Yes, Virginia, There Is a Sanity Clause
posted at 1:04 am on October 24, 2009 by Dafydd ab Hugh
From the Washington Post — which seems to be edging ever so gingerly away from the One They Have Been Pining For:
Sensing that victory in the race for Virginia governor is slipping away, Democrats at the national level are laying the groundwork to blame a loss in a key swing state on a weak candidate who ran a poor campaign that failed to fully embrace President Obama until days before the election.
Wait, you sure it’s not George Bush’s fault?
Okay… so Virginia voters are upset that R. Creigh Deeds didn’t climb into Barack H. Obama’s lap and let him stick his hand up Deeds’… well, you get the sock-puppetry picture: Voters are angry at Deeds and less willing to support him because he’s not singing the Obamalujah chorus.
So that’s why they’re voting for the Republican, Robert McDonnell. Hey, makes sense to me!
But why is it so important to blame everything on Mr. Deeds? That’s easily explained:
A loss for Deeds in Virginia — which for the first time in decades supported the Democratic presidential candidate in last year’s race — would likely be seen as a sign that Obama’s popularity is weakening in critical areas of the country. But the unusual preelection criticism could be an attempt to shield Obama from that narrative by ensuring that Deeds is blamed personally for the loss, particularly given the state’s three-decade pattern of backing candidates from the party out of power in the White House.
Whoosh! Mr. Deeds goes under the bus. “That’s not the R. Creigh Deeds I knew.”
But national Democrats are contrasting Deeds with New Jersey Gov. Jon S. Corzine and New York congressional candidate Bill Owens, who they say have more actively sought the White House’s help and more vigorously and publicly backed its agenda. Polls show Corzine in a competitive position in New Jersey and Owens ahead, while Deeds has turned aggressively to Obama voters in recent days in an effort to overcome a significant deficit in the polls.
Let’s un-vague-ify those WaPo weasel words:
- By “polls show Corzine in a competitive position,” the Post means that John Corzine was being walloped by Chris Christie until mid-September, when “independent” Chris Daggett entered the race and began sucking votes away from Christie… in the polls, that is. Now Corzine and Christie are tied.
And by “[Bill] Owens ahead” in the special election for New York’s 23rd congressional district, they actually mean that Democrat Owens has a slight plurality over his two opponents, liberal Republican Dierdre Scozzafava — whom Charles Krauthammer says is not even a RINO; she’s a DIABLO, a Democrat in all but label only — and Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman; the two split the un-Democratic vote, allowing Owens to sneak ahead with 33%-35% support.
But if the Republicans and Conservatives can coalesce on a single candidate, that candidate would crush Owens like a bongo drum, winning by eighteen or nineteen points… even on the Daily Kos poll!
In the real world of the voting booth, I believe all three of these races will go to the Republican — or in New York, to the Conservative Party nominee, who will, I believe, suck a huge chunk of votes away from the soft-hearted, soft-headed Dierdre “Hillary” Scozzafava. (Since the GOP establishment backs Scozzafava, a lot of more conservative Republicans tell the pollsters that they’re doing the same. But once they’re in the privacy of the curtained room of democracy, it will be a different story.)
In any event, regarding the pathetic Mr. Deeds of Virginia… put a sock on him, he’s done. As Queen might have sung, “another one bites the bus!”
Cross-posted on Big Lizards…