Here we go: Mike Bloomberg confirms that he’s thinking of running for president

posted at 9:21 pm on February 8, 2016 by Allahpundit

Interesting timing, what with the first votes in New Hampshire set to be cast just a few hours from now.

Between Trump, Sanders, and Cruz, I did not realize that the problem with the 2016 primary campaign was that the discourse is too “distressingly banal.” Also, in what universe is Michael Bloomberg the solution to the problem of politics being too banal?

Speaking to the Financial Times, the founder of the eponymous financial information group criticised the quality of the debate in the ​presidential ​race. He said ​that ​he was “looking at all the options” when asked whether he was considering putting his name forward.

“I find the level of discourse and discussion distressingly banal and an outrage and an insult to the voters,” Mr Bloomberg said in an interview, before adding that the US public deserved “a lot better”…

Mr Bloomberg told the FT that he would need to start putting his name on ballots across the US at the beginning of March. “I’m listening to what candidates are saying and what the primary voters appear to be doing,” he said.

Pretty obvious media strategy here. Trump and Sanders, the two most radical candidates in the race, seem well on their way to victory in New Hampshire. Inevitably the media reaction will be a combination of “Can either of these guys go all the way?” and “What’s to become of America if either of these guys go all the way?!” Bloomberg’s now in the conversation tomorrow night as a possible “reasonable” independent option, even though the likeliest outcome of a third-party run would be peeling off enough votes from one party in purple states to hand victory there to another. Even in a best-case scenario, where he actually wins some electoral votes himself, there’s zero chance that he wins 270. Which means the Republican House would decide the election.

Which party, though, would benefit most from a Bloomberg run? A poll from Morning Consult released last month had Hillary up 44/42 over Trump head to head, but with Bloomberg in the race the results flipped to Trump 37, Hillary 36, Bloomberg 13. That was a national poll; what those results would look like in swing states like Ohio and Colorado is as yet unknown. Don’t be quick to draw the conclusion, though, that Bloomberg’s entry would help the Republican nominee in every conceivable match-up. According to Frank Luntz, that’s not true:

In a race against Clinton and Republican primary hopeful Ted Cruz, Bloomberg receives 28 percent of the vote, compared to Clinton’s 37 percent and Cruz’s 35 percent.

And in a scenario in which Republican primary hopeful Marco Rubio wins his party’s nomination, Bloomberg receives 28 percent of the vote, compared to Rubio’s 38 percent and Clinton’s 35 percent…

The poll also finds that when either Trump or Cruz is the GOP nominee, Bloomberg draws more support from Republicans than from Democrats, winning 26 and 23 percent of GOP voters, respectively.

When Rubio is the GOP nominee, only 18 percent of Republicans defect to support the former mayor.

So Hillary wins a three-man race with Cruz and Bloomberg but Rubio wins a three-man race with Hillary and Bloomberg. Luntz didn’t test the effect of having Sanders as nominee instead of Hillary, which is a shame because those results might confirm the general sense you get from the other data here — namely, that the more “mainstream” the nominees are for the major parties, the more Bloomberg, a longtime Democrat turned center-left independent, hurts the Democrats. Nominate an ideologue like Cruz or a strong populist like Trump and some critical mass of center-righties will defect to Bloomberg, handing Hillary the win. Nominate a center-righty like Rubio (or Jeb?) and the Republican coalition holds more or less together, giving the GOP a narrow win as some centrist Democrats break Bloomberg’s way. That’s an interesting warning to New Hampshire voters not to give in to fringier candidates tomorrow lest Bloomberg make them pay for it in November.

Quinnipiac actually polled a hypothetical Sanders/Trump/Bloomberg race and a Sanders/Cruz/Bloomberg race earlier this week. Make of this what you will:

pr

Here’s Luntz sketching out a path for Bloomberg, which is silly since we all know Mitt Romney will be elected president as an independent after Trump becomes the nominee.


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Comments

Yawn, get back to me when its official.

cozmo on February 8, 2016 at 9:23 PM

Tee hee hee. He said banal.

lorien1973 on February 8, 2016 at 9:24 PM

According to Frank Luntz, that’s not true:


Well
… if Frank hath spoken the only question left to ask is,

How much did somebody PAY him to give this answer?

PolAgnostic on February 8, 2016 at 9:27 PM

Let him run. The dem vote will get split even farther and become even more contentious. We have lots of popcorn stored up, we need reasons to munch it.

It’d be good for the comedic factor too.

A communist, a fascist, and an idiot walk into a bar….the bartender says:

Hi Hillary!

Andy__B on February 8, 2016 at 9:27 PM

An anti-gun nanny stater? Please run Bloomers!

rbj on February 8, 2016 at 9:28 PM

That would be great. In a three person race, Trump does not need to get 50.1%. He just needs a plurality. And Bloomberg is going to steal from the left.

HugoDrax on February 8, 2016 at 9:28 PM

Yes, just what the country needs. Following up a leftist with no executive experience with a leftist with FAILED executive experience.

fitzfong on February 8, 2016 at 9:29 PM

Bloomberg/Nader 2016! The new Operation Chaos.

rbj on February 8, 2016 at 9:31 PM

Tee hee hee. He said banal.

lorien1973 on February 8, 2016 at 9:24 PM

…he’s a billionaire…he prolley puts b’s in front of all his words.

JugEarsButtHurt on February 8, 2016 at 9:32 PM

I suppose shareholders of Sturm Ruger and Smith & Wesson are watching closely.

butch on February 8, 2016 at 9:34 PM

Let’s see… A weird poll thrown out the night before a big vote, plus an analysis by Frank Lunt and AllahPundit.

Yeah, this all spells “bullshit”.

Magicjava on February 8, 2016 at 9:34 PM

Trump’s good buddy.

Pork-Chop on February 8, 2016 at 9:34 PM

A desperate nation turns its eyes to Joseph Robinette “Joe” Biden, Jr. and says…
.
.
.
.
.
… how about getting in and making it a real four-way laugh fest, Joe? You’re not afraid of The Donald or HiLarry! are you?

ExpressoBold on February 8, 2016 at 9:35 PM

This may be a break for Rubio as Maybe he can be his VP mate.

VorDaj on February 8, 2016 at 9:37 PM

ExpressoBold on February 8, 2016 at 9:35 PM

I’ve not been able to figure out why Cherokee Maiden Warren has been so coy. She’s getting a little long in the tooth and I assume she could have had her way with the looney left if she had run.

butch on February 8, 2016 at 9:38 PM

Bloomberg runs, Mitt jumps in and you end up with President Paul Ryan.

can_con on February 8, 2016 at 9:39 PM

Well, currently it is kind of like a loser fest.

ghostwalker1 on February 8, 2016 at 9:39 PM

I would also like to confirm that I am thinking of running for president.

bgibbs1000 on February 8, 2016 at 9:39 PM

The left compares Trump to HItler or Mussolini–if Bloomie gets in, we’ve got Napoleon covered, too.

Doc Holliday on February 8, 2016 at 9:40 PM

SMH……sigh so now the democrats are going have a Liar, with vagjayjay, a crazy old communist who looks like he might has rabies, and now there will be a fussy old ladyish Nazis , heck why don’t the just invite the pervert clown too? The Dems have the best clown car on the road …..popcorn. Yummy

Bakokitty on February 8, 2016 at 9:41 PM

“I find the level of discourse and discussion distressingly banal and an outrage and an insult to the voters,” Mr Bloomberg said in an interview, before adding that the US public deserved “a lot be

The insult to the citizens are the elected representatives in Washington who have done zero for America and the citizens for the past 15 plus years.

alanstern on February 8, 2016 at 9:41 PM

Nurse Bloomberg thinks he’s the answer to “banal”?

hahahahahahahahahahahahaha

BD57 on February 8, 2016 at 9:42 PM

“I find the level of discussion distressingly banal. No one is discussing Big Gulps.”

Cara C on February 8, 2016 at 9:43 PM

I’ve not been able to figure out why Cherokee Maiden Warren has been so coy.

butch on February 8, 2016 at 9:38 PM

.
I think FauxCahontas and Biden have the same strategy: wait for a brokered convention, or create one, and avoid all the effort and mess of a primary campaign. Voilà! Nominated and Party Savior, easy-peasy!

ExpressoBold on February 8, 2016 at 9:48 PM

The left compares Trump to HItler or Mussolini–if Bloomie gets in, we’ve got Napoleon covered, too.

Doc Holliday on February 8, 2016 at 9:40 PM

lol, there went my coffee!

CoffeeLover on February 8, 2016 at 9:52 PM

He’s not going to run but I wonder why he’s floating this trail balloon? Who does it benefit?

AYNBLAND on February 8, 2016 at 9:56 PM

Even in a best-case scenario, where he actually wins some electoral votes himself, there’s zero chance that he wins 270.

That is a premature assessment. The voters are much less familiar with Bloomberg than they are with his potential competitors like Trump and Clinton, so the polls at this point are meaningless.

He will have a great chance to define his national image. Furthermore, the media will be helping him instead of trying to kneecap him at every turn. If he chooses to bankroll a run, he could be a serious threat.

I say he should run.

Please.

fadetogray on February 8, 2016 at 9:56 PM

Bloomberg’s now in the conversation tomorrow night as a possible “reasonable” independent option,

LOL!

Who in the he!! writes this tripe.

Barred on February 8, 2016 at 9:59 PM

As we know, there’s nothing banal about regulating drink sizes and salt shakers.

MJBrutus on February 8, 2016 at 10:01 PM

How’s does one enter the race at this point when they aren’t on any state ballots? As I recall there was a time limit for getting on the ballot for each state which would have passed on most if not all 50.

tej on February 8, 2016 at 10:08 PM

Damn. He’ll win NY and NJ.

WryTrvllr on February 8, 2016 at 10:08 PM

Mr gun control and soda control.

and global warming too.

polls show that he would take more Dem votes than R

Senator Philip Bluster on February 8, 2016 at 10:10 PM

He seems to have trouble making up his mind….

d1carter on February 8, 2016 at 10:12 PM

I stopped reading at “Frank Luntz”.

Rix on February 8, 2016 at 10:16 PM

AMNESTY

Gun Control

&

Global warming

this guy is a Dem all the way.

he sure as hell is no conservative, except in the wallet

Senator Philip Bluster on February 8, 2016 at 10:16 PM

“I find the level of discourse and discussion distressingly banal and an outrage and an insult to the voters,” Mr Bloomberg said in an interview, before adding that the US public deserved “a lot better”…

No Mikey, you is the outrage. Gaming to get a third term, nanny state pos. He who has a residence ac unit jury rigged and wheeled out to keep your car perfect while you are whacking off thinking of bizarre shit that you want done to us.

arnold ziffel on February 8, 2016 at 10:18 PM

Smoke screen Bloomy, he isn’t going to spend his own money on a campaign and truthfully who is dumb enough to bank roll daddy soda size? No one.

woodhull on February 8, 2016 at 10:21 PM

If it hurts the Dems, I’m all for a Nanny Bloomie run.

Philly on February 8, 2016 at 10:29 PM

Fish or cut bait Mayor Mike.

diogenes on February 8, 2016 at 10:30 PM

He’d probably win a few blue states if Missus Clinton is the Democrat nominee.

Go for it, Mikey!

Aizen on February 8, 2016 at 10:35 PM

More New York values?

onlineanalyst on February 8, 2016 at 10:42 PM

Here’s Luntz sketching out a path for Bloomberg, which is silly since we all know Mitt Romney will be elected president as an independent after Trump becomes the nominee.


DRINK!

tanked59 on February 8, 2016 at 10:56 PM

I thought he just confirmed that he confirmed that he was thinking about running?????

Indiana Jim on February 8, 2016 at 10:58 PM

I thought obamas middle eastern college roommate liked banal…….

Indiana Jim on February 8, 2016 at 11:00 PM

Bloommie wants to be Trumps VP.

Deadeye on February 8, 2016 at 11:06 PM

Buy some platform shoes just in case, you twisted dwarf, standing on a stack of phone books on the debate stage isn’t a good look.

Bishop on February 8, 2016 at 11:51 PM

Luntz looks seedier every day. He should try shaving and getting a professional hair cut. Does he think he is Michael Moore?

The fact is Bloomberg is less attractive and effective than Jeb, so his effect on the race would bubble under 1%, little bigger than a single bubble in one of his fizzy drinks.

New Yorkers don’t like him, and they should know, the rest of the country has no experience of him, another faceless north eastern liberal elitist forcing his opinions West of the Hudson river.

Net zero impact on this process.

virgo on February 9, 2016 at 12:12 AM

I’m kind of disappointed that the crooked bum hasn’t been hit by a bus. Oh well, tommorow’s another day.

S. D. on February 9, 2016 at 4:26 AM

Seems like Bloom slightly overlaps with the non-Trumps on the Republican side.

cimbri on February 9, 2016 at 4:42 AM

Again, these results don’t mean much. Most Americans have no idea who Bloomberg is.

His gun positions cannot draw any significant number GOP votes, there’s just no one in the party who’s for gun control. If Bloomberg runs, anyone on the GOP side who isn’t Trump will win fairly easily.

TallDave on February 9, 2016 at 5:00 AM

““I find the level of discourse and discussion distressingly banal and an outrage and an insult to the voters.
“Now come along Lovey, and let’s see if Gilligan and the Professor have finished building our coconut clubhouse. I’m simply FAH-mished!”

jbspry on February 9, 2016 at 5:26 AM

Most of you guys don’t get it. Bloomberg is super rich. Everyone knows conservatives love the super rich. Just look at Trump.

So if Bloomie runs, he’ll be taking far more votes from the GOP candidate, probably giving the win to Bernie or Hillary.

Logic, Democrat style = GIGO.

Those of you with Democrat friends, let them know the only thing you’re concerned about is if Bloomberg runs and steals all those natural GOP votes.

fadetogray on February 9, 2016 at 6:43 AM

Bwhahahahahaha. Really?

Who told the little man this was a good idea? He’s going to “raise” the level of dialogue? C’mon the jokes write themselves.

Bloomberg is short on good ideas and long on rhetoric. He really doesn’t measure up as a national candidate. I suppose what he’s really trying to do is grow his stature. It won’t work, he’s going to fall short.

Bloomberg’s one issue is being anti Second Amendment and everywhere he’s thrown his billions, he’s gotten crushed.

There’s nothing interesting or substantive to his campaign.

Marcus Traianus on February 9, 2016 at 7:23 AM

I love laughing before breakfast. Thanks Mike!

vityas on February 9, 2016 at 7:28 AM

PS His daughter had a baby without the benefit of marriage. “I’m too unconventional for that,” Georgina said. And that was the quote.

vityas on February 9, 2016 at 7:31 AM

How many people outside the NYC area even know who Mike Bloomberg is?

myiq2xu on February 9, 2016 at 7:42 AM

Here we go: Mike Bloomberg confirms that he’s thinking of running for president

Or . . .

Here we go: Mike Bloomberg confirms that he hasn’t decided yet about running for president

Though it doesn’t make for such an interesting blog post title, now does it. So how about:

Here we go: Mike Bloomberg confirms that he’s still thinking of running for president

Better.

Lolo on February 9, 2016 at 7:52 AM

…which is silly since we all know Mitt Romney will be elected president as an independent after Trump becomes the nominee.

They see me Trollin
Mitt Romney
Patrolling Hot Air to catch me ridin’ Romney
Tryin to catch me Trollin’ Romney
Tryin to catch me Trollin’ Romney
Tryin to catch me Trollin’ Romney
Tryin to catch me Trollin’ Romney

-Allahpundit’s Theme

BigGator5 on February 9, 2016 at 7:57 AM

I can’t look at a picture of this guy without hearing:

“Shallow cuts. Shallow cuts.”

You Buffy fans probably know what I’m talking about.

Browncoatone on February 9, 2016 at 9:05 AM

PS His daughter had a baby without the benefit of marriage. “I’m too unconventional for that,” Georgina said. And that was the quote.
vityas on February 9, 2016 at 7:31 AM

New York values.

Cleombrotus on February 9, 2016 at 9:10 AM

Never happen.

albill on February 9, 2016 at 9:33 AM

He will take a VP slot on Hillary ticket to stay out.

albill on February 9, 2016 at 9:33 AM

Trump’s primary reason to run for POTUS is: 1) he’s so rich and 2) he’s built a $9B company.

By those measures, Bloomberg will be 4x better POTUS than Trump.

HornHiAceDeuce on February 9, 2016 at 11:43 AM

Mike Bloomberg is salivating thinking about everything that he will ban in American!

RJL on February 9, 2016 at 3:44 PM

Stunning announcement on my conservative radio news this morning: “Bloomberg is a political independent.”

Carnac on February 9, 2016 at 5:38 PM

This polling mess just illustrates the fact that “Republican’s” are not “Conservative’s”. Period.

Carnac on February 9, 2016 at 5:41 PM