Is Rubio starting to move up in Iowa?

posted at 4:01 pm on January 28, 2016 by Allahpundit

Yesterday’s Monmouth poll, which had Rubio in third place with 16 percent, was newsy because those were his best numbers in any Iowa poll since early December. Smoking-gun proof that Rubio’s on the move as late-deciders get serious! Just one problem: 16 percent was actually a point less than what he polled in the last Monmouth survey. He’d actually declined slightly over the past seven weeks. Even good news comes with bad news for Rubio these days.

Until now:

nb

That’s strikingly similar to Monmouth’s results, with Trump exactly seven points ahead of Cruz and Cruz exactly seven points ahead of Rubio. (In fact, the last poll of Iowa before these two also had Trump by seven over Cruz.) What’s different is the trend line for Rubio. Less than three weeks ago, the last time WSJ/NBC polled Iowa, he was at 13 percent. He’s climbed five points in that time. Trump, meanwhile, has climbed eight while Cruz has dropped three. That Trump’s support is increasing while Cruz’s has slipped a bit seems indisputable given the last few polls. What WSJ/NBC is suggesting here is that there may be another trend quietly happening — namely, Rubio building momentum as he campaigns intensively in Iowa over the final week. He’s going to go all-out to try to destroy Cruz tonight at the debate too, knowing that if he can damage Cruz enough to make Iowa a battle for second place between them rather than a battle for first between Trump and Cruz, Rubio will be exactly where he wants to be before New Hampshire. Instead of the young star who underperformed, he’ll be the “surprisingly strong” center-righty who suddenly looks primed for a long race with Trump and Cruz. It’s only one poll but it’s the best news Rubio fans have had in months.

Want more evidence that Rubio is threatening in Iowa? Well, at this point you’d think Cruz would be throwing everything he has at Trump to try to win the caucuses. But he isn’t. He just released a new ad in Iowa targeting — ta da — Marco Rubio:

Just as striking, Mr. Cruz’s campaign quietly began running an ad in Iowa Thursday targeting Mr. Rubio over his support of “amnesty” for undocumented immigrants.

Showing images of Mr. Rubio standing with the so-called Gang of Eight senators who wrote the 2013 immigration overhaul, the spot features a clip from Rush Limbaugh explaining that the Florida senator was a part of that group while Mr. Cruz was not.

The ad, which Mr. Cruz’s campaign did not release to the media, also flashes a message on screen: “Rubio betrayed our trust.”

Cruz also added a bit to his stump speech about Rubio having too quickly abandoned the fight against gay marriage after the Supreme Court legalized it. I wonder what Cruz’s internal polling is showing about Rubio making inroads with evangelicals. That’s who Cruz is counting on to deliver Iowa to him but he’s got a lot of forces trying to tug Christian voters away now — Huckabee and Santorum signaling their preference for Trump by attending his rally tonight, Rubio possibly picking up momentum in Iowa in the closing days, and even Trump’s own surprising strength among evangelical voters. Toss in the chance that Ben Carson’s supporters will stick with him instead of abandoning him for Cruz on Monday and Cruz has to worry not only about Trump bringing in independents as first-time Republican caucusgoers but about the entire field eating away at his core support.

One more piece of evidence, this time from Dave Wasserman of FiveThirtyEight in a post titled “It’s Rubio or Bust for Republicans Who Want to Win.” This isn’t evidence of Iowans tilting towards Rubio but rather of why they might — namely, that there is reason to think he’s more electable than Cruz or Trump. If Rubio can somehow make a convincing electability pitch tonight, it might do something for him:

dw

Based on the fact that he’s only had a couple of polls putting him within striking distance of Cruz, I would have guessed that Rubio has something like a 1-3 percent chance of winning Iowa outright. FiveThirtyEight puts his odds at 10 percent. (Trump and Cruz are now tied at 44 percent each.) Hmmmm. Iowa polling, especially in the final days before the caucuses, has been infamously volatile and now we’re getting a Fox News debate sans Trump just to add to the uncertainty of it all. I think Rubio’s still destined for third but it may be a very strong third. And really, that’s all he’s been hoping for in Iowa for weeks now.


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Bishop

Schadenfreude on January 28, 2016 at 5:37 PM

I’m so sick of everyone being afraid of the big, bad Democrats and Hillary Rodham.

C’mon people. Rubio is more electable than Trump?

Let’s analyze what they’re really saying:

It’s more important to appease liberal Democrat voters than to attract MORE Republicans, conservatives and Independents.

FiveThirtyEight is a liberal shill organization.

I don’t care if they predicted Obama’s 2012 victory.

Rubio won’t fight Hillary with a FRACTION of the zeal that Trump will.

Trump has already shown he WILL … *GO THERE* regarding Bill’s character. He will have no PROBLEM shredding Hillary’s phony war on women.

Look, being a former Democrat has its advantages. You see through their CRAP and you’re not AFRAID. That plus Trump’s eye-for-an-eye personality – Hillary would not have a chance.

Former Dem myself.

Trump’s negatives with Republicans were JUST as high (as those shown with Dems now) before he started dominating the GOP race. He did what NO pundit said you could do: With 100% name recognition, he completely changed people’s perception of him (within the Republican party) from bad to mostly good. I couldn’t stand him at first, so I can testify that MINDS CAN BE CHANGED.

Trump hasn’t even BEGUN to turn his sites on his big tent coalition, although some polls have him winning 20% of Dems and 25% of blacks ALREADY.

This gambit with FOX will only endear him to independent-minded people and probably even greater numbers of Dems.

Stay tuned. It’s about to get REAL.

Nicole Coulter on January 28, 2016 at 5:37 PM

You’ve already made that point twice in 10 minutes, repeating the same link again. What do you have Aspergers?

anotherJoe on January 28, 2016 at 5:11 PM

When Trump zombies learn to get things the first time around, I’ll stop posting it more than once.

AmerigoChattin on January 28, 2016 at 5:39 PM

Funny how this trash goes straight after Schad. They know who to target.

Joseph K on January 28, 2016 at 5:21 PM

Schadenfreude on January 28, 2016 at 5:39 PM

Oops. Ouch.
AmerigoChattin on January 28, 2016 at 4:58 PM

CUSR (Canadians in U.S. Ratings):
Alex Trebek > Jim Carrey
AmerigoChattin on May 17, 2014 at 12:13 PM

Oh, Dang, How could we forget that brilliant, world changing political statement and nation guiding strategy, from one of the most important threads Hot Air has ever run!

I’m so embarrassed to have forgotten such an old and venerated poster.
I hope those Trumpster Howler monkeys are also well chastised by your eminence.

LegendHasIt on January 28, 2016 at 5:40 PM

BettyRuth and KingGold are OK with electing a proven backstabbing liar whose every move will be controlled and dictated by the Chamber of Commerce.

Good to know!

Right Mover on January 28, 2016 at 5:44 PM

When Trump zombies learn to get things the first time around, I’ll stop posting it more than once.

AmerigoChattin on January 28, 2016 at 5:39 PM

Give us another Alex Trebek post while you’re at it. I love Jeopardy!

Joseph K on January 28, 2016 at 5:48 PM

When Trump zombies learn to get things the first time around, I’ll stop posting it more than once.

AmerigoChattin on January 28, 2016 at 5:39 PM

I think you’re proving yourself to be a bit slow. Go back to climbing trees.

anotherJoe on January 28, 2016 at 5:49 PM

So on topic

Schadenfreude on January 28, 2016 at 5:50 PM

…from Instapundit…Trump is brilliant…

..same old story…everybody gets pi$$ed at Trump, and a minute later they’re playing “Follow The Leader”…

RELATED: Ted Cruz Mega-Donors Holding Veterans’ Charities Hostage for Donald Trump Debate.

In response to Senator Ted Cruz’s challenge of a one-on-one debate, the principal donors of the Keep the Promise I and II super PACs are offering presidential candidate Donald Trump a truly fantastic deal, pledging to donate $1.5 million to charities committed to helping veterans if Mr. Trump agrees to debate Senator Cruz in Iowa.

That’s right, a group of Ted Cruz mega-donors have offered the princely sum of $1.5 million, but only if Trump agrees to debate Cruz. Otherwise, tough luck, heroes! This is sick, even by the stunt-charity standard being set by Trump, who, along with his own sketchy history of exploiting veterans, is apparently only raising money for them tonight because Fox News pissed him off. But at least he’s raising the funds, not withholding them as a political ransom.

Apparently, Carly Fiorina has offered her own $1.5 million contribution to veterans’ groups if she can join any Cruz-Trump debate.

Meanwhile, one veterans’ group has said it would decline any such donations, from Trump or any other GOP candidate participating in the event, calling it a “political stunt.” Of course it’s a political stunt–it’s being organized by politicians, for goodness sake. But it seems odd–and itself perhaps political– that the head of a veterans’ organization would turn down a charitable gift for this reason.

Pelosi Schmelosi on January 28, 2016 at 6:00 PM

Having the father of one of your most senior and important campaign staff members writing the debate questions is perfectly alright.

Nothing to see here, folks, just move along.

I’m sure that we will see some hard hitting questions for the Rube tonight, maybe, “Senator Rubio, how do you keep your hair so shiny? Do you use a special conditioner or is it just natural?”

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 6:01 PM

Rubio’s Press Sec. Brooke Sammon

Fox News head of operations for Fox debates her dad Bill Sammon.

Now understand why he does good in the debates.

Incest is the name of the game with the Two Party Evil Money cult and their lap dog media ghouls.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on January 28, 2016 at 6:01 PM

establishment voters realize both have the same amnesty/immigration policy they just call their amnesty schemes different names

ssdd in the gop

Garyinaz66 on January 28, 2016 at 6:02 PM

So on topic

Schadenfreude on January 28, 2016 at 5:50 PM

…gotta say this for Rubio…he does surround himself with hotties…

Pelosi Schmelosi on January 28, 2016 at 6:03 PM

CUSR (Canadians in U.S. Ratings):
Alex Trebek > Jim Carrey
AmerigoChattin on May 17, 2014 at 12:13 PM

Where did Cruz rank on that?

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 6:04 PM

Given how much the Trumpettes hate Rubio, I started paying attention to him. I might like just out of spite.

Tater Salad on January 28, 2016 at 4:13 PM

Bwa ha ha ha…

Nope!

What you are doing is called “slipping off the mask”.

A lot of us Trump supporters know that most of the fake Cruz supporters on this site are Rubio supporters who are just afraid to show their true faces. In fact, I daresay some of you hate Cruz to the core of your beings. You just hate Trump more because he threatens to upset your apple cart.

I expect to see more of you outed as the campaign progresses.

In the meantime, let me leave you with this timeless gem from AYNBLAND:

I was pretending to be a Cruz supporter (I do like him) to burnish my conservative bona fides as rhetorical gimmick to discuss Trump. I’ve owned up to that.
AYNBLAND on October 3, 2015 at 8:52 PM

TheRightMan on January 28, 2016 at 6:06 PM

…gotta say this for Rubio…he does surround himself with hotties…

Pelosi Schmelosi on January 28, 2016 at 6:03 PM

he likes to borrow their boots

Garyinaz66 on January 28, 2016 at 6:06 PM

TheRightMan on January 28, 2016 at 6:06 PM

…was wondering about this…nice post…

Pelosi Schmelosi on January 28, 2016 at 6:11 PM

AmerigoChattin on January 28, 2016 at 5:39 PM

I think you’re proving yourself to be a bit slow. Go back to climbing trees.
anotherJoe on January 28, 2016 at 5:49 PM

Boy, are the TDSers crawling outta the woodwork or what lately?

whatcat on January 28, 2016 at 6:16 PM

There is a feeling that in Iowa Cruz is slipping and Rubio is gaining.

With Cruz gaining the reputation that he is a lawyerish “master debater” it doesn’t help Cruz that his recourse against Trump is … to do a debate challenge!

Cruz is good at using double talk to cover up his weaknesses:

Reporter asks Ted Cruz four times: “How do you define amnesty?”
http://hotair.com/archives/2015/12/01/reporter-asks-ted-cruz-four-times-how-do-you-define-amnesty/

Crickets…

And then:

Cruz flip-flops, implies most illegals can stay

The bottom line, Trump has a Sessions approved plan to deport most of the illegals within two years, but:

Ted Cruz Rejects Trump’s Deportation Plan

anotherJoe on January 28, 2016 at 6:17 PM

The Establishment Way

Internecine Politics – Fox News Debate Executive’s Daughter Is Marco Rubio Press Secretary…

Things That Make Other Things Make Sense…

Last week radio talk show host Mark Levin had to reluctantly admit he has a ‘soon-to-be’ step-son working for Senator Ted Cruz. – HERE – Now, this week comes an even more startling revelation:

Bill Sammon is a Fox News Vice President and in charge of the Fox News debates and questioning. His daughter, Brooke Sammon, is Marco Rubio’s Press Secretary.
http://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/01/28/internecine-politics-fox-news-debate-executives-daughter-is-marco-rubio-press-secretary/

Garyinaz66 on January 28, 2016 at 6:17 PM

Cruz is good at using double talk to cover up his weaknesses:

The bottom line, Trump has a Sessions approved plan to deport most of the illegals within two years, but:

Ted Cruz Rejects Trump’s Deportation Plan

anotherJoe on January 28, 2016 at 6:17 PM

I hope Sessions endorses Trump soon.

But you’re right about Cruz. Even his campaign strategy was double talk. He KISSED TRUMP’s BUTT for six months. NOW he wants to tell everyone how liberal,, phony and erratic Trump is?

I think Cruz is an introvert and an intellectual. Neither of which is bad. They’re good qualities, in fact, in certain instances. But they’re not particularly valuable traits in a presidential race. Throw in Cruz’ deceptiveness about everything from his citizenship, to his loans, to his waffling on amnesty, and voters can sense a snake.

I’m actually predicting a Howard-Dean-like moment for Cruz next Monday. He’ll lose, but then launch into a desperately shrill pep talk about how well he’s gonna do in the next primaris.

Nicole Coulter on January 28, 2016 at 6:25 PM

How epically ironic is it going to be when the candidate (Trump) who is being touted as the wrecking ball that will destroy the establishment winds up ensuring the nomination of the only viable establishment candidate (Rubio) left?

That’s what’s morbidly amusing and terrifically frustrating about these primaries. Cruz is the first conservative, outsider candidate with a chance at the nomination in 35 years and he’s going to be derailed by a once-in-a-lifetime set of circumstances. Good times.

Lamont Cranston on January 28, 2016 at 6:27 PM

Having the father of one of your most senior and important campaign staff members writing the debate questions is perfectly alright.

Nothing to see here, folks, just move along.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 6:01 PM

Let’s get him fired then, right after Justice Thomas.

Gelsomina on January 28, 2016 at 6:29 PM

Good. Rubio is the best! I hope he does well.

I am resigned that the Trumpnado that is sweeping the party is going to make Trump President. Then who knows what happens… but I’m still hoping for a sensible leader like Rubio.

Rubio can beat Hillary, he is all the things that beat her in 2008. Good looking, young, fresh, minority, well spoken… and if Rubio isn’t a conservative, no one is.

Not one candidate has a spotless record.

Go Rubio!

petunia on January 28, 2016 at 6:29 PM

Having the father of one of your most senior and important campaign staff members writing the debate questions is perfectly alright.

Nothing to see here, folks, just move along.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 6:01 PM

So daughters of News executives can’t have jobs.

He doesn’t work for Rubio, his daughter does.

George Stephanopoulos was in the Whitehouse with Hillary and he actually does debates.

Trump needs to put on his big boy pants and stop making excuses.

petunia on January 28, 2016 at 6:32 PM

That’s what’s morbidly amusing and terrifically frustrating about these primaries. Cruz is the first conservative, outsider candidate with a chance at the nomination in 35 years and he’s going to be derailed by a once-in-a-lifetime set of circumstances. Good times.

Lamont Cranston on January 28, 2016 at 6:27 PM

Naw, Cruz really never had a shot. He isn’t nice, or fabulously wealthy. I think you have to be one of those.

petunia on January 28, 2016 at 6:34 PM

establishment voters realize both have the same amnesty/immigration policy they just call their amnesty schemes different names

ssdd in the gop

Garyinaz66 on January 28, 2016 at 6:02 PM

And… it’s all the same as Trump’s policy.

That is why it’s a personality contest, the policies are exactly the same.

petunia on January 28, 2016 at 6:37 PM

If Rubio’s smart, he’ll tattoo Cruz tonight and leave Trump alone. Let Cruz drone on with the over rehearsed mockery of Trump. Hasn’t worked. Cruz just comes off as a smart ass Harvard lawyer. Remind you of someone? Cruz’s political career is over, doubt if runs for re-election. Don’t think Rubio wants to be in the same boat. It’s kinda ironic. Cruz is a member of a club that doesn’t want him and Rubio retired from the club even though they like him.

rik on January 28, 2016 at 6:44 PM

Let’s get him fired then, right after Justice Thomas.

Gelsomina on January 28, 2016 at 6:29 PM

Or, how about he and Fox News disclose the conflict of interest beforehand? Sound like a plan?

If the guy described as the “secret weapon” by the moderators for the way in which he writes the questions lobs a bunch of softballs again at Rubio, as happened in the first debate, would you not be suspicious?

You might not be, but everyone who isn’t a Rubio or GOP eatablishment supporter would be.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 6:45 PM

I hope Sessions endorses Trump soon.

Nicole Coulter on January 28, 2016 at 6:25 PM

You’ll really see a Cruz-World freak out then.

Joseph K on January 28, 2016 at 6:46 PM

So daughters of News executives can’t have jobs.

He doesn’t work for Rubio, his daughter does.

George Stephanopoulos was in the Whitehouse with Hillary and he actually does debates.

Trump needs to put on his big boy pants and stop making excuses.

petunia on January 28, 2016 at 6:32 PM

They can have jobs, but shoudn’t the network disclose beforehand that one of the guys writing the questions for the candidates has a daughter who is a senior staff member of one?

Shouldn’t they verify that the daughter had no contact with the father in regards to the content of the questions?

I think that this is more than reasonable, particularly when it is already assumed that the network is extremely pro-Rubio.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 6:48 PM

…Rubio isn’t a conservative, no one is….
petunia on January 28, 2016 at 6:29 PM

You got that right!!!!
(The other words in that post were kind of a waste of bits and bytes, though)

LegendHasIt on January 28, 2016 at 6:50 PM

SINGLE PAYER TRUMP

and Chuck Schumers Amnesty Poodle on the move?

Who will the Ruling Class Progressives in the gop turn too now?

#stiffthem!

PappyD61 on January 28, 2016 at 6:51 PM

Go Rubio!

petunia on January 28, 2016 at 6:29 PM

I have trouble seeing any politician as handsome :-)
terryannonline on June 9, 2015 at 8:17 PM

Schadenfreude on January 28, 2016 at 6:53 PM

The Establishment is ready to service the Trumpster…..so they can keep their power!

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/republicans-prefer-trump-cruz

They getting ready to go all Marvin Gaye on the Donald. You go Orrin!!!

PappyD61 on January 28, 2016 at 6:54 PM

Given how much the Trumpettes hate Rubio, I started paying attention to him. I might like just out of spite.

Tater Salad on January 28, 2016 at 4:13 PM

I’ve been paying attention to the top 3 or 4 candidates for some time now. By the time Trump and Cruz finish beating the daylights out of each other, Rubio may be the top choice of many voters.

Misha on January 28, 2016 at 6:55 PM

petunia on January 28, 2016 at 6:37 PM

nope.

Only Trump will boot the illegal foreign invaders, he even talks about doing how eisenhower did.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J_sY1tVtdQw

all the others are for mass legalization

Garyinaz66 on January 28, 2016 at 6:57 PM

TRUMPY….A tyrant with the gift of salesmanship…..

http://spectator.org/blog/64193/trump-60-minutes-we-need-socialized-medicine

You’re gonna love DONALDCARE!!!

Wait till HE gets to decide if Granny gets her medicine or not.

PappyD61 on January 28, 2016 at 6:58 PM

Let Cruz drone on with the over rehearsed mockery of Trump.

rik on January 28, 2016 at 6:44 PM

Excellent way of putting it.

You see Cruz railing against Trump, like imploring Trump to debate him, all the while Cruz is doing sweeping arm movements that make Cruz look like an actor on a stage … following a rehearsal he’d done scores of times before.

And good points Nicole! :)

anotherJoe on January 28, 2016 at 7:00 PM

Or, how about he and Fox News disclose the conflict of interest beforehand? Sound like a plan?

If the guy described as the “secret weapon” by the moderators for the way in which he writes the questions lobs a bunch of softballs again at Rubio, as happened in the first debate, would you not be suspicious?

You might not be, but everyone who isn’t a Rubio or GOP eatablishment supporter would be.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 6:45 PM

There were not softball questions for Rubio. The questions were tough for all candidates. It’s just that Rubio and everybody else except Trump answered them and then went on with their lives. Trump can’t do that, because for him – and for his supporters – everything is personal.

Gelsomina on January 28, 2016 at 7:04 PM

Fox News has too much power in the Republican nomination process. They paid off Huck and Palin with jobs to give Romney a clearer path in 2012, and now they’re interfering again. Trump will get a lot of abuse for this action, but it was necessary.

cimbri on January 28, 2016 at 7:10 PM

Trump can’t do that, because for him – and for his supporters – everything is personal.

Gelsomina on January 28, 2016 at 7:04 PM

Come on, you know that Fox didn’t ask Rubio about women on their knees, etc.

cimbri on January 28, 2016 at 7:11 PM

I could beat Hillary.

Just go after working class and lower middle class and win in a landslide.

Go Trump!

huckleberryfriend on January 28, 2016 at 7:21 PM

nope.

Only Trump will boot the illegal foreign invaders, he even talks about doing how eisenhower did.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J_sY1tVtdQw

all the others are for mass legalization

Garyinaz66 on January 28, 2016 at 6:57 PM

What on earth makes you think Trump will follow through on ANY of his “promises”? Do you not recognize that this is a master manipulator that wouldn’t sit across the table from you ANYWHERE at ANYTIME? He’s in no way, a man of the people- Trump will tire of the “actual job” of being President, just like Obama did and make some ridiculous claim of why it’s someone else’s fault that he’s a completely worthless Commander in Chief.

BettyRuth on January 28, 2016 at 7:25 PM

Lets say Rubio wins the election and is the next president what would 2020 look like?

American troops stuck in Yemen, Syria, and Iraq fighting a endless parade of jihadists. Because President Rubio has announced that we are not at war with Islam, just “Radical Terrorist”, and that the territorial integrity of Syria, Iraq, and Yemen must be preserved, our forces are not able to fight the war effectively.

Russia and China will both take advantage of this by using their military to advance their power, and also arm and aid those fighting against American troops in the Middle East. President Rubio will try to challenge this, but our military will be stretched and not capable of mounting a serious check without nuclear war.

Democrats who are now in charge of both the House and Senate (after the 2018 elections) will use every tactic imaginable to ruin the war effort. Republicans will complain that the Dems hate America, but the media will back the Dems. Anti-war protests break out all over the country.

There will be lots of Jihadist attacks in America because President Rubio will allow lots of Muslim migrants and immigrants into the country. He says they do jobs Americans won’t do, and as a new kind of Republican he is out to help all people on earth come to freedom’s shore.

In response to these Jihadist attacks in America, President Rubio will push for all sorts of new NSA/CIA spying methods on all Americans. After all it would be unfair to single out a single community (Muslims) for these awful attacks and just spy on them, or not let them into the country in the first place.

A idiot named Castro is expected to win the Democrat nomination, and be the next president as President Rubio’s poll numbers are in the 30s.

But all the Rubio supporters/Neo-Cons will thump their chest and say a decade later…what a noble effort it all was! To bring freedom to Muslims was something worth destroying America over…

William Eaton on January 28, 2016 at 7:28 PM

There were not softball questions for Rubio. The questions were tough for all candidates. It’s just that Rubio and everybody else except Trump answered them and then went on with their lives. Trump can’t do that, because for him – and for his supporters – everything is personal.

Gelsomina on January 28, 2016 at 7:04 PM

Rubio is the fox news favored son,which is why the convenient failure to mention thing about sammons kid is more damaging to their credibility. And i will say on this site and most others, the personal insults are primarily coming from the anti trumpers. Many of his supporters..and the polls have certainly backed this up..did not start out that way. I had made up my mind that Cruz was the guy, but Trump started to make more sense and seemed bolder and more ready to win. Its not personal to me,its just business.

johngalt on January 28, 2016 at 7:31 PM

Come on, you know that Fox didn’t ask Rubio about women on their knees, etc.

cimbri on January 28, 2016 at 7:11 PM

They went for weaknesses. Rubio’s weakness, for example, was the rape and incest exception for abortion. Another one was his previous praise for Bush. He never said anything insulting about women, so there was no reason to ask him about it. But trash talk about women is one of Trump’s weaknesses. And the funny thing is that his reaction proved their point.

Gelsomina on January 28, 2016 at 7:37 PM

The civil war of the right
Pat Buchanan’s not sure populists, tea party would rally around establishment nominee
Published: 2 hours ago

There is ample and valid reason to suspect that the electorate will not support a GOP Establishment nominee.

thatsafactjack on January 28, 2016 at 7:37 PM

Bloomberg has an excellent piece on the sugar whore that Marco is – I can’t believe anyone supports this clown.

uatu1878 on January 28, 2016 at 7:38 PM

There were not softball questions for Rubio. The questions were tough for all candidates. It’s just that Rubio and everybody else except Trump answered them and then went on with their lives. Trump can’t do that, because for him – and for his supporters – everything is personal.

Gelsomina on January 28, 2016 at 7:04 PM

Rubio wasn’t asked about the only thing he’s ever done, the gang of 8, until 5 or 6 debates in.

That is all anyone cares about, and the audience at all of the debates is stacked with a Rubio and ¡Jeb! cheering section, whooping it up and hooting and hollering in a way that doesn’t reflect the polls.

These aren’t even theories, there were articles about how the crowd at the Reagan library debate was stacked.

Rubio always looks over rehearsed, is that because he knows what questions are coming?

That might not be fair, but that is what people will assume when the guy who is writing the questions is a close relation of one of Rubio’s top aides.

Should have been disclosed ahead of time.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 7:38 PM

Rubio’s weakness, for example, was the rape and incest exception for abortion.

If you think that this is Rubio’s biggest weakness you are completely insane.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 7:40 PM

Fox News has too much power in the Republican nomination process. They paid off Huck and Palin with jobs to give Romney a clearer path in 2012, and now they’re interfering again. Trump will get a lot of abuse for this action, but it was necessary.

cimbri on January 28, 2016 at 7:10 PM

Fox gave free time in 2012 to Palin and Huck. And you know who Megyn Kelly was at war with in 2012? Mitt Romney… I watch him catch her in a flat out lie, she apologized went to commercial, then Mitt was gone she repeated the lie.

I hated her for years.

Fox is not for Trump. No one who knows Trump closely is, and there is a reason for that.

I plan on voting for him only because Hillary is worse, but if Iowa and NH will just give us the chance for Rubio… I’ll be shouting for joy.

We are so close to just giving up our democracy altogether that I’m not sure it matters if Trump wins or not. The America that was once a great and good country is gone. I just hate the hypocrisy and the corruption of the media/Democrat cabal, so if Trump can beat Hillary… I’m there.

But if we have another chance at a good decent President… stretch out the remnants of our once good country another few years with Rubio… well, that would be better.

I hate Trump. But I am also proof that people can vote for someone they hate with a passion if it is the better choice.

petunia on January 28, 2016 at 7:41 PM

Should have been disclosed ahead of time.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 7:38 PM

It was common knowledge to the campaigns. So it was disclosed. Trump is making excuses because he’s a coward.

petunia on January 28, 2016 at 7:42 PM

William Eaton on January 28, 2016 at 7:28 PM

Wow, maybe you picked a bad time to stop drinking, I think you are having hallucinations. :)

My crystal ball only says danger ahead no matter who wins, and make sure it isn’t Hillary.

petunia on January 28, 2016 at 7:45 PM

You’re gonna love DONALDCARE!!!

Wait till HE gets to decide if Granny gets her medicine or not.

PappyD61 on January 28, 2016 at 6:58 PM

The choice will be made purely on looks. He can fund a new beauty pageant… if you are looking good at 80 keep your pills… but if you just can’t fit into that 60 year old wedding dress… you had a nice run honey, go home and die.

:)

Somebody else started looking into a crystal ball, so I got mine out.

petunia on January 28, 2016 at 7:48 PM

Wow, maybe you picked a bad time to stop drinking, I think you are having hallucinations. :)

My crystal ball only says danger ahead no matter who wins, and make sure it isn’t Hillary.

petunia on January 28, 2016 at 7:45 PM

The Senator Marcus Rubious Strategy: Part 1: Invade Muslim country. Part II: Allow them to immigrate to America!

Easy to see how that will end…drink or no drink.

William Eaton on January 28, 2016 at 8:02 PM

Did he get a bigger boat?

Fallon on January 28, 2016 at 8:06 PM

Rubio always looks over rehearsed, is that because he knows what questions are coming?

That might not be fair, but that is what people will assume when the guy who is writing the questions is a close relation of one of Rubio’s top aides.

Should have been disclosed ahead of time.

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 7:38 PM

Always thought he sounded like a programmed robot. Hmmm….

Fallon on January 28, 2016 at 8:08 PM

Rubio always looks over rehearsed, is that because he knows what questions are coming?

Redstone on January 28, 2016 at 7:38 PM

Almost certainly.

Yes, it matters that the main guy writing the questions for the debate has a daughter working as a senior advisor for Rubio. Um, yeah, VERY LIKELY that the questions were given to Rubio in advance.

anotherJoe on January 28, 2016 at 8:23 PM

There has been a concerted effort to make Rubio the GOP nominee whether we want him or not.

jhffmn on January 28, 2016 at 9:48 PM

There is a feeling that in Iowa Cruz is slipping and Rubio is gaining.

With Cruz gaining the reputation that he is a lawyerish “master debater” it doesn’t help Cruz that his recourse against Trump is … to do a debate challenge!

Cruz is good at using double talk to cover up his weaknesses:

Crickets…

And then:

Cruz flip-flops, implies most illegals can stay

The bottom line, Trump has a Sessions approved plan to deport most of the illegals within two years, but:

Ted Cruz Rejects Trump’s Deportation Plan

anotherDNCJoe on January 28, 2016 at 6:17 PM

You are just a hypocrite. Less than 9 months ago Trump was FOR AMNESTY!!!!!!!!!!!!

If you want to drink his Kool-Aid, fine. But don’t pretend that he is consistent on anything. And don’t expect your phony attacks on Cruz to win over the informed.

Gunlock Bill on January 28, 2016 at 10:02 PM

Bless his heart, Carson thinks Estonia is in the Balkans.

legalimmigrant on January 28, 2016 at 10:34 PM

Salem hopes. Any amnesty candidate is a Salem candidate. Thanks for continuously demonstrating that, AP.

CommieJuice on January 28, 2016 at 11:11 PM

I’m a big fan of the Gang of 8 bill and wish the NSA would spy on me more. Hoping Rubio wins!

deuce on January 29, 2016 at 12:15 AM

marco the military dictator from cuba is a warmonger. Marco never saw a arab he didn’t want to give a gun and an air force. He wants American blood spilled delivering more tanks and humvees to ISIS

Mormontheman on January 29, 2016 at 1:47 AM

rubio the wimp . . . no thanks

Pragmatic on January 29, 2016 at 6:38 AM

What’s next, Jeb’s surging?

Don L on January 29, 2016 at 6:39 AM

It may be hard for a lot of people to swallow, so to speak, but Rubio consistently appears as the most presidential. If it wasn’t for his betrayal on immigration, he would be running away with this. I would not count him out yet, because either way he’s a much better, more electable alternative to Hillary.

I also expect to see Cruz rise in the polls after last night. He really had a chance to discuss his positions (as did other candidates) absent the circus that comes with Trump.

As for Trump, yielding to vanity and trying to sit on a lead I believe is going to be a tactical blunder. There really was an actual adult conversation last night which will cause some people to hesitate.

Just to be clear, I really like Trump and his no nonsense approach as do many of my close associates. But that being said between his latest antics and the birther/other attacks on Cruz, we are all starting to lean a little more in Cruz’s direction.

Elections are a funny thing and people get very temperamental when they’re about to pull that lever. History has shown that especially in primaries polls often go out the window with the actual voting. It will be interesting to see if Trump holds it together.

Trump is pushing hard in Iowa because he know that state and NH are good momentum builders. If it starts to go the other way with another candidate, or they even make a very close 2nd place showing it throws states from SC on into very questionable territory.

No matter who we end up with, any Republican candidate will be better than the soon to be criminally indicated Democrat. But I am not anywhere near ready to say our candidate will be Trump.

Marcus Traianus on January 29, 2016 at 8:15 AM

Dream your happy dream while you can, AllahP, it won’t last. Rubio has no “presence” in IA, or so I’ve heard. Rubio has the Gang of 8 stank all over him. Rubio is unvetted with lots of rumors from his past swirling. And for die-hards, he ain’t natural born. Plus, he’s way too young. I don’t want someone who was born the same year as my older sister to be potus, at least not for another 20 years at least.

Aslans Girl on January 29, 2016 at 8:29 AM

Oh, yeah, and Rubio’s completely wrong on foreign policy what with wanting to start WWIII with Russia for sh!thole Syria of all places. No. Rubio is DANGEROUS. We’ve had enough starting wars in the God-forsaken MidEast, thankyouverymuch

Aslans Girl on January 29, 2016 at 8:31 AM

RUBIO SUX…..BIG TIME!

he is a beta puppy that has never produced a thing in his life….just like obama

TRUMP 2016

Pragmatic on January 29, 2016 at 8:39 AM

All anti-establishmentarians and immigration hawks, even if they are Trump supporters, should vote for Cruz in Iowa for strategic reasons.

If Cruz wins Iowa and Trump wins NH, then the nominee will almost certainly be either Cruz or Trump, the two best candidates the establishment hates the most.

But if Trump wins both Iowa and NH, tthat greatly increases the chances that Cruz will collapse, and turn it into a Trump/Rubio race that Rubio might win.

Jon0815 on January 28, 2016 at 4:15 PM

This ^^^ Because Bush, Kasich, and Christie voters are going Rubio. Not sure of the Carson voters, all two of them left.

melle1228 on January 29, 2016 at 9:01 AM

Marcus Traianus on January 29, 2016 at 8:15 AM

Yours is a good summary. If it weren’t for the Gang of 8, Rubio would be at the top, with Cruz, I think.

Misha on January 29, 2016 at 9:13 AM

When Cruz is finished off in Iowa Trump will turn his wrath on the anchor baby. let’s see Rubio wriggle his way out of Trump’s attacks on his love for illegals,his money problems and his pansy boy arrest record! This is going to be so much fun!Hey Marco-weren’t you once roomies with some guy that produced gay porn out of your apartment?

redware on January 29, 2016 at 9:47 AM

Rubio will never move up enough to overcome this YUGE lead. Keep on dreaming.

**DRUDGE POLL** WHO IS YOUR REPUBLICAN PICK FOR PRESIDENT?
TRUMP 63.14% (485,373 votes)

CRUZ 18.22% (140,084 votes)

RUBIO 7.17% (55,098 votes)

PAUL 5.19% (39,871 votes)

KASICH 1.34% (10,335 votes)

CARSON 1.3% (10,001 votes)

CHRISTIE 1.12% (8,582 votes)

FIORINA 1.03% (7,939 votes)

BUSH 0.99% (7,580 votes)

HUCKABEE 0.27% (2,055 votes)

SANTORUM 0.23% (1,821 votes)

Total Votes: 768,739

they lie on January 29, 2016 at 10:38 AM

William Eaton on January 28, 2016 at 7:28 PM

Well played. That is pretty accurate.

they lie on January 29, 2016 at 10:47 AM

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