Video: Trump concedes graciously after disappointing finish

posted at 11:19 pm on February 1, 2016 by Allahpundit

His final polling average was 28.6 percent, nearly five points better than Cruz. As I write this, with 91 percent of Iowa reporting, he’s at 24.4 percent, more than three points behind Cruz and less than a point and a half ahead of Rubio for third place — and that’s despite projected turnout of 180,000 voters, a number which everyone expected would assure victory for Trump. He could have gone onstage and given Iowans the full Trump treatment — losers, morons, the whole shebang — but that would have been risky with New Hampshire just a week away and Rubio suddenly viable on the center-right. So he played it smart and dignified. Erick Erickson:

If he can do this in a caucus, which requires the voter to go out and stay out for a rather long time just to cast a series of votes, he can certainly do it in a primary. When you get right down to it, Donald Trump got nearly 40,000 people to show up on a cold February night when a blizzard is on the horizon. That’s no joke.

We have a series of proportional states forthcoming in which we could possibly see Trump pull higher numbers than he has here in Iowa precisely because it can be done with less organization.

What should scare everyone now is if there are any indications Trump decides this was a good opening negotiation point by the voters and begins spending on organization now in earnest.

After all, we know this was just the opening round and Trump isn’t done yet.

The guy’s basically half-assing his campaign and he still beat the Great Establishment Hope for second place (I think) and nearly knocked off the hyper-organized, hyper-competent Cruz campaign. He’s no joke. And thanks to a divided moderate field, there’s still every reason to think he’ll win New Hampshire. I’ll leave you with this:


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C’MON, let’s hear more about how Trump is gonna run the table.

Moesart on February 2, 2016 at 12:12 AM

…..keep talkin’ content-free SMACK, jagazz……..That’ll get you NOWHERE!!

…..I’m SHOCKED that Trump got a SOLID Second……don’t you KNOW all the BIG Money from the Establishment was Doing Every Dirty Trick It Could to Elevate Rubio – and They Got…..Third….

…Remember – another candidate that Lost Iowa: Ronald Reagan…….oh – and there’s THIS…..</a….

williamg on February 2, 2016 at 12:44 AM

The guy’s basically half-assing his campaign and he still beat the Great Establishment Hope for second place (I think) and nearly knocked off the hyper-organized, hyper-competent Cruz campaign. He’s no joke. And thanks to a divided moderate field, there’s still every reason to think he’ll win New Hampshire.


AP’s alluding to the “insider baseball” discussion that flows out of tonight’s results:

1) Trump didn’t spend 1% of what Cruz did in Iowa and finished 2nd. Ever read “Moneyball”? If you did, you should realize WHY this was a Pyrrhic Victory for Cruz. He’s spent ~ $ 40 million so far, has 8 delegates, is WAY behind in the next three states AND has Rubio breathing down his neck from here on out.

2) Trump beat expectations with HIS speech. He’s changed his tone. He’s grateful to the voters and respectful of his opponents. AND he’ll STILL get a ton of free media which will be looking to see if the New Donald was just a speech or a trend.

3) To go the distance … the hyper-organized Cruz campaign is going to need at least $ 500 million more to win the nomination. Do you know anyone who is going to give him that much money?

4) The GOPe and MSM look at tonight with glee – Cruz gets a Win that’s almost impossible to repeat and he’s going to need more money than he can raise to have a prayer. Next week, Trump is likely to win New HAmpshire by a solid margin and the GOPe-media and MSM will declare it a TWO man race between Trump and Rubio – just like AP’s been predicting since November.

PolAgnostic on February 2, 2016 at 12:44 AM

Page 2 BISHOP!

williamg on February 2, 2016 at 12:45 AM

PolAgnostic on February 2, 2016 at 12:44 AM

…….BOOM!!

williamg on February 2, 2016 at 12:46 AM

….This Was YUGE!!

williamg on February 2, 2016 at 12:47 AM

…..in FACT – Trump ALREADY has a plan to Shrink Government…..all he has to do is WIN and 25% of Government Employees will LEAVE THEIR JOBS!!……How SWEET is THAT?!!

williamg on February 2, 2016 at 12:56 AM

4) The GOPe and MSM look at tonight with glee – Cruz gets a Win that’s almost impossible to repeat and he’s going to need more money than he can raise to have a prayer. Next week, Trump is likely to win New HAmpshire by a solid margin and the GOPe-media and MSM will declare it a TWO man race between Trump and Rubio – just like AP’s been predicting since November.

PolAgnostic on February 2, 2016 at 12:44 AM

You’re right except for the Trump win in NH. It will be close.

kcewa on February 2, 2016 at 12:58 AM

It was a good night for the anti-Trumpers and the pro-Rubio GOP establishment.

Iowa should be ashamed of themselves for giving Rubio such a high percentage, perhaps those were crossover dems?

I’m sure something similar is planned for NH.

This is a crucial period not only for Trump, but for the anti-establishment forces in the GOP.

Rubio supporters and the GOPe are sitting pretty right now, Trump and Cruz need to attack him as all of ¡Jeb!’s donors will now go to Rubio.

Redstone on February 2, 2016 at 1:06 AM

The whining…are you guys going to whine for how long?

Trump got beat, badly…when a person is predicted to win, handily, and gets beat soundly, that’s a big deal.

It’s not like Trump was expected to come in second, all of his supporters swore it was no contest…a slam dunk.

And, being Trumpette’s, coming in second is being a loser…as your leader would say…a big time loser.

Trump is a anomaly, a candidate that is entertaining, but not a serious candidate.

The question is, how many states does he lose before he decides to drop out?

I say three, and each one he will lose momentum and interest.

right2bright on February 2, 2016 at 1:10 AM

I’m good with the results. Trump showed he could turn out the voters, even in an evangelical caucus state, which is pretty amazing. On to NH and hopefully a solid victory for Trump.

cimbri on February 2, 2016 at 1:13 AM

Trump got beat, badly…when a person is predicted to win, handily, and gets beat soundly, that’s a big deal.

So getting beat badly is losing by 3 percentage points and being predicted to win by a few points is “handily”?

So when Cruz loses by 20 points next week what will THAT be?

Nicole Coulter on February 2, 2016 at 1:25 AM

The question is, how many states does he lose before he decides to drop out?

I say three, and each one he will lose momentum and interest.

right2bright on February 2, 2016 at 1:10 AM

Which three? Are you predicting a New Hampshire loss for Trump?

MidAtlantic Moderate on February 2, 2016 at 2:03 AM

It’s probably been said earlier in this thread, but tonight’s outcome is the result of Trump’s foolish decision to skip the Fox debate last Thursday. When you’re winning, all you need to do is show up and win. Last week, all Trump needed to do was show up to the debate, give the same answers he’s been giving since last summer, and win tonight. Trump is now deadlocked in a three-man race as a result.

Tonight, the rubber met the road, and Trump hopefully learned that consequences are real. Trump’s had fun campaigning for the past 8 months without having to face actual voters. Now the real fun starts.

The Bringer on February 2, 2016 at 2:05 AM

The Bringer at 2:05am

There’s no way to know, but I would say these numbers have been baked in a long time. If you look at every poll for many months, Cruz was in the lead. Cruz has been building his organization there for years. My guess is that Trump battering Cruz on the Canadian connection cost Cruz 4 or 5 per cent but he still had a cushion for the win.

cimbri on February 2, 2016 at 2:24 AM

cimbri on February 2, 2016 at 2:24 AM

I don’t think “Canada” helped or hurt in the end.

It was organization + Cruz’s last ad blitz featuring Trump praising Shumer and Pelosi8. I think giving Cruz that sound bite was an unforced error by Trump. I cringed when I heard it. And it was so close to the caucus. Cruz’s ad was effective.

I think Trump’s lack of organization (I think Trump got taken for a ride by some consultants) and his gaffe suppressed his base.

Cruz’s organization got out his base.

I expect Trump to adjust before SC. He’s a business man. And he probably wins NH without lifting a finger. He got 1/4 of IA and more than Huckabee in 2008 with a cobbled together weak organization based on a web site.

BoxHead1 on February 2, 2016 at 2:42 AM

Good on Donald for being a gentleman about it. He needs a lot more of that.

Immolate on February 2, 2016 at 2:42 AM

oops
I don’t think skipping helped or hurt in the end.

BoxHead1 on February 2, 2016 at 2:43 AM

He could have gone onstage and given Iowans the full Trump treatment — losers, morons, the whole shebang —

You really don’t understand Trump. I don’t think you’ve really listened to him AT ALL.

Sherman1864 on February 2, 2016 at 3:18 AM

We were told a record turnout favors Trump. It clearly did not. The real story here is that Trumps negatives are sky high and people will turn out against him.

jhffmn on February 2, 2016 at 5:47 AM

PolAgnostic on February 2, 2016 at 12:44 AM

What part of “Trump lost Iowa” did you miss, PA? You’re trying to shine up a turd here.

I’ve long maintained that Donald J. Trump is a master retail politician. The guy is no idiot. You don’t get to be that wealthy if you’re stupid. What floors me is the number of assumptions Trump’s supporters made that were summarily and utterly proven wrong here.

If you’re looking for a deeper meaning here in Trump’s concession, I think it’s only that he’s not giving up — nor should he if he’s serious about ultimately securing the nomination. Going back to the beginning of the modern caucus/primary process, history is littered with the names of Iowa winners who ultimately went on to be also-rans.

gryphon202 on February 2, 2016 at 6:26 AM

Cruz should win Texas as well.

Any other states likely?

Lolo on February 2, 2016 at 6:49 AM

We were told a record turnout favors Trump. It clearly did not. The real story here is that Trumps negatives are sky high and people will turn out against him.

jhffmn on February 2, 2016 at 5:47 AM

Turnout in a voting booth environment will be different. There, no one shames the Trump supporter for being one.

Iowa confirmed, in part, the effects of the phenomenon measured in the computer-versus-live-pollster disparity. On the other hand, as a win would have bolstered the New Hampshire Trump voter, the headlines over the next week will have a dampening effect.

The twenty-point lead will become ten.

How many of those 23 New Hampshire delegates are needed to offset the whopping two-delegate lead Cruz has?

Lolo on February 2, 2016 at 6:54 AM

Biggest Loser

trs on February 2, 2016 at 7:08 AM

It is amazing watching the media reaction and spin to last night’s results.

Anyone that falls for the spin that Iowa has sudden;y become more important than other cycles deserves the traitor Rubio as nominee. He will then go on to lose (unexpectedly/sarc) to the Dem nominee. The GOPe will graciously concede and the status quo will remain. The party establishments and their donors will be happy while we get screwed over.

The whole “Trump lost!” schtick has only one goal – to dampen momentum for Trump and suppress his NH and Florida numbers so a GOPe candidate could win.

Don’t be fooled. NH and Florida are the real states to watch. If Trump wins those, it is over and the nomination is his.

Anything else is a charade.

TheRightMan on February 2, 2016 at 7:38 AM

Good speech, maybe he’s hedging his bets and leaving the door open for a possible cabinet position in the Cruz administration? :)

celt on February 2, 2016 at 7:54 AM

Trump gives us hope. Either way we win.If he is the nominee it’s a win. If he is not we will destroy the GOP and remove it as an obstacle to the defeat of the progressive socialists.You cannot win without us-ask McCain and Romney.We win either way!

redware on February 2, 2016 at 8:22 AM

Ha!! All of a sudden, losing becomes a good thing.

If he would have won, he would have called everyone else a loser, disparaging their character and whether they should even be in the race.

Now as a loser, he is “gracious”…

I will say what he would have said:
“Coming in second place, you are still a loser, and a loser shouldn’t be in the White House, we have lost to many times over the last several years, it’s time to dump the losers, nobody remembers who comes in second, but they will remember me, I won, everyone else lost…”

Trump was going into the election with as much as a 20 point lead, he lost that and more, showing he is not well liked, that people don’t respect him, that he is a loser and doesn’t belong in the race…the people have been to speak, and it clear, he lost over 20 points in this race, people don’t like him, his faithful do, but his unfavorables caught up with him.

right2bright on February 2, 2016 at 8:35 AM

while it would have been amazing if Trump won Iowa…i think he’s still fine. Cruz spent a gazillion dolalrs and ran it up with evangelicals. not too many states where that can be repeated. Trump’s bit mistake i think was not really going after Rubio to this point. it was rubio stealing the votes in polk county that Trump needed, not Cruz. in that respect, it was a mistake for Trump to let Fox news run their Rubio telethon disguised as a debate unopposed. Cruz can not keep up the spending at 4 million per state, and trump hasnt even begun to spend yet. on to NH !

johngalt on February 2, 2016 at 8:37 AM

Looks to me like a cute Fox anchor inadvertently spoiled Trumps Iowa votes. Trump made a mistake letting Kelly dictate his action on the last debate. Many voters leaning Trump switched on voting day.
Bet he won’t do that again.

plutorocks on February 2, 2016 at 8:55 AM

Did you know that tater tots are made from all the scraps of potatoes laying on the floor after french fries are made?????

Indiana Jim on February 2, 2016 at 9:13 AM

Not Boooosh or Reeeewbiyo. Good job, Iowa.

S. D. on February 2, 2016 at 9:21 AM

R2Stupid. You can’t even see past your nose. Get back to us after NH and SC. Idiot!!

Indiana Jim on February 2, 2016 at 9:21 AM

Said it for months: Iowa is irrelevant. Too highly evangelical. Too small.

Have doubts? Ask previous winners Santorum and Huckabee.

Anti-Trumpsters everywhere are crying out his demise as expected because in a field of 10, Cruz won by 3 points. woo hoo

In eight days, New Hampshire will have them crying but this time it will be in their oatmeal when Trump wins big.

Younggod on February 2, 2016 at 9:42 AM

What a loser. He was leading Iowa…what happened???

changer1701 on February 2, 2016 at 9:53 AM

Trump gives us hope. Either way we win.If he is the nominee it’s a win. If he is not we will destroy the GOP and remove it as an obstacle to the defeat of the progressive socialists.You cannot win without us-ask McCain and Romney.We win either way!

redware on February 2, 2016 at 8:22 AM

LOL. The Trumper spin today is glorious.

changer1701 on February 2, 2016 at 9:58 AM

I’ve been a Cruz supporter from the start. I will gladly vote for Trump if Cruz doesn’t win it but no way will I vote for Rubio. I was a Rubio supporter in 2010 and he turned out to be a liar of the worst kind. I’ll never forget him standing up there with Schumer and McCain crowing about the Gang of Eight bill. I’ll never forget that.

Big Orange on February 2, 2016 at 10:09 AM

changer. Presidents Santorum and Huckabee would beg to differ with you…..clod!!

Indiana Jim on February 2, 2016 at 10:14 AM

But 2nd place is terrific!
I’m telling you it’s amazing!
We did incredible!
It was yuuuge!

Galtian on February 2, 2016 at 10:20 AM

Which three? Are you predicting a New Hampshire loss for Trump?

MidAtlantic Moderate on February 2, 2016 at 2:03 AM

He should win that easily…but I suspect it will be a close race, and probably Trump will lose.

I can’t see where he can overcome his unfavorables, just the math of it makes a win so difficult.

By all accounts, rallies, vocal support…just like Iowa, but as large of crowds as he attracts, a larger wants nothing to do with him.

How he overcomes that, I don’t know, but I have been saying that for months…it’s not who he attracts, it’s who he has offended that makes him a loser.

And pandering to the ethanol lobby was maybe his most foolish move…the Iowan’s saw through that.

We will see what gaff’s are made by what candidate in New Hampshire, if Donald is a “good boy” people will see that as pandering, but if he continues his “bad boy” image, his unfavorables stay.

He, and Iowa may have proved it, has reached his ceiling of supporters and voters.

right2bright on February 2, 2016 at 11:04 AM

In eight days, New Hampshire will have them crying but this time it will be in their oatmeal when Trump wins big.

Younggod on February 2, 2016 at 9:42 AM

And if Trump loses…you will concede he is indeed in big trouble?

Or do you move the goal posts again.

Iowa was a slam dunk, in fact all of the pundits knew if a large turnout happened, it was to support Trump, because he drives the issues…and it was a record turnout.

And a record number of people did not vote for Trump, but a record number did vote for Cruz…

It was a significant loss, because all of the “points” were in Trumps favor…ethanol support, Palin, good weather, record turn out, huge rallies for Trump…all the signs were pointing towards him, and a big win for him.

But with all of the favorable winds at his back, he still lost substantially.

right2bright on February 2, 2016 at 11:09 AM

the Canadian’s adopted home state, as when he gave up his Canadian citizenship a year or so ago anyway

Still with the Canadian cracks, I see.

There Goes the Neighborhood on February 2, 2016 at 5:10 PM