Christie’s presidential launch video: Prepare to be truth-bombed, America

posted at 1:21 pm on June 29, 2015 by Allahpundit

Here’s his whole candidacy in two minutes. There’s not a whisper of policy, a reflection that he’s a centrist running in a (mostly) right-wing party. There’s not one high-budget bell or whistle of the sort you would have expected back when this guy was top-tier and the darling of the Wall Street donor class. It’s just him onstage with a mic promising to scramble your brains with so much intoxicating truth that you’ll have no choice but to nominate him out of admiration for his charismatically ballsy candor. I’m trying to imagine how this spot would have played with righties in the dark summer of 2011, when we were staring down the barrel of Romney’s inevitability. It would have felt like salvation — an authentic RINO who’d stampede over the “severely conservative” RINO from Massachusetts and then spend the general election landing body blows on Obama. Now, three years after the big election-eve backslapping session between him and O over Hurricane Sandy, it feels like desperation. This is all he has left against the Rubios and Walkers of 2016. It’s truth-bomb or bust.

The odds are long.

After New Hampshire holds its primary in early February, Christie’s advisers are hoping for a strong showing in a trifecta of blue states — Vermont, Massachusetts, and Illinois — an unorthodox path that reflects his dire circumstances. Though at one time it was thought his plainspoken political style would win over Republicans across the nation, he’s fallen far behind in the polls in Iowa, which those close to Christie increasingly consider a reach. He’s also expected to tread lightly in Florida, which is likely to be dominated by two favorite sons, former Gov. Jeb Bush and Sen. Marco Rubio.

Christie’s team believes he could yet surprise in some conservative parts of the country. A strong finish in New Hampshire, they argue, could position him to compete several days later in South Carolina, a state rich with Northeastern transplants. There, he’s maintained a relationship with the Republican governor, Nikki Haley, with whom he occasionally texts.

At the same time Christie is narrowing his political map, he’s preparing a campaign that will be more tightly budgeted than previously thought. Once a national fundraising powerhouse who hoped to convert his Republican Governors Association chairmanship into a financial launching pad for a presidential bid, Christie’s camp now estimates that he will raise only between $20 million and $30 million by the end of the year, according to several sources briefed on the plans — an amount that is expected to pale in comparison to what Bush, Rubio, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz are expected to raise.

You know the old saying — the path to the Republican nomination runs through Vermont.

As I write this, he’s ninth in the RealClearPolitics poll average for the Republican nomination, two-tenths of a point behind … Donald Trump. That’s good enough to land him a spot at the first debate in August, but maybe not for much longer. Not once in the last four national polls taken has he topped four percent, and in the very latest survey conducted by Fox News, he finished in a tie for 11th place with half that number. If that figure holds, he’d miss the cut for the debate, an also-ran excluded by novices like Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina. As for his all-in play in New Hampshire, he’s doing slightly better there with a poll average of 5.6 percent, sufficient for sixth place in the poll average but roughly half the number he was pulling as recently as March. In two of the four polls taken there this month, he’s trailed Carson and Fiorina by a point.

His only hope is the same hope that keeps drawing in more candidates, namely, that the field is split so many ways that even a minor bump in the polls could push a candidate into the top tier. In both the national and New Hampshire averages, Christie’s less than 10 points behind the nominal frontrunner, Jeb Bush. If he has “a moment” at the first debate and Bush says something stupid, who’s to say Christie couldn’t bounce out to 15 percent in the polls overnight? Granted, people seem to hate him, but that’s only mostly fatal in a primary where the winning share in New Hampshire could be something like 18 percent. If he can bring, say, 20 percent of primary voters in an early state around to his side, a big win plus strong retail appeal will create momentum that woos more reluctant Republicans over. In theory. I guess.

All that said, I’m glad he’s running. Christie running as a frontrunner would have been excruciatingly overbearing; Christie running as a nothing-to-lose underdog will be fun. Can’t wait to see who he trains his fire on. Rand Paul is a given, but who else? Jeb? Kasich? Huckabee? There are going to be a lot of prickly personalities on that debate stage. Odds of a chair being thrown: 50/50.


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Comments

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Norwegian on June 29, 2015 at 1:22 PM

Telling it like it is: You’re a fat jerk from Jersey who nobody really likes and will never play in Peoria…

JohnGalt23 on June 29, 2015 at 1:24 PM

How is it?

Schadenfreude on June 29, 2015 at 1:24 PM

It’s so gay, all day.

Schadenfreude on June 29, 2015 at 1:25 PM

Profiles in Bombast. Maybe Christie and Trump will cancel each other out, while providing some entertainment and, who knows, maybe even some enlightenment along the way. I’ve no problem with either of them running as long as they don’t mince words. Otherwise, we’re getting enough mush from wimps already.

de rigueur on June 29, 2015 at 1:25 PM

The USA has lost her ways
All gay all days

Eat, drink and be gay
The end is not far away.

Schadenfreude on June 29, 2015 at 1:25 PM

Ill never forget “the hug”

cmsinaz on June 29, 2015 at 1:26 PM

Imagine, after this past week’s court decisions, and one of today, what poison it is to be a Bush.

Schadenfreude on June 29, 2015 at 1:27 PM

Amazing what one hug can do, or not do.

Schadenfreude on June 29, 2015 at 1:28 PM

I will REFUSE to vote if the GOP nominates…

Oh, to hell with it.
Why bother?

DRayRaven on June 29, 2015 at 1:28 PM

I look forward to the tapdance on guns. He’s had enough time to have something really, really good worked out.

butch on June 29, 2015 at 1:30 PM

So Gov. Moral Compass…what to do about this Gay Marriage ruling?

Tell it like it is.

workingclass artist on June 29, 2015 at 1:30 PM

Can’t wait to see who he trains his fire on. Rand Paul is a given, but who else? Jeb? Kasich? Huckabee?

My guess is Trump but Huckster would be v v funny. Seems to me the rabble would go after the two leaders everyone expects, Walker and Rubio.

Marcus on June 29, 2015 at 1:30 PM

My guess is Trump

Marcus on June 29, 2015 at 1:30 PM

They could put that on PPV, and I’d pony up.

DRayRaven on June 29, 2015 at 1:31 PM

On behalf of the President Mitt Romney, I’d like to wish Gov. Christie success and send him some money… oh wait, I am already sending him money every year, and too much of it! GFY, Governor Christie.

Rix on June 29, 2015 at 1:33 PM

Gov. Perry has better ads

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FzNyFt_PBD0

And a better record.

workingclass artist on June 29, 2015 at 1:33 PM

Somebody should jiggle him. That usually stops my toilet from running.

Flange on June 29, 2015 at 1:36 PM

Got some inside info on how Christie is planning to win, he is going to shut down the bridge leading to the convention venue.

Redstone on June 29, 2015 at 1:37 PM

You have no chance, fatman.

“Telling it like it is.”

Jedditelol on June 29, 2015 at 1:37 PM

Chris Christie starring in Chris Christie II: Blow Harder.

cynccook on June 29, 2015 at 1:40 PM

Just what Republican voters want – another RINO to go along with Jeb, Graham, Rubio, Pataki and – soon to be announced – Kasich.

bw222 on June 29, 2015 at 1:41 PM

Loud Mouth Bully from New Jersey vs “war on women” Hillary…

oh yeah, that would work great in the general election…/sarc

Dino V on June 29, 2015 at 1:43 PM

Oh boy, another “Straight Talk Express” RINO.

Not a chance of you getting my vote, Fatso.

Aizen on June 29, 2015 at 1:45 PM

On behalf of the President Mitt Romney, I’d like to wish Gov. Christie success and send him some money… oh wait, I am already sending him money every year, and too much of it! GFY, Governor Christie.

Rix on June 29, 2015 at 1:33 PM

Romney told southerners to get over it…

workingclass artist on June 29, 2015 at 1:45 PM

He’s running to set himself up for 2020, assuming that Hillary wins and is a disaster.

rockmom on June 29, 2015 at 1:46 PM

Not interested. But hell, if Kasich’s running, why can’t CRISTie?

Doughboy on June 29, 2015 at 1:47 PM

The “truth bomb” for the GOP is that if they ever decide to stop kicking their own asses, the Democrats will have to do it themselves.

rhombus on June 29, 2015 at 1:49 PM

Ted Cruz has declared war on Karl Rove and might cause a ruckus at Bush Inc….enjoy!

Ted Cruz in epic feud with Karl Rove

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/06/ted-cruz-karl-rove-feud-119527.html#ixzz3eTTrHfOa

Gov. Rick Perry tips hat to Sen. Cruz

workingclass artist on June 29, 2015 at 1:49 PM

Too bad he didn’t wear that pretty red sweater he wore at the Cowboys’ playoff game last year.
Oh ya, probably can’t get out the stains from his attempts at dry-humping Jerry Jones’ leg…..

dentarthurdent on June 29, 2015 at 1:55 PM

“Telling It Like It Is”

“Truth Bomb”

…would likely get me the Ban Hammer here at HA…I’ll let you more eloquent types drill this sob…

Pelosi Schmelosi on June 29, 2015 at 1:58 PM

….have another donut ya fat pig…

Pelosi Schmelosi on June 29, 2015 at 2:01 PM

Too bad he didn’t wear that pretty red sweater he wore at the Cowboys’ playoff game last year.
Oh ya, probably can’t get out the stains from his attempts at dry-humping Jerry Jones’ leg…..

dentarthurdent on June 29, 2015 at 1:55 PM

Progressives aren’t into laundry much…Monica’s dress…Hillary’s donation shorts…

workingclass artist on June 29, 2015 at 2:01 PM

If he has “a moment” at the first debate and Bush says something stupid, who’s to say Christie couldn’t bounce out to 15 percent in the polls overnight?

Newt had several such “moments” in 2012 thanks to the debates, and what happened? Romney’s Super PAC carpet-bombed him into the single digits by reminding voters of his seedy past, everything from his philandering to his Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac profiteering.

Same thing will happen if Krispy catches fire… El Jeb will fill the airwaves with nothing but dirty laundry, and believe me there is plenty; Christie has so many skeletons in his closet you’ll be buried when you open the door.

Ted the Average on June 29, 2015 at 2:03 PM

Khristie Kreme Kuisling already bounced so far across the aisle
he’s on the other side…why try to build bridges after you’ve burnt them down?

In Hoc Signo Vinces on June 29, 2015 at 2:06 PM

Telling it like it is: You’re a fat jerk from Jersey who nobody really likes and will never play in Peoria…

JohnGalt23 on June 29, 2015 at 1:24 PM

Thread winner.

Bruno Strozek on June 29, 2015 at 2:14 PM

He’s also expected to tread lightly in Florida, which is likely to be dominated by two favorite sons, former Gov. Jeb Bush and Sen. Marco Rubio.

How can a 300-pound Governor tread lightly?

Steve Z on June 29, 2015 at 2:22 PM

His self-important 2012 convention keynote was a disaster, he embraced Obama figuratively and literally, he’s a bigmouth, but it was when he sneered at Palin and dissed her that I knew he was a real jerk.

LashRambo on June 29, 2015 at 2:22 PM

Got some inside info on how Christie is planning to win, he is going to shut down the bridge leading to the convention venue.

Redstone on June 29, 2015 at 1:37 PM

HA! Excellent form.

BKennedy on June 29, 2015 at 2:24 PM

How can a 300-pound Governor tread lightly?

Steve Z on June 29, 2015 at 2:22 PM

He’ll write GoodYear on his side and just float by.

Flange on June 29, 2015 at 2:27 PM

….have another donut ya fat pig…

Pelosi Schmelosi on June 29, 2015 at 2:01 PM

That was a great moment in hockey history. Koharski was a horrible ref. I cringed whenever he’d ref a Wings game.

Flange on June 29, 2015 at 2:30 PM

Here is a truth bomb for ya Humpty Dumpty Christy, New Jersey is a farkin mess! With high real estate taxes, senior population exodus, unfunded liabilities in the $30+ Billion range, inner city school system suxs, 500+ towns with home rule, Atlantic City gasping for air, public sector corruption and on and on. And you Christy want to be President, nah save your money and buy some more jelly donuts.

woodhull on June 29, 2015 at 2:34 PM

Let’s see, the Obama & Islamist coddling Christie has been for gun control, is for Rubio’s amnesty, pushes leftist climate change talking points, and came out for “ending the war on drugs” while at the same prledging to sick the feds on states that legalize pot.

Christie recently reconfirmed his to devotion to the leftists on climate change, of course an ms-nbc link: http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/chris-christie-new-hampshire-global-warming-real

Here Christie reaffimed his past support for gun control: http://hotair.com/archives/2015/04/18/chris-christie-wants-to-find-the-right-balance-on-gun-control/

Maybe Christie will monopolize the the extreme leftist position in the Republican field. (Well, mayb not… as per Graham, Fiarino, Rubio, Kasich and more I’m sure.)

anotherJoe on June 29, 2015 at 2:41 PM

Christie’s campaign song should be “Takin’ it to the streets” by the Doobie Brothers.

portlandon on June 29, 2015 at 2:42 PM

Telling it like it is: You’re a fat jerk from Jersey who nobody really likes and will never play in Peoria…

JohnGalt23 on June 29, 2015 at 1:24 PM

Do you really need to be so kind?

arnold ziffel on June 29, 2015 at 2:49 PM

All that said, I’m glad he’s running. Christie running as a frontrunner would have been excruciatingly overbearing; Christie running as a nothing-to-lose underdog will be fun.

Nothing to lose, except for about 250 pounds.

Redstone on June 29, 2015 at 3:07 PM

I actually like Christie, too bad he made so many poor decisions in the last few years.

Jeb, Kasich, etc., they have no personality, Christie has them beat on that.

Redstone on June 29, 2015 at 3:09 PM

Ill never forget “the hug”

cmsinaz on June 29, 2015 at 1:26 PM

Yup.

Fallon on June 29, 2015 at 3:10 PM

Opps. I thought this was the polygamy wedding cakes need more diversity thread.

SpongePuppy on June 29, 2015 at 3:13 PM

….. he’s a centrist running in a (mostly) right-wing party.

AP made a funny.

LegendHasIt on June 29, 2015 at 3:32 PM

“Im big enough, I’m smart enough, and –Gosh Darn it, people like me.”

Yes, probably, and no, in that order.
Refreshing candor some years back.
Now? A RINO (no fat jokes, please) with a chip on his shoulder, and little else.

Your moment has passed, Mr Christie. Shoulda hugged a tree or something, instead of Dear Leader.

orangemtl on June 29, 2015 at 3:34 PM

We need even more RINOS in this race. Now conservatives want have to beat up each other through the entire primary season.

Buckshots on June 29, 2015 at 3:38 PM

Pretty good ad. He had a Sicilian mother? Wow.

It would be cool to see candidates break out of the boring patch and do some one-on-one debates on policy. Cruz vs. Cristie. I’d watch that. Or Paul vs Cruz on foreign affairs.

J.B. Say on June 29, 2015 at 5:16 PM

Carly vs Walker on corporate subsides.

J.B. Say on June 29, 2015 at 5:18 PM

Bush vs Cruz on immigration.

J.B. Say on June 29, 2015 at 5:19 PM

Lincoln vs Douglass on SSM.

J.B. Say on June 29, 2015 at 5:20 PM

He couldn’t deliver his home state in a general election.

Rusty Nail on June 29, 2015 at 6:59 PM

He and Michael Moore are putting “All You Can Eat Buffets” out of business one diner at a time. Maybe if he takes the Mikester as his VP candidate, he’ll look thinner on camera.

“…Hoping for a strong showing in a trifecta of blue states– Vermont, Massachusetts, and Illinois..” If they’re blue and remain blue, as someone once said, “What difference does it make?”

NoPain on June 30, 2015 at 11:43 AM