Latest from the New York Senatorial Races: More Bad News for Dems
posted at 10:43 am on January 29, 2010 by Howard Portnoy
Never mind the prognosticatory powers of Punxsutawney Phil if you’re a Democrat. Predictions for a dark, cold Democrat winter are coming from New York State voters. RealClearPolitics Politics Nation Blog has the latest on the New York State senatorial race, in which former governor George Pataki leads both incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand and Democrat challenger Harold Ford Jr. by double digits. Pataki leads Gillibrand by a margin of 13 (his 51 percent to her 38) and Ford by a margin of 22 (54 percent to 32 percent).
The news for Ford doesn’t get any better within his own party. Polling data has him trailing Gillibrand 41% to 17%. Perhaps he spoke a little too soon when he renounced his conservative views in preparation for a run for the Senate. Or maybe he should have consulted with Scott Brown who seems increasingly to have read the political mood of Americans of late better than the Democrats.
The irony that Gillibrand was appointed to the seat Hillary Clinton vacated to run for president should not be lost on Democrats. The same pattern was reflected in the Brown victory in Massachusetts and appears poised to happen in other key races, not the least of which involves the Senate seat in Illinois that Barack Obama gave up (after sitting in it for about 35 seconds) to run for president.
The data reported here was gathered before Obama’s bizarre State of the Union address. It’s anybody’s guess how dramatically the poll numbers will shift in favor of the Republicans now that the president has effectively declared war on the American electorate.
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