Monmouth poll of Iowa: Trump now leads Cruz by seven, 30/23

posted at 3:21 pm on January 27, 2016 by Allahpundit

We’ve now had a long enough stretch of polls showing Trump ahead in Iowa that, if Cruz wins on Monday night, the likely takeaway is this: “The guy who was clearly preferred by a plurality of Republicans and leaners couldn’t turn out enough of them to caucus!” Still a nice win for Cruz if it happens, but any illusions that he was going to sail past Trump in Iowa as the full-spectrum conservative choice are long gone. No wonder Steve King sounds desperate.

Here’s Monmouth with the latest numbers, showing Trump up 11 points since last month while Cruz has slipped a point from 24 percent. Trump’s favorable rating is down four points to 50 percent — but Cruz’s is down eight points, which jibes with yesterday’s Gallup data showing Cruz’s numbers sliding sharply since Trump started attacking him earlier this month. (Wasn’t it inevitable that some Trump fans would turn on Cruz once the “bromance” ended?) Trump has now led Cruz in six of the last seven polls taken in Iowa that are tracked by RCP. In four of those seven, his lead is seven points or better. If his voters show up, he wins in a rout. The only mystery on Monday night is whether they will.

Cruz does particularly well among registered Republicans who have a history of voting in state primaries. He leads Trump by a 28% to 23% margin among this group of regular party voters, with Rubio at 14% and Carson at 13%. Trump does better among those who do not have a history of taking part in party elections. This includes 44% support among registered Republicans who are general election voters and 50% support among registered independents who say they will attend their local Republican caucus on Monday. Rubio comes in second among non-primary GOP voters at 20% with Cruz at 13%. Rubio also places second among independents who will caucus at 14% with Cruz at 10%

Since Trump draws a disproportionate amount of support from voters who are not political diehards, he will need a strong turnout to emerge victorious on February 1st. Based on past voting history and voters’ stated intentions to attend this year’s caucuses, the current poll estimates turnout will be approximately 170,000 voters, which would far surpass the 122,000 record GOP turnout from four years ago. Increasing the poll’s turnout projection to 200,000 voters widens Trump’s lead to 32% over 21% for Cruz, with Rubio at 16% and Carson at 9%. Decreasing the turnout projection to 130,000 voters, which would still be a record level, puts the race in a tie at 26% for Trump and 26% for Cruz, with Rubio at 15% and Carson at 12%.

There’s the whole election in two paragraphs. Lots of newbies means Trump coasts, few newbies means a jump ball. The early signs, per a jittery Team Cruz, is that turnout will be smaller than Trump is hoping:

The number of active voters registered as Republicans has actually dropped in Iowa by 11,000 since January 2015 (shortly after a competitive Senate race in 2014). The uptick has been minimal in the months leading up to next week’s caucuses, with just over 2,600 new Republican registrations between September and the beginning of January. In order to participate in a caucus, an Iowan must be registered to vote as a Republican. Voters can do that on caucus night, but Tyler says the trends aren’t good for the type of new-voter wave Trump would need.

There’s a case-study for this: the 2008 Democratic caucuses. That year, the state party reported nearly 230,000 participants, a record for Iowa. The high turnout has been considered a key part of Barack Obama’s victory there, with the Obama campaign’s focus on turning out first-time voters or caucusgoers. In the three months leading up to December 2008, more than 8,000 new Democratic voters were registered—better than this year for the GOP, but not that much better. But in the final days before the caucuses, which occurred on January 3, another 58,000 (you read that correctly) registered as Democrats.

There can be, and will be, many new Republican registrants on Monday night to caucus but any Trump fan in Iowa could have registered already. As it is, fewer than 3,000 people statewide have. Trump fans like to say to skeptics of his turnout capabilities (which I’m not) that if you’re willing to stand in line for hours to get into a Trump rally, you’re willing to stand in line to register. Fair enough, but Team Trump would obviously prefer to have his supporters registered ASAP rather than roll the dice on having everyone do so on caucus night. Keep an eye on Iowa news reports for new data this week on people signing up. Maybe they’re going to make a big GOTV push in the final days.

Meanwhile, here’s a rare I-told-you-so from me on Trump’s behalf: According to an independent survey, Cruz’s “New York values” attack on Trump at the debate might have backfired:

In a survey conducted by Qualtrics, an enterprise survey platform, and political research firm Evolving Strategies, 1,200 self-identified Republican voters were shown one of four ads: one supportive of Donald Trump, one by a pro-Cruz super PAC criticizing Trump, one supportive of Cruz, and a ‘placebo’ ad with no political content.

While Cruz’s attack on Trump did appeal to middle-class voters, blue-collar voters doubled-down in their support for Trump after watching it…

“People who who are loyal to Trump may not only find it not convincing,” said Jon Krosnick, professor in humanities and social sciences at Stanford University, but could see it as an act of desperation by Cruz.

That’s not a survey of Iowans, where “New York values” probably plays differently, but Cruz is going to have to win some other states to beat Trump for the nomination. Expect to hear less about “New York values” after the SEC primary on March 1st — assuming Cruz is still in the race after that. Gulp.

By the way, since I made a point of noting Rubio’s bad numbers in New Hampshire in the Jeb post, let me note how well positioned he is in Iowa if Monmouth’s data is accurate. He’s at 16 percent here, fully 12 points better than his closest center-right competitor in New Hampshire. In fact, he’s a lot closer to Ted Cruz for second place than he is to Jeb Bush. Re-read the excerpt above and you’ll see that he’s also stronger than Cruz among first-time caucusgoers and independents. Everyone’s expecting Trump and Cruz as 1-2 or 2-1 in Iowa, but if Cruz continues to sink this week and new registrants who aren’t caucusing for Trump break more for Rubio than for Cruz, we could end up with Trump winning easily and Rubio finishing surprisingly close to Cruz for second place. That would mean momentum for Rubio in New Hampshire and bitter disappointment for Cruz. Don’t write Rubio off yet.


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Comments

STOP DOING POST ON POLLS!!!

BJ* on January 27, 2016 at 3:24 PM

The Bimbo Effect.

Oil Can on January 27, 2016 at 3:25 PM

TBSchemer hardest hit

SpongePuppy on January 27, 2016 at 3:25 PM

Its close enough now to know the weather forecast.

Anybody know what that is?

cozmo on January 27, 2016 at 3:26 PM

Rubio all the way. I’ve always been a registered Republican who votes for conservatives. When I lived in Iowa I attended the caucuses in support of Ronald Reagan twice. Ted Cruz would be a great Attorney General or Supreme Court nominee. He wouldn’t unite the country as a President.

Bart Burk on January 27, 2016 at 3:26 PM

If Cruz’s voters break for Rubio, we’ll know a lot of the Cruz support was a mirage to begin with that was powered primarily by hopes of stopping Trump.

Doomberg on January 27, 2016 at 3:26 PM

Cruz wanted a “mano a mano” debate with trump, here is trump reply:
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/692430362966921217

trump: “we can do it in canada”

ROFLLLLLL!

nathor on January 27, 2016 at 3:27 PM

SpongePuppy on January 27, 2016 at 3:25 PM

Can I hit him too?
Preferably with a frozen solid garryazz.

cozmo on January 27, 2016 at 3:27 PM

If Trump slumps, I wont be supporting Cruz. The level of vitriol has insured that Cruz evaporated from being my second choice to Trump being my ONLY choice.

Yes, it’s that simple. As simple as the mind of any given TDS’er.

Congrats!

Andy__B on January 27, 2016 at 3:28 PM

Its close enough now to know the weather forecast.

Anybody know what that is?

cozmo on January 27, 2016 at 3:26 PM

Overcast and cold but no snow or rain.

Kataklysmic on January 27, 2016 at 3:29 PM

AP hates Trump with a passion. He must prefer Bush.

alanstern on January 27, 2016 at 3:30 PM

Cruz can go debate himself….. IN CANADA!!!

Can.I.be.in.the.middle on January 27, 2016 at 3:30 PM

If you read the poll it is based on a turnout model that has a 50% increase in turnout from ’12….let me say that again 50%. May happen, but as is pointed out there are only 2600 newly registered voters, not the 50,000 that this poll represents; all of which would have to vote for Trump.

Tater Salad on January 27, 2016 at 3:31 PM

ROFLLLLLL!

nathor on January 27, 2016 at 3:27 PM

Gold!

Can.I.be.in.the.middle on January 27, 2016 at 3:32 PM

If Trump slumps, I wont be supporting Cruz. The level of vitriol has insured that Cruz evaporated from being my second choice to Trump being my ONLY choice.

Yes, it’s that simple. As simple as the mind of any given TDS’er.

Congrats!

Andy__B on January 27, 2016 at 3:28 PM

Curious why you think the vitriol is going only in one direction? Seems Trump started this with all the Canadian stuff.

Tater Salad on January 27, 2016 at 3:32 PM

no, Trump supporters lead TDSmedia by 7.

Faux biggest loser

Senator Philip Bluster on January 27, 2016 at 3:33 PM

Heard there will be a snowstorm hitting iowa on caucus night

Should be interesting

cmsinaz on January 27, 2016 at 3:34 PM

GOPe twitter. Mon. night –

Trump does well – “Iowa is meaningless. Go ask presidents Huckabee and Santorum”.

“F*** Iowa and their corn. How long are we going to let those hayseeds dictate the primary anyway?”

Trump does poorly – “HA HA F U Trumpkins HA HA”

Celebrations reminiscent of VE day 70 years ago.

Redstone on January 27, 2016 at 3:35 PM

Cruz wanted a “mano a mano” debate with trump, here is trump reply:
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/692430362966921217

trump: “we can do it in canada”

Don Cherry will do Coaches Corner

Senator Philip Bluster on January 27, 2016 at 3:36 PM

Its close enough now to know the weather forecast.

Anybody know what that is?

cozmo on January 27, 2016 at 3:26 PM

Des Moines forecast for Monday:

Becoming windy with snow developing later at night.Low 29. Winds 20-30 mph. Snow accumulating 1-3 inches. Wind gusts to over 40mph.

Gotta be tough!

kcewa on January 27, 2016 at 3:36 PM

no, Trump supporters lead TDSmedia by 7.

Faux biggest loser

Senator Philip Bluster on January 27, 2016 at 3:33 PM

we are winning!
TRUMP 2016!

allah, go seek treatment for your TDS

and for the cruz fans, BURN!

nathor on January 27, 2016 at 3:36 PM

Caucus polls are silly. If accurate, it’s purely by chance.

Who has the ground game?

I’m guessing Cruz is superior at that.

Meremortal on January 27, 2016 at 3:36 PM

Kataklysmic on January 27, 2016 at 3:29 PM

Thanks, that will be good for Trump and Sanders.

cozmo on January 27, 2016 at 3:36 PM

The polls do not reflect on Trump bailing out and running away from a debate.

He has tried to dodge each one…finally was scared enough to actually do it.

right2bright on January 27, 2016 at 3:38 PM

The Rubio % means he’s going after Cruz hard tonight at the debates.
I imagine that the numbers for the debate will be way down but maybe not in IA. Or Iowan’s might be burned out on political debates.
Anyways, Rubio will be going after Cruz as viciously as the last debate.
Rubio surprised me last debate. He’s a good attack dog.

BoxHead1 on January 27, 2016 at 3:38 PM

Cruz should join the boycott of the Fox News debate…

d1carter on January 27, 2016 at 3:39 PM

you heard wrong.

Mon
Feb 1

A shower in the afternoon
38°

Precipitation: 0.01 in

Senator Philip Bluster on January 27, 2016 at 3:39 PM

The polls do not reflect on Trump bailing out and running away from a debate.

He has tried to dodge each one…finally was scared enough to actually do it.

right2bright on January 27, 2016 at 3:38 PM

he is not running away from cruz debate challenge! I think its fair, just do the debate in canada! rofl!

nathor on January 27, 2016 at 3:40 PM

Don Cherry will do Coaches Corner

Senator Philip Bluster on January 27, 2016 at 3:36 PM

Flames vs. Rangers Hockey Night In Canada.

Redstone on January 27, 2016 at 3:41 PM

Don’t write Rubio off yet.

I wouldn’t, he’s the eGOP goto guy ever since El Exclamation Point flopped. They would have a hard, if not impossible, time of taking down Trump, but Cruz is easy pickens for Rubio and the establishment.

whatcat on January 27, 2016 at 3:42 PM

Overheard at an Iowa caucus:

Trump voter: Hi, are you undecided?

Undecided Republican voter: Hi, yeah sorta.

Trump Voter: Wanna vote for Trump to screw the Republican Party?

Undecided Republican voter: ?????

kcewa on January 27, 2016 at 3:42 PM

Night, Feb 1

Plenty of clouds; a shower in spots in the evening followed by a passing rain

Senator Philip Bluster on January 27, 2016 at 3:43 PM

With Trump bailing on debate, and when you see in methodology of poll that Cruz has reached more than twice as many as Trump, and with Cruz leading among regulars, I believe Cruz will win Iowa by at least 5%

ConservativePartyNow on January 27, 2016 at 3:43 PM

” — assuming Cruz is still in the race after that. Gulp.”

I find your lack of faith…

… disturbing.

Seven Percent Solution on January 27, 2016 at 3:43 PM

he is not running away from cruz debate challenge! I think its fair, just do the debate in canada! rofl!

nathor on January 27, 2016 at 3:40 PM

Canada won’t let Trump in.

kcewa on January 27, 2016 at 3:43 PM

Monmouth poll

https://twitter.com/mnagrodz/status/692427060954947585

OrthodoxJew on January 27, 2016 at 3:44 PM

Redstone on January 27, 2016 at 3:41 PM

Trump to Faux news, “go puck yourself”

Senator Philip Bluster on January 27, 2016 at 3:45 PM

you heard wrong.

Mon
Feb 1

A shower in the afternoon
38°

Precipitation: 0.01 in

Senator Philip Bluster on January 27, 2016 at 3:39 PM

Yup, I’ve been following the IA long-term forecast for weeks. To we upper-midwesters, the upper 30s is nigh on to T-shirt weather.

whatcat on January 27, 2016 at 3:45 PM

One thing for sure with all these polls: next Tuesday will either confirm or deny their value. If the results are much different than whatever they say through Sunday HA can quit posting polls.

tej on January 27, 2016 at 3:46 PM

Canada won’t let Trump in.

kcewa on January 27, 2016 at 3:43 PM

fine, Canada can keep Cruz, we will vote for the true american!
TRUMP 2016!

nathor on January 27, 2016 at 3:46 PM

If his voters show up, he wins in a rout. The only mystery on Monday night is whether they will.

The polls could be off; not that they will be inaccurate, but that they could be.

Aizen on January 27, 2016 at 3:50 PM

Tired of all this posts devoted to polling, we all know polls are rarely accurate. Let’s focus on something a tad more important to tide us over until the voting begins.

Ukiah on January 27, 2016 at 3:51 PM

Anybody know what that is?

cozmo on January 27, 2016 at 3:26 PM

Snowstorm

Schadenfreude on January 27, 2016 at 3:51 PM

Cruz should join the boycott of the Fox News debate…

d1carter on January 27, 2016 at 3:39 PM

It would be a smart move as Rubio and Fox (and the illegal/Islamist Fox guest questioners) will be attacking him in Trump’s absence. And it might help him get in Trump’s good graces again.

whatcat on January 27, 2016 at 3:52 PM

Heard there will be a snowstorm hitting iowa on caucus night

Should be interesting

cmsinaz on January 27, 2016 at 3:34 PM

I heard Trump voters melt in snow.

portlandon on January 27, 2016 at 3:52 PM

Trump to Faux news, “go puck yourself”

Senator Philip Bluster on January 27, 2016 at 3:45 PM

Cruz will campaign against the Ottawa Cartel.

Redstone on January 27, 2016 at 3:52 PM

Or the B.C. Cartel sorry for the strike.

Redstone on January 27, 2016 at 3:53 PM

Even though I beat him in the first six debates, especially the last one, Ted Cruz wants to debate me again. Can we do it in Canada?

Donald Trump

Rotflmao

SpongePuppy on January 27, 2016 at 3:53 PM

If Cruz’s voters break for Rubio, we’ll know a lot of the Cruz support was a mirage to begin with that was powered primarily by hopes of stopping Trump.

Doomberg on January 27, 2016 at 3:26 PM


This is just an excuse.

Fox and the DIABLOs hate Cruz more than Trump and always plotted for one of the traitors.

Schadenfreude on January 27, 2016 at 3:54 PM

simple. big turnout=Trump victory

thus, he is the best thing for the R’s, increasing the size of the tent.

Senator Philip Bluster on January 27, 2016 at 3:54 PM

I heard Trump voters melt in snow.

portlandon on January 27, 2016 at 3:52 PM

nathor on January 27, 2016 at 3:54 PM

The Monmouth poll is rather good for Cruz. Only 20% of registered voters show up to the caucuses and Cruz leads in that group. Cruz also has a very large GOTV effort working voters in IA.

Bart DePalma on January 27, 2016 at 3:55 PM

If his voters show up, he wins in a rout. The only mystery on Monday night is whether they will.

The polls could be off; not that they will be inaccurate, but that they could be.

Aizen on January 27, 2016 at 3:50 PM

It’s trite, but true: “We’ll know when we know”.

The only thing that really matters re:Iowa is who it is a must-win for – and that would be just about everybody but Trump.

whatcat on January 27, 2016 at 3:55 PM

Rubio all the way. I’ve always been a registered Republican who votes for conservatives. When I lived in Iowa I attended the caucuses in support of Ronald Reagan twice. Ted Cruz would be a great Attorney General or Supreme Court nominee. He wouldn’t unite the country as a President.

Bart Burk on January 27, 2016 at 3:26 PM

Rubio can’t win Iowa…

Killary's Server on January 27, 2016 at 3:56 PM

Trump and all his supporters (yeah that means most of the dimwits on HA lately), are STUPID, PATHETIC, MORONIC, BIRTHER, FAT, IDIOT, LYING, LOSER PIGS!

And those are just SOME of Trump’s own words, uttered from his mouth each and every day. What a friggin’ embarrassment for the GOP. Reagan would be rolling in his grave knowing that anyone would use his name in the same sentence as Trump’s.

Moronic chorus of “Yeah, but he’s richer than YOU”
begins in 3… 2… 1…

RedManBlueState on January 27, 2016 at 3:56 PM

Even though I beat him in the first six debates, especially the last one, Ted Cruz wants to debate me again. Can we do it in Canada?

Donald Trump

Rotflmao

SpongePuppy on January 27, 2016 at 3:53 PM

Trump does not need a F”#%”# debate to make the greatest Zinger ever!

nathor on January 27, 2016 at 3:58 PM

Re-read the excerpt above and you’ll see that he’s also stronger than Cruz among first-time caucusgoers and independents. Everyone’s expecting Trump and Cruz as 1-2 or 2-1 in Iowa, but if Cruz continues to sink this week and new registrants who aren’t caucusing for Trump break more for Rubio than for Cruz, we could end up with Trump winning easily and Rubio finishing surprisingly close to Cruz for second place. That would mean momentum for Rubio in New Hampshire and bitter disappointment for Cruz. Don’t write Rubio off yet.

That’d be worth it just to see Ace of Spades’ head finally blow off. What an epic, paranoia drenched post he’d write the next day, ranting about the secret machinations of the shadowy “Establishment”.

Vyce on January 27, 2016 at 3:58 PM

Rubio all the way

says the RNC, Faux, the GOPe, the Chamber of Cheap illegal labor, and open borders amnesty lovers everywhere

Senator Philip Bluster on January 27, 2016 at 3:59 PM

Trump and all his supporters (yeah that means most of the dimwits on HA lately), are STUPID, PATHETIC, MORONIC, BIRTHER, FAT, IDIOT, LYING, LOSER PIGS!

And those are just SOME of Trump’s own words, uttered from his mouth each and every day. What a friggin’ embarrassment for the GOP. Reagan would be rolling in his grave knowing that anyone would use his name in the same sentence as Trump’s.

Moronic chorus of “Yeah, but he’s richer than YOU”
begins in 3… 2… 1…

RedManBlueState on January 27, 2016 at 3:56 PM

classic TDS

It is a fast-moving, highly contagious disease that attacks the nervous system. Early stages include inexplicable, fast eye-blinking, light palsy, stammering and overbearing snobbery. Sometimes redness of the face and shortness of breath accompany.
Later stages include total delusion, dementia, an inability to think clearly and, ultimately, a madness that cannot be contained.

Basic rule of thumb is that if you are blinking and twitching like Chief Inspector Charles Dreyfus, Inspector Jacques Clouseau’s boss in The Pink Panther, then it is still early and there is still hope.

In final stages, patients are often found wild-eyed, naked, frothing at mouth and writhing on the floor. This behavior has been likened to that of Antonio Salieri in the final scenes of “Amadeus.”

Researchers have yet to arrive at a scientific name for the debilitating disease, but it is generally referred to as Donald Trump Derangement Syndrome (DTDS). It is found in its most virulent and contagious strain among media and punditry circles and top ranks of Republican Party leaders.

While researchers are still confounded about almost everything about DTDS, they do believe that early detection could be vital.

nathor on January 27, 2016 at 4:00 PM

The polls do not reflect on Trump bailing out and running away from a debate.

He has tried to dodge each one…finally was scared enough to actually do it.

right2bright on January 27, 2016 at 3:38 PM

HAHAHAHAHA! Fox News has to BEG Trump to do their silly debate…because he doesn’t need it to win.

You bois pushed Carly…even laughed about her ‘cutting Trumps balls off…and where is she now…at the kiddie table.

So your obsession with Trump is creepy…and a bit weird…you have a sickness.

fossten on January 27, 2016 at 4:00 PM

If Trump slumps, I wont be supporting Cruz. The level of vitriol has insured that Cruz evaporated from being my second choice to Trump being my ONLY choice.

Yes, it’s that simple. As simple as the mind of any given TDS’er.

Congrats!

Andy__B on January 27, 2016 at 3:28 PM

I won’t vote for Goober Pyle either…

OmahaConservative on January 27, 2016 at 4:01 PM

Even though I beat him in the first six debates, especially the last one, Ted Cruz wants to debate me again. Can we do it in Canada?

Donald Trump

Rotflmao

SpongePuppy on January 27, 2016 at 3:53 PM

big league zinger.

Huuuuuuuuge chirp

Senator Philip Bluster on January 27, 2016 at 4:02 PM

If Trump slumps, I wont be supporting Cruz. The level of vitriol has insured that Cruz evaporated from being my second choice to Trump being my ONLY choice.

Yes, it’s that simple. As simple as the mind of any given TDS’er.

Congrats!

Andy__B on January 27, 2016 at 3:28 PM

Lol Lack of self awareness they name is Trump Fan. Trump intentionally started the fight,as you know (or should now that I remind you) with the dirty birther attacks,and lies/exaggerations about his loans AND his “nasty guy”.He also publicly admitted to doing it due to the polls.

So let me say, EVERYONE including Michael Bloomberg is my preference to the orange baboon.

Charliecrown on January 27, 2016 at 4:04 PM

I won’t vote for Goober Pyle either…

OmahaConservative on January 27, 2016 at 4:01 PM

Let’s put me in the not voting for Trump under any circumstances pile :)

Charliecrown on January 27, 2016 at 4:05 PM

Lol Lack of self awareness they name is Trump Fan. Trump intentionally started the fight,as you know (or should now that I remind you) with the dirty birther attacks,and lies/exaggerations about his loans AND his “nasty guy”.He also publicly admitted to doing it due to the polls.

So let me say, EVERYONE including Michael Bloomberg is my preference to the orange baboon.

Charliecrown on January 27, 2016 at 4:04 PM

You clearly can’t read. He’s referring to YOU people who have been bashing Trump supporters since August.

fossten on January 27, 2016 at 4:06 PM

I heard Trump voters melt in snow Steel.

portlandon on January 27, 2016 at 3:52 PM

nathor on January 27, 2016 at 3:54 PM

portlandon on January 27, 2016 at 4:06 PM

That’d be worth it just to see Ace of Spades’ head finally blow off. What an epic, paranoia drenched post he’d write the next day, ranting about the secret machinations of the shadowy “Establishment”.

Vyce on January 27, 2016 at 3:58 PM

Really? What posts critical of the GOP and its leadership has Ace written that are so “paranoia drenched?” Are we to pretend the GOP does not exist?

Doomberg on January 27, 2016 at 4:09 PM

I heard Trump voters melt in snow Steel.

portlandon on January 27, 2016 at 3:52 PM

nathor on January 27, 2016 at 3:54 PM

portlandon on January 27, 2016 at 4:06 PM

of course! any true american can melt steel! we are not losers like the canadians!

nathor on January 27, 2016 at 4:11 PM

McCain was 4th place in Iowa and still won the nomimation.

Canuckian Cruz has ZERO chance.

V-rod on January 27, 2016 at 4:12 PM

You clearly can’t read. He’s referring to YOU people who have been bashing Trump supporters since August.

fossten on January 27, 2016 at 4:06 PM

meh. It’s par for the course during election time,especially on talk radio or blog comments.

Again, the supporters have acted like their candidates (at least Cruz and Trump),and Trump fans have been nastier.

Which is what Trump and some of his more active fans do.

Charliecrown on January 27, 2016 at 4:19 PM

“Since my candidate is a loser, Trump is a troll.”

-AllahP [petting his cat Mittens, wiping tears from his eyes]

mjbrooks3 on January 27, 2016 at 4:20 PM

Not about Kelly

Schadenfreude on January 27, 2016 at 4:35 PM

Don’t write Rubio off yet.

Heh.

rockmom on January 27, 2016 at 4:38 PM

That’d be worth it just to see Ace of Spades’ head finally blow off. What an epic, paranoia drenched post he’d write the next day, ranting about the secret machinations of the shadowy “Establishment”.

Vyce on January 27, 2016 at 3:58 PM

+1000

rockmom on January 27, 2016 at 4:43 PM

If Trump slumps, I wont be supporting Cruz. The level of vitriol has insured that Cruz evaporated from being my second choice to Trump being my ONLY choice.

Yes, it’s that simple. As simple as the mind of any given TDS’er.

Congrats!

Andy__B on January 27, 2016 at 3:28 PM

The level of vitriol from trumpettes has far exceeded that of any other candidate by far.

They are easy marks for scammers.
Trump: Deport all illegal aliens. (at this point they are sold regardless of what the disclaimers are.) Then bring them back quickly under an expedited process.
Trump: Ban All Muslims. (at this point they are sold regardless of what the disclaimers are.) Short term, ended quickly, probably a couple months.
Trump: End cronyism! (at this point they are sold regardless of what the disclaimers are.) We should make them add more ethanol to the fuel to destroy more cars.

Constitutionalist on January 27, 2016 at 4:50 PM

If Trump wins Iowa he is SUPERMAN in the GOP…..He took on Cruz, Rinos, Fox, NRO, MSM, Most of Talk radio, 90% of so called conservative blogs and the fake bible thumpers like Erikson and SIMULTANEOUSLY TORE THEM APART …..SUPERMAN

dio55 on January 27, 2016 at 4:54 PM

Not about Kelly

Schadenfreude on January 27, 2016 at 4:35 PM

It is all about the Kelly. Trump is afraid of her. A complete wimp when faced with questions the whole nation is wanting to be asked. Knowing that she will do her job and ask those questions to him. And he is incapable of weathering the simple questions. He knows she will pin him down and get him to be explicit about what his plans are. And he knows that if he ever comes fully clean with the people with explicitly what his plans entail, he will lose the support of any new people who will write him off before they become Trumpettes Syndrome sufferers.

Constitutionalist on January 27, 2016 at 4:56 PM

<blockquoteIf Trump slumps, I wont be supporting Cruz. The level of vitriol has insured that Cruz evaporated from being my second choice to Trump being my ONLY choice.

Yes, it’s that simple. As simple as the mind of any given TDS’er.

Congrats!

Andy__B on January 27, 2016 at 3:28 PM

No, it’s Trump and his cult zombies such as yourself who made this what it is and if he wins the nom I nation you better hope he brings out democrats like people keep saying, because people who love the constitution won’t be out in force.

Malachi45 on January 27, 2016 at 5:06 PM

If Trump slumps, I wont be supporting Cruz. The level of vitriol has insured that Cruz evaporated from being my second choice to Trump being my ONLY choice.

Yes, it’s that simple. As simple as the mind of any given TDS’er.

Congrats!

Andy__B on January 27, 2016 at 3:28 PM

No, it’s Trump and his cult zombies such as yourself who made this what it is and if he wins the nom I nation you better hope he brings out democrats like people keep saying, because people who love the constitution won’t be out in force.

Malachi45 on January 27, 2016 at 5:06 PM

Meanwhile, Sauron (aka GOPe) rejoices.

Rix on January 27, 2016 at 5:18 PM

Constitutionalist on January 27, 2016 at 4:56 PM

Questions like “how could you be so mean to Rosie O’Donnell ”

Love how you know so much about Trump…..

One of our latest New Poster….

Barred on January 27, 2016 at 5:21 PM

Exactly right about the turnout AP. Dont forget Cruz lost to Dewhusrt in a very large primary turnout, but because Dewy was under 50% Cruz was able to beat him in a low turnout runoff.

Wigglesworth on January 27, 2016 at 5:30 PM

Rubio all the way. I’ve always been a registered Republican who votes for conservatives. When I lived in Iowa I attended the caucuses in support of Ronald Reagan twice. Ted Cruz would be a great Attorney General or Supreme Court nominee. He wouldn’t unite the country as a President.
Bart Burk on January 27, 2016 at 3:26 PM
I
I
I
Never trust a man, or large boy, in elevator shoes.

A.T. Tapman on January 27, 2016 at 5:31 PM

Trump is already leading the polls on who won Thursday night’s debate. He’s ahead by 99.99%. Next closest one is Kasich at .000001%, followed by some guy in the audience.

they lie on January 27, 2016 at 5:31 PM

Questions like “how could you be so mean to Rosie O’Donnell ”

Love how you know so much about Trump…..

One of our latest New Poster….

Barred on January 27, 2016 at 5:21 PM

Actually, the question was more along the lines of, is Trump even remotely capable of restraining his sexist attacks on women?
Answer is, absolutely not. Trump is a sexist pig bully and is incapable of behaving any other way. Which he proved that night and for several days after. Well, actually he never stopped proving it. He cannot even stop himself from sexualizing his own daughter and being attracted to a 12 year old Paris Hilton. Oh God, who is that?

Constitutionalist on January 27, 2016 at 5:32 PM

We’ve been over this. Ted Cruz is going to win Iowa. He’s going to win by a decent amount, because most of Trump’s supporters couldn’t find their butt with both hands. The Idiocracy doesn’t vote. And the debate tomorrow and its aftermath will seal it.

Darin on January 27, 2016 at 5:52 PM

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/692479630931001349

And, the alternate venue is on.

Schadenfreude on January 27, 2016 at 5:58 PM

http://www.donaldjtrump.com/schedule/

Schadenfreude on January 27, 2016 at 5:59 PM

We’ve been over this. Ted Cruz is going to win Iowa. He’s going to win by a decent amount, because most of Trump’s supporters couldn’t find their butt with both hands. The Idiocracy doesn’t vote. And the debate tomorrow and its aftermath will seal it.

Darin on January 27, 2016 at 5:52 PM

Geez, I wonder what it’s like to be this delusional.

Enjoy it while it lasts, only a few more days until you can no longer deny reality.

TheDriver on January 27, 2016 at 6:26 PM

Geez, I wonder what it’s like to be this delusional.

Enjoy it while it lasts, only a few more days until you can no longer deny reality.

TheDriver on January 27, 2016 at 6:26 PM

You should know.
Trump is as conservative as you are delusional.

Constitutionalist on January 27, 2016 at 6:28 PM

Meanwhile, Sauron (aka GOPe) rejoices.

Rix on January 27, 2016 at 5:18 PM

Then you people better think hard about what you’re doing.

Malachi45 on January 27, 2016 at 7:04 PM

As long as Trump keeps hiding and not answering questions on why he thinks Polosi, Billary, Obama are great people I will not vote for him.
As long as Trump keeps hiding and not answering why he thinks taking whatever land from private property owners just because is a good thing I will not vote for him.
As long as Trump keeps hiding and not explaining why he supports socialized medicine like in Canada, I will not vote for him.
As long as Trump keeps hiding and not explaining his support for partial birth abortion I sure as heck wont vote for him.

ON top of that, he needs to explain why he called the people who are to be his base, stupid, idiots, morons, all that fun stuff. Any time anyone dares to question Trump, he goes off the deep end…. and this is also true about many of the Trumpkins all around.

He reminds me of a spoiled child. Cant take any kind of criticism at all. He is tefolon because he does not actually explain himself. He just starts talking big and stuff to get the sound bits and rattle up his supporters.
Trump only cares about Trump. Trump will become another democrat you can bet your money on it.

watertown on January 28, 2016 at 2:26 AM