Rhetorical Wars on Iran Don’t Solve Anything

posted at 6:09 pm on December 21, 2010 by
[ Nuclear Proliferation ]   

Our host, Ed Morrissey, has posted a rather puzzling endorsement of a USA Today op-ed by Sarah Palin on the subject of Iran. While each contain a number of glowing generalizations and hope for the power of positive thinking, I found myself left with a rather unsatisfied feeling from each.

As to the original Palin op-ed, I can save both you and I a fair bit of time by urging you to read and fully explore the links in this response from Doug Mataconis at Outside the Beltway. While I don’t come anywhere near doing it full justice in a few bullet points, there are three key points to be made there:

    1. Yes, we all know that the Mullahs are bad. This is not a news flash.

    2. Saying our sanctions should be “tougher” and have “more teeth” doesn’t do any good as long as so many other key players don’t go along with them. (And we’re not just talking about Russia. It’s China, Japan, India, and South Korea to name just a few.) For an example of how well that works, just look at how efficiently we starved Castro out of Cuba.

    3. No matter how much we might bray about “standing with the people” of Iran against their government, it means little if you’re not actually going to invade when Iran’s leaders don’t really seem to care what we think.

But the supporting responses to the original piece also seem to beg more than a few questions. First, there is this rather curious description:

Palin calls for a return to a proven strategy from the Cold War

This particular rib is poked in a couple of directions, concerning not only how to deal with Iran itself but how “to get Russia on board with sanctions against Iran” and is conflated with the current food fight going on over the START treaty. While it’s always a warm and fuzzy experience to summon up the ghost of Ronald Reagan, trying to compare our stance against the final years of the Soviet Union and the Russians today is rather disingenuous at best. While we certainly took a hard, effective stand against the U.S.S.R. it eventually collapsed under its own bloated weight more so than from any direct offensive action on our part. That’s rather different than today’s far more compact – and in many ways resurgent – Russia and their position on the world stage.

But perhaps the most glaring point is the seeming assertion that the situation with Iran might be different were it not for the fact that it “took Obama weeks to offer any kind of rhetorical support” for the Iranian people during the uprising of 2009. Granted, the president seemed to be sticking to his campaign offering of “an open hand if you will just unclench your fist.” Is that a viable strategy? Time alone will tell.

But foreign policy is a popular area for critics to turn presidents into punching bags. It’s a damned if you do, damned if you don’t situation. This is pointed out when Ed declares, less than a paragraph later, that Iran’s leaders have no interest in our friendship and frankly don’t care much what we say one way or the other. Without vast international support which currently is lacking, it’s still all just rhetoric.

In the end, Iran’s government will only “go away” via one of two routes. Either they will need to be taken down my military incursion or the Iranian people – who frequently don’t like America much more than they like their current leaders – will take matters in their own hands and create a new government which will hopefully be easier to deal with.

The former strategy is obviously not an option for any sane politician at home, given the nation’s weary outlook on the current efforts to create new democracies at gunpoint. And the Iranian people don’t seem ready to make the leap. So in the end, Governor Palin’s “advice” to the president seems to boil down to one demand.

We must replace the failed rhetoric of Barack Obama with an entirely new flavor of failed rhetoric!

It may tug on some sympathetic heartstrings, but it’s not much of a foreign policy.

Now you can yell at Jazz for being a stupid, wrong-headed RINO even faster than by just leaving a comment. Follow him on Twitter! @JazzShaw

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Comment pages: 1 2

Sarah is trying to tell you the same thing; it’s a moral cause. Caroline Glick is also trying to get your attention. Why will you not listen?

BradSchwartze on December 22, 2010 at 10:50 AM

Because America is 234 years old, dated from the signing of the declaration of independence. We’re still an awfully young country on the scale of civilizations. We have a terribly short memory, unlike Muslims who invoke the name of Mohammed, and Britons that tell stories about King Arthur.

To put it another way, Normalcy Bias is a uniquely American disease in today’s world.

gryphon202 on December 22, 2010 at 10:54 AM

Yes, I do try to catch those when I see they have posted, which is why I said “some” Green Room posters…

lovingmyUSA on December 22, 2010 at 10:52 AM

Ah. C_C Roger that. I’m kind of bleary-eyed today, so I guess I missed that portion. Sorry about that.

KinleyArdal on December 22, 2010 at 10:59 AM

Channeling Charles Krauthammer:
Maybe Jazz Shaw should “leave the room” while Sarah Palin has “a reasoned discussion” about our nation’s Iran policy.

steebo77 on December 22, 2010 at 10:59 AM

radio broadcasts and diplomacy – her big ideas- are getting tough and they’re are far less tough than what we have been doing and are doing.

rolling balls around might be about as useful as her suggestions.

audiculous on December 22, 2010 at 10:44 AM

You’re kidding, right? Less tough than what “we’ve” been doing???? Who’s this “we”? Cause the current American government has done NOTHING so far to intimidate Iran. Are you in Obaka’s back pocket, or what?
Playing with balls seems to be the only thing you’re good at…

lovingmyUSA on December 22, 2010 at 11:00 AM

Like many of us, Sarah Palin isn’t in a position to do anything. All she can do is sound the alarm. Maybe Obama and Hillary should start listening and start acting.

The ball is in their court.

It’s no different for the Tea Party. Lindsey Graham said the Tea Party should start doing something other than speaking bold words. I’ve got news for Mr. Graham. We elected people like him to do the heavy lifting. We’ve made our desires known. And if he’s referring to those newly elected congressmen and women, I’m sure they will do something if the old guard will step aside and let them do their jobs rather than falling back on old, failed “protocols” of the House and Senate that block incoming freshmen from having any say.

iamsaved on December 22, 2010 at 11:10 AM

Iran is a fascist theocracy which has been at war with the American people for thirty years.

Let’s stop pretending that we need to engage them.

They are a hostile power, and need to be treated as such. Palin is basically asking the Administration to accept reality.

victor82 on December 22, 2010 at 11:10 AM

A lackluster liberal president gets in hot water with Iran and is taken to the woodshed by a charismatic conservative presidential candidate.

Have I heard this tune before, onnacounta I liked the way it ended last time.

And I side with Ed and Sarah. Give Sarah the bully pulpit and the keys to the codes and I guaran-damned-tee you that the mullahs will give her their undivided attention.

And I think I will be on pretty safe ground that the men and women of our armed forces will follow her with zeal and respect.

turfmann on December 22, 2010 at 11:11 AM

but I don’t think Bishop would agree to it, and I bet AP would have a conniption, so it shall never be. ; ;

KinleyArdal on December 22, 2010 at 10:50 AM

well maybe if they got buy danish to co-write it?

unseen on December 22, 2010 at 11:23 AM

Funny how it took Palin to get all these pundits and wannabes to show that they have the answer to Iran.

I’m not impressed.

darwin on December 22, 2010 at 11:24 AM

KinleyArdal on December 22, 2010 at 10:59 AM

No prob…hope you can get more sleep soon.

lovingmyUSA on December 22, 2010 at 11:24 AM

JAZZ WROTE:

This particular rib is poked in a couple of directions, concerning not only how to deal with Iran itself but how “to get Russia on board with sanctions against Iran” and is conflated with the current food fight going on over the START treaty. While it’s always a warm and fuzzy experience to summon up the ghost of Ronald Reagan, trying to compare our stance against the final years of the Soviet Union and the Russians today is rather disingenuous at best.

Reaction:

What? Reagan’s foreign policy limited only to USSR? It’s much bigger than that. There were Cuba, a Communist Germany, North Korea, rouge countries in Latin America, etc. at that time.

MR. JAZZ WROTE:

While we certainly took a hard, effective stand against the U.S.S.R. it eventually collapsed under its own bloated weight more so than from any direct offensive action on our part. That’s rather different than today’s far more compact – and in many ways resurgent – Russia and their position on the world stage.

Reaction:

Two things:

1. Reagan’s War was as tough as ours today, if not tougher.

2. You’re lying against Palin’s oped. Sarah didn’t even single out Russia as the lone partner of US on this.

3. When it comes to Russia, Palin’s oped only gave a hint that Russia is “unreliable” and could be a possible traitorous partner of US.

Exact quote from Palin’s oped:

Russia continues to support Iran’s Bushehr nuclear reactors. It also continues to sell arms to Iran — despite the Obama administration’s much-touted “reset” policy with Russia.

Did Palin mention that Russia’s the only country that truly help Obama? NO. NO. NO. NO. JAZZ IS LYING.

MR JAZZ WROTE:

Saying our sanctions should be “tougher” and have “more teeth” doesn’t do any good as long as so many other key players don’t go along with them. (And we’re not just talking about Russia. It’s China, Japan, India, and South Korea to name just a few.) For an example of how well that works, just look at how efficiently we starved Castro out of Cuba.

REACTION:

From the Oped, Sarah clearly specified as indicated above that USSR and even UN are not reliable allies against the Mullahs.

I repeat, Mr. Jazz. Palin didn’t single out Russia a viable partner to this effort. Because of Obama’s Russian policy, Palin can’t even trust Russia.

Palin specifically asked for more “concerted” efforts to all allies.

MR JAZZ WROTE:

3. No matter how much we might bray about “standing with the people” of Iran against their government, it means little if you’re not actually going to invade when Iran’s leaders don’t really seem to care what we think.

Reaction:

So, you don’t know a thing about Iran then. There are many pathways to enter into Iran. There are ways to mobilize a stealth attack. You just don’t know … because you’re not a military strategist. You whine immediately without exploring the possibilities. Too unReaganesque of you!

MR. JAZZ WROTE:

But foreign policy is a popular area for critics to turn presidents into punching bags. It’s a damned if you do, damned if you don’t situation. This is pointed out when Ed declares, less than a paragraph later, that Iran’s leaders have no interest in our friendship and frankly don’t care much what we say one way or the other. Without vast international support which currently is lacking, it’s still all just rhetoric.

REACTION:

So, you just copied the oped again. Sarah didn’t say that Russia is the only partner to this. The oped even hinted that Russia is a suspect.

MR. JAZZ WROTE:

In the end, Iran’s government will only “go away” via one of two routes. Either they will need to be taken down my [BY?] military incursion or the Iranian people – who frequently don’t like America much more than they like their current leaders – will take matters in their own hands and create a new government which will hopefully be easier to deal with

REACTION:

Hear! Hear! JAZZ HAS ONLY TWO IDEAS FOR FOREIGN POLICY:

(1) BOMB IRAN!

Of course, Sarah Palin and many Americans have already learned the lessons of our experiences in Iraq War … BOTH THE FINANCIAL AND POLITICAL COSTS.

(2) LEAVE IRANIANS AND LET THEM SOLVE THEIR PROBLEMS ABOUT THE NUKES AND MULLAHS!

Wow!

BEAUTIFUL, MODERN-DAY NON-FOREIGN POLICY OF JAZZ SHAW!

JAZZ ASSESSMENT OF HIS TWO OPTIONS:

the former strategy is obviously not an option for any sane politician at home, given the nation’s weary outlook on the current efforts to create new democracies at gunpoint. And the Iranian people don’t seem ready to make the leap. So in the end, Governor Palin’s “advice” to the president seems to boil down to one demand.

Reaction:

Jazz can’t pull the trigger so … he’ll just pray for the good Iranians to SOLVE THEIR PROBLEMS …. FOR US! Heh!

JAZZ’S CONCLUSION:

So in the end, Governor Palin’s “advice” to the president seems to boil down to one demand.

We must replace the failed rhetoric of Barack Obama with an entirely new flavor of failed rhetoric!

Reaction:

For Jazz, the only thing a US President can do is RHETORIC.

Jazz is exactly the same as Obama. WEAKLING!

BUT NOT PALIN’S OPED IS DIFFERENT… NOT JUST RHETORIC. IT HAS HIDDEN MASK:

I agree with the former British prime minister Tony Blair, who said recently that the West must be willing to use force “if necessary” if that is the only alternative.

Unlike Jazz, Palin can go for broke … when there’s no other options left. [And mind you .. Palin decides quickly according to the situation. Her quite unique talent, I guess.]

NOW … JAZZ’ INSULT TO PALIN:

It may tug on some sympathetic heartstrings, but it’s not much of a foreign policy.

Response:

Go to Webster Dictionary and learn the meaning of the word “policy”. Policy is a set of principles usually in form of key statements, … RHETORICS!

If you want “specific instructions”, then you are asking for a game plan or even a strategic detailed war plan that only being discussed inside the WAR ROOM!

And I repeat what Palin’s oped said:

I agree with the former British prime minister Tony Blair, who said recently that the West must be willing to use force “if necessary” if that is the only alternative.

FINAL TAKE:

1. Reagan’s cold war strategy is not just about Russia, Mr. Jazz. It includes worldwide operations, some were in Cuba, North Korea, and other key Latin American countries.

2. Reagan’s War was against Communism. Besides Reagan’s rhetorics, there were actual (some were covert) military operations not just in Europe … but around the world. Everything was monitored, studied and controlled.

3. JAZZ IS LYING AGAINST THE OPED. OPED DIDN’T SPECIFICALLY MENTION RUSSIA AS THE ONLY KEY TO PUT SANCTION VS. IRAN.

4. Besides RE-WORDING SOME OF PALIN’S POSITIONS, Jazz doesn’t offer any policy solution at all.

5. Jazz just repeated what Palin had written. Isn’t that plagiarism with intentional stealing of ideas, in some respect? Of course not. As usual…. “everybody knows it” so … not stealing per se, heh? That’s why Jazz is disputing the oped because the oped is saying what everybody already knows as general “truth” or fact about the Mullahs in Iran? Or is it hybrid case Palin Derangement Syndrome — I mean say anything that opposes Palin’s view or undermines her effort?

TheAlamos on December 22, 2010 at 11:27 AM

well maybe if they got buy danish to co-write it?

unseen on December 22, 2010 at 11:23 AM

I think the website might explode from the overwhelming level of awesome. It might well be over nine thousand.

No prob…hope you can get more sleep soon.

lovingmyUSA on December 22, 2010 at 11:24 AM

Immediately upon reaching home. Z_Z

KinleyArdal on December 22, 2010 at 11:30 AM

TheAlamos on December 22, 2010 at 11:27 AM

That my friend was a beautiful takedown.

unseen on December 22, 2010 at 11:34 AM

TheAlamos on December 22, 2010 at 11:27 AM

Good job on the rebuttal.

ornery_independent on December 22, 2010 at 11:35 AM

KinleyArdal on December 22, 2010 at 11:30 AM

I think it could break the 10,000 comment if they included the Hi!er in the bunker clip along with the post….

unseen on December 22, 2010 at 11:36 AM

And I’m sure the friends and family of Neda appreciate your non-interventional, unsubstantiated, response, JS…At a time when there was the greatest need for a response from the one country that stands for freedom above all else–we were quiet. And that silence speaks volumes…Palin will NOT be silent, much as you would like her to be…therein lies the rub…

lovingmyUSA on December 22, 2010 at 11:36 AM

TheAlamos on December 22, 2010 at 11:27 AM

That my friend was a beautiful takedown.

unseen on December 22, 2010 at 11:34 AM

Ditto. That was great fun to read, Alamos. Do it again soon.

turfmann on December 22, 2010 at 11:38 AM

I think it could break the 10,000 comment if they included the Hi!er in the bunker clip along with the post….

unseen on December 22, 2010 at 11:36 AM

I wish someone would put together a Downfall parody of herr dummkopf fuhrer raging about how Bishop’s bunker is cooler than his. <.< I don't have the video editing skills necessary for such a project. But now it's going to bug me.

Egad.

KinleyArdal on December 22, 2010 at 11:43 AM

1. Reagan’s cold war strategy is not just about Russia, Mr. Jazz. It includes worldwide operations, some were in Cuba, North Korea, and other key Latin American countries.

TheAlamos

As this is a post about how to deal with Iran, perhaps you might care to mention Reagan’s brilliant strategy about Iran and how that worked.

audiculous on December 22, 2010 at 11:49 AM

TheAlamos

As this is a post about how to deal with Iran, perhaps you might care to mention Reagan’s brilliant strategy about Iran and how that worked.

audiculous on December 22, 2010 at 11:49 AM

I see that reading comprehension is also not one of your skills–playing with balls must be hard….

lovingmyUSA on December 22, 2010 at 11:57 AM

TheAlamos on December 22, 2010 at 11:27 AM

You gotta admit, the palinistas are cute when they’re angry.

IU_Conservative on December 22, 2010 at 11:59 AM

audiculous on December 22, 2010 at 11:49 AM

I’m sure there are plenty of Iranians who would wear a “I miss the Shah” t-shirts if they could….

lovingmyUSA on December 22, 2010 at 11:59 AM

As this is a post about how to deal with Iran, perhaps you might care to mention Reagan’s brilliant strategy about Iran and how that worked.

audiculous on December 22, 2010 at 11:49 AM

I can give my 5 cents. But I don’t want to pretend like Jazz Shaw … that I know everything. he he he!

I believe that Pentagon has enough information and our military has enough capability to make a stealth attack against Iran’s nuke facility.

The politics in DC has always been the main distraction to craft a realistic plan.

But I also believe that the past/recent “sanctions” that have made against Iran ARE NOT REALLY SANCTIONS AT ALL. The international communities can starve that country to death if they really want to.

In the past, aids such as the Fed’s bailout through IMF to European countries/allies have always been tied to such kind of political “request”/commitment from our allies. Under Obama’s Administration, our aids to other countries have become nothing but “pure dole outs” — no political return whatsoever.

There are many ways to “stun” and “club” Iran, possibly through a combination of military actions (explicit or stealth), stringent economic sanctions, etc.

In short, the solution is this:

AN IRON PRESIDENT WITH STRONG POLITICAL WILL WHO WILL DO EVERYTHING TO END IRAN’S NUCLEAR AMBITION.

No other way, I guess.

TheAlamos on December 22, 2010 at 12:11 PM

Do you have a better solution? Especially when you know country is not going to accept a third war front right now. Do you recommend going into a war? Do you recommend blockade? Do you recommend Strategic Nuclear strike.

I am tired of people saying Sarah Palin is not fit, gravitas, serious contender and all that BS.

Please propose alternatives if you have any. Or post a substantive policy piece. Posting critique from your basement is easy. I will wait for a policy piece from yourself.

antisocial on December 22, 2010 at 12:19 PM

Posting critique from your basement is easy. I will wait for a policy piece from yourself.

antisocial on December 22, 2010 at 12:19 PM

Peacniks: War is not the answer.

Me: What’s the question?

Jazz Shaw: Rhetorical war is not the answer.

Me: What’s the question?

gryphon202 on December 22, 2010 at 12:20 PM

wow what a thought out rebuttle. It is becoming clear to all that the only thinkers are in the palin camp. the rest of the people seem to think insults are debate talking points.

unseen on December 22, 2010 at 12:26 PM

No other way, I guess.

TheAlamos on December 22, 2010 at 12:11 PM

bomb the oil refinery. Blockcade the strait. close off the borders by Afgan/Iraq. Iran crumbles in about 2 months.

unseen on December 22, 2010 at 12:28 PM

You gotta admit, the palinistas are cute when they’re angry.

IU_Conservative on December 22, 2010 at 11:59 AM

Guys, for the record, I think I’m a lone ranger here at HA shouting JIM DEMINT FOR PRESIDENT 2012!

I’m a Demint supporter through and through. But Demintors like me have been very supportive of Sarah Palin because of her many positions on issues.

Does the above make me a Palinista like gary and unseen? Oh, no! What have I done?! My image to my Demintors Clan! [No pun intended to my friends for Palin.]

TheAlamos on December 22, 2010 at 12:30 PM

It is amazing how Palin Derangement appears to cloud the judgement of Jazz as well as many others who suffer from it’s effects. I’ll bet if Christie had made the same statement rather than Palin, it would meet with critical RINO acclaim.

But since this post really appears to be saying nothing in several paragraphs, except as opportunity to bash Palin, I am beginning to believe it was posted to “jazz up” response numbers. Palin bashing is becoming a RINO blogger cottage industry.

Done That on December 22, 2010 at 12:39 PM

bomb the oil refinery. Blockcade the strait. close off the borders by Afgan/Iraq. Iran crumbles in about 2 months.

unseen on December 22, 2010 at 12:28 PM

Bro, we can only do that if we have STRONG/DECISIVE PRESIDENT.

This must be the most important qualification for the next President!

TheAlamos on December 22, 2010 at 12:40 PM

TheAlamos on December 22, 2010 at 12:30 PM

Reasoned debate is always welcome…and Demint has as much a right as any to enter into the fray. We will not have a ideal candidate, that is perfect for everyone…so we may as well get used to it. At some point we will all have to close ranks with whomever becomes the candidate…of course this is a point lost on the Krauthammer’s and Rove’s of the party…

lovingmyUSA on December 22, 2010 at 12:40 PM

AN IRON PRESIDENT WITH STRONG POLITICAL WILL WHO WILL DO EVERYTHING TO END IRAN’S NUCLEAR AMBITION.

No other way, I guess.

TheAlamos on December 22, 2010 at 12:11 PM

Instead we got a president who is made of Silly Putty…

lovingmyUSA on December 22, 2010 at 12:42 PM

Funny, that was one of the toughest positions I’ve seen anyone willing to openly take against Iran. (Especially of a Presidential contender.) If anything it read a policy outline of what she will do. While I enjoy the ankle biting of what Palin should have said, let’s be realistic: She can’t do anything since she’s not in the White House. So saying that we need to get other countries on board is a moot point at this juncture. I’m not saying you’re wrong in this respect, but to act as if she does not understand that is ridiculous.

Yes, we all know that the Mullahs are bad. This is not a news flash.

Are you sure? Because with this administration, I have a feeling most Americans feel that Iran is NOT an issue at this point. These guys downplay every real national/foreign threat we have. (Need I remind anyone of START?) Meanwhile, healthcare is a national emergency.

As other people have pointed out, she IS willing to use force to quell them. And as far as supporting the people, I seem to remember similar words from the Bush admin when we were going into Iraq. It was a key factor in getting rid of him.

So far with Palin detractors, unless she can read their minds and echo everything they are thinking, she’s never going to be right. My understanding of her op-ed is that she prefers diplomatic measures (and maybe even starting some unrest). However, if push comes to shove she’s willing to put our collective boot up you-know-where. She played it well by being clear in where she would go but was also more upbeat in her message vs “Bomb, bomb, bomb- bomb, bomb Iran.” (Not that I was against that.)

xax on December 22, 2010 at 1:05 PM

Do you have a better solution?

antisocial

yeah. a better solution is to fight Iran’s expansionist ambitions by maintaining our policy of isolating the regime and targeting it’s weaknesses.

the Iranian economy is a shambles and the regime has no way to improve it as we maintain the sanctions and ratchet them up. the theocrats have been driven to nationalize (or semi-nationalize, using their para-military goons as nominal owners) larger segments of the economy, weakening it further.
they are now finding themselves still running unsustainable employment numbers as well as a high rate of inflation.
the government subsidies that they’ve used to maintain support from the nearly 30% of the population that’s impoverished and the portion of the middle class that’s sliding into poverty are being ended.

they’re not doing so hot and they’re going to be doing worse.

audiculous on December 22, 2010 at 1:14 PM

Does the above make me a Palinista like gary and unseen? Oh, no! What have I done?! My image to my Demintors Clan! [No pun intended to my friends for Palin.]

TheAlamos on December 22, 2010 at 12:30 PM

I have no problem with your support of Demint. He is one of the good guys and our stance on the issues tends to line up with each other. demint isn’t a RIno nor is he a fake. I enjoy his debates and actions to move the GOP more to the right. Unlike the anti-palin people I don’t need to attack one of our guys just to build up the candidate of my choice. if it was a race between demitn and Palin it would be a tough call but I think I’ll go with Palin but5 a good case can be made for either of them. Unlike say christie or Mitt who simply pretend to be conservative….

unseen on December 22, 2010 at 1:17 PM

wow what a thought out rebuttle. It is becoming clear to all that the only thinkers are in the palin camp. the rest of the people seem to think insults are debate talking points.

unseen on December 22, 2010 at 12:26 PM

+100 – Says it all right there!!!

shmendrick on December 22, 2010 at 1:20 PM

This post has been promoted to HotAir.com.

Comments have been closed on this post but the discussion continues here.

Allahpundit on December 22, 2010 at 10:18 PM

Comment pages: 1 2