Wow: Cruz to focus attack ads in final days before Iowa on Rubio, not Trump

posted at 5:21 pm on January 29, 2016 by Allahpundit

Never mind what I said about that WSJ/NBC poll yesterday. This is the strongest evidence yet that Rubio’s coming on in Iowa.

I’d pay cash money to know what Cruz’s internal polling is showing now.

Senator Ted Cruz, scrambling to put down a growing threat in Iowa from Senator Marco Rubio, is shifting nearly all of his negative advertising from Donald J. Trump to Mr. Rubio for the final three days of the caucuses.

Mr. Cruz intends to direct his firepower at his Senate colleague after days of seeing Mr. Rubio inch up both in public polling and his own private surveys, according to two advisers to Mr. Cruz who spoke on the condition of anonymity. After leading in the polls in Iowa for much of the last month, Mr. Cruz has slipped into second behind Mr. Trump in most public surveys.

The change of direction marks an abrupt shift, reflecting how volatile the race in Iowa remains: Mr. Cruz’s campaign only began airing negative spots against Mr. Trump this week and just put their first attack ad up against Mr. Rubio on Thursday on Iowa television.

A diehard Cruz fan assures me on Twitter that this is purely a matter of Cruz running up the score. He’s such a lock to win the caucuses via his ground game, despite trailing Trump routinely now by seven points or more in Iowa polls and notwithstanding a lackluster debate last night, that he’s better off using what little time remains to make sure Rubio finishes as far back as possible before New Hampshire. If true, that’s an … interesting strategy for a guy who’s spent the last 10 days telling Iowans that the race is neck and neck and that if Trump wins Iowa he may be unstoppable. Imagine a Cruz donor being told today “It’s in the bag so we’re going to spend the last 72 hours playing a prevent defense against Rubio” when the number of first-time caucusgoers for Trump on Monday is still a black box.

Even Team Cruz isn’t trying that spin. Their take is that because Cruz’s Super PACs are attacking Trump now, the campaign itself can afford to spend some money to try to hold Rubio back. Okay, but if Iowa’s still competitive, you would think Cruz would throw everything he’s got at Trump in hopes of derailing him before he builds up momentum. If Cruz loses narrowly to Trump and then Trump swamps New Hampshire, Cruz’s task in South Carolina will be much harder than if he went kitchen-sink on Trump now and won Iowa narrowly. It sure looks as if Cruz has quietly become convinced that second place in Iowa is the likeliest outcome for him and he’s desperately trying to hold Rubio to third. Cruz finishing second in the caucuses would be a heavy blow but he can still use it to claim a two-man race next week with Trump. Finishing third behind Rubio might be a campaign-killer since it would show that Cruz can’t even top Rubio in states where the electorate is supposed to favor the “true conservative” with a shelf full of evangelical endorsements.

Here’s another possibility, I guess:

Okay, but those are precious dollars to be spending on what would amount to a big media fake-out when they could be going towards tearing down Trump. The odds of Rubio finishing second, by the way, are currently 22 percent per Nate Silver. He’s got a 10 percent chance of shocking the world and winning the caucuses outright, which, implausible though it may seem, would give us a week of “Is Rubio about to run the table?” narratives. If he can’t win, though, it’s obvious who he’s hoping will come out on top:

The Florida senator and his advisers have concluded that a head-to-head battle with Mr. Trump over the next several weeks would be much more advantageous than one with Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, whose success would greatly complicate Mr. Rubio’s hopes of consolidating his support inside the Republican Party.

A victory by Mr. Trump would send panicked Republicans toward Mr. Rubio, his campaign reasons, especially donors who have been reluctant to get behind Mr. Rubio because their allegiances are with other candidates.

A victory by Mr. Cruz, however, would give the Texas senator a lift in states that hold later primaries and caucuses, and would draw voters away from Mr. Rubio. And with internal polling showing significant overlap with Cruz voters, the sooner Mr. Cruz can be hobbled, the better, Rubio advisers say.

You can, I guess, interpret Cruz’s new strategy of attacking Rubio as a response to that, although I don’t see the point of it. Trump is the likely beneficiary of Rubio’s attacks on Cruz; if Cruz wants to counter that, he’s better off attacking Trump than Rubio. Only one thing is clear as Iowa approaches maximum chaos, my friends: Huckabee and Santorum will both do terribly on Monday night, and it’ll be glorious.


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Comments

He’s not dumb.

If Rubio beats him he’s dead.

Schadenfreude on January 29, 2016 at 5:27 PM

We’re going to get a Trump/Rubio ticket, aren’t we?

God help us.

libfreesMom on January 29, 2016 at 5:27 PM

Trump, Cruz, and Rubi Surges are falling victim to expectations game…

mjbrooks3 on January 29, 2016 at 5:27 PM

Being attacked by Trump is normal. Being attacked by Rubio does more damage and needs a quick response.

RBMN on January 29, 2016 at 5:27 PM

He also knows that Rubio, Kasich and Jeb! will take more votes away form him than Trump, after last night.

Cool read about them.

Schadenfreude on January 29, 2016 at 5:28 PM

That’s it. This is as good a concession as we’re going to get that Trump is going to win Iowa.

anti-Trumpers have probably abandoned Cruz at this point if he’s trying to stave off a second place finish.

Doomberg on January 29, 2016 at 5:29 PM

Will Cruz drop the atomic bomb?

Ya know, Rubio arrested in gay park at night…

mjbrooks3 on January 29, 2016 at 5:30 PM

Goober Pyle seems to be really desperate…

OmahaConservative on January 29, 2016 at 5:31 PM

You thought the GOPe was dead? Ha! You’ll nominate the GOPe whether you like it or not.

El_Terrible on January 29, 2016 at 5:31 PM

writing off #1 in Iowa is how it looks, a battle for 2nd between C and R

Senator Philip Bluster on January 29, 2016 at 5:33 PM

VP play — 2020, 2024

jake-the-goose on January 29, 2016 at 5:33 PM

Only one thing is clear as Iowa approaches maximum chaos, my friends: Huckabee and Santorum will both do terribly on Monday night, and it’ll be glorious.

Glorious.

Aizen on January 29, 2016 at 5:35 PM

slick teddy giving up, hoping to make nice to President Trump.

but what will his sleazy pac’s do

Garyinaz66 on January 29, 2016 at 5:37 PM

Only one thing is clear as Iowa approaches maximum chaos, my friends: Huckabee and Santorum will both do terribly on Monday night, and it’ll be glorious.

Kelly will cry too.

Schadenfreude on January 29, 2016 at 5:39 PM

He has to, this is fairly obvious.

AYNBLAND on January 29, 2016 at 5:39 PM

He also knows that Rubio, Kasich and Jeb! will take more votes away form him than Trump, after last night.

Cool read about them.

Schadenfreude on January 29, 2016 at 5:28 PM

yep, rubio, kasich, bush, cruz all amnesty birds of a feather.

they just have different names for their amnesty schemes

Garyinaz66 on January 29, 2016 at 5:39 PM

From Wikipedia, regarding our favorite (chuckle) Republican stegosaurus:

[Pat] Buchanan’s New Hampshire win alarmed the Republican “establishment” sufficiently as to provoke prominent Republicans to quickly coalesce around [Bob] Dole, and Dole won every primary starting with North and South Dakota. Dole resigned his Senate seat on June 11 and the Republican National Convention formally nominated Dole on August 15, 1996 for President.

The irony of Marco Rubio possibly representing the “Bob Dole of 2016” is beyond hilarious.

Aizen on January 29, 2016 at 5:40 PM

So, what color tie do ya’ll reckon Trump will wear to his inauguration next year?

Paperclips on January 29, 2016 at 5:40 PM

Note that the Cruz and Rubio kids are not very joyful, nor that nasty, today.

Schadenfreude on January 29, 2016 at 5:41 PM

Note that the Cruz and Rubio kids are not very joyful, nor that nasty, today.

Schadenfreude on January 29, 2016 at 5:41 PM

Yeah, the Cruzers seem to be in silent mourning today.

The thing is, I actually like Cruz quite a bit, but some of his supporters are pretty nasty for some reason.

Paperclips on January 29, 2016 at 5:44 PM

Even Team Cruz isn’t trying that spin. Their take is that because Cruz’s Super PACs are attacking Trump now, the campaign itself can afford to spend some money to try to hold Rubio back.

So, has Allahpundit now unwittingly become a co-conspirator in an attempt to circumvent campaign finance regulations barring coordination between campaigns and Super PACs…?

JohnGalt23 on January 29, 2016 at 5:47 PM

Yeah, the Cruzers seem to be in silent mourning today.

The thing is, I actually like Cruz quite a bit, but some of his supporters are pretty nasty for some reason.

Paperclips on January 29, 2016 at 5:44 PM

Some have unfortunately been convinced by anti-Trumpers that Trump is the left of Stalin and will lead the country into a fascist nightmare. The other nasty ones are anti-Trumpers that will switch back to Rubio very shortly.

Doomberg on January 29, 2016 at 5:48 PM

I’ve been saying all day that Cruz could sink to 3rd in Iowa. Given that he and his team have already begun telling anyone who will listen that 2nd is a win (underdog!), that would be a real disaster.

Joseph K on January 29, 2016 at 5:48 PM

So, what color tie do ya’ll reckon Trump will wear to his inauguration next year?

Paperclips on January 29, 2016 at 5:40 PM

Red of course

DarkCurrent on January 29, 2016 at 5:48 PM

I’m still stunned at the fact that none of the writers on HA will acknowledge that Trump effectively set off a tactical Nuke on the Cruz and Rubio campaigns by not showing up to that debate.

Are they just too stubborn/bitter to admit it?

Paperclips on January 29, 2016 at 5:50 PM

Note that the Cruz and Rubio kids are not very joyful, nor that nasty, today.

Schadenfreude on January 29, 2016 at 5:41 PM

WTF?? HOW DARE YOU! I AM NOT You…..yeah. Cruz petered out.

libfreesMom on January 29, 2016 at 5:50 PM

I’m still stunned at the fact that none of the writers on HA will acknowledge that Trump effectively set off a tactical Nuke on the Cruz and Rubio campaigns by not showing up to that debate.

Are they just too stubborn/bitter to admit it?

Paperclips on January 29, 2016 at 5:50 PM

If Trump wins Iowa, I think they finally will, but not before that.

Doomberg on January 29, 2016 at 5:52 PM

Another theory: polling shows that Donald has a ceiling of around 30%,but his support has hardened by this point, and advertising against him may actually be more likely to drive his supporters to actually show up. You aren’t going to convert his supporters, and attacking him with negative ads is counter productive. To win, Cruz will need to convert someone else’s supporters. Rubio has the next largest share of the vote, and his support is way, way softer than Trump’s. If Cruz wants to win he needs to peel off some of Rubio’s soft support and hope that a wave of would-be Trump voters don’t show up.

Lawdawg86 on January 29, 2016 at 5:52 PM

El Cubano, el Cubano.

VorDaj on January 29, 2016 at 5:54 PM

Only one thing is clear as Iowa approaches maximum chaos, my friends: Huckabee and Santorum will both do terribly on Monday night, and it’ll be glorious.

It will be glorious all right but they still won’t go away.

Buttercup on January 29, 2016 at 5:54 PM

I’m still stunned at the fact that none of the writers on HA will acknowledge that Trump effectively set off a tactical Nuke on the Cruz and Rubio campaigns by not showing up to that debate.

Are they just too stubborn/bitter to admit it?

Paperclips on January 29, 2016 at 5:50 PM

Wasn’t it more like a strategic nuke? Tactical nukes are the little ones.

DarkCurrent on January 29, 2016 at 5:55 PM

A very classy and luxurious move on Cruz’s part.

Magicjava on January 29, 2016 at 5:56 PM

That’s it. This is as good a concession as we’re going to get that Trump is going to win Iowa.

Doomberg on January 29, 2016 at 5:29 PM

Which unfortunately is great news for Rubio. And in this primary, the number one goal of every immigration hawk should be to make sure that Rubio doesn’t win.

Therefore all immigration hawks should be voting for Cruz in Iowa, even if they prefer Trump over Cruz for the nomination, to ensure that it stays a Trump vs. Cruz race.

Apparently a lot of Trump fans have convinced themselves that if Trump wins both Iowa and NH, he will be invincible, and won’t have to worry about Rubio. But that’s a delusion. With the establishment united behind him, Rubio will have all the money he needs to fight a long war with Trump that he very well could win.

Jon0815 on January 29, 2016 at 5:56 PM

I’m waiting for the votes to be counted…

… by Microsoft.

Seven Percent Solution on January 29, 2016 at 5:56 PM

If Trump wins Iowa, I think they finally will, but not before that.

Doomberg on January 29, 2016 at 5:52 PM

Hm, so you reckon that they’re afraid of giving Trump even more momentum by breaking open the dam?

Paperclips on January 29, 2016 at 5:56 PM

Kelly flummoxed Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, currently polling second and third in Iowa, with brutal video montages that vividly demonstrated their flip-flops on immigration reform. To make things even more delicious for Trump, his other favorite bullying target, “low-energy” Jeb Bush, helped twist the knife into Rubio. And another one of his punching bags, Rand Paul, helped deliver the beatdown to Cruz.

It’s hard to see how the debate could have gone any better for Trump than if he had actually participated. Meanwhile, Democrats who hope to expand their majorities among Latino voters had to enjoy watching two Cuban-American Republicans scrambling to walk back their previous flirtations with reform.

Schadenfreude on January 29, 2016 at 5:56 PM

Which unfortunately is great news for Rubio. And in this primary, the number one goal of every immigration hawk should be to make sure that Rubio doesn’t win.

Rubio seems to be handling that part himself.

Magicjava on January 29, 2016 at 5:57 PM

It’s over for everyone if Cruz loses IA. Maybe Cruz wants to hold 2cnd through the primaries and at least be the “voice” of the conservative opposition.

Cruz better have a spectacular ground game and very dedicated and convincing supporters arguing at the cauci because this thing looks like it’s slipping away from him.

BoxHead1 on January 29, 2016 at 5:58 PM

Which unfortunately is great news for Rubio. And in this primary, the number one goal of every immigration hawk should be to make sure that Rubio doesn’t win.

Therefore all immigration hawks should be voting for Cruz in Iowa, even if they prefer Trump over Cruz for the nomination, to ensure that it stays a Trump vs. Cruz race.

Apparently a lot of Trump fans have convinced themselves that if Trump wins both Iowa and NH, he will be invincible, and won’t have to worry about Rubio. But that’s a delusion. With the establishment united behind him, Rubio will have all the money he needs to fight a long war with Trump that he very well could win.

Jon0815 on January 29, 2016 at 5:56 PM

Nice try, but no sale.

Trump has more than 3 times the polling percentage in Rubio’s own home state of Florida, which happens to be the first winner take all state.

Also, once Trump decides it’s time to turn his full attention to Rubio, he’s finished. Trup crushes everyone in his path like it’s nothing. Rubio is just a plastic, canned politician and people see right through him already as it is. No way he gets anywhere near this nomination, especially since Bush has all his resources trained on him right now.

Paperclips on January 29, 2016 at 6:00 PM

Everybody here hates him, but Rubio is the one Trump fears most.

Tater Salad on January 29, 2016 at 6:00 PM

Bush essentially committed the Republican primary equivalent of a murder-suicide, reminding the audience that he and Rubio both supported versions of amnesty—but that only Rubio lacked the guts to admit it.

He cut and run because it wasn’t popular among conservatives, I guess,” Bush said.

Schadenfreude on January 29, 2016 at 6:01 PM

Will Cruz drop the atomic bomb?

Ya know, Rubio arrested in gay park at night…

mjbrooks3 on January 29, 2016 at 5:30 PM

Ya know, I heard about that too and told three other people.

Mr. Arrogant on January 29, 2016 at 6:01 PM

Well it looks like Trump is just letting Rubio and Cruz cannibalize eachother…

sorrowen on January 29, 2016 at 6:01 PM

Everybody here hates him, but Rubio is the one Trump fears most.

Tater Salad on January 29, 2016 at 6:00 PM

Nothing spells badass like being in 3rd place in your home state.

Magicjava on January 29, 2016 at 6:02 PM

I hope Cruz pulls it out and wins. I’d love to see Trump come in third behind Rubio, but that’s too much to hope for. I like Rubio and I’d be okay with him as the nominee, but I think Cruz has a better chance of getting wider Republican support. After the drama from this primary we’re going to have a lot of divisions regardless of who wins the nomination.

Jill1066 on January 29, 2016 at 6:02 PM

The only point Allahpundit has managed to consistently make over the last eight weeks is

1) he’s in the tank for Rubio, and
2) his navel gazing ‘analysis’ is becoming increasingly tiresome.

paladinofthelosthour on January 29, 2016 at 6:02 PM

Cruz’s internal polling probably came from Dick Morris. And we all know Dick is always right.

Mr. Arrogant on January 29, 2016 at 6:02 PM

Bush acknowledged that his position might not be popular in the primary, but with a touch of charming I’m-not-Trump self-deprecation, he urged the audience to read his book stating his case, Immigration Wars. “You can get it at $2.99 on Amazon,” Bush said. “It’s not a best-seller, I can promise you.” When Rubio pointed out that Bush had changed his position on citizenship, Bush didn’t even deny it.

“So did you,” he said.

Rubio seemed taken aback. “Well, but you changed the—in the book …”

“Yeah,” Bush countered. “So did you, Marco.”

Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow.

Schadenfreude on January 29, 2016 at 6:02 PM

You know who this favors?

Mitt Romney.

Moonbat_One on January 29, 2016 at 6:03 PM

Schad at 6:02 pm

Jeb doesn’t even pretend to give a crap. He just says ” yeah but you’re a liar, too”. These debates – they’re counterproductive for all the candidates.

cimbri on January 29, 2016 at 6:08 PM

Most who watched the debate saw MK interview Cruz right after the debate and she agreed emphatically that he was trying to kill the bill. She did her best Hannity.

I still think he wins Iowa and Trump’s numbers will underperform by 5 to 15 points. Polls only count for dogs and strippers.

can_con on January 29, 2016 at 6:09 PM

Wasn’t it more like a strategic nuke? Tactical nukes are the little ones.

DarkCurrent on January 29, 2016 at 5:55 PM

Cruz and Rubio are small targets.

VorDaj on January 29, 2016 at 6:09 PM

We know you can’t shake Trump supporters away, so negative advertising was geared to prevent undecideds from going to Trump. Trump ducking the debate did as much Cruz could have done with adds. Now he needs to keep them from settling on Rubio.

cowdoc on January 29, 2016 at 6:11 PM

Hm, so you reckon that they’re afraid of giving Trump even more momentum by breaking open the dam?

Paperclips on January 29, 2016 at 5:56 PM

That’s basically correct, yes. Coming out and saying “It’s over folks, Trump is going to win Iowa” is not something they want to have to say. Stories like that might discourage Cruz supporters into staying home.

With that being said, a miracle still might happen for Cruz somehow, but Cruz going after Rubio is a flashing red signal he expects to lose.

Doomberg on January 29, 2016 at 6:19 PM

So, what color tie do ya’ll reckon Trump will wear to his inauguration next year?
Paperclips on January 29, 2016 at 5:40 PM

Red, white and blue, narrow diagonal stripes, with a big solid gold “Make America Great” tie pin about the size of an old American Eagle gold coin…… Or maybe it will BE a real ten dollar gold piece with “Make America Great” enameled on it. (A twenty would be too gaudy, and a five not gaudy enough for that occasion.)

LegendHasIt on January 29, 2016 at 6:20 PM

The only point Allahpundit has managed to consistently make over the last eight weeks is

1) he’s in the tank for Rubio, and
2) his navel gazing ‘analysis’ is becoming increasingly tiresome.

paladinofthelosthour on January 29, 2016 at 6:02 PM

Yessir. Lots of chin scratching and ear tugging going on at Hot Air.

Is it coincidence that Cruz began to fade after starting his attacks against Trump? We have seen other candidates crash their ships against Trumps reef.

bobthm3 on January 29, 2016 at 6:20 PM

Cruz has completely lost his mind. He is bringing Demented Clown Beck back to Iowa!

VorDaj on January 29, 2016 at 6:22 PM

Everybody here hates him, but Rubio is the one Trump fears most.
Tater Salad on January 29, 2016 at 6:00 PM

The first half is almost right.
The second made me literally laugh out loud.
Thank you very much for my first good laugh of the day. I appreciate it.

LegendHasIt on January 29, 2016 at 6:22 PM

This really just helps Trump.

SquireB on January 29, 2016 at 6:24 PM

“Asked whether second or first was in the cards, Rubio strategist Todd Harris said, and I’m quoting, f— off,” Harris said.

looks like they want to portray 3rd place as some kind of victory. pathetic.

Senator Philip Bluster on January 29, 2016 at 6:25 PM

Cruz Campaign Officially Off The Rails – Brings Glenn Beck Back To Iowa For Final Days…
The Bloom Is Off The Ruse

Report: Seven Cruz campaign staff quit – Campaign legal staff hits exiting campaign workers with legal notices to keep quiet.

The stress fractures within the Ted Cruz facade are beginning to reach the point where it’s no longer possible to keep them hidden. (Via CNN) […] as Cruz appears to be falling farther behind front-runner Donald Trump, his campaign is now looking in the rear-view mirror, concerned that Marco Rubio and the rest of the GOP field are closing in.
http://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/01/29/cruz-campaign-officially-off-the-rails-brings-glenn-beck-back-to-iowa-for-final-days/

Garyinaz66 on January 29, 2016 at 6:27 PM

Schadenfreude on January 29, 2016 at 5:27 PM

You are beating me everywhere today.

Cruz can lose to Trump and keep going.

He can’t even let Rubio get close in Iowa, the socon state.

Meremortal on January 29, 2016 at 6:27 PM

Good for Cruz. He was in good shape until Trump pulled him into a fight. Sadly Cruz bit, and all those who kept pushing Cruz to respond to Trump are delighted. They are happy because they are Rubio fans, or Bush fans.

To me Rubio is a dangerous person because he is a foreign policy ignoramus. The Rubio’s vision in foreign policy is as dangerous as Obama’s foreign policy. In fact possibly more dangerous because many more American troops will pay for Rubio’s blunders.

Vote for Rubio if you want American troops dying in Yemen for Saudi Arabia, and if you want America to accept refugees from Yemen…which will happen if we blunder into another Muslim civil war there.

William Eaton on January 29, 2016 at 6:34 PM

Allah ignored his embarrassingly wrong call on Trump going to the debate.

Everybody here hates him, but Rubio is the one Trump fears most.

Tater Salad on January 29, 2016 at 6:00 PM

Oh man, if that’s true Rubio is in trouble.

Meremortal on January 29, 2016 at 6:34 PM

omg. Cruz came off like such a smug know-it-all last night. Can’t tell you how happy it will make me if he comes in a distant third- or even fourth after Ben Carson. Yay!

BettyRuth on January 29, 2016 at 6:37 PM

*sigh*

i am losing my sanity here. i am TIRED of polls, and of analysis about polls.

i don’t know how many articles i have read over the past several weeks about “where’s rubio?” and “rubio isn’t getting much support” and “it’s a trump-cruz race in iowa” and “why isn’t rubio getting higher numbers?”

now all of a sudden, rubio supposedly surges? i have spent weeks reading about how low rubio’s iowa numbers are. i cannot simply change my train of thought when several analysts have said something completely different. i just can’t do it. no.

i like keeping up with political news but sometimes it gets ridiculous.

Sachiko on January 29, 2016 at 6:39 PM

In some moderately good news for my fellow Cruz supporters he’s within 10 nationally in the last IBD/TiPP poll with Trumpy down 6

IBD/TIPP 1/22 – 1/27 395 RV 31 21 10 9 5 1 4 2 2 1 1 Trump +10

Charliecrown on January 29, 2016 at 6:40 PM

My Monday prediction-
CRUZ 34%
RUBIO 32%
TRUMP 30%

Deadeye on January 29, 2016 at 7:00 PM

My Monday prediction-
CRUZ 34%
RUBIO 32%
TRUMP 30%

Deadeye on January 29, 2016 at 7:00 PM

Good going!!! Stepping up and laying down numbers.

OK – provided no bombshells in the the next 2 days.

My 1st (the one that counts) – Ground game isn’t a factor – prediction

Trump 35%
Cruz 27%
Rubio 21%

My 2cnd(consolation) if the stories about Trumps ground game are true and if it matters this cycle.

Cruz 34%
Trump 29%
Rubio 18%

BoxHead1 on January 29, 2016 at 7:20 PM

Scratch that –

Bush and Carson are going meet expectations so I’m shaving points off the 3 leaders.

My 1st (the one that counts) – Ground game isn’t a factor – prediction

Trump 33%
Cruz 25%
Rubio 19%

My 2cnd(consolation) if the stories about Trumps ground game are true and if it matters this cycle.

Cruz 31%
Trump 26%
Rubio 16%

BoxHead1 on January 29, 2016 at 7:35 PM

My prediction:

1: Predictions are useless;
2: Polls are useless;
3: Iowa doesn’t matter.

(other than maybe Trhumping some sense into the heads of the fringe candidates.)

LegendHasIt on January 29, 2016 at 8:22 PM

. . . those are precious dollars to be spending on what would amount to a big media fake-out when they could be going towards tearing down Trump. The odds of Rubio finishing second, by the way, are currently 22 percent. . . . I don’t see the point of it. Trump is the likely beneficiary of Rubio’s attacks on Cruz; if Cruz wants to counter that, he’s better off attacking Trump than Rubio.

He has eyes but cannot see.

Gosh, maybe Cruz is blocking for Trump.

Kabuki News at 11. . . .

Younggod on January 30, 2016 at 7:48 AM

Iowa doesn’t matter.

LegendHasIt on January 29, 2016 at 8:22 PM

true

Younggod on January 30, 2016 at 7:51 AM

This is the strongest evidence yet that Rubio’s coming on in Iowa.

Or it’s the biggest, most misguided “non sequitur” of the month.

Incidentally, how does this political divining rod work? If it’s as good as the blather implies, why not just jump ahead and let us know who the next president will be….

RL on January 31, 2016 at 11:02 AM