The other dynamic that will, historically understate what many of us hope will happen is the gerrymandering of House districts; by 2010, flipping a district that has been of a certain party for more than a term or three is quite a feat.

]]>Since the House of Representatives has 435 seats (and has since 1913), compared to the Senate’s 100, one Senate seat “equals” 4.35 House seats, in a numerical sense.

Your equation, of course, but I’d probably make a Senate seat the equivalent to 3 House seats, since a Senator is elected for 6 years instead of 2 (and 1/3 of the Senate is up for election in any given election year).

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