts appear to be for s***.

Palin can win. Bachmann can win. Cain can win. Ryan can win. Santorum can win. Obama is a sitting duck if confronted with a true, articulate Constitutional conservative.

He’s a walking, talking disaster as President. And everyone knows it.

By the way, I’ve been out of town for a while. How are those Stimulus, HAMP, Cash-for-Clunkers, Weatherization, Green Jobs, Obamacare, “Banking Reform”, drilling moratorium, First-Time Home-Buyer Credit, auto company takeovers and QE2 programs working out?

 
Hat tips: Mark Levin and Gateway Pundit.
Cross-posted at: Doug Ross @ Journal.

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Instead she quit halfway through her first term and shows up in the audience of ‘Dancing with the Stars’ and other distinctly non-presidential venues…

But 20 years in the audience of Rev Wright is presidential.

the_nile on June 5, 2011 at 9:15 AM

They left out she has no gravitas. Like little Barry does? CK also said, it’s not her turn. Same old school Republican thinking. Does he remember the old headline, Dewey beats Truman? They should actually listen to what she’s saying as she talks policy on all the interviews being done on FOX.

Kissmygrits on June 5, 2011 at 9:33 AM

Since we’re on the subject of “opinions”:

Limbaugh speculates on what gave rise to Krauthammer as an opinion maker

Rovin on June 5, 2011 at 9:49 AM

You’re quite naive for believing that Obama & Palin would be competing on a level playing ground. (It worked for Obama, so it would work for Palin)
And you’re silly for holding 31-year-old views & actions of Chuck & George against them.
They seem far more qualified to offer intelligent analysis than you do, Mr Blue.

itsnotaboutme on June 5, 2011 at 9:52 AM

Rovin on June 5, 2011 at 9:49 AM

As Limbaugh has repeatedly said, he’s more interested in building an audience than anything else. He’s an entertainer in the same category as WND & Glenn Beck. They can all be quite informative at times, & they can all be silly at times.

itsnotaboutme on June 5, 2011 at 9:55 AM

itsnotaboutme on June 5, 2011 at 9:55 AM

And how exactly is that different from what CK or Will do? Do they not seek an audience? They’re stating their opinions. They dont have any more knowledge of what will take place in 2012 than you or I.

I keep waiting for someone to read one of Palin’s Facebook policy statements to them and then ask the snobs if they know who wrote it.

rmel80 on June 5, 2011 at 10:26 AM

Kimberly Strassel and Chris Wallace had a similar chat on the “Fox News Sunday” roundtable, with Strassel dismissing Palin’s candidacy out of hand, and when Wallace mentioned how specific she had been on the issues in the interview, came back with the complaint that …. she needs to be more specific on the issues.

Basically, there’s nothing Palin cam do to satisfy them. She’s been far more issue specific since the speech at the Reagan 100th anniversary event in early February, but to critics on the right like Kimberly, George or Charles, the circus around the bus tour trumps whatever Palin’s saying, even if the circus is totally a creation of the big media that never has liked her since the ’08 RNC convention.

(To be charitable, the anti-Palin thought of some of the pundits may be that Palin has a higher threshold to overcome than, say, a Pawlenty, so that Obama has to faro things up even more than now for her to win the swing voters’ support. But that still doesn’t explain or forgive Will’s comment last Sunday that Palin shouldn’t be allowed near nuclear weapons, since it’s the same attack Democrats used on Ronald Reagan from 1968-80.

And while they may be right that a T-Paw might not have to be as persuasive to win over the moderates if they’re pissed at Obama, whomever wins is going to need to have strong core support, because the economy isn’t going to turn around instantaneously. It took a major course correction in policy that lasted 18 months at the start of Reagan term for things to start improving, which is why the Republicans were hurt in the ’82 midterms. Given that and what the Dems and big media will do to any Republican who defeats Barack Obama, the new president better have some strong core backing to handle the storm they’re going to face.)

jon1979 on June 5, 2011 at 10:49 AM

rmel80 on June 5, 2011 at 10:26 AM

Do you think Chuck & George are unaware of the wrath they will incur at the hands of the throngs of Palinistas? They don’t seem to be as motivated by a desire to build their own fan base as Rush is.

itsnotaboutme on June 5, 2011 at 11:19 AM

When I’m criticizing Rove, Will and the cabbage pounder today, they’re intellectual heavyweights whose political accumen should not be questioned. When I criticize them tomorrow, they will be pundits who get paid merely to provide an honest opinion.

gryphon202 on June 5, 2011 at 12:50 PM

Do you think Chuck & George are unaware of the wrath they will incur at the hands of the throngs of Palinistas? They don’t seem to be as motivated by a desire to build their own fan base as Rush is.

itsnotaboutme on June 5, 2011 at 11:19 AM

That’s because they’ve been around long enough that sack lickers like you will always give them the benefit of the doubt.

gryphon202 on June 5, 2011 at 12:51 PM

i think part of dr k’s irrational opinion on sarah is due to his need to keep being invited bakc to the sunday shows. he cant let himself be too conservative or david brooks will get his chair permanently

chasdal on June 5, 2011 at 1:02 PM

i think part of dr k’s irrational opinion on sarah is due to his need to keep being invited bakc to the sunday shows. he cant let himself be too conservative or david brooks will get his chair permanently

chasdal on June 5, 2011 at 1:02 PM

George Will and the cabbage pounder are living proof that even the most mediocre of conservatives can look smart surrounded by liberals.

(h/t Rush)

gryphon202 on June 5, 2011 at 1:07 PM

Go to 270towin.com. Hit reset if you’ve already been playing there.

Now flip VA, NC, and IN. All three of these states are Red States who flipped temporarily in 2008 because of enthusiasm over 0bama, which is now gone.

Now let me give you in two words why you should flip FL:

Mortgages

Israel

If Yolanda Yankee has two mortgages underwater, she may have to choose which one to walk away from. And the vacation home is the likeliest loser—hence the mortgage crisis in Florida. Thing is, it’s an open secret that Yankees like to use their summer home addresses and vote in FL elections. They are losing these homes in enough time for the department of elections to figure out they aren’t residents anymore. And if Yolanda Yankee is a religious enough Jew, she may not have as much motivation to double-vote, even if she did hold on to her Miami Beach condo.

Flip FL.

Portman and Kasich won Ohio

The WI unions shot their wads in the Prosser/Kloppenburg race, and still lost

Keep your eyes on PA. too.

Any one of these states puts the Republican in range. The key to these states is what can best be described as Reagan Democrats (however if they are under 45 or so, they’re too young). Now, guess who has been appealing to the Reagan Dems….let’s see….

Now, all that’s needed are EITHER Colorado OR New Mexico OR Nevada. Without the shiny shininess of 0bama, at least one of these will go R.

Oh yeah, she can win…

Sekhmet on June 5, 2011 at 1:25 PM

I love it when hoity-toity Beltway-ers pontificate about people and things they really have no common knowledge about.

SouthernGent on June 5, 2011 at 4:48 PM

As Limbaugh has repeatedly said, he’s more interested in building an audience than anything else. He’s an entertainer in the same category as WND & Glenn Beck. They can all be quite informative at times, & they can all be silly at times.

Do you think Chuck & George are unaware of the wrath they will incur at the hands of the throngs of Palinistas? They don’t seem to be as motivated by a desire to build their own fan base as Rush is.

itsnotaboutme on June 5, 2011 at 11:19 AM

That’s because they’ve been around long enough that sack lickers like you will always give them the benefit of the doubt.

gryphon202 on June 5, 2011 at 12:51 PM

That response is quite telling.
Fortunately, most thoughtless & hateful political rhetoric comes from the Left, but we’ve got some weighing our side down as well.

itsnotaboutme on June 5, 2011 at 7:23 PM

I like Palin. I think her instincts are good (generally); I especially like how she refuses to accept false premises (would that more Republicans had her skill in this area).

HOWEVER – - – - Palin fans seem to think opposition to Palin can simply be shouted down – and it can’t.

Palin’s negatives ARE high. Piss & moan about how unfair it is all you want, but it is what it is.

We know Dems won’t vote for her. The question in any Presidential campaign is “Will the so-called Independents, so-called moderates even listen to her …. because she can’t win enough of them over to win the Presidency if they won’t.

The MSM sees her as a threat. They’re not going to be “fair” to Palin – they won’t be fair to anyone in 2012 (protecting Obama’s butt), but especially not to Palin.

It’s not about whether it’s right or fair or just – it’s about what is achievable. CK & George Will are skeptical – - and there’s plenty there to be skeptical about.

BD57 on June 5, 2011 at 8:24 PM

and there’s plenty there to be skeptical about.

BD57 on June 5, 2011 at 8:24 PM

There is plenty more to be fired up about.

These high negatives everyone keeps referring to exist because of widespread ignorance about her extensive high positives, such as the things she has done, why she did them and how she did them.

I believe she has earned the chance to show America what she truly has to offer, on her own terms.

If it doesn’t work, it doesn’t work.

The thing is, it just may work in the end.

Brian1972 on June 5, 2011 at 8:40 PM

It’s not about whether it’s right or fair or just – it’s about what is achievable. CK & George Will are skeptical – – and there’s plenty there to be skeptical about.

BD57 on June 5, 2011 at 8:24 PM

Meh. Anyone who supported Howard Baker back in ’80, and worked for Walter Mondale in 1984, they lose a little bit of credibility with me on principle. I just don’t think that Will and the cabbage pounder are quite the gems of intelligence some want to believe they are.

gryphon202 on June 5, 2011 at 9:01 PM

That response is quite telling.
Fortunately, most thoughtless & hateful political rhetoric comes from the Left, but we’ve got some weighing our side down as well.

itsnotaboutme on June 5, 2011 at 7:23 PM

Don’t ever run for office. You wouldn’t survive a municipal dog catcher campaign with a skin as thin as yours, Champ.

gryphon202 on June 5, 2011 at 9:02 PM

Kraut and Barnes are going to miss what will most likely be the hinge on the 2012 election — Put America first. The electorate is tired of seeing vast sums of money being wasted both domestically and internationally. It is pissing people off that we send millions to a country like Egypt who are going to kick us in the teeth and have the stupidity that 40% of what we send we have to borrow from someone else. Its crazy.

Dr. Dog on June 5, 2011 at 9:57 PM

Do you think Chuck & George are unaware of the wrath they will incur at the hands of the throngs of Palinistas?

itsnotaboutme on June 5, 2011 at 11:19 AM

I imagine they do not believe there are “throngs” of Palinistas. It is fashionable among the Beltway set to presume that Palin is stupid and/or a lightweight without any real support. They will be eating crow later for sure.

alwaysfiredup on June 5, 2011 at 10:06 PM

Is this really what passes for informed commentary inside the Beltway?

Subjectively, yes.

In the real world, you have to actually know things and make some kind of sense. But in the media, calling other people stupid makes you seem smart in comparison, and that is all that will ever matter to them.

logis on June 7, 2011 at 11:46 AM

The mistake people continue to make is calling Krauthammer and Will ‘conservatives’. They are in fact Republicans.

Freddy on June 7, 2011 at 2:10 PM