Number of Iowans newly registering as Republicans is outpacing 2012 levels

posted at 6:01 pm on January 28, 2016 by Allahpundit

Good news and bad news for Trump fans from Nate Cohn. The good news: If you’re looking for evidence that Monday night’s electorate will include a bunch of people who’ve never voted Republican before, which probably means a stronger than expected showing for Trump, here you go. New registrations for the GOP are up from where they were in 2012:

Those are dismal numbers for Bernie Sanders, who’s hoping to bring his own surge of independents and disaffected liberals into the Democratic caucus, but an encouraging sign for Trump. The bad news is that new registrations aren’t as robust as you might expect given the size of Trump’s media megaphone. As you can see, the GOP’s only about 1,000 new registrants ahead of where it was in the dismal 2012 primary. Several thousand more new Democrats were registered in 2008 at this point than new Republicans have registered this year. Which is easily explained: The Obama phenomenon was carried along not just by his media platform but by a world-beating organization with a terrific GOTV operation. Obama had to work to get his voters to caucus, even with the press swooning over him. How’s Trump doing with the other part of the “media + ground game” equation? Anecdotal evidence says … not well:

“They called me the oth­er night and said I’d be a pre­cinct cap­tain,” she said as she stood in snow flur­ries wait­ing to enter a Trump rally. The job en­tails call­ing oth­er po­ten­tial Trump sup­port­ers in Mar­shall County to re­mind them to turn out Monday night at 7 p.m. Of course, to do that she needs names and phone num­bers—which, as of earli­er this week, she still had not re­ceived.

“I’ve asked for a list, and there’s only a few days left, so I hope it’s soon,” she said…

Also in the neigh­bor­hood, in yet an­oth­er of­fice park, was the Trump Iowa headquar­ters, where it was less clear what activ­ity was tak­ing place. A Trump staffer de­clined to give Na­tion­al Journ­al ac­cess to any­thing bey­ond the entry­way. In the course of an hour, not a single staff mem­ber or vo­lun­teer entered or ex­ited the build­ing.

The next day, at a nearby call cen­ter hired by Trump for phone-bank­ing, only eight vo­lun­teers had signed in by mid­day—by which time oth­er cam­paigns would have twice or three times as many people work­ing the phones.

Ace wonders why Trump, whose resources are basically inexhaustible, skimped on pouring money into his GOTV effort. That’s one of the great mysteries of the primary. He could have buried the other candidates with attack ads and field troops, and although critics would have screamed he was buying the nomination, most of the party would have shrugged. That’s one of Trump’s core invulnerabilities — he flaunts his wealth so much that there’s no way to shame him for enjoying it the way the left continuously shamed Romney for it. If he wanted to spend $200 million to destroy Cruz, he would have just said, “It’s my money, I worked hard for it,” and everyone apart from Cruz fans would have high-fived. But he hasn’t done that. Why come this far, leading the polls for the duration of the primary, only to get out-organized in the only poll that counts?

Aha, but what about new registrations on caucus day? Political junkies know by now that anyone can walk in on Monday night, register, and participate. Maybe the big surge is still to come. Maybe, but Cohn notes that that isn’t how it’s worked in the past, even for the Obama phenomenon:

The number of active registered voters increased by about 16,000 between January and February in 2008, and many of those newly registered voters didn’t vote or participate in the G.O.P. race. It seems reasonable to assume that around 10,000 newly registered voters participated in the 2008 Democratic primary, or only about 4 percent of the electorate.

Most of the increase in turnout for Mr. Obama came from voters who were already registered but hadn’t previously participated in the caucus, not from people who had not yet registered to vote.

Could be that Trumpmania will rely on the same sort of already-registered-but-disaffected voters that Obama did, in which case maybe the new-registrant numbers aren’t capturing the size of the wave that’s coming. For the record, though, the best caucus turnout the GOP’s ever had was 122,000 people in 2012. Monmouth assumed turnout of 170,000 people in its poll yesterday showing Trump leading Cruz by seven points. A more modest turnout of 130,000, which would still be record-setting, would produce … a dead heat between Cruz and Trump at 26 percent each. There’s more good news and potential bad news for Trumpers in that. The good news is that Trump has now gained enough on Cruz that he’s a threat to win even if there isn’t the sort of blockbuster gate-crashing among his fans that he’s hoping for. The bad news is that, if Cruz is out-organizing him in terms of turning out likely voters, maybe he’s also out-organizing him in registering people (and convincing registered-but-disaffected Republicans who support him to show up). Trump isn’t going to win all the first-time caucusgoers, after all. Whether he wins Iowa depends on his margin over Cruz in that category. The fact that the indicators for newbies on Monday night aren’t off the charts suggests that margin will be smaller than expected.

For more on the turnout numbers in Iowa, read streiff at Red State, who notes that Republican registrations are actually down from where they were a year ago. That’ll probably change as of Monday, when some people join the party to caucus, but it’s not the trend that a Trump fan wants to see.


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Nate Silver also pointed out that Google searches for “Caucus” is down or something or other…

mjbrooks3 on January 28, 2016 at 6:02 PM

I’m sure they’re registering to vote for Kasich and/or Bush.

Paperclips on January 28, 2016 at 6:04 PM

My debate prediction…Trump wins the Drudge after debate on-line poll…

PatriotRider on January 28, 2016 at 6:05 PM

Ace wonders why Trump, whose resources are basically inexhaustible, skimped on pouring money into his GOTV effort. That’s one of the great mysteries of the primary. He could have buried the other candidates with attack ads and field troops, and although critics would have screamed he was buying the nomination, most of the party would have shrugged. That’s one of Trump’s core invulnerabilities — he flaunts his wealth so much that there’s no way to shame him for enjoying it the way the left continuously shamed Romney for it. If he wanted to spend $200 million to destroy Cruz, he would have just said, “It’s my money, I worked hard for it,” and everyone apart from Cruz fans would have high-fived. But he hasn’t done that. Why come this far, leading the polls for the duration of the primary, only to get out-organized in the only poll that counts?

Ed already pushed this old, tired “Trump doesn’t spend enough!” meme.

No matter what Trump does, he’s wrong in the eyes of Salem.

fossten on January 28, 2016 at 6:06 PM

TRUMPNADO

Garyinaz66 on January 28, 2016 at 6:08 PM

Who is Bill Sammon and what does he do at Fox News , is it that he is the head of FoxInTheHenHouseNewsless debate operations.

His daughter Brooke Sammon, her being Marco Rubio’s press sec.

Is this just one more “move along” this is just how things work, nothing to see here………?????

APACHEWHOKNOWS on January 28, 2016 at 6:08 PM

No matter what Trump does, he’s wrong in the eyes of Salem.

fossten on January 28, 2016 at 6:06 PM

Conspiracy. Pathetic.

libfreesMom on January 28, 2016 at 6:08 PM

New Iowa Poll – Donald Trump 31%, Ted Cruz 23%, Marco Rubio 14% – Cruz Favorability Plummets…

Garyinaz66 on January 28, 2016 at 6:10 PM

Just as a palate cleanser, in the streiff article it mentions the biggest increase in voter registration in the past came from the supporters of the Vander Plaats backed candidate.

Tater Salad on January 28, 2016 at 6:11 PM

Rally to the sound of the Trumpet!

Given The Donald’s apparent support, never dreamed there was this much dumbsh*tery in the Party. Whatever. If Trump wins the nomination, I’ll vote GOP on the down ballot, but I refuse to vote for this buffoon, even at risk of getting the Queen of Corruption. If Trump is indeed the face of white America, God help us all.

Dan333 on January 28, 2016 at 6:14 PM

Trump has set up a phone center to vote for the Iowa Caucus:

1-900-16-TRUMP *

*$5.99 per call

libfreesMom on January 28, 2016 at 6:14 PM

Does this sound like a winner to you?

Although Cruz is campaigning aggressively, his advisers are concerned about the barrage and are now scrambling to reset expectations for him here. They insisted Monday that the senator from Texas always has been the “underdog” in Iowa and argued that a second-place finish to Donald Trump should be interpreted as a mark of grit and would catapult him onward in the nominating contest.

“I can’t guarantee we’ll win,” Cruz told a group of pastors Monday at a private meeting in Cedar Rapids. “I don’t know that. That’s out of my hands. I believe we have a path to victory.”

Conspiracy. Pathetic.

libfreesMom on January 28, 2016 at 6:08 PM

Um. He’s alleging bias, not conspiracy. Do anti-Trumpers now believe all allegations of media bias are “conspiracy theories?”

Well, whatever it takes to “get Trump,” I guess.

Doomberg on January 28, 2016 at 6:14 PM

And now Trump has moved up his pity party to an hour earlier. Ten bucks says he crashes the debate. I hope he gets boo’d off the stage.

BettyRuth on January 28, 2016 at 6:15 PM

Is there some political event tonight…?

d1carter on January 28, 2016 at 6:15 PM

Any other candidate with a 7-point lead would have to be considered a favorite to win. But Trump doesn’t have enough sheep-herders apparently to herd the sheep to the polls or something.

Btw, Obama won by busing in “voters” from Chicago, and having paid thugs intimidate Clinton voters. There is Get Out the Vote and then there is Chicago-style GET OUT THE VOTE.

Nicole Coulter on January 28, 2016 at 6:15 PM

Dirty tricks?

Christien on January 28, 2016 at 6:16 PM

Rally to the sound of the Trumpet!

Given The Donald’s apparent support, never dreamed there was this much dumbsh*tery in the Party. Whatever. If Trump wins the nomination, I’ll vote GOP on the down ballot, but I refuse to vote for this buffoon, even at risk of getting the Queen of Corruption. If Trump is indeed the face of white America, God help us all.

Dan333 on January 28, 2016 at 6:14 PM

I might add that “if he’s the face of white America, God help us all”.

Tater Salad on January 28, 2016 at 6:16 PM

Who is Brooke Sammon who does she work for?

Her dad Bill Sammon, head of operations for FoxInTheHenHouseNewsless.

If Brooke works for Marco Rubio as press sec. that would be odd and how do they keep that all clear and clean?

Not.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on January 28, 2016 at 6:17 PM

Um. He’s alleging bias, not conspiracy. Do anti-Trumpers now believe all allegations of media bias are “conspiracy theories?”

Well, whatever it takes to “get Trump,” I guess.

Doomberg on January 28, 2016 at 6:14 PM

No he’s not. Anytime anybody doesn’t agree with Ed,Allah or Jazz,it’s a big Salem/GOPe Conspiracy!!!

I don’t know how or why management puts up with it.

libfreesMom on January 28, 2016 at 6:17 PM

Any other candidate with a 7-point lead would have to be considered a favorite to win. But Trump doesn’t have enough sheep-herders apparently to herd the sheep to the polls or something.

Btw, Obama won by busing in “voters” from Chicago, and having paid thugs intimidate Clinton voters. There is Get Out the Vote and then there is Chicago-style GET OUT THE VOTE.

Nicole Coulter on January 28, 2016 at 6:15 PM

What you’re seeing is a final grasping at straws; essentially a sim hope that anti-Trumpers full the streets while Trump supporters stay home. It’s troop rallying stuff by anti-Trumpers and Cruz supporters.

The problem is, Cruz is already beginning to tell people “Second place is a symbolic victory!” And demands for a one-on-one debate. These are not things someone who expects to win does or says.

Trump’s voters could still fail to come out, but the Cruz campaign sure isn’t acting like they think this.

Doomberg on January 28, 2016 at 6:18 PM

Ace wonders why Trump, whose resources are basically inexhaustible, skimped on pouring money into his GOTV effort.

If he wanted to spend $200 million to destroy Cruz, he would have just said, “It’s my money, I worked hard for it,”

I think you have your answer. Spending $200 million that someone donated to your campaign is one thing. Spending $200 million of your own wealth is quite another.

RINO in Name Only on January 28, 2016 at 6:19 PM

– The Master Wizard of US –

You’re off to vote for Donald,
the Wonderful Donald of US,
because, because, because, because, because..
because of the wonderful things he does.

If ever a persuader,
persuader there was,
The Donald is one, because because
because because because because becauuuuuuse
because of the wonderful things he does!

We’re off to vote for Donald,
The Wonderful Donald of US!

Best thing I’ve seen in weeks, from the comments at Adam’s site.

Buckshot Bill on January 28, 2016 at 6:20 PM

No he’s not. Anytime anybody doesn’t agree with Ed,Allah or Jazz,it’s a big Salem/GOPe Conspiracy!!!

I don’t know how or why management puts up with it.

libfreesMom on January 28, 2016 at 6:17 PM

Yes, that’s called media bias, not “conspiracy.” He’s alleging Salem and its writers are biased against Trump.

And if the writers start purging commenters for criticizing them too much, this place will be LGF in three months or less.

Doomberg on January 28, 2016 at 6:20 PM

read streiff at Red State

Or read The Onion. Same difference, except The Onion is more reality-based.

whatcat on January 28, 2016 at 6:21 PM

I doubt it’s a surge, since most people are lazy. If you’re going to knock him off it was always going to be in the primaries, and he’s weakest in Iowa, so if it’s not here and now, then it’s never.

DFCtomm on January 28, 2016 at 6:22 PM

Allahpundit, why aren’t you there on the ground in Iowa to suss it all out in person? You’ve certainly showed enough interest in the subject.

Christien on January 28, 2016 at 6:22 PM

Allahpundit, why aren’t you there on the ground in Iowa to suss it all out in person? You’ve certainly showed enough interest in the subject.

Christien on January 28, 2016 at 6:22 PM

He was worried that the TSA might sexually violate his cat.

DFCtomm on January 28, 2016 at 6:22 PM

The problem is, Cruz is already beginning to tell people “Second place is a symbolic victory!” And demands for a one-on-one debate. These are not things someone who expects to win does or says.

Doomberg on January 28, 2016 at 6:18 PM

…bingo…I like Cruz a lot…but this one-on-one debate thingy came off as childish…if he’s not better than that, he doesn’t deserve to win…

Pelosi Schmelosi on January 28, 2016 at 6:24 PM

BTW, Trump’s heralded counter-event “for the veterans” is falling apart. CNN isn’t covering it exclusively, no veterans group wants to be involved, and the best Trump can do for entertainment is Huck and Santorum?

Tater Salad on January 28, 2016 at 6:24 PM

Not revealing any secrets here since they’ve been published by the Cruz camp and its too close for anyone to catch this:
– 12,000 volunteers
– 600 out-of-staters in ‘camps’ in the last month, numbers exploding ther
– over 12,000 calls a day for WEEKS, over 60 callers working 8-12 hours (90+% volunteers) now, up from 30-40 2-3 weeks ago
– 2,000 doors knocked a day- even in blizzard conditions
93% precinct have captains- 2 weeks ago (Santorum had 58% last time)

Polls don’t matter one whit; been disproven over and over again in Iowa. If retail politics can win this, Cruz will crush it.
My prediction: an 8-10% win for Cruz, people claiming it due to last minute deciders… No, by a superior ground game.
If this DOESN’T come to pass, retail politics are dead and all we’re left with is ‘Celebrity Aprrentice’; entertaining, but disasterous for the country.
10 month from now and 18 months from now, I’ll be proud of supporting Cruz. I will lay BIG odds that most Trump supporters won’t be.

michaelo on January 28, 2016 at 6:25 PM

Nate Silver also pointed out that Google searches for “Caucus” is down or something or other…

mjbrooks3 on January 28, 2016 at 6:02 PM

They must be brothers… both have the same name, Nate. ;)

Neitherleftorright on January 28, 2016 at 6:26 PM

Tater Salad on January 28, 2016 at 6:16 PM

Tater I referenced white America, because single issue nativists are Trump’s primary base of support. It’s sad to see such a pretentious clown like Donald Trump with such a zombified fan base, but the country is going down the sh*tter anyway, so why worry too much as he accelerates the process.

Dan333 on January 28, 2016 at 6:26 PM

A lot of Mobey in the headline but … Allah makes some good points and it’s balanced. And he reads the data right.

I’m betting on Trump and he has all the momentum… but, I’ll also be a doubter here because I think even if IA goes Cruz, Trump wins every other state so I don’t feel like a need to shill … but … and here is the doubt … like Allah asks – why didn’t he buy a good ground game? Unless the federalist is lying, it looks like person to person contact is totally missing from his campaign. A whole lot of voters are not twitter addicts or even media savy. Also, that personal reminder from someone who you have talked to before goes a long way. Not to mention, it makes some feel more a part of the campaign – and the causus is more involved than just pressing a button.

Note: the non existent ground game might be a myth and , in Trump’s case it might not matter – if he’s ahead by enough.

BoxHead1 on January 28, 2016 at 6:26 PM

Not revealing any secrets here since they’ve been published by the Cruz camp and its too close for anyone to catch this:
– 12,000 volunteers
– 600 out-of-staters in ‘camps’ in the last month, numbers exploding ther
– over 12,000 calls a day for WEEKS, over 60 callers working 8-12 hours (90+% volunteers) now, up from 30-40 2-3 weeks ago
– 2,000 doors knocked a day- even in blizzard conditions
93% precinct have captains- 2 weeks ago (Santorum had 58% last time)

Polls don’t matter one whit; been disproven over and over again in Iowa. If retail politics can win this, Cruz will crush it.
My prediction: an 8-10% win for Cruz, people claiming it due to last minute deciders… No, by a superior ground game.
If this DOESN’T come to pass, retail politics are dead and all we’re left with is ‘Celebrity Aprrentice’; entertaining, but disasterous for the country.
10 month from now and 18 months from now, I’ll be proud of supporting Cruz. I will lay BIG odds that most Trump supporters won’t be.

michaelo on January 28, 2016 at 6:25 PM

Wouldn’t be surprised if Rubio was close to Trump for 2nd place. Still think it will be a two man race between Cruz and Rubio.

Tater Salad on January 28, 2016 at 6:28 PM

Yes, that’s called media bias, not “conspiracy.” He’s alleging Salem and its writers are biased against Trump.

And if the writers start purging commenters for criticizing them too much, this place will be LGF in three months or less.

Doomberg on January 28, 2016 at 6:20 PM

Interesting you should mention that last bit. Ever since Trump started getting big, Red State started mass purging people, to a ridiculous extent. They used to have tons of comments in their articles, similar to Hot Air, but now the average is like 10 or 12.

I’m sure in their minds, they somehow think they’ve won by clearing out the room and creating an echo chamber, but in reality they’ve basically become irrelevant and inconsequential.

Paperclips on January 28, 2016 at 6:28 PM

If this DOESN’T come to pass, retail politics are dead and all we’re left with is ‘Celebrity Aprrentice’; entertaining, but disasterous for the country.

michaelo on January 28, 2016 at 6:25 PM

Why would it be dead? Who killed it? It was the establishment wasn’t it, and so now they weep for that which they destroyed. Hear that? It’s the worlds smallest violin.

DFCtomm on January 28, 2016 at 6:28 PM

Dan333 on January 28, 2016 at 6:26 PM

I understand and agree with you completely.

Tater Salad on January 28, 2016 at 6:30 PM

Note: the non existent ground game might be a myth and , in Trump’s case it might not matter – if he’s ahead by enough.

BoxHead1 on January 28, 2016 at 6:26 PM

I’ve read stories in prior weeks that Trump has a significant ground game. I can’t really view these “no ground game” claims as anything other than troop-rallying for Cruz. We’ll find out on election night.

As I’ve said previously, Cruz needs a convincing +5 win in Iowa to try to crack the Trump campaign. A +1 won’t cut it. Trump will have to be stopped in New Hampshire, too.

Doomberg on January 28, 2016 at 6:31 PM

the Trump site is instructing on joining at the time of the caucus, not days ahead, so that does not figure into the anticipated crush of newbies on Monday night.

Senator Philip Bluster on January 28, 2016 at 6:31 PM

michaelo on January 28, 2016 at 6:25 PM

And my cousin is going to vote for Bernie. The traitor!

Nice numbers.

And I am right there with you that I will still be proud of Cruz

Constitutionalist on January 28, 2016 at 6:31 PM

WINNING!!!!!!

Brock Robamney on January 28, 2016 at 6:32 PM

My prediction: an 8-10% win for Cruz, people claiming it due to last minute deciders… No, by a superior ground game.
If this DOESN’T come to pass, retail politics are dead …

michaelo on January 28, 2016 at 6:25 PM

Dead just this cycle. No one but Trump could pull off a win like this. Obama couldn’t. He had overwhelming forces. Some site Santorum’s win without a good ground game – and Huckabee – though I believe Huckabee had a network of Churches and Santorum still had a traditional GOTV.

Were you following IA in the 2012 primary? Was Santorum well organized?

BoxHead1 on January 28, 2016 at 6:32 PM

AP. Lol!! For a second there i thought you were going to compliment trump. BTW- did you really see trump walking on water the other day?? And then loudly proclaim at the top of your voice =”see, i told you all he couldnt swim”!!!…..

Indiana Jim on January 28, 2016 at 6:33 PM

I’m sure in their minds, they somehow think they’ve won by clearing out the room and creating an echo chamber, but in reality they’ve basically become irrelevant and inconsequential.

Paperclips on January 28, 2016 at 6:28 PM

I haven’t gone to Red State in years and I really only come here for the comments these days. Ace’s site would be more my cup of tea if they did more blog posts and less open threads (and had a better commenting system).

Doomberg on January 28, 2016 at 6:34 PM

You snarky,smarmy Cruz supporters should perhaps ponder this.The disaffected/new voters who are backing trump are the very same “missing white voters ” who didn’t show for Romney in 2012.Don’t count on them showing up for a Cruz candidacy in 2016. You have thoroughly burned those bridges.You can add to those numbers many more of us who did indeed turn out for Romney in 2016,but who are now convinced that a vote for Cruz is a vote for Obamatrade and H1B visas by a candidate totally owned by his donor cronies. We will be staying home as well. Now, I will readily admit that there are many of you who will stay home if Trump is the nominee.What will be will be.My hope will be that Trump’s ability to attract independents,blacks and disaffected/ new white voters will more than make up for the loss of so-called conservatives willing to stay home and elect Hillary Clinton. Don’t count on Cruz being able to do the same!

redware on January 28, 2016 at 6:34 PM

Idk…Because it’s actually his money?

1) it’s one thing to have donors give you money. Spending someone else’s money is nothing. Spending your own money is very different.

2) even though his father left him a fortune, it takes a lot of hard work to keep it and grow it, and then raise out

Can.I.be.in.the.middle on January 28, 2016 at 6:34 PM

michaelo on January 28, 2016 at 6:25 PM

Sounds like Romney in 2008 and 2012.

Second!

Joseph K on January 28, 2016 at 6:36 PM

I haven’t gone to Red State in years and I really only come here for the comments these days. Ace’s site would be more my cup of tea if they did more blog posts and less open threads (and had a better commenting system).

Doomberg on January 28, 2016 at 6:34 PM

I only pop in there on occasion to laugh at the meltdown they’re having. It’s epic level hillarious.

That Leon Wolf guy that posts a lot of articles there is totally deranged and unhinged. It’s a bit stunning really.

Paperclips on January 28, 2016 at 6:36 PM

Delayed blitz?

Christien on January 28, 2016 at 6:38 PM

Top searched #GOP candidate by county. Red is @realDonaldTrump https://t.co/hSIVN1sLH2 #GOPDebate pic.twitter.com/eGr4Wt6NVV— GoogleTrends (@GoogleTrends) January 28, 2016

TheMadHessian on January 28, 2016 at 6:39 PM

I started the campaign season with this chain of being….Palin>Perry>Walker>Cruz>Rubio>Jeb>Who Cares?

Trump wasn’t on the list.

I am a Trumpster now…..in part because of Joana, Meredith, MJBrutus, & now Dan333……….

Really guyz I have seen this kind of invective before, directed AT Republicans…..but prior to this pretty much exclusively confined to DEMOCRATS ATTACKING REPUBLICANS. Now, I hear the GOP front-runner being accused of being Hitler or Napoleon and his supporters has howler monkeys, or vulgarians . We’ve been called cultists, idiots, nativists, racists…..

Thank you anti-Trumpsters, it’s good you let the masks fall…. So let me state, I will NOT be voting for anyone but Trump…thanks to you. I have never seen a nastier, crazier bunch of self-righteous firebrands than you lot. Those who supported Romney, most of all….you guys & George Will & Erikson & NR are all collectively losing your minds & in so doing you ae alienating potential November voters.

I could bring myself to vote for Cruz or Rubio, but as I am informed that I am some kind of FILTHY IGNORANT HOWLER MONKEY, I don’t think you’d want my vote….Come November when or if you’re looking around for supporters, exclaiming how bad Hillary/Bernie are…just remember the 30%-plus you decided to write off.

JFKY on January 28, 2016 at 6:41 PM

Tater I referenced white America, because single issue nativists are Trump’s primary base of support. It’s sad to see such a pretentious clown like Donald Trump with such a zombified fan base, but the country is going down the sh*tter anyway, so why worry too much as he accelerates the process.

Dan333 on January 28, 2016 at 6:26 PM

Gee, ‘Trump is Hitler’. Where have I see that before from the Democrats.

TheMadHessian on January 28, 2016 at 6:41 PM

Rather than going directly to veterans groups, 100% of online donations on Trump’s pro-veterans site will go directly to Trump’s personal foundation.

Don’t contribute

After ducking the final Republican presidential debate heading into next week’s Iowa caucuses, GOP front-runner Donald Trump announced that he would hold his own pro-veterans event during the debate to raise money for veterans. Trump even set up a special website to solicit donations to help veterans.

“Honor their valor,” the website, donaldtrumpforvets.com, states. “Donate now to help our Veterans.”

The website, which is nothing more than a single page with stock photos and a credit card donation form, claims that “100% of your donations will go directly to Veterans needs.”

There’s only one problem: 100% of the money raised on the site goes directly to Donald Trump’s personal non-profit foundation, according to a disclosure listed at the bottom of the page.

kcewa on January 28, 2016 at 6:43 PM

Ace’s site would be more my cup of tea if they did more blog posts and less open threads (and had a better commenting system).

Doomberg on January 28, 2016 at 6:34 PM

Same. Ace is opinionated and often wrong but he isn’t … tricky. He respects his readers.
Ace has a get high/drunk and comment system. It’s not for conversing.

HA is the only site that people with divergent opinions are allowed to hash it out without group-think carpet bombing or some mod banning or breaking it up.

BoxHead1 on January 28, 2016 at 6:43 PM

Live Stream: Donald Trump Special Event To Benefit Veterans Drake University,Iowa Jan 28th 2016 – begins in about 1 hr, 15 min.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q_xNfp97Ic4

whatcat on January 28, 2016 at 6:44 PM

kcewa,

Their money, not yours. MYOB.

Christien on January 28, 2016 at 6:45 PM

I want to see the look on Rove’s fat face when Trump landslides Iowa.
It will take away some of the pain of the last 7 years for me.

Mr. Arrogant on January 28, 2016 at 6:45 PM

Really guyz I have seen this kind of invective before, directed AT Republicans…..but prior to this pretty much exclusively confined to DEMOCRATS ATTACKING REPUBLICANS. Now, I hear the GOP front-runner being accused of being Hitler or Napoleon and his supporters has howler monkeys, or vulgarians . We’ve been called cultists, idiots, nativists, racists…..

JFKY on January 28, 2016 at 6:41 PM

Heh. It’s been going on since 2010 or so. Plenty of GOP supporters have been happy to use the tactics of the Democrats to defeat “right wing extremists.” Their supporting the MSM (or quietly standing aside) in its efforts to blame Palin for the Tuscon was a big wake-up call for me.

It’s nice that conservatives are actually fighting back for a change instead of huddling into the usual defensive crouch and begging for mercy.

Doomberg on January 28, 2016 at 6:49 PM

*Tucson shooting

Doomberg on January 28, 2016 at 6:49 PM

BTW, Trump’s heralded counter-event “for the veterans” is falling apart. CNN isn’t covering it exclusively, no veterans group wants to be involved, and the best Trump can do for entertainment is Huck and Santorum?

Tater Salad on January 28, 2016 at 6:24 PM

Poor veterans group. Too heroic to realize that they are always being used by the Establishment, believing E-Republicans really care for them.

Good for the beloved veterans. With Trump, they don’t need to do extra effort just to receive some help. They can even act like pampered and bratty boys and girls with their newly-found, generous father, Grandpa Trump.

TheAlamos on January 28, 2016 at 6:50 PM

Same. Ace is opinionated and often wrong but he isn’t … tricky. He respects his readers.
Ace has a get high/drunk and comment system. It’s not for conversing.

HA is the only site that people with divergent opinions are allowed to hash it out without group-think carpet bombing or some mod banning or breaking it up.

BoxHead1 on January 28, 2016 at 6:43 PM

Ace has sometimes gone off the rails in the past but he’s usually very up front in what he thinks. He doesn’t lie, either, and spin is relatively low compared to certain other sites.

Doomberg on January 28, 2016 at 6:51 PM

If Trump does poorly in Iowa the anti-Trumpers will be celebrating like the families who had been seperated by the Berlin Wall after it fell in 1990, or the US sailors kissing their girlfriends/wives on VJ day 70 years ago.

It will be a sight to behold, the staff at National Review might start overturning cars, setting fires, etc.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 6:52 PM

Tater I referenced white America, because single issue nativists are Trump’s primary base of support. It’s sad to see such a pretentious clown like Donald Trump with such a zombified fan base, but the country is going down the sh*tter anyway, so why worry too much as he accelerates the process.

Dan333 on January 28, 2016 at 6:26 PM

ohoh, severe TDS case here.

calling us zombies uh? I have mocked the oponents of trump,without mercy because I despise politicians. for me they dont deserve respect. but I havent mocked cruz or other candidates supporters with the exception of bush mother, rofl.

nathor on January 28, 2016 at 6:55 PM

It will be a sight to behold, the staff at National Review might start overturning cars, setting fires, etc.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 6:52 PM

Kevin D. Williamson has gone so far as to pledge to purchase a new phone for the rude woman who had him thrown out of the opera if Trump is defeated.

Joseph K on January 28, 2016 at 6:56 PM

In this respect Trump fans are a bit like Obama fans back in the it-was-dawn-to-be-alive-then days of 2008 when Obama was promising to heal the earth and slow the rise of the seas.

Noticed this early on.

It is the utter irrelevance of substance to their enthusiasm and, consequently, their imperviousness to argument. To listen to Trump’s fans, you would think that he was a conservative hero, a modern-day Hercules set on flushing the Augean Stables of Washington of the filth and incompetence accreted there by decades of scratch-my-back-I’ll-scratch-your-back cronyism. In fact, he has consistently supported the left-wing, big-government, crony-capitalist, morally latitudinarian agenda they say they are against.

The media has been manipulating liberals for decades. So it was no surprise when they helped create Obama superstar.

But to see the same thing happening now to what were once considered reasonable conservatives, would be entertaining if it’s consequences weren’t so scary for the country.

Quotes Link: Inside the Media’s Myth-Making Machine

Oxymoron on January 28, 2016 at 6:56 PM

Is the GOPe trying to pull another Thad Cochran swindle?

viking01 on January 28, 2016 at 7:00 PM

Tater. Why is it falling apart?? Veterans dont have to be there for it to be a worthy cause. And last i checked, all the tickets were sold out.

Indiana Jim on January 28, 2016 at 7:01 PM

Tater I referenced white America, because single issue nativists are Trump’s primary base of support. It’s sad to see such a pretentious clown like Donald Trump with such a zombified fan base, but the country is going down the sh*tter anyway, so why worry too much as he accelerates the process.

Dan333 on January 28, 2016 at 6:26 PM

ohoh, severe TDS case here.

calling us zombies uh? I have mocked the oponents of trump,without mercy because I despise politicians. for me they dont deserve respect. but I havent mocked cruz or other candidates supporters with the exception of bush mother, rofl.

nathor on January 28, 2016 at 6:55 PM

they are taking a page from huffpo:
HuffPo Policy: Trump Must Be Be Called ‘Liar, Racist, Sexist Bully’ In Every Post
http://www.breitbart.com/big-journalism/2016/01/28/huffpo-policy-trump-must-be-be-called-liar-racist-sexist-bully-in-every-post/

Garyinaz66 on January 28, 2016 at 7:03 PM

ohoh, severe TDS case here.

calling us zombies uh? I have mocked the oponents of trump,without mercy because I despise politicians. for me they dont deserve respect. but I havent mocked cruz or other candidates supporters with the exception of bush mother, rofl.

nathor on January 28, 2016 at 6:55 PM

You want to compare “Syndromes”?

I am atheist, but I decided to have faith in Trump, because I hate his enemies. no sarcasm
TRUMP 2016!

nathor on January 28, 2016 at 4:41 PM

portlandon on January 28, 2016 at 7:08 PM

It will be a sight to behold, the staff at National Review might start overturning cars, setting fires, etc.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 6:52 PM

HA would be hard to handle. Allah would break out the humpbot.

It would only last a week. NH will be Trump and 2 weeks later SC will end Cruz’s hope in the south.

If Trump loses IA he’ll flood the zone in SC. Also, he’ll make sure his people turn out to vote (no caucus). He’ll get the right people. He’ll fire those that he has to.

If Trump wins IA or even is second at -(2 to 3)% it’s over. Cruz donors will bail. IA is Cruz’s best and last chance.

BoxHead1 on January 28, 2016 at 7:10 PM

Allahpundit, why aren’t you there on the ground in Iowa to suss it all out in person? You’ve certainly showed enough interest in the subject.

Christien on January 28, 2016 at 6:22 PM

Iowa is in flyover country. Allahpundit doesn’t travel west of the Hudson River.

bw222 on January 28, 2016 at 7:22 PM

BoxHead1 on January 28, 2016 at 7:10 PM

Anti-Trump Twitter will be out of control, hopefully it doesn’t happen having to look at that will be terrible.

It wouldn’t have any effect, though, but what the anti-Trumpers want is for Trump to go crazy and start bashing his supporters, this is the anti-Trumpers’ best hope.

This is why they were so overhyping that thing “I could shoot someone” over the weekend.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 7:23 PM

Trump is bringing in new people to the Republican Party, but he’s still the devil to NRO, Weekly Standard, Townhall, etc.

huckleberryfriend on January 28, 2016 at 7:25 PM

Kevin D. Williamson has gone so far as to pledge to purchase a new phone for the rude woman who had him thrown out of the opera if Trump is defeated.

Joseph K on January 28, 2016 at 6:56 PM

What a guy.

Maybe she can buy him a clue in exchange for the phone.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 7:25 PM

bw222,

Smack dab in the Heart of Redness, as Iowahawk calls it.

Christien on January 28, 2016 at 7:31 PM

Getting thrown out of the opera sounds fun.

If it ever happens to me I’ll sing Pagliacci or Carmen…

viking01 on January 28, 2016 at 7:33 PM

Ed already pushed this old, tired “Trump doesn’t spend enough!” meme.

No matter what Trump does, he’s wrong in the eyes of Salem.

fossten on January 28, 2016 at 6:06 PM

Just make your case Fossten. No need to get all butt hurt and allege corporate conspiracies to a politcal blog, that needs fresh content doing an analysis of the upcoming election.

You’re not nearly as fabulous a whiner as El Trumpo himself.,I’ll tell you that.Not close!!! ;)

Charliecrown on January 28, 2016 at 7:55 PM

Trump is bringing in new people to the Republican Party, but he’s still the devil to NRO, Weekly Standard, Townhall, etc.

huckleberryfriend on January 28, 2016 at 7:25 PM

Look the RINO, open border zealots are bad,nearly everyone on this blog agrees with that,and definitely some or a lot of the people complaining has been a part of the problem,but not all of them,and even some who have been,also may still have some valid criticisms.

The main substantive criticism, that are not easy to refute it that the guy is basically a Democrat,with a penchant for random,crazy nasty smears that he launches indiscriminately. Oh, and he also has a reputation,partially deserved,and largly BS of being a bigot.

Why would the right wing movement want a billionaire egomaniac,strongman lefty,who doesn’t even have the usual lefty halo of being “tolerant”.

He’s trying to take people for a ride, that much is clear (Even though he does love the country). Hopefully in the end it won’t work

Charliecrown on January 28, 2016 at 8:00 PM

Tucker Carlson wrote a great Trump article in Politico.

It put National Review to shame, not that that is hard to do.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 8:01 PM

“They called me the oth­er night and said I’d be a pre­cinct cap­tain,” she said as she stood in snow flur­ries wait­ing to enter a Trump rally.

lolllllll

thirtyandseven on January 28, 2016 at 8:02 PM

Charliecrown on January 28, 2016 at 7:55 PM

Congratulations, fossten, charlie’s grammar and spelling are unraveling, his line of thought is incoherent, the phrase “butt hurt” makes an appearance, and you earned a winky emoticon.

Victory!

Joseph K on January 28, 2016 at 8:03 PM

Congratulations, fossten, charlie’s grammar and spelling are unraveling, his line of thought is incoherent, the phrase “butt hurt” makes an appearance, and you earned a winky emoticon.

Victory!

Joseph K on January 28, 2016 at 8:03 PM

Lol, I’m just speed typing on a blog,between doing some options trades,and grabbing a cold one before the debate.

I come in peace,more or less. We both really want many of the same things. Let’s go hard (in the election) and shake hands and work together afterwards in the ways we can.

Charliecrown on January 28, 2016 at 8:07 PM

Charliecrown on January 28, 2016 at 8:07 PM

I appreciate a man with a sense of humor. Hope the options trades net you some bucks.

Joseph K on January 28, 2016 at 8:09 PM

P.S. AND keep it as civilized as possible (while still passionate).There’s no need for us to get as heated as the candidates themselves I think

Charliecrown on January 28, 2016 at 8:11 PM

The main substantive criticism, that are not easy to refute it that the guy is basically a Democrat,with a penchant for random,crazy nasty smears that he launches indiscriminately. Oh, and he also has a reputation,partially deserved,and largly BS of being a bigot.

Charliecrown on January 28, 2016 at 8:00 PM

Try this. Trump is getting around 40% in the polls and a substantial block of that is from hard-core Conservatives.

People who deny it are the crazy ones.

I’m sure you have your reasons for being for someone other than Trump, but they are not my reasons or the reasons of other Trump supporters. I dare say we are as smart and knowledgeable as you, we just came to a different conclusion.

Trump’s not a bigot. He goes after anyone of any race, any ethnic background, any gender, and any class. How can he be a bigot?

huckleberryfriend on January 28, 2016 at 8:22 PM

The caucus was decided by less than 30 votes in 2012, so “just” 1,000 additional registered voters isn’t exactly nothing.

Sarah-Cuda on January 28, 2016 at 8:29 PM

If this DOESN’T come to pass, retail politics are dead and all we’re left with is ‘Celebrity Aprrentice’; entertaining, but disasterous for the country.

michaelo on January 28, 2016 at 6:25 PM

Don’t have a problem with the death part. I do have a problem with thinking that Trump is not a self mad billionaire that runs a world wide operation while milking an alphabet channel out of hundreds of millions for a few hours of work.

But hey whatever gets you through the night.

jukin3 on January 28, 2016 at 8:36 PM

Thank you anti-Trumpsters, it’s good you let the masks fall…. So let me state, I will NOT be voting for anyone but Trump…thanks to you. I have never seen a nastier, crazier bunch of self-righteous firebrands than you lot. Those who supported Romney, most of all….you guys & George Will & Erikson & NR are all collectively losing your minds & in so doing you ae alienating potential November voters.

JFKY on January 28, 2016 at 6:41 PM

I’m getting really tempted to start going through the larger threads and start bulk quoting all of the hateful invective and ad hominems being posted by the TDS crowd just so everyone can see at a glance who the real “howler monkeys” are.

Sugarbuzz on January 28, 2016 at 8:53 PM

I started the campaign season with this chain of being….Palin>Perry>Walker>Cruz>Rubio>Jeb>Who Cares?

Trump wasn’t on the list.

I am a Trumpster now…..in part because of Joana, Meredith, MJBrutus, & now Dan333……….

Really guyz I have seen this kind of invective before, directed AT Republicans…..but prior to this pretty much exclusively confined to DEMOCRATS ATTACKING REPUBLICANS. Now, I hear the GOP front-runner being accused of being Hitler or Napoleon and his supporters has howler monkeys, or vulgarians . We’ve been called cultists, idiots, nativists, racists…..

Thank you anti-Trumpsters, it’s good you let the masks fall…. So let me state, I will NOT be voting for anyone but Trump…thanks to you. I have never seen a nastier, crazier bunch of self-righteous firebrands than you lot. Those who supported Romney, most of all….you guys & George Will & Erikson & NR are all collectively losing your minds & in so
doing you are alienating potential November voters.

I could bring myself to vote for Cruz or Rubio, but as I am informed that I am some kind of FILTHY IGNORANT HOWLER MONKEY, I don’t think you’d want my vote….Come November when or if you’re looking around for supporters, exclaiming how bad Hillary/Bernie are…just remember the 30%-plus you decided to write off.

JFKY on January 28, 2016 at 6:41 PM

+1000

I was Walker>Cruz>Santorum>Paul.

Now it is Trump or I don’t vote.

NWConservative on January 28, 2016 at 8:59 PM

Thank you anti-Trumpsters, it’s good you let the masks fall…. So let me state, I will NOT be voting for anyone but Trump…thanks to you. I have never seen a nastier, crazier bunch of self-righteous firebrands than you lot. Those who supported Romney, most of all….you guys & George Will & Erikson & NR are all collectively losing your minds & in so doing you ae alienating potential November voters.

JFKY on January 28, 2016 at 6:41 PM

I’m getting really tempted to start going through the larger threads and start bulk quoting all of the hateful invective and ad hominems being posted by the TDS crowd just so everyone can see at a glance who the real “howler monkeys” are.

Sugarbuzz on January 28, 2016 at 8:53 PM

I think it’s fair to say both sides need to chill. Here’s my super quick diagnosis. Trump is doing some ABSOLUTELY CRUCIAL “surgery” to intentionally or not take on the entrenched interests. That’s what people love about him.

That said, there are tens of millions who agree on that part, at least mostly, but feel JUST AS PASSIONATE about Acting honourably (courageously,but not shiving ur real allies), and make no mistake Trump is doing that.They’re also super concerned about his lefty history and large ego.

I think both sides fans should NOT act like the candidates.Remember Trumpeteers and Cruzers. Both guys are applying for jobs from us. WE ARE THE BOSSES OF BOTH MEN, so let’s use Trump’s art of the deal mentality to drive a hard bargain with them,AND treat each other (shareholders if you will) with respect.

My two cents. Your mileage may of course vary

Charliecrown on January 28, 2016 at 9:03 PM

Sugarbuzz on January 28, 2016 at 8:53 PM
Please don’t. A anti Trump commenter will pull every ugly nasty comment from the pro Trump side and then some idiot will retaliate, and on and on…. Look, both sides have mange to put away their swords, so leave it at that.(Besides, plenty of time to insult each other, this election has not even started yet.)

flackcatcher on January 28, 2016 at 9:27 PM

Many are registering for Rand Paul. Watched a rally he had yesterday and after his talk, someone gave a talk about filling out cards, going caucus, etc and one question was how many are first time caucus goers and 1/3 of the audience raised their hands. They can register on site, so they are not being counted right now. Lots of college students voting for Paul. I seriously doubt anyone is registering for Trump…I think he will not do so well at the caucus…no ground game what so ever and many people go to rallies who have no plan to vote for him, just going for the spectacle.

Puma for Life on January 29, 2016 at 11:52 AM