Green Room

Sarah Palin’s Surprise

posted at 12:00 pm on July 6, 2009 by

From my latest American Spectator column:

“Her national political career is done,” NBC’s David Shuster declared, even before reports of her plans to resign had been confirmed. Other media types joined the rush to write Palin’s political obituary, with a Greek chorus of “conservative” commentators transparently eager to agree that her resignation represented proof that Palin is both unelectable to and unfit for higher office.
Of course, she had just exposed as fraudulent the pretended omniscience of the commentariat. None of them had predicted Palin’s resignation, and yet their latest oracular pronouncements — Ed Rollins told CNN she looked “terribly inept” — were treated as authoritative.
The punditocracy can’t predict Palin because she shares neither their perspective nor their assumptions. Her ascent to political stardom has been treated as a fluke by most of the GOP establishment for the simple reason that she doesn’t slavishly follow the standard script of Republican politicians.
Of course, in recent years this script usually has ended with “…and then the Democrats won,” suggesting the need for a re-write. . . .

Please read the whole thing. Sunday morning, I was driving back from Lake Weiss — where we’d shot our fabulous annual Fourth of July fireworks show — when the editor called asking me to write the column.

Of course, not all the commentators rushing to write finis on Palin’s career were of the Ed Rollins/David Schuster variety. Both Ace and Allahpundit hastened to endorse the pundit consensus.

I’ve got MSNBC on my office TV and the mid-day newsette just referred to Palin’s “baffling” resignation. It’s not baffling. Palin explained her reasons, and her reasons sounded entirely plausible to me. What baffles the pundits is the fact that it was (a) unexpected, and (b) doesn’t fit the established script for presidential hopefuls.

The people who pronounce themselves “baffled,” and who conclude that Palin has made a stupid move by resigning, are leaving a couple of things out of their calculations. First, Palin is a Christian who, in the past, has made straightforward reference to the will of God. What she believes — what she must believe — is that if it is God’s will that she become president, she will. Therefore, the conventional wisdom of the commetariat and all the advice from political “experts” are just so much noise to her.

Second, Palin’s closest adviser is her husband, Todd. He is not stupid. He is also not a man who will show up on TV and blabber his every thought for the sake of creating the impression that he knows everything.

Just because you don’t know what Sarah Palin is doing doesn’t mean that she doesn’t know what she’s doing.

(Cross-posted at The Other McCain.)

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This post has been promoted to HotAir.com.

Comments have been closed on this post but the discussion continues here.

Ed Morrissey on July 6, 2009 at 12:06 PM

Honestly, I think the pundits both professional, semi-pro, and amateur are repeating a lot of “common wisdom” in an echo chamber, reinforcing each other, but not looking at the world outside the navel-gazing world of political junkies. I can’t predict the future, but it’s quite possible this move will resonate very differently with the average American than with The Wise.

irishspy on July 6, 2009 at 12:44 PM

How dare you defend her. Cultist.

/s

thirteen28 on July 6, 2009 at 12:49 PM

no for real it’s a little baffling

happyfeet on July 6, 2009 at 1:09 PM

hmmph. this whole promoted to Hot Air thing is a fraud I think

happyfeet on July 6, 2009 at 1:10 PM

Actually it hasn’t been promoted to Hot Air. I just got an error.

INC on July 6, 2009 at 1:22 PM

hmmph. this whole promoted to Hot Air thing is a fraud I think

happyfeet on July 6, 2009 at 1:10 PM

I see happyfeet has the same thing.

INC on July 6, 2009 at 1:22 PM

This at least partly explains her enemies’ rage over her unexpected decision to resign on short notice. She thereby eludes the trap they had laid for her. She returns to the status of private citizen, where malevolent rumormongers can’t cloak their slander in bogus expressions of concern about “ethics.”

I agree. The point guard is eluding the full court press and her enemies are mad.

INC on July 6, 2009 at 1:25 PM