Toward a Rough Draft of Palinism: Sarah vs. the Scarecrows
posted at 1:31 pm on May 9, 2009 by CK MacLeod
[ Politicians ]
Wizard of Oz: They have one thing you haven’t got: a diploma. Therefore, by virtue of the authority vested in me by the Universitartus Committiartum E Pluribus Unum, I hereby confer upon you the honorary degree of ThD.
Scarecrow: ThD?
Wizard of Oz: That’s… Doctor of Thinkology.
As we know, the appearance on the national scene of Governor Mrs. Sarah Palin, the woman; of the media construct “Sarah Palin”; and of the potential for something that, for now only provisionally, can be called “Palinism,” was greeted by the American intellectual elite in the manner of phagocytes reacting to a life-threatening pathogen – or, recalling one particularly unseemly outburst, to the effects of a “cancer.”
We were told, and no doubt many of the tellers mostly believed, that the all-devouring supernatural she-beast from the frozen wastes banned books and despised learning, perhaps because enraged by her own total, ineradicable illiteracy; though a saurian monster herself – eater of raw flesh, drinker of crude oil, airborne sadist toying with desperate wolves like a house cat with mice – she denied the existence of dinosaurs, the hypocrite; so hateful of sex, but in love with procreation, she would force abstinence on teenage girls, exposing them to ravishment and the subsequent forced delivery of special needs children, while denying them the forensic kits that would no doubt implicate her own depraved brood of drunken taser-wielding white trash in-laws in uniform, then stealing the offspring for herself, not merely hiding the medical records, but commiting them to flame in strange half-pagan rites of voodoo-Christian witchcraft. In other words: A typical conservative.
Or might there have been some exaggeration involved?
There are two kinds of elite. The make-up of one elite conforms to an imposed hierarchy of prescribed values, and inevitably equates with an establishment whose members become increasingly concerned with the reinforcement and protection of their positions, until self-perpetuation becomes their first and last purpose: In the real world, “intellect for intellect’s sake” sooner or later reveals itself to be “intellectuals for intellectuals’ sake.” The other elite has no set membership, no credentials, no tenure track. It arises as the organic, imperfect, spontaneously emergent, quasi-Darwinian (as naturally selective) result of a process allowed to run its course over however much time is available. Its character is libertarian in the broad sense, born from the confidence that economic and political freedom, including self-interest, is the best or only means for reaching practical, resilient, adaptive, broadly acceptable, humane, creative, unpredictably positive and also worst-except-for-all-alternatives, demonstrably rather than ideally superior solutions to enduring as well as to novel political, cultural, and social ills.
The first is the Scarecrow elite, membership verified by Oz-certified diploma and accompanied by the requisite Emerald City perks and privileges and by enough e pluribus unum to handle Emerald City rents and restaurants. The second is Jefferson’s “natural aristocracy” – which can be defined as the people who turn out to have been aristoi, the best, according to standards that cannot be understood, often cannot be even outlined ahead of time. The earliest members of this other elite, none of them aristocrats on the terms of the old order, promised a wonder – an egalitarian, prosperous, self-governing nation – and their heirs delivered a miracle, the most powerful, productive, and transformative national culture in the history of the planet.
The amount of actual or even possible overlap between the two elites is open to debate, though the Scarecrows Guild asserts the right to adjudicate membership in good standing, and promises to find and induct promising new apprentices wherever they both appear and qualify, while the free range Naturals in the hinterlands deny any such monopoly, even if they remain susceptible to co-optation by whatever Universitartus Committiartum.
As for the present day, why would anyone expect the openly acknowledged bankruptcy of our national elites to be restricted to the political and financial spheres? If the opposite is the case, if no inherent immunity protects American intellectual culture from the diseases that afflict its leading exponents, then we might have reason to wonder whether there are more Naturals on the “outside” than on the “inside.” For the sake of the nation, we might hope so, and urgently seek their unfamiliar accents and unfamiliar insights – where their words are not immediately interpretable to us, then their eloquent acts, their deeds of genius, their well-landed leaps of faith – in the frontiers, in flyover country, in ideological and spiritual backwaters, the unfamiliarer and backwetter the better.
For Sarah Palin to fulfill the promise she made, or seemed to make, just by showing up and occupying a vividly empty space in the national political tableau, becoming “Sarah Palin”; for Sarah Palin herself to prove that she can play in the Natural League and defeat those Scarecrows who long ago left the farmhand’s humility and patience behind, she would need to articulate and communicate ideas and principles more fluently, more consistently, and more often than she has thusfar been able. She may not need to pass the ThD orals that some want to put her through, but she would need to speak to those who have ears to hear, and who understand that a national leader cannot do without new and just words, ideas, and even “memes.” Where her early stumbles hurt her most, almost to the point of disqualifying her, it was not, as her critics alleged, because they betrayed congenital intellectual deficits, but because they made her seem incapable of instilling confidence through language, something all politicians, even barbarian warlords and warrior queens, must be able to do. The same factor was at play when against expectations she spoke to astonish us, inspiring a thousand panegyrics on Sarah, and even causing the media Scarecrows to forget their dreary catechism for a few welcome minutes.
Palin may yet decline or simply prove unable to finish “Palin”‘s course, or, to say the same thing, she may with all our help re-define “Palin” as the finished unfinishing one, the one abandoned on a Bridge to Nowhere. If so, someone else will have to enunciate what Palinism would have been, to delineate its full contours under a different heading. At least that person or persons will know what to expect from the Thinkologists – that is, until and unless the political wind starts blowing at her or his or their back instead of into her or his or their face.
An emergent American conservative libertarianism, Palinism with or without Palin, with or without “Palin,” driven by crisis as much as by charisma, by economic and geo-political facts of life as much as by anyone’s ideological hallucinations or social psychosexual fantasies, may represent an objective as well as subjective danger to creatures of superfluous privilege, and to the self-styled intellectual elites most of all. The frenzy and the fever may recur, but those who find themselves fearful and trembling – most of them wrongly if it’s her or him or the whole lot of ‘em that they chiefly fear, rather than their own superannuation – should in the main turn to groveling. (If you doubt that’s what they do best, review the ’08 campaign from both sides.) At that point, they may have cause to rejoice if it’s Palin, not “Palin,” and not some fiercer Palinist, looking down on them.









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..we should put the putative emotional discomfort of a teenage girl ahead…
Call me a fool, but I happen to think most mothers would.
Not to mention Trig, the newborn that she had had reservations about being able to fulfill her governor obligations with.
And she didn’t exactly join the national debate now, did she?
The Eatons were part of Jackson’s family too…the book was very clear on that.
strangelet on May 10, 2009 at 1:31 AM
Having and reacting to legitimate grievances is not the same as “feeling sorry for oneself.”
Who cares, anyway? You so want to personalize this. This is gossip. Do you ever find the time to react politically to political figures?
CK MacLeod on May 10, 2009 at 1:31 AM
Folks, strangelet is a bot. Don’t feed the trolls please.
poplicola on May 10, 2009 at 1:32 AM
This was an idea specifically discarded by the founders because they foresaw the problems we have today.
Yes….the Republic…Jackson hated both the private banks and the clergy because they represented a layer of corruption and interference between him and the people. He only approved of the federal bank, owned by the government.
apolos, im mad sleepy
nite all.
strangelet on May 10, 2009 at 1:35 AM
Strange….It sounds like you still ARE a teenage girl. We don’t have to BE an unwed mother to understand that it is a scary proposition. Having it blown all over the world by unscrupulous headline hounds and their donkeycrat handlers is absolutely disgusting.
A major indication of maturity is recognizing that disagreement doesn’t always mean personal disapproval or lack of empathy. It simply means a different set of priorities. Any value judgements attatched to those are pure;ly the holders (in this case YOURS).
A more euphemistic version of that statement is…Opinions are like assholes, everyone has one and they are usually full of sh!t. Even your own!
Fighton03 on May 10, 2009 at 1:35 AM
Because the one who controls the money controls the people. He was only interested in political victory. Independent banks held independent economic power power, clergy swayed independent thought.
Why is it that you only see corruption in independence, not in governmental power?
Fighton03 on May 10, 2009 at 1:39 AM
Weak. Of course, she did, and, if she wanted to, at almost any moment she chose she could seize hold of today‘s national debate. Do you have any doubt of that? There are a hundred reasons why she might not choose to exercise that power – primarily because if she doesn’t have a damn good reason to do so and something important to say the moment will slip right through her fingers – but don’t doubt for a second that she has it if she wants it.
Apparently, you have little interest in the issues and concerns that move her and her supporters. To you, they’re just “talking points.” You seem much more interested in reading value judgments into exchanges with TV personalities, arguing with Simon Cowell over style points and whether Sarah deserves to come back next week, or pretending to care about Bristol Palin. I guess that qualifies as “of elite interest” to you. Not to me.
CK MacLeod on May 10, 2009 at 1:42 AM
I presume that was a kind of joke. Jackson’s presidency, and for that matter his re-making of the presidency arguably at the expense of constitutional government, was in large part defined by his extra-legal war with the 2nd Bank of the US.
Our next president may very well have to go even further, as far as Lincoln, to undo a similar kind of damage that this president is doing.
CK MacLeod on May 10, 2009 at 1:46 AM
I disagree. She makes immature arguments, but I believe they are sincere. Like most people, she argues from the heart, with the idea that because she WANTS something to be true, it IS.
I thought her argument about the interrogation techniques was especially indicative of this.
Her primary thought (and please chime in strange if I am wrong) was that she was offended that our nations Laws recognized the need for this and she feared that it would become more accepted rather than reviled. she didn’t like the idea that as a culture we might be reduce ‘torture’ to a legal device.
It’s a noble view, but one that accepts a moral equivalence argument. Something that naturally requires weighing unpleasant and downright disgusting things and (here is the part that’s I suspect is hard for her), JUDGING them.
Fighton03 on May 10, 2009 at 1:47 AM
strangelet is a lot of things, but she’s not a bot and she’s not trolling. I do find, however, that discussions with her tend to take up a lot of space in comment threads on my posts. It’s not clear to me whether the effect is to crowd out alternative discussions that might be taking place. I’m open to arguments on the subject, but the lack of any up to this point makes me doubt it.
CK MacLeod on May 10, 2009 at 1:50 AM
Why can’t Governor Palin just be Governor Palin? By all accounts, she’s done an outstanding job as the chief executive of Alaska. Maybe that’s where she belongs. It takes special qualities to manage the day-to-day problems of living in the Arctic Circle, and she commands respect for how succesfully she’s done that. Unfortunately, those qualities haven’t translated into successfully rallying national support for Republicans.
The elitism meme always makes me wonder — just how many elitists are there? A solid majority of voters found Palin too parochial, too homespun, and too Bushesque to earn their votes. They don’t all have Ivy League law degrees. Most of them don’t have any kind of college degree. It isn’t a conspiracy of elites holding Palin back, it’s just regular folks who tuned in for the debates, for the interviews, and decided for themselves that Palin isn’t presidential material.
I have no doubt that she’s capable and intelligent, and I have even less doubt that Republicans can and must do a hell of a lot better than capable and intelligent to beat Obama in three-and-a-half years.
RightOFLeft on May 10, 2009 at 2:11 AM
RightOFLeft on May 10, 2009 at 2:11 AM
Apparently, you missed the part where she was on the bottom of a ticket, not the top, brought in at the tail end of August to help out that hero guy what’s-his-name.
Since then, I don’t see how, other than in a handful of short public statements on the stimulus, the budget, and at her RtL appearance, she’s even tried to “rally… national support” for anything.
If she wanted to, if she decided the time was right to hit the trail and rally opposition to the O, she’d get a lot of attention, but picking the right moments and the right battles is rather critical to fighting any war, especially when doing so from a position of very substantial relative weakness. The moment she tried anything like that, it would be seen as the beginning of the 2012 campaign.
If I had faith that she had the desire, the maturity, and, most of all, the message – not a few lines and the outlines of a platform, but the real thing – I could see an argument for her to decline to run for re-election as governor, and focus on the helping with the 2010 campaigns while speaking nationwide (and doing some international travel, too).
I think all of the betting is that she’ll instead seek re-election. I wonder if that would slow down her development and prevent her from assuming a meaningful national leadership role even if she would otherwise be in a position to fill it.
CK MacLeod on May 10, 2009 at 2:28 AM
Personally, I rather enjoyed the exchange between the two of you that I read here tonight. Well worth the space!
I can see that strangelet is no bot. Her arguments were weak to be sure, but they’re one hell of a lot stronger than those of Getalife, Athensboy, or Dave Rywall.
UltimateBob on May 10, 2009 at 3:13 AM
I used to try to research the points lefties make in their attacks on people like Palin. I gave up. Some are true, some are not and life is too short to try to separate the avalanche. Any time you disprove a lefty fantasy, you find they have posted six or seven more while you were looking. Since lefties don’t care if anything they say is true, they can always bury you in obscure charges and half truths.
The basic charge against Palin by the Left-wing Intellectual Elite is that she is not interested in what we are interested in. The LIE love social “science” gobbledygook and what passes for art and literature in the world of Ivy League Universities. Since Palin, like most Americans, doesn’t care which Marxist novelist won the last Nobel literature prize or what is the theory of the week on how racism is expressed in fast food menu decorations, she obviously lacks intellect and curiosity. Since she did not attend an Ivy League school, she must be an idiot ( although such attendance didn’t protect GWB from the same charge ).
The left is not interested in a discussion of of Palin’s qualifications but in Borking her. Like the hero of Chappaquiddick, today’s lefties do not want to discuss, they want to destroy. No one can refute their charges, since they can invent them faster than they can be researched. Millions of Americans are beginning to see this and millions more will follow. Palin will determine her own future and this terrifies the LIE. I’ll just wait and see.
kghahn on May 10, 2009 at 4:42 AM
Chumming for Trolls?
DSchoen on May 10, 2009 at 5:00 AM
You’re correct about that, but in regard to the “what do you read” question, I think it was a set-up. Here’s how: Couric asks, “What do you read to keep up to date,” or however she put it, which on its face is an insulting question to ask a national candidate — who has asked that question in the past? (Couric didn’t seem to have read enough to know that Joe Biden effed up the previous day by saying FDR went on TV to explain the Crash of ’29 to America).
Palin was already known for being “a voracious reader” in her youth, so charges she “doesn’t read” or “didn’t read” are nothing short of crapola. However, faced with this question, Palin — knowing full well she is the MSM’s favorite whipping girl — has a problem: There is no national publication that hadn’t slammed her in one way or the other. Reporters at The New York Times, the Washington Post, USA Today, Time, Newsweek, and even some at Murdoch’s The Wall Street Journal and Buckley’s National Review have all taken either taken shots or fired heavy artillery at her. Some have been for legitimate concerns about her lack of experience; some for nonsense having to do with her family life, or based on wild rumors of evangelical mysticism unbecoming a national leader.
In any event, I am convinced (as our POTUS likes to say too often) that had Palin provided actual publications rather than being non-responsive and general, Couric’s follow-up would have been, “How do you feel about the fact that (fill-in the blank publications) say(s) you aren’t ready for the job?”
Remember that in a moment of candor thought to be out of listening range of a tattletale, Couric admitted at a journalists’ social function that she had sought and received advice on what questions to ask Palin from two Obama-supporting sources: Former Democratic Senator Sam Nunn, and former Council on Foreign Relations honcho Richard Haass.
L.N. Smithee on May 10, 2009 at 5:10 AM
Amazing , she still draw these leftwing trolls in masses.
Obama will go down as Carter , and you will all cry.
the_nile on May 10, 2009 at 5:44 AM
With Couric’s magazine question, Palin failed because it was populist. The intellectually dishonest may claim that she doesn’t read, but that doesn’t make it the truth. It just makes those people partisans willing to do anything necessary to take out a person they fear (if they didn’t, they’d not even sweat her).
eforhan on May 10, 2009 at 6:41 AM
The GOP, if you remember correctly, told Sara to hold back on the off the cuff comments during election time. They gaged her and now the MSM judges her for her actions during the campaign. The Katie Cutick interview was a 2 hour video edited down to make Sara Palin look stupid and Katie got an award for it. Too funny.
mixplix on May 10, 2009 at 6:43 AM
BINGO ! Thanks for posting this.
Red State State of Mind on May 10, 2009 at 7:25 AM
I think part of it has to do with her beauty. The US elite has not yet come to grips with total acceptance of an intelligent, beautiful woman as a national leader. How many have been on national tickets?
Even the Democrats only put up older women. If they wanted to find a gorgeous, smart Democrat woman to put on a presidential ticket, they would have groomed her from her earliest public office for the job. So far, we’ve had Ferraro and Clinton.
Now here come the Republicans with Sarah Palin. Not only gorgeous, but intelligent {if not Ivy-league schooled). From a middle-class background, she worked her way up in politics, supported by her family. She should have been what the Democrats were looking for – in their own party. Because she’s a Republican, she had to be destroyed, and destroyed completely.
As someone said before me, they are terrified of her and if Michelle Bachman ever gets seriously considered for the big ticket, they’ll circle around her like wolves. (Unless the Alaskan She-Monster has killed them all first from her helicopter with an AK-47. HA!)
Sloan Morganstern on May 10, 2009 at 8:29 AM
IMO the Left likes their politicians to be shallow dilettantes and Palin doesn’t fit that mold..
katiejane on May 10, 2009 at 8:56 AM
That is exactly it….what DID she say?
This is what we all heard, at least my demographic, “he’s pallin’ around with terrorists” and “I can see Russia from my house!” (I know, that was tina actually, but a whole lotta people believe Palin actually said it) and “I’ll get back to you on that.”
She allowed the media to define her….why didn’t she fight back? Why didn’t she give interviews and issue position papers to articulate her views and values?
Instead we are left guessing, and the “gotcha journalists” just paint her anyways they want.
She might be intelligent….but there is surely no proof.
I think she has no courage, and she won’t carry the fight to the enemy.
She ran and hid.
I’m loving this book though…I knew nothing. Jackson was fierce in his defense of his his family, his people, and the Union. Jackson had A Great Idea, the idea of America, and he defended it and lived it, damn the consequences. The British were just as horrifically brutal to the revolutionary colonials as Jackson was to the Indian tribes.
Andrew Jackson was a Lion, and Jefferson was a polymath. She is nothing like either of them atm. Could she be? I don’t know.
But I have seen nothing so far to convince meh that she could be.
strangelet on May 10, 2009 at 9:11 AM
The other thing I see…Jackson evolved to be the president America needed at that point in history. The resilience and truth of the peoples choice. A Lion to defend the Union from the circling sharks of jealous opportunistic monarchies from without and secessionists from within.
Think of what a threat young America was to traditional monarchies.
What is our threat as a country? I would say the econopalypse.
In that sense Obama is the best choice out of what we had available, the choice of the people.
Bush won because the Great Threat was terrorism.
What will our Great Risk be in 4 years?
A culture war? I don’t think so.
So culture candidate cannot be the best choice.
She will need something else.
strangelet on May 10, 2009 at 9:23 AM
This is a first-rate essay.
It is indeed sadly true that the scarecrow’s fraudulent claim to intelligence is his apparent ability to seek out homoerotic themes in Shakespeare, while Palin sits in the back of the class doing algebra problems, then calculus, and can probably calculate in his head how many cubic yards of dirt he’ll need, and how many feet of fence, to build that rose bed for mother’s day because he loves his mom.
Palin built America, the scarecrow cheapened it.
How about a little fire, scarecrow?
jeff_from_mpls on May 10, 2009 at 9:23 AM
I think we are both honest, and intellectually well-armed.
Sometimes people are just leery of stepping into the middle of a swordfight.
With good reason.
strangelet on May 10, 2009 at 9:28 AM
lol@ jeff!

You don’t need either differential or integral calculus to plan a garden…algebra is both sufficient and neccessary.
Im a math major….we are the uberl33t of the elite.
Dooooontcha know?
strangelet on May 10, 2009 at 9:34 AM
I just have to add one more thing.
Watch the movie Apollo 13, and pay attention to the guys in the control room, because the actors reflect the reality quite accurately.
Hear the southern drawls, the improper grammar, and the innocent, clean jokes from the engineers who use their brains to lift a man into space, to walk on the moon, or in this case, to improvise a way to get men back safely to earth after a catastrophic failure.
These are the Palins, and this is what intelligence is.
Scarecrows live in gated communities, they watch public television, and they congratulate themselves for knowing a lot about settled science. They are America’s shame.
jeff_from_mpls on May 10, 2009 at 9:36 AM
Thank God, since you’re an insider, why don’t you talk some sense into Al Gore and the global warming alarmists; they pretend the math is really definitive on the matter, but you and I know they are lying.
At least you could do that service to America, out of pity if nothing else?
jeff_from_mpls on May 10, 2009 at 9:45 AM
Exactly. He is nothing but a teleprompter-dependent, brainwashed faucet of plagiarized, Leftist talking points.
Gee, I never would have guessed that.
Yep. Here is an example of how the dolts on the left are desperately trying to destroy Bachman.
Buy Danish on May 10, 2009 at 9:51 AM
Arguing Sarah Palin’s qualifications is exactly what the left would like us to do. It is a very welcome distraction for them. She was a threat to Obama because of her star power only. Don’t fall into that trap and stop defending her! Ignore the criticism as they ignored any and all criticism of Obama. They never defended him, they couldn’t. They knew they had a star and they won.
doctormom on May 10, 2009 at 10:04 AM
What was the name of the “poet” in The Fountainhead who spoke in gibberish, but all the bumbling elites thought she was a genius?
That is strangelet.
UltimateBob on May 10, 2009 at 10:06 AM
It was Lois Cook.
UltimateBob on May 10, 2009 at 10:29 AM
Yah, the world falls to its knees in awe of the glorious math major.
Because nobody else finds them interesting enough to listen to.
You must be thinking of someone else. You are neither of those things.
Pablo on May 10, 2009 at 10:30 AM
Ah, the tyranny of the ignorant. I’d better go make up some facts if I hope to compete in that arena.
Pablo on May 10, 2009 at 10:32 AM
Good to spell it out. That’s the advantage conservatives have over liberals. We can use our minds. Say it. write it out, analyze it, verify it, believe it, promulgate it. Yes, you drew the left-wing stereotype of Sarah Palin well. They lie about her because they fear her.
Paul-Cincy on May 10, 2009 at 10:48 AM
You might find that to be the case in your threads, but she is a self-described griefer. Search the PJM site for that term, and you’ll see that it’s her username.
She seems as though she might be curious and precocious, but as you get to know her you’ll find that she’s an utter waste of your time. As for Saran Palin, search Protein Wisdom for Nishi + “Sarah Palin”. This one is not the least bit interested in honesty, and she’s not going to start now.
Nish, remember when you were losing your mind over the coverup of Palin’s shortness? That was pretty funny.
Pablo on May 10, 2009 at 10:53 AM
radiofree village–the very first comment
And the “basic things that would interest a politician striving for national office” really do well for the country in their venality and self-serving power trips. Sarah Palin has more courage, natural intelligence, and commitment to principles than virtually all federal politicians including Republicans.
She happens to be palpably smarter than the TOTUS who can’t speak his way out of a paper bag without the tool containing sentences constructed by others. Have you noticed how pedestrian and insincere even those attempts at speechcraft are? (BTW: that’s notwithstanding the inummerable gaffes and idiotic foreign policy pronouncements of genius Joe Biden).
In any event, someone needs to tackle the run by the USObama team before it’s too late.
horatio on May 10, 2009 at 10:58 AM
Now hold on a second, grrl. That’s an unkind thing to say about your demographic. You impute a kind of invincible shallowness and incuriosity to your peers. I’m sure that many believe that dig down real hard to get the real facts from toadly serious places full of smart and toadly l33t people like ThinkProgress, TalkingPointsMemo, Democratic Underground, Daily Kos, or even completely unbiased places like the Huffington Post or virtual rightwing running dog “mainstream” sources like the New York Times and NBC. Plus their professors all say the same things, too.
Palin was selected for several reason, but the by now all-but-forgotten cutting issue, the one that seemed to be buoying GOP hopes against all expectations, and that I think sealed the deal for McCain in selecting Palin, was Energy Crisis II/$4.00 gas. She represented his commitment to an all-of-the-above energy blitzkrieg that the Dems couldn’t match without splitting their coalition and reversing decades of political commitments. Adding that to her her reformer reputation, her convention performance including her devastating attack on the 0, and her ability to connect to swing constituencies and the base, she boosted the ticket to its only lead in the polls, and provided Dems everwhere, even at Daily Kos, Huffington Post, NYT, NBC, etc, and throughout the O-brain demographic, with a political near-death experience that they may have repressed but deep down they haven’t forgotten. (Every time they pass that particular stretch of ground, they respond reflexively – they lash out aggressively, even at the slightest rustling in the branches.)
Revealing the true face of liberal fascism, the response was a D-Day landing of character assassination – until the financial crisis hit, a topic that Palin herself was almost totally unprepared to speak to except, potentially, from first principles of the very sort that McCain himself, rightly or wrongly, virtually abandoned. She was left to defend his developing position, expressing minor reservations about TARP but in no position to do anything but back the top of the ticket.
Which brings us to:
The choice of 53% or so of the electorate. Look, given the totality of what was before the electorate, I don’t think you can say that it made an incomprehensible, wholly irrational decision. For three very big reasons (basic political weariness, war weariness, economic fear), it was ready for a change, and the McCain-Palin right-center reform option wasn’t change enough, especially when the McCain response to the financial crisis was virtually indistinguishable from the Obama response. All that was left for an objective-minded voter rather than a committed partisan, was: Do I want the sorta-losing-it old guy with some help from the ingenue to handle the apocalypse, or do I want the younger guy and the ones whose turn it is anyway to handle it? Throw in a little feelgood self-stroking over racial progress, but subtract some real worries about whether the young guy isn’t really Satan’s salesman, and you get a definitive but not overwhelming result.
That doesn’t mean that the electorate made a wise decision, and it’s not an unrevisable one either. And if Obama had campaigned honestly – as the guy who couldn’t staff a hole in the ground, would take out a third mortgage on the entire country while massively expanding the public sector, and whose foreign policy would amount to kow-towing and apologizing to every America-hater in sight while indicting Bush officials for “torture” but attempting to continue and escalate the wars Bush fought – he probably would have lost.
Palin kept it kind of interesting. In our context, who was and wasn’t l33t or made fun of effectively on SNL had at most a marginal effect. If the conjuncture turns her way, even just incrementally, and she’s more the person her supporters see and less the one the 0-bots and fellow travelers see, then the campaign of 2012, 2016, or whenever, could look a lot more like September of ’08 than October.
CK MacLeod on May 10, 2009 at 11:00 AM
Where is the evidence that Obama is intellectually curious?
His academic records are so bad, they are sealed for his protection. As editor of the Harvard Law Review, he produced no writings of his own.
His vote to leave babies born from failed abortions to die in hospital linen closets, making it illegal for health care professionals to even provide them food, seems to be evidence of a legislator completely uncurious about the most basic ethical matters.
Right_of_Attila on May 10, 2009 at 11:29 AM
Nish, remember when you were losing your mind over the coverup of Palin’s shortness? That was pretty funny.
Pablo on May 10, 2009 at 10:53 AM
But Pablo….I figgered it out!
The reason McCains and Palins relative heights looked so weird….
Didn’t you hear?
McCain was wearing lifters!!!
strangelet on May 10, 2009 at 11:36 AM
false….Palin alienates independents at record levels.
You mean they thought she could appeal to independents and women?
The choice of 365 to 173 electoral votes.
A difference of 192 electoral college votes and 9.6 million popular votes.
In 2000 GW won by 5 electoral college votes and lost the popular vote on culture war issues.
In 2004 GW won by 35 electoral college votes and 2.5 million popular votes, because the Great Threat was terrorism.
The problem is culture war issues only work when the culture warriors have the biggest mob, and when we as a country have the luxury of a stable economy and no wars.
Now the demographics have changed the mob-rule equation, we are embroiled in two wars in a semi-permanent status, and teh economy sux.
Gas prices as your Great Threat?
Bad strategy.
strangelet on May 10, 2009 at 11:48 AM
Strangelet’s abuse of emoticons makes me suspect she dots her “i”s with a heart or smiley face.
chunderroad on May 10, 2009 at 12:22 PM
smilies
strangelet on May 10, 2009 at 12:25 PM
No…I’d actually like to know what she stands for…
Small goverment and federalism? But she would up taking almost all the stimulus money.
Alternative energy policies or drill baby drill?
Education? Healthcare? What are her policy positions?
I saw her speak one time on special needs education.
The rest of our children need education reform too.
For the most part, I heard nothing but culture war from her, “palling around with terrorists”, “the real America”, anti-elitism, anti-intellectualism.
The “real America” can’t deliver those 192 electoral votes you lost by.
And if Obama palled around with terrorists and his Ayers association was a legitimate target……why did she call out her willingness to work with Obama after the election?
Wouldn’t her aversion to terrorist-palling continue?
If Obama was a terrorist paller before the election….what changed?
Did winning make him more palatable?
strangelet on May 10, 2009 at 12:36 PM
“Palin” appeared in late campaign period polls and in others conducted since the election to do poorly among independents and women. In September of ’08 – the political near-death moment to which I was referring, before the assassination campaign reached full tilt – she was doing quite well in those swing constituencies.
Let us show some respect for uncertainty and bias – admitting that none of us really knows and possesses the whole truth – and define “Palin” as a composite of “Palin-s,” the Palin that her supporters see, and “Palin-h,” the Palin that haters see (or want others to see). At the top of a ticket, Palin-s would move those numbers: She’d have a much beter chance of doing so than some rock-ribbed ultra-conservative Nobodaddy and probably than some Ken-doll conservative. The underlying tendency within a favorable political conjuncture would be for the current numbers at least to regress toward September ’08.
As for EC results, we’re not arguing here about electoral college “mandates.” Every beginning student of modern American elections knows that the electoral college results tend to exaggerate victory margins, partly by design, in and around dead center.
Again, I was referring to August-Sept ’08, at which time oil prices were rising dramatically, vastly enriching US adversaries while threatening to impoverish Americans – and to destroy what EVERYONE had assumed was going a shoo-in Democratic political year.
Now that demand has dropped precipitously, hardly anyone seems to care about energy. That said, you would be mistaken to discount energy costs becoming significant again – even and especially under rosier economic scenarios, since restored economic growth increases demand, and since the preferred Democratic energy policies add to energy costs over the short- and middle-term.
No one has done it before, but I suppose it’s conceivable that the Obamacracy may figure out how to finesse the challenges – the dilemmas – embedded within its program and its coalition politically: e.g., how to please the anti-carbon warriors and the carbon economy states at the same time, or how to restore economic growth amidst an exploding public sector without reviving the Misery Index.
You’re apparently far too young to remember how a stagflationary economy can undermine a presidency and the morale of a nation. You may have read or heard about it, but you don’t feel it. Carter couldn’t figure out how to cope with it. Reagan did, and that’s one major reason he’s remembered fondly – even though in his own day people like you and your “demographic” that he was worse even than Palin-h. Clinton ran as hard as he could in the opposite direction without leaving his party, after he got his fingers burned on health care. Facing a somewhat similar situation, FDR relied on progressive fascism to retain power, then was finally rescued by victory in war.
Maybe Obama has miraculous powers, or is beloved of the gods and will be rescued by history in some other way. In the meantime, we have good evidence for the validity or potential validitiy of the following equation (setting Obama 2.0 equal to “nominee Obama, without the emergent financial crisis”) :
There are numerous other variables that would have to be included in an effort to define and solve the relevant political equations exhaustively (for example, what will the value of Obama 3.0i – incumbent Obama – be). For purposes of discussion and illustration, I’m assuming that they mostly cancel each other out.
Palin-s * fc is the near-death formula. No wonder there seems to be virtually nothing an O-bot won’t do to transform Palin-s into Palin-h. It should make you presumptively question the trustworthiness of all opinions about Palin, including your own – the greater the political commitment of the writer, reporter, speaker, the less presumption of trustworthiness.
CK MacLeod on May 10, 2009 at 12:49 PM
No that isn’t true.
Everyone liked Reagan.
strangelet on May 10, 2009 at 12:59 PM
Jefferson was an elite….the electoral college prevents one-man one-vote.
The tyranny of the mob.
The EC also forces aggregation of splinter ideologies, which is how libertarians(individual freedom) and socons(legislated morality) wound up in the same party…..a devil’s bargain to be sure.
strangelet on May 10, 2009 at 1:03 PM
There’s actually a world of assumptions in that little passage: “her apparent unfamiliarity with the most basic things that would interest a politician striving for a national office.”
“The most basic things that would interest a politician striving for a national office.” I’m betting rfv’s list of those things would be different from mine.
And after 20 years of being governed by politicians who are all interested in the same “basic things,” I’m way past ready to hear from politicians whose priorities lie elsewhere.
Bring on the uninterest in the standard, politics-as-usual list of “basic things.”
J.E. Dyer on May 10, 2009 at 1:04 PM
You’re nuts. I was there.
CK MacLeod on May 10, 2009 at 1:04 PM
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