Here we go: Trump 36, Cruz 19, Rubio 15, Bush 11, Kasich 9 in Opinion Savvy poll of South Carolina

posted at 11:21 am on February 12, 2016 by Allahpundit

Thanks goodness the poll drought of SC is over. I knew I was in withdrawal when I started physically shaking yesterday, but I didn’t realize how bad the problem was until I started seriously considering blogging a national poll this morning — after individual states had started voting! — just to get my fix. This is what addiction looks like.

If you’re curious about Opinion Savvy, their final poll of Iowa had Trump at 20, Cruz at 19, and Rubio at 19. They caught Rubio’s surge in other words, but missed his actual take of the vote by five points and Cruz’s take by eight. But then, even an eight-point miss on this new survey of South Carolina would still leave Trump winning the state. That’s how big his lead is.

Trump leads among those describing themselves as “very conservative,” “somewhat conservative,” “moderate” and “somewhat liberal.” John Kasich leads among the few South Carolina GOP voters who describe themselves as “very liberal.”

Nearly 60% of the voters in the GOP primary identify themselves as “evangelical” in the poll. But even among these evangelical voters, Trump leads Cruz by ten points. Of course South Carolina primaries can be very volatile and turnout can greatly impact the final numbers. But it appears Trump has consolidated and expanded upon his lead in South Carolina after New Hampshire in this poll. This is notable given that recent Opinion Savvy surveys of this race in South Carolina have shown Trump in a closer race there than most other surveys.

Per the crosstabs, Trump and Cruz are basically tied among “very conservative” voters but Trump obliterates him among every group further to the left of that. Needless to say, if Cruz can’t pile up a lead among evangelicals and the most conservative voters, we’re looking at a blowout next Saturday. Meanwhile, look at how badly Bush and Kasich are hurting Rubio here. He’s in contention for second place and they’ve got 20 percent(!) of the vote between them, presumably most of which would move to Rubio as a second choice if they weren’t in play. If you’re wondering why Cruz is still attacking Rubio in SC, a la that “therapy group” ad that got pulled last night because one of the actors had done softcore porn, these numbers would explain why. If Cruz really is staring at a distant second in South Carolina then he has a lot more to worry about from Rubio catching him than from Trump winning. Cruz can survive losing here, although a landslide would damage his strategy of cleaning up in the SEC states. Finishing third behind Rubio would be devastating, though. You’ll know Trump is walking away with this race and Rubio is in striking distance of Cruz by who Cruz ends up targeting in his ads next week.

Oh, all right. Let’s blog the national poll too. New from Morning Consult:

mc

Those are registered, not likely, voters, but if you’re looking for evidence that Trump’s big win in New Hampshire is building momentum for him in other states, here’s some. The fact that he’s blasted through 40 percent, even temporarily, also seems significant in that the mid- to high 30s have been his ceiling in most national polls until now. In fact, not only is 44 percent his best take ever in a national poll, it’s only the third time he’s cracked the 40-point ceiling. He reached 41 percent a few weeks ago in a CNN survey and 41 again in a Monmouth survey in early December. (Both also polls of registered voters, it should be noted.) The idea that the field will winnow and the anti-Trump faction will carry someone else to victory continues to seem plausible-ish to lots of righty commentators, but I wonder how many Republicans out there who like Trump and know him much better than the other candidates by dint of his celebrity are newly open to him as nominee now that he’s scored a major win (and may be on the brink of another). One of the key “arguments” against Trump for some undecideds, I think, is “c’mon, we’re not gonna nominate Trump.” The weaker that argument seems, the more undecideds it may shake loose.


Related Posts:

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Comment pages: 1 2 3 4

He doesn’t use consultants but he is a born salesman. Don’t kid yourself, he weighs every word with an eye closing the deal.

MJBrutus on February 12, 2016 at 1:21 PM

Speaking of closing the deal, do you think Ted Cruz will claim that he did NOT KNOW that one of the actresses in his ad against Rubio was a porn star?

fossten on February 12, 2016 at 1:23 PM

Wordsmatter, what was I supposed to see in that video? It certainly didn’t refute anything from the link I posted.

Here it is again…https://csteventucker.wordpress.com/2016/02/11/no-senator-cruz-donald-trump-does-not-want-single-payer-health-care/

Grace B. Withue on February 12, 2016 at 1:24 PM

Of course, there was much more there, but notice how you purposely didn’t post the timestamp or the rest of the comment to hide that fact. You purposely ignore everything Trump does, and has done in the past, and pretend none of it matters.

Read oscarwilde on February 12, 2016 at 12:50 PM

He says it much better than I can.

Once again, I suspect you know this is hogwash.

Is there some reason I should disbelieve what I see and hear?

If you truly believe Trump is going to appoint judges who will follow the Constitution, and that Ted Cruz would not do a better job of that, you’re a special kind of idi0t.

Gregor on February 12, 2016 at 1:07 PM

I think Cruz would nominate some fine judges and people for SCOTUS. I think Trump would as well. Who would better handle the very predictable attack from the democrats? I believe Trump. The GOP would probably cower, Trump wouldn’t.

Anyway, thanks for making me feel “special”.

darwin on February 12, 2016 at 1:25 PM

Someone who calls that many people “stupid” doesn’t deserve…anything.

Schadenfreude on February 12, 2016 at 1:09 PM

Doesn’t deserve anything? Maybe you mistake me for a Bernie supporter. Sorry. I’m not asking for anything from you. It would be nice, however, if you could at least make some type of effort to actually think about the arguments a little, rather than simply ignore them and pretend they aren’t there. You’re simply proving my point.

Gregor on February 12, 2016 at 1:26 PM

I guess this one isn’t the kristol poll from a friend who knew a guy that took a poll that kristol, Hotair, and Levin tried to pass off as a real poll yesterday.

BoxHead1 on February 12, 2016 at 1:27 PM

What’s the Trump path?

I believe Trumps current path is to… win every primary from here on out. And currently, he is on path to do just that.

Probably will win Texas too.

forgot to bid on February 12, 2016 at 1:28 PM

And the sad truth is that Trump is unelectable when placed head-to-head just about any human being on planet Earth.

This GOP death spiral must be stopped before an ignorant arsehole steals the nomination away from a candidate that might actually win the general election.

And before the howlers come out in force to attack the above truths; I figured out just why I hate you people. They had a guy in his 50s on one of the news channels. He had never voted before in his life but he was out supporting Trump. He didn’t talk of supporters of other candidates in any terms other than “establishment shills” who wanted to oppress this fine upstanding “voter” who went half a century before ever bothering to vote. In other words, filthy supporters of the KHM who never got around to trying and save this country before now is attacking all of us that HAVE bothered to make their voice heard.

Happy Nomad on February 12, 2016 at 12:04 PM

You do see the irony, here right? Trump I attracting 50-year-olds who have never voted, yet somehow he’s unelectable against ___________?

Name the candidate Trump can’t beat, please. Bernie? Hilary? Cruz?

Why are ppl so AFRAID of Democrats?

I used to be one. And there are millions more like me. Have faith, friends!

Nicole Coulter on February 12, 2016 at 1:28 PM

True quote or not, it is correct. Trump is proving it.

Moesart on February 12, 2016 at 12:59 PM

Sort of like “fake, but accurate”?

partsnlabor on February 12, 2016 at 1:28 PM

fossten on February 12, 2016 at 1:23 PM

I couldn’t say. Cruz impressed me early on by responding to Dumpty with humor. He has since reverted to form which is why I think he blew his chance.

MJBrutus on February 12, 2016 at 1:28 PM

TRUMP CULTISTS are in full adoration and worship mode here on HA.

PappyD61 on February 12, 2016 at 12:59 PM

And they’re headed for the cliff… but at least they will go over with smiles on their faces… more koolaid, please!

WordsMatter on February 12, 2016 at 1:28 PM

Kasich at 9% from 1% is pretty amazing. He might be able to stay in till FL. Probably not though.

BoxHead1 on February 12, 2016 at 1:29 PM

The attacks just don’t stick!

Nicole Coulter on February 12, 2016 at 1:18 PM

The attacks are usually accurate; I mean, the guy’s public life (and highly publicized private life) is a target rich environment, to say the least. It’s just that Trump’s supporters are unswayed by any argument or claim made against him, accurate or not. Trump’s brought this up himself about his own supporters–I don’t think as a compliment.

Let’s put it to the test. Is there anything Donald Trump could say or do that would disenthrall you, that would make you drop your support of the guy and possibly consider another candidate?

troyriser_gopftw on February 12, 2016 at 1:29 PM

likewise… lol

WordsMatter on February 12, 2016 at 1:18 PM

Here are two, one from when Walker was a possibility, and one about Trump:

Walker’s is a risky play. But here’s the deal. The safe play loses the White House. The risky play might lose, but it might win, too. A rightward immigration play is the move that can bring back the 4-5 million missing white working class voters/Independents/Reagan Democrats that sit out elections, without compromising leftward. Screw the Latino vote, it’s meaningless.

Rubio or Bush or even Cruz might land the GOP Florida. Big deal. They will lose the Mid West, the Rust Belt, Virginia, all states that they need to win. If Walker can bring back VA, PA, OH, MI, and WI, and hold the rest of the states that went to Romney last cycle, he can lose Florida and win.

Joseph K on April 21, 2015 at 5:12 PM

You are correct, but the only way to do that, as I’ve been pointing out since BEFORE Trump declared, is to embrace immigration restriction and fair trade policies, as Trump is now doing.

The American working class, which is, uniquely, also a huge part of the American middle class, is multi-racial. Embrace it, and you attract minority votes without pandering, and without moving Left.

In order to shore up the Obama base, Hillary will have to take a crap on what’s left of her old base, blue collar voters. Those voters have become increasingly alienated, and are ripe for the picking. Those are the voters who can turn the Rust Belt red again.

Of course, faced with this tremendous, historic opportunity, GOP Inc. has decided to put all its chips on Jeb? and/or Rubio, whose stated policies will only further alienate blue collar voters.

Scott Walker, a son of the Mid West, could have locked up this bloc; instead he embraced GOP Inc. and is now puttering around in his yard.

While GOP Inc. is now crapping on its blue-collar/NASCAR base, deriding them as racist rubes and dirt farmers, Trump is forging a new, winning coalition. It’s the first massive re-alignment in decades, and is just getting started. That’s why the old bromides about what is and is not “conservative” sound so hollow.

Either GOP Inc. figures out what is going on and gets with the program, or it is finished.

Joseph K on December 30, 2015 at 11:17 AM

I’ve written dozens of these since early this year. You have written nothing but tedious rhetorical questions that you don’t want answered anyway.

Joseph K on February 12, 2016 at 1:29 PM

unstoppable! YES!

TRUMP/THE WALL
2016
American’s Alpha Male

can that be said (and be true) about any other candidate running (whether Democrat or Republican)? NOPE!

Pragmatic on February 12, 2016 at 1:30 PM

Don’t waste your vote ….TRUMP 2016

dio55 on February 12, 2016 at 1:31 PM

Francis Underwood for POTUS!

FU 2016

MJBrutus on February 12, 2016 at 1:32 PM

I used to be one. And there are millions more like me. Have faith, friends!

Nicole Coulter on February 12, 2016 at 1:28 PM

Yep

darwin on February 12, 2016 at 1:32 PM

My first criteria for a SCOTUS nominee is to preferably make sure the nominee did not go to an ivy league school although there are exceptions. The other criteria can then be sorted out.

bgibbs1000 on February 12, 2016 at 1:33 PM

TRUMP CULTISTS are in full adoration and worship mode here on HA.

PappyD61 on February 12, 2016 at 12:59 PM

And they’re headed for the cliff… but at least they will go over with smiles on their faces… more koolaid, please!

WordsMatter on February 12, 2016 at 1:28 PM

and whom do you support, kind sir or madam (that can win)? Hillary?

Pragmatic on February 12, 2016 at 1:34 PM

bgibbs1000 on February 12, 2016 at 1:33 PM

So no tRump for you then.

MJBrutus on February 12, 2016 at 1:35 PM

Here you go, wordsdon’tmatter:

Romney didn’t lose because his “self-deportation” stance killed him with Latinos. He lost because 4-5 million working-class/middle-class/Independent/Rust Belt/Reagan Democrat voters stayed home. They had soured on Obama but couldn’t bring themselves to vote for Mr. Forty-seven Percent. A candidate with a tough immigration stance like the one Walker is beginning to articulate can bring those voters back to the GOP without Walker having to move left. He doesn’t have to support gay marriage and insist that Loretta Lynch is wonderful. Bush, Rubio, and Cruz are going to go down in flames with these people. They’ve lost before they’ve even begun.

Can’t wait until Cruz starts defending TPP. That’s a real winner for him, LOL. Walker needs to oppose it, now.

Joseph K on April 30, 2015 at 6:46 PM

The Latino vote does not matter for the GOP. In fact, Allahpundit, the logic of your own article states this. GOP Inc. has been Hispandering for decades, and it doesn’t work. Why? Because partial Hispandering cannot compete with total Hispandering. The Democrats will win that fight every time.

This is really all about Florida. The GOP has so wrecked its relationship with the working class Rust Belt that they cannot see another path to the White House that does not include Florida.

But there is a path, and it is not a racist path, or an identity politics path, or a Hispandering path. It is a path through the working class, and the now threatened middle class that has been left behind by both parties.

I am tired of reading articles about how the GOP cannot win with a white-working class voter strategy. Whose talking about the the WHITE working class, except the enemies of conservatives. No sane conservative is advocating a white-working class platform. I am talking about a working class platform, period, one that embraces the entire working class, which is multi-racial. Such a strategy is the only one that will bring these voters to the GOP without it soiling itself with identity politics.

Wipe away the hyperbole and Trump is making a simple point: he will attract Hispanic voters, (citizens, not illegals) because he will bring jobs back to America and raise their standard of living.

Difficult? Likely. Impossible? Maybe. But it is a hell of a lot more sane that the TPA/TPP, Invade the world/Invite the world, gay marriage-means-Armageddon strategy of the rest of the pack.

Joseph K on July 8, 2015 at 4:31 PM

Joseph K on February 12, 2016 at 1:37 PM

SC ADS:
——–

Iceberg
Right To Rise USA
Right To Rise USA

Published on 12 Feb 2016
************************

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oVjbXjFuzfQ

Follow

Ed O’KeefeVerified account
[email protected]
Here. We. Go. @r2rusa takes on The Donald: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oVjbXjFuzfQ
=====================

Zeke Miller [email protected] 4h4 hours ago
New Kasich ads in SC: http://youtu.be/zxz3ELKYTAE and http://youtu.be/UwFIBWcGAqE
===============================

https://twitter.com/edatpost

canopfor on February 12, 2016 at 1:37 PM

I believe Trumps current path is to… win every primary from here on out. And currently, he is on path to do just that.

Probably will win Texas too.

forgot to bid on February 12, 2016 at 1:28 PM

As long as he doesn’t go left. He’s been dropping sound bites that Cruz is capitalizing on (maybe – we’ll see). That and the GOTV beat him in IA. Trump inexplicably praised Schumer the week of the primary!? Rush thought that hurt Trump the most. I agree with Rush on that – though Rush has become pretty muddled this election.

If Trump wins by 15 or so in SC then only Trump can beat Trump – UNLESS all rubio and bush voters got to Cruz before the winner take alls. Trump should get most of what Carson is holding.

O/T

– all this win for Trump despite his d grade GOTV – and no, NH was just a quick messy phone bank – GOTV(feedback and getting to know the ‘ground’) is not set up in a week despite Trump’s election night claims – Lewandowsky’s one great fail this election – he just didn’t know, which is amazing – but Trump’s presence and earned media genius might trump gotv this cycle. Cruz on the other hand had an A team and is in it because of that. 1st in IA and 3rd in NH is as much Cruz’s organization as him.

BoxHead1 on February 12, 2016 at 1:41 PM

I can’t stop laughing at this poll!

Senator Jesus, the Robot, the closet Democrat and Amnesty-Is-Love all picking each other off, leaving the Trump steamroller to lay waste to everything before it

Hahahahahahahahaha…..!!!

Rick Perrys Parakeet on February 12, 2016 at 1:42 PM

Yesterday Allahpundit hijacked his own Christie post to b*tch about Scott Walker’s incomprehensible shift rightward on immigration.

Ponder this: the lead poster at an ostensibly conservative website was wringing his hands over the fact that a Republican Presidential candidate actually moved to the right on a contentious issue. Go figure.

Anyway, Allahpundit was particularly concerned over how Walker could manage his inevitable shift back towards the center should he gain the nomination.

My answer, in the comments, was that Walker should not move to the center, but double down. Moving right on immigration paradoxically could have the effect of pulling in the missing white working class voters/Independents/Reagan Democrats whom the GOP needs to win the Presidency. Walker could bash Hillary as the Univision/Wall Street candidate. Perhaps he loses Florida, but he gains Virginia and the Rust Belt, and the White House.

Well, while Noah Rothman is botching the estate tax, Breitbart is giving us this.

Joseph K on April 22, 2015 at 11:04 AM

Here’s some numbers for you, wordsdon’tmatter:

Here is the electoral map from 2012.

Romney took 206 electoral votes to Obama’s 332.

Let’s say the nominee is Walker, and he doubles down on his immigration hard line, pro middle/working class pitch.

He can put VA back in his column: +13, 219 total.
He takes his home state, WI: +10, 229 total.
With Hillary going all out on amnesty and likely TPP, I think PA and OH are in play: +20 and +18, 267 total.

What’s he need to win, 270? A win in any of the rest of Allah’s neutral’s gives Walker the White House: NH, IA, CO, NV.

It helps to do this sober.

Joseph K on May 6, 2015 at 8:28 PM

I’m sure you and your fellow Cruzers have something similar regarding your candidate. Please post them for us.

Joseph K on February 12, 2016 at 1:44 PM


SC ADS:
——-

ICEBERG
Feb 12 2016
***********

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oVjbXjFuzfQ

Ed O’Keefe [email protected] 39 mins39 minutes ago
Here. We. Go. @r2rusa takes on The Donald: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oVjbXjFuzfQ
====================

Zeke Miller [email protected] 4h4 hours ago
New Kasich ads in SC: http://youtu.be/zxz3ELKYTAE and http://youtu.be/UwFIBWcGAqE
==================================

https://twitter.com/ZekeJMiller

https://twitter.com/edatpost

canopfor on February 12, 2016 at 1:45 PM

I am decidedly not a Trump cultist. I dislike many things about him — many — and the way he insults as a campaign strategy. He’s rich, privileged, egotistical, emotionally fragile, and kind of a boring speaker if you must know the truth. I mean, after 30 seconds the ramble-rant gets a bit tedious.

That all said, I am slowly feeling myself getting on the bandwagon. As the campaign rolls along he seems to stand taller and taller among the field of, well, very adequately-sized Republican candidates who now are starting to look like midgets (apologies to little people). He just seems way more “presidential” to me than say, Rubio or Cruz, both of whom I agree with more on the issues.

Don’t discount people like me. I, like Walt Whitman, contain multitudes. I am Everyman. I talk to a lot of other Everymen and Everywomen and I see them moving towards the Trump wagon, not away from it. Last week I chatted with two multi-millionaires (one very multi-) and said, “Say, what’d’ya think of Trump”? And then came the answers I hear everywhere:

“Oh, I dunno. I could vote for him. I wish he didn’t [fill in the blank] but, yeah, I could vote for him.”

MaxMBJ on February 12, 2016 at 1:46 PM

Just heard Charles K. say Bill K. has a reliable unnamed source that tells him Trump is about to drop out.

rik on February 12, 2016 at 1:48 PM

TED CRUZ is for smaller government.

Is he? He says one thing and often does another. He hid from the FEC the low interest loans he received from Goldman-Sachs and Citibank, all the while posing as a self-funding candidate. He voted for the Corker bill, facilitating the Iran deal, yet poses as someone tough on Iran. He advocated expanding visas for high-skilled immigration, yet poses as someone tough on legal immigration. He voted for TPA, yet poses as someone opposed to Obama and the Wall Street-Washington cartel. None of these positions were conservative. He’s expert at showboating I will admit–but he’s like any other politician when the chips are down, when it really matters.

writeblock on February 12, 2016 at 1:49 PM

Mid Atlantic at 11:52am.

I think that was a one time thing. Someone shouted a derogatory term at his rally yesterday and he specifically mentioned that he or the audience shouldn’t use any cuss words etc.

cimbri on February 12, 2016 at 1:53 PM

I’m a Trump convert, welcome aboard, I was a Jindal guy

Rick Perrys Parakeet on February 12, 2016 at 1:54 PM

cimbri on February 12, 2016 at 1:53 PM

That’s his way. So subtle that only his fans can pretend it isn’t blatant.

Thedonald: “Don’t say so and so is a pu$$y!”

MJBrutus on February 12, 2016 at 1:57 PM

Cruz is a hopeless 206er (ie a guy who can only match, not exceed Mitt Romney’s 2012 electoral vote total of 2012)

The combination of Richard Nixon plus Elmer Gantry is not a winning combination

Cruz will be great on the Supreme Court, though

Rick Perrys Parakeet on February 12, 2016 at 1:57 PM

MaxMBJ on February 12, 2016 at 1:46 PM

I see that where I live as well.

darwin on February 12, 2016 at 1:59 PM

TED CRUZ is for smaller government.

It doesn’t matter what Teddyboi wants or thinks b/c HE WILL NEVER BE POTUS.
His political career is finished. What’s his raison d’etre, being the most hated member of the most exclusive club in the world ?? And he can forget the SCOTUS. What a real dumbshit

rik on February 12, 2016 at 2:00 PM

MaxMBJ on February 12, 2016 at 1:46 PM

I share some of your thoughts.

My hero, Jeff Sessions, is not running.

So I am supporting the only candidate who read, and is running on, Jeff’s Roadmap, which was published 13 months ago!!

No other candidate is as strong on Jeff’s issues. Many are opposed to them.

Trump visited Jeff in DC twice last summer, and used his staff to draft Trump’s first policy paper — on immigration (at Trump’s site).

Stephan Miller, Sessions’ top aide, was loaned to the Trump campaign recently.

Sessions joined Trump on the stage at the Trump rally in Mobile, wearing a Trump hat.

I support Sessions’ surrogate.

fred5678 on February 12, 2016 at 2:00 PM

He doesn’t use consultants but he is a born salesman. Don’t kid yourself, he weighs every word with an eye closing the deal.

MJBrutus on February 12, 2016 at 1:21 PM

Speaking of closing the deal, do you think Ted Cruz will claim that he did NOT KNOW that one of the actresses in his ad against Rubio was a porn star?

fossten on February 12, 2016 at 1:23 PM

Ironically, it would be the one time that he’s probably telling the truth about his ignorance of the subject.

ebrown2 on February 12, 2016 at 2:14 PM

TED CRUZ is for smaller government.

It doesn’t matter what Teddyboi wants or thinks b/c HE WILL NEVER BE POTUS.
His political career is finished. What’s his raison d’etre, being the most hated member of the most exclusive club in the world ?? And he can forget the SCOTUS. What a real dumbshit

rik on February 12, 2016 at 2:00 PM

He’s got a real killer campaign manager, …’cause driving your opponents to suicide is the height of agape Christian love.

ebrown2 on February 12, 2016 at 2:16 PM

Count Chocula Ministries hardest hit.

ak90049 on February 12, 2016 at 11:50 AM

Heh.

I’m pretty sure there was a Bela Lugosi in the wood pile somewhere in Cruz’ past. One creepy looking dude.

Dick Richard on February 12, 2016 at 2:16 PM

Count Chocula Ministries hardest hit.

ak90049 on February 12, 2016 at 11:50 AM

Heh.

I’m pretty sure there was a Bela Lugosi in the wood pile somewhere in Cruz’ past. One creepy looking dude.

Dick Richard on February 12, 2016 at 2:16 PM

With apologies to Tricky Dick and the late, great Al Lewis:

http://i.imgur.com/gwbS9U2.jpg

ebrown2 on February 12, 2016 at 2:18 PM

I’m still hoping this whole Trump thing is a nightmare that I’ll wake up from at any moment. I never thought I would live to see the United States elect a dictator. I always expected to see it happen at some point, just not in my lifetime. Here’s a man that has openly said he’s opposed to the constitution, would dissolve the system of checks and balances, and would quite literally do anything he wanted. Reminds me of that quote from Star Wars: “so this is how democracy dies, with thunderous applause”

ConservOvrGOP on February 12, 2016 at 2:23 PM

Let’s put it to the test. Is there anything Donald Trump could say or do that would disenthrall you, that would make you drop your support of the guy and possibly consider another candidate?

troyriser_gopftw on February 12, 2016 at 1:29 PM

I’m a Trump convert. I originally supported Walker. So your question seems rather moot, but hypothetically YES, Trump could lose my vote if he:

Reversed himself on Making America Great Again.

If he said, “Sure I believe in American exceptionalism, just like Greeks believe in Greek exceptionalism.”

If he said,”Like it or not, we’re the world’s only Super Power.”

If he said, “Politicians are making GREAT trade deals & we should all get behind TPP.”

If he said, “I want to double the number of guest workers that are taking our jobs.”

Just a short list … But yeah, it’s possible.

Nicole Coulter on February 12, 2016 at 2:27 PM

I’m still hoping this whole Trump thing is a nightmare that I’ll wake up from at any moment. I never thought I would live to see the United States elect a dictator. I always expected to see it happen at some point, just not in my lifetime. Here’s a man that has openly said he’s opposed to the constitution, would dissolve the system of checks and balances, and would quite literally do anything he wanted. Reminds me of that quote from Star Wars: “so this is how democracy dies, with thunderous applause”

ConservOvrGOP on February 12, 2016 at 2:23 PM

You’re a little late to the nightmare, pally. The scenario you describe started at 12:01 PM EST on 1/20/09.

ebrown2 on February 12, 2016 at 2:31 PM

UNSTOPPABLE.

ezspirit on February 12, 2016 at 2:32 PM

Joseph K on February 12, 2016 at 1:44 PM

You’re in rare form today. :-)

Doomberg on February 12, 2016 at 2:33 PM

Have any of you seen the meme that quotes Trump from a 1998 article in people magazine that says if he ran for president one day, he’d run as a republican because republican voters are so stupid they’d believe anything he says?
Does anyone know if that’s a real quote?

americanmama on February 12, 2016 at 12:52 PM

Proven false.

http://www.inquisitr.com/2503882/donald-trump-rumor-of-calling-republicans-dumb-proven-false/

JannyMae on February 12, 2016 at 2:36 PM

You’re in rare form today. :-)

Doomberg on February 12, 2016 at 2:33 PM

Can’t let you do all the heavy lifting. ;-)

Looks like that insufferable weasel took his meaningless words
and rhetorical questions to another thread, where he can pretend to matter.

Joseph K on February 12, 2016 at 2:44 PM

This trope that Trump is “America’s ALPHA male” is freakin hilarious.

A Draft dodging, overly sensitive, dumped by Ivanka, afraid of female anchors person is now an Alpha Male????

Funy indeed.

rgrovr on February 12, 2016 at 2:44 PM

Looks like that insufferable weasel took his meaningless words
and rhetorical questions to another thread, where he can pretend to matter.

Joseph K on February 12, 2016 at 2:44 PM

Exactly the same behavior as certain other trolls on the site. When they confronted with that kind of response, they just hop onto the next thread and repeat the same “questions” and “concerns.”

Doomberg on February 12, 2016 at 2:48 PM

“Oh, I dunno. I could vote for him. I wish he didn’t [fill in the blank] but, yeah, I could vote for him.”

MaxMBJ on February 12, 2016 at 1:46 PM

I hear you. I think most serious criticism of Trump is accurate. And after accepting all that criticism as accurate I look at the other choices and with the possible exception of Cruz whom I would certainly vote for, Trump is easily superior to the rest.

Colorado has no primary so I can’t vote on the nomination decision. But in general I’ll happily vote for Trump or Cruz. Not out of worship, out of critical observance of all the choices.

The screamers who cut down various candidates but never mention their allegedly superior candidate don’t influence anyone but they are welcome to keep trying. All voices should be heard.

Meremortal on February 12, 2016 at 2:51 PM

“…Reversed himself on Making America Great Again.”

Nicole Coulter on February 12, 2016 at 2:27 PM

I’m not sure how one reverses himself on saying, ‘making America Great Again’.

There’s no there there: just very empty words. What course of action or policy or piece of legislation, exactly, is Trump advocating here to accomplish that end? Oh, wait: there isn’t. He’s just saying it because it’s evidently what Trump supporters want to hear. Because telling people what they want to hear is the stuff con-men are made of.

I still can’t believe people are falling for this guy.

troyriser_gopftw on February 12, 2016 at 3:02 PM

Reuters Daily Tracking (Feb 12) Trump 40, Cruz 19, Rubio 11

Hi.

Meremortal on February 12, 2016 at 3:05 PM

hypothetically YES, Trump could lose my vote if he: Reversed himself on Making America Great Again.
Nicole Coulter on February 12, 2016 at 2:27 PM

ARE. YOU. SERIOUS??? That’s about the dumbest sentence I’ve read today. Trump’s phrase isn’t even Trump’s. It’s Reagan’s. Furthermore, America is great today. Far better than it was in some yesteryear of long ago that never existed.

Let’s stop hiding behind empty platitudes. You don’t care about Trump’s stupid phrases. If you did you wouldn’t be able to sit through an hour-long rambling speech of his. Trump supporters only care about one thing: immigration. They’re scared of the world and want to build a medieval-style wall along the border to protect us from it. You people make me sick.

ConservOvrGOP on February 12, 2016 at 3:08 PM

Trump Holds Lead In South Carolina

TheMadHessian on February 12, 2016 at 3:11 PM

Cruz set to pull out over porn star

rik on February 12, 2016 at 3:16 PM

Reuters poll filtered to “very conservative” voters only.

Donald Trump 38.0%
Ted Cruz 20.0%
Marco Rubio 15.0%
Ben Carson 13.0%
Wouldn’t vote 7.5

Meremortal on February 12, 2016 at 3:18 PM

You’re a little late to the nightmare, pally. The scenario you describe started at 12:01 PM EST on 1/20/09.
ebrown2 on February 12, 2016 at 2:31 PM

If Obama is a dictator then he is the weakest that history has ever seen. While Obama has been President we curbed the Patriot Act’s abuses of our civil liberties, passed state laws like marijuana legalization that flouted federal statutes, and experienced a shale energy boom that he was ardently opposed to. For his part, Obama stopped the government’s torturing of prisoners and made efforts to shut down our secret prison system. Not exactly dictator-like qualities.

Is Obama a great President? No. But a dictator? Hardly.

ConservOvrGOP on February 12, 2016 at 3:21 PM

When we add “somewhat conservative” to “very conservative” voters Trump’s numbers go down a little, very interesting. He’s more popular with very conservative voters.

This demonstrates that some very (or “true” if you prefer) conservative voters are ignoring the reality of the situation.

521 Respondents
Donald Trump 35.1%
Ted Cruz 19.8%
Marco Rubio 13.4%
Ben Carson 11.4%
Wouldn’t vote

Meremortal on February 12, 2016 at 3:30 PM

Per the crosstabs, Trump and Cruz are basically tied among “very conservative” voters but Trump obliterates him among every group further to the left of that. Needless to say, if Cruz can’t pile up a lead among evangelicals and the most conservative voters, we’re looking at a blowout next Saturday. Per Allah

THIS. is why Trump will be the next POTUS and our nominee because Trump can draw people from all walks giving the R party the Big Tent they’ve talked about for decades.

Cruz/Rubio/Bush/Kasich cannot draw and motivate those we seek to come out and vote for them.

g2825m on February 12, 2016 at 3:30 PM

Can’t let you do all the heavy lifting. ;-)

Looks like that insufferable weasel took his meaningless words
and rhetorical questions to another thread, where he can pretend to matter.

Joseph K on February 12, 2016 at 2:44 PM

So what kind of crap are the weasel anti-Trump’s pulling today?

NWConservative on February 12, 2016 at 3:37 PM

Trump supporters only care about one thing: immigration. They’re scared of the world and want to build a medieval-style wall along the border to protect us from it. You people make me sick.

ConservOvrGOP on February 12, 2016 at 3:08 PM

I like Trump for a wide range of reasons. His steadfast stance on immigration (wall) is one of them. Like the Duke projected, I like a guy who is not afraid to say what is on his mind AND stand by it (see all the other GOP candidates who fold). I like the fact that Trump will bring back America saying Merry Christmas (I know that he cannot literally do anything about it) but just his recognition of the PC environment we are in, Americans like that. I like his stance on Muslim and that we need to first halt it and get immigration under control. There are many others I like…but I am not “scared of the world”. I spent over a decade in the M.E. fighting for those that were “scared”. I just want Reagan’s America back again.

g2825m on February 12, 2016 at 3:38 PM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ufRj4jsCmtI

The Notorious G.O.P on February 12, 2016 at 3:39 PM

Nomad at 12:04pm

I guess the guy you reference, never had a reason to vote. Let’s take the 2 guys, supposedly on ideological extremes, Obama and Cruz. They’re both for the same free trade deals, they’re both for amnesty, they’re both for H1B, both for high immigration. The average guys life will not change no matter which of these 2 ideological stalwarts is elected. The wealth of the country will continue to drain off to other nations and the US will continue its downward spiral. So it’s not the voters fault.

cimbri on February 12, 2016 at 3:40 PM

Trump supporters only care about one thing: immigration. They’re scared of the world and want to build a medieval-style wall along the border to protect us from it. You people make me sick.

ConservOvrGOP on February 12, 2016 at 3:08 PM

You make me sick. Wanting open borders and desperately wanting 3rd world countries to export their poverty into this country so it can be destroyed. You are a waste of an American.

The Notorious G.O.P on February 12, 2016 at 3:41 PM

The Notorious G.O.P on February 12, 2016 at 3:41 PM

You can ignore that one. It accidentally exposed that it’s a Democrat/liberal moby.

Meremortal on February 12, 2016 at 3:45 PM

Nevermind, saw it Joseph K.

The tears.

NWConservative on February 12, 2016 at 3:54 PM

g2825m on February 12, 2016 at 3:38 PM

I’m pretty confident that Ted Cruz will be just as un-PC as Trump, and at least he won’t take a giant sh*t on the constitution.

You’re not a fan of the PC world? That’s cool. Doesn’t really bother me that much, but hey, to each their own. I just want a President who believes that too. Trump’s desire to use the force of government for a one size fits all approach (and that’s his size) means that everyone will be the worst for it.

As for immigrants, you want them. You just don’t know it. Next time you’re bedridden in a hospital, ask around to find out how many of the doctors and nurses on your floor are immigrants. I bet you the number is more than half. Not a single hospital in America would be open if we stopped allowing in immigration.

You make me sick. Wanting open borders and desperately wanting 3rd world countries to export their poverty into this country so it can be destroyed. You are a waste of an American.
The Notorious G.O.P on February 12, 2016 at 3:41 PM

You clearly don’t know the first thing about immigration. Go back under the rock you climbed out of.

ConservOvrGOP on February 12, 2016 at 3:57 PM

I never thought I would live to see the United States elect a dictator.

Because Trump’s an alpha male in a world of feminized men, you assume he’ll be a dictator. Nothing supports that assumption. He’s actually a deal=maker. His whole life has been one of hammering out deals with others, especially politicians. This would necessarily include working with the political opposition. How is that dictatorial?

writeblock on February 12, 2016 at 4:08 PM

Is Obama a great President? No. But a dictator? Hardly.

Using regulatory power to invent legislation while by=passing Congress is tyranny.

writeblock on February 12, 2016 at 4:16 PM

TBSchemer on February 12, 2016 at 12:57 PM

The Libertarian Party is in obscurity because nutjobs say things like…

Trump and all of his supporters have convinced me that they are a greater threat to this country and its liberty than any Democrat. We need a leader who will use every power available to crush, destroy, and eliminate these people from this country.

TBSchemer on December 8, 2015 at 3:29 AM

You, representing the Libertarian Party, don’t know a damned thing about liberty, which is why you remain in obscurity.

dominigan on February 12, 2016 at 4:33 PM

Trump supporters only care about one thing: immigration. They’re scared of the world and want to build a medieval-style wall along the border to protect us from it. You people make me sick.

ConservOvrGOP on February 12, 2016 at 3:08 PM

All net jobs since 2008 have gone to immigrants. Meanwhile millions are on welfare or something else. Taxpayers are tired of subsidizing corporate cheap labor.

cimbri on February 12, 2016 at 4:36 PM

“A Draft dodging, overly sensitive, dumped by Ivanka, afraid of female anchors person is now an Alpha Male????”

He never dodged the draft. A deferment is not a dodge. All college students were deferred back then if they kept a decent grade average. When he graduated, his number was never called. As for the women you mention, his ex-wives like and admire him and remain surprisingly good friends. With Megyn it’s a different story. She was out to destroy him and failed. He’s not afraid of her, he just has contempt for her. In fact, after he pointed out her bimbo persona, she countered it by sporting a new butch haircut and high collared outfits. So she was forced to react to him–just as Bush was forced to react to him. He’s clearly under her skin–and got hit hard by his criticism–as was Fox.

writeblock on February 12, 2016 at 4:40 PM

You’re a little late to the nightmare, pally. The scenario you describe started at 12:01 PM EST on 1/20/09.
ebrown2 on February 12, 2016 at 2:31 PM

If Obama is a dictator then he is the weakest that history has ever seen. While Obama has been President we curbed the Patriot Act’s abuses of our civil liberties, passed state laws like marijuana legalization that flouted federal statutes, and experienced a shale energy boom that he was ardently opposed to. For his part, Obama stopped the government’s torturing of prisoners and made efforts to shut down our secret prison system. Not exactly dictator-like qualities.

Is Obama a great President? No. But a dictator? Hardly.

ConservOvrGOP on February 12, 2016 at 3:21 PM

Ahh, I see the Mobys have arrived….

ebrown2 on February 12, 2016 at 4:42 PM

Trump and all of his supporters have convinced me that they are a greater threat to this country and its liberty than any Democrat. We need a leader who will use every power available to crush, destroy, and eliminate these people from this country.

TBSchemer on December 8, 2015 at 3:29 AM

You, representing the Libertarian Party, don’t know a damned thing about liberty, which is why you remain in obscurity.

dominigan on February 12, 2016 at 4:33 PM

They’re why I call myself a classical liberal.

ebrown2 on February 12, 2016 at 4:43 PM

I never thought I would live to see the United States elect a dictator.

Because Trump’s an alpha male in a world of feminized men, you assume he’ll be a dictator. Nothing supports that assumption. He’s actually a deal=maker. His whole life has been one of hammering out deals with others, especially politicians. This would necessarily include working with the political opposition. How is that dictatorial?

writeblock on February 12, 2016 at 4:08 PM

Despite the fact that your interlocutor is a no-account Moby, there are plenty of Trump supporters who apparently think that The Donald (TM) is going to act as a “murder weapon” able to unilaterally clean house in DC. They have a particular blind spot towards his repeated statements that he -is- a part of the establishment and has no intention of “murdering” anyone.

ebrown2 on February 12, 2016 at 4:46 PM

And the sad truth is that Trump is unelectable when placed head-to-head just about any human being on planet Earth.

This GOP death spiral must be stopped before an ignorant arsehole steals the nomination away from a candidate that might actually win the general election.

Happy Nomad on February 12, 2016 at 12:04 PM

Hyperbole much?

Your panic is amusing. I think you know that if Trump can win a state like South Carolina, then Tricky Dick Cruz has no shot. If you can’t win the nomination, you certainly can’t win the general election.

Dick Richard on February 12, 2016 at 4:51 PM

My hero, Jeff Sessions, is not running.

So I am supporting the only candidate who read, and is running on, Jeff’s Roadmap, which was published 13 months ago!!

No other candidate is as strong on Jeff’s issues. Many are opposed to them.

Trump visited Jeff in DC twice last summer, and used his staff to draft Trump’s first policy paper — on immigration (at Trump’s site).

Stephan Miller, Sessions’ top aide, was loaned to the Trump campaign recently.

Sessions joined Trump on the stage at the Trump rally in Mobile, wearing a Trump hat.

I support Sessions’ surrogate.

fred5678 on February 12, 2016 at 2:00 PM

ABSOLUTELY!!! You don’t hire Sessions’ key aide as a senior policy advisor unless you’re serious about actually implementing it! So what other candidates are serious about their policies? How many have enlisted aides or other experts on the topics they TALK about? Well?

Why hasn’t Cruz done this? How do you know he’s serious? Because he talks the same as Rubio?

I’m looking for RESULTS, not TALK.

dominigan on February 12, 2016 at 4:54 PM

Happy Nomad on February 12, 2016 at 12:04 PM

Are you really not paying attention, or are you truly stuck on stupid?

Polls have already confirmed that Trump will pull blue-collar Democrats from their base. What other candidates can pull voters from the Democrats over to them? Well? Where are you going to get crossover votes? Answer the question.

And did you not pay attention to what happened with the Democrats in NH? Do you not understand how disaffected base Democrats are with THEIR party leaders, just as we are with ours? Do you not understand how ticked off they are that the DNC rigged the nomination in NH, and that even though Bernie won by 22%, that didn’t translate to a winning number of delegates? Do you know how easy it would be for disaffected Democrats with a Hillary candidate to crossover or not vote to show their displeasure?

This is a perfect storm, and you’re blind as a bat. Willfully blind.

dominigan on February 12, 2016 at 5:00 PM

I’m looking for RESULTS, not TALK.

dominigan on February 12, 2016 at 4:54 PM

That is so odd. All Trump(PBUH) does is talk.
But maybe I’m missing something?
Can you list some of Trumps(PBUH) accomplishments that couldn’t just as easily be attributed to George Soros or Warren Buffett or Tom Steyer?

Mimzey on February 12, 2016 at 6:07 PM

Can you list some of Trumps(PBUH) accomplishments that couldn’t just as easily be attributed to George Soros or Warren Buffett or Tom Steyer?

Mimzey on February 12, 2016 at 6:07 PM

Main Accomplishment of Trump in the Government: NONE AT ALL

All talks of about his previous positions as politician are FALSE because he was never a politician except now.

The idiot Trump didn’t even know why he’s supporting the Dems with his money.

Unlike Rubio who lied about his positions.
Unlike Ted who lied about how clean his campaign is (he’s a tool of Goldmann Sachs).

THAT’S TRUMP! Trump is just a typical American jock who hugged his Mom and went to church after masturbating one hour ago.

TRUMP 2016!

TheAlamos on February 12, 2016 at 11:14 PM

It looks like I’m voting for Cruz in the primary and Trump in the general, done deal. If Trump can actually get a wall built his rapid leftism will have been worth it. It’s something no “conservative” has ever even attempted to accomplish. Instead the so called conservatives claim it’s a conservative position to let them invade our country by the millions, keeping wages stagnant and overwhelming our safety net.

Dollayo on February 14, 2016 at 6:36 AM

Comment pages: 1 2 3 4