Iran may partially invade Iraq

posted at 3:21 pm on August 18, 2014 by Noah Rothman

As American forces continue to mount airstrikes on Islamic State positions around the key Mosul dam in support of Kurdish forces, it appears that Iran is prepared to increase its military support for Iraq’s Shia in the south and east.

An unconfirmed report in Iraqi News indicates that Iranian Revolutionary Guards forces are preparing to insert heavy armor into Iraq.

According to an informed source, tanks and armored vehicles belonging to the Iranian Revolutionary Guards are mobilizing to enter the Khanaqin district with the aim of the concentration in areas with Shiite majority north of the capital Baghdad and hit the insurgent of the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant.

The source said that a convoy of tanks and armored vehicles moved through Serpil Zahab, a way to enter Iraq through the border crossing, which links between the two countries from Khanaqin district.

The source added that the Iranian forces will go to the areas which witnessed fighting between the Kurdish Peshmerga forces and militants of ISIL such as Jalawla, which had fallen to the insurgents recently. It is believed that the Iranians want to flush out the militants and deliver these areas to the Peshmerga fighters.

As if American negotiations with Iran over their nuclear program were not complicated enough by Washington’s reliance on an increasingly unhelpful and expansionist Russia to act as a mediator, American dependence on Tehran to serve as stabilizing force in Iraq is probably going to gum up the works in Vienna even further.

Reuters previously reported that, while Iran officially denies that its forces are engaging in combat operations inside Iraq, the recent deaths of Iranian fighters inside the neighboring country “shows that Iran has committed boots on the ground to defend Iraqi territory.”

“Regional experts believe the Revolutionary Guards have increased the supply of weapons and funds to proxy militant groups inside Iraq in recent weeks,” Reuters further reported.

American cooperation with Iran in Iraq is not merely limited to military operations. Last week, Iran withdrew its support for embattled former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki and backed his chosen successor, Haider al-Abadi.

Abadi himself, long exiled in Britain, is seen as a far less polarising, sectarian figure than Maliki, who is also from the Shi’ite Islamic Dawa party. Abadi appears to have the blessing of Iraq’s powerful Shi’ite clergy, a major force since U.S. troops toppled Sunni dictator Saddam Hussein in 2003.

If and when the ISIS threat is diminished in Iraq, Iran will have established a foothold in Iraq which the West will find difficult to dislodge. When the fighting subsides, maybe Tehran will show they have learned from America’s mistakes and will negotiate a long-term status of forces agreement to ensure the gains they have made are not so easily lost.


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Comments

I think she’s got that right. And I think the president benefits from hearing it from someone in his own party. I don’t care how many times you say Osama bin Laden is dead. Terror remains alive and a threat to the United States. What we need to be talking about is how to combat and defeat it.

Schadenfreude on August 18, 2014 at 3:26 PM

Partially invade. Lol. I don’t like the sound of that. This can’t be good. Let’s partially bomb Iran then.

anotherJoe on August 18, 2014 at 3:27 PM

Carter catches another break.

Bishop on August 18, 2014 at 3:28 PM

As if American negotiations with Iran over their nuclear program were not complicated enough by Washington’s reliance on an increasingly unhelpful and expansionist Russia to act as a mediator, American dependence on Tehran to serve as stabilizing force in Iraq is probably going to gum up the works in Vienna even further.

Quietly, the obama admin. moved the ‘deal’ with Iran beyond Nov. It will amount to zero whenever it will be discussed. Iran has already won that one, due to obama.

Schadenfreude on August 18, 2014 at 3:28 PM

Wtf?

cmsinaz on August 18, 2014 at 3:28 PM

Yeah this is the perfect time to be discussing what in it for us.

What America needs right and indeed the world is a Captain Picard of the Starship America. When the freaking Borg come calling you don’t care if the Romulans or the Klingons are flushing them out, you send a thank you note and save the b!tch fight for another day. Just sayin’

coolrepublica on August 18, 2014 at 3:29 PM

This is sure to end well.

Good Lt on August 18, 2014 at 3:29 PM

Is this why he left the vineyard for a couple of days?

cmsinaz on August 18, 2014 at 3:29 PM

When the fighting subsides, maybe Tehran will show they have learned from America’s mistakes and will negotiate a long-term status of forces agreement to ensure the gains they have made are not so easily lost.

This should go straight into obama’s gut. He owns ISIS and all the souls of the dead. They’re all on him.

Schadenfreude on August 18, 2014 at 3:30 PM

How does the UN feel about this?

Schadenfreude on August 18, 2014 at 3:31 PM

Barry promised us he would correct our course in foreign affairs. True to his word, he’s making new friends and allies for us.

butch on August 18, 2014 at 3:31 PM

Yeah this is the perfect time to be having an argument on what’s in it for us.

What America and the world needs right now is a Captain Picard of the Starship America. When the Borg are coming to your sector, you don’t care if the Romulans or the Klingons help you flush them out. You send a thank you note and save the whining for another day.

But some comments are saying it sounds like a good time to bomb them. What is worst than Obama derangement syndrome, Iran derangement syndrome. Any disease that make IS winning a better idea than Iran destroying them need urgent care ASAP.

coolrepublica on August 18, 2014 at 3:33 PM

Deja – freaking – vu

jake-the-goose on August 18, 2014 at 3:33 PM

As Central America and Mexico partially invade our country.

jukin3 on August 18, 2014 at 3:33 PM

I’m so glad that all the world now loves the USA, ever since obama.

Schadenfreude on August 18, 2014 at 3:34 PM

Iran is Shi’a
Iraq is Shi’a

ISIS is Sunni
obama is Sunni

obama is part white, part, Arab, and 13% black.

davidk on August 18, 2014 at 3:35 PM

.

coolrepublica on August 18, 2014 at 3:38 PM

American cooperation with Iran in Iraq is not merely limited to military operations.

What’s that saying, “Lie down with dogs, wake up with fleas?”

The US will be doing a hellofalotta scratching before this is over.

31giddyup on August 18, 2014 at 3:38 PM

I love the “Arab spring”.

Schadenfreude on August 18, 2014 at 3:39 PM

#SAD:

National Zoo’s red panda dies of parasite – @wusa9

davidk on August 18, 2014 at 3:40 PM

Iran may partially invade Iraq

That’s like being partially pregnant.

HotAirian on August 18, 2014 at 3:42 PM

Worked for putin. Just grab a little bit and see what happens. then a little more.

The West is so screwed.

WitchDoctor on August 18, 2014 at 3:45 PM

Paul: “Let ‘em have it.”

McCain: “Let ‘em have it.”

Meaning depends on who’s talking…

Marcola on August 18, 2014 at 3:48 PM

First we back ISIS, then we back Iran.

That used to be treason. Thanks, Left.

faraway on August 18, 2014 at 3:49 PM

Carter catches another break.

Bishop on August 18, 2014 at 3:28 PM

You know that no one is more grateful for President Obama than one James Carter.

ConstantineXI on August 18, 2014 at 3:49 PM

Iran may partially invade Iraq

Yeah, sure why not.

Dr. ZhivBlago on August 18, 2014 at 3:51 PM

.

coolrepublica on August 18, 2014 at 3:38 PM

Improved English

Schadenfreude on August 18, 2014 at 3:52 PM

Well of course. If ISIS gets control of Iraq, they ain’t gonna stop there. Iran wants to put out the fire before it spreads to their house.

SoulGlo on August 18, 2014 at 3:53 PM

Paul: “Let ‘em have it.”
McCain: “Let ‘em have it.”
Meaning depends on who’s talking…
Marcola on August 18, 2014 at 3:48 PM

lol.

WitchDoctor on August 18, 2014 at 3:53 PM

Hold on.

Didn’t Japan partially China in the late 30s run-up to WWII?

Didn’t Germany partially invade France in 1940? (Vichy, anyone?)

How in the world could this Iran thingy be good?

ugottabekiddingme on August 18, 2014 at 3:54 PM

A good defence is a good offence?

FrankT on August 18, 2014 at 3:55 PM

Is this why he left the vineyard for a couple of days?

cmsinaz on August 18, 2014 at 3:29 PM

No, he needed to get away from that dude Moochelle…

PatriotRider on August 18, 2014 at 3:57 PM

American dependence on Tehran to serve as stabilizing force in Iraq is probably going to gum up the works in Vienna even further.

Relying on Iran to help anyone except themselves is a really bad idea. Now they are in a position to have all of those pesky sanctions lifted.

See look at us, we are the good guys now because we helped our neighbor when the United States wouldn’t! We proved we are all about friendship and helping out our neighbors. So how about all of those sanctions now, friends don’t treat Allies like that. We promise not to make any atomic bombs guys, really.

Johnnyreb on August 18, 2014 at 4:00 PM

.

coolrepublica on August 18, 2014 at 3:38 PM

Brain scan.

davidk on August 18, 2014 at 4:11 PM

Improved English

Schadenfreude on August 18, 2014 at 3:52 PM

Couldn’t even get that right. No link. ; )

Bmore on August 18, 2014 at 4:15 PM

Good. let these countries finally bear the burden and the cost in money and manpower to secure their own borders and neighborhood, instead of letting them grow rich doing nothing while we insanely bear all the heavy costs of maintaining their regional security for them.

The more iran and turkey and the like have to worry about their own survival and security, the less they can worry about threatening us.

And the less we have to worry about regional security half a world away, the more we can concentrate on the security of our borders and region over here.

Think about it – we’ve been acting as Iran’s personal security force for decades now. Pure insanity.

everdiso on August 18, 2014 at 4:23 PM

.

coolrepublica on August 18, 2014 at 3:38 PM

I believe that this is the only intelligent thing you’ve ever said.

307wolverine on August 18, 2014 at 4:30 PM

Hitler partially invaded Poland, France, and Russia.

formwiz on August 18, 2014 at 4:41 PM

I’m not particularly opposed to Iranians returning home in plastic body bags for awhile. As a matter of fact any Muslim killing other Muslim anywhere in the world, just means less Muslims that we will have to deal with at some point. Let all the Middle East run wild with their blood lust and Jihads until they come to their senses or murder themselves. Other than selling them the bullets, let us stay out of it.

Wallythedog on August 18, 2014 at 4:42 PM

It’s going to get even weirder if ISIS goes into Lebanon and/or Turkey in numbers.

forest on August 18, 2014 at 4:43 PM

coolrepublica on August 18, 2014 at 3:33 PM

Too bad we’re stuck with Locutus, conspiring with the Borg to destroy the Federation. Thanks for the apt analogy.

dominigan on August 18, 2014 at 4:51 PM

“Just the tip”

adnan on August 18, 2014 at 4:54 PM

It’s going to get even weirder if ISIS goes into Lebanon and/or Turkey in numbers.

forest on August 18, 2014 at 4:43 PM

Can’t see Turkey rolling over for them, no matter how radicalized they’ve become of late.

Lebanon has little to offer, except give Israel a shorter supply line to attack them en-masse…

BlaxPac on August 18, 2014 at 4:56 PM

Imagine some other country volunteered to pay for and maintain the security of mexico and all of central america for us? Stamp out all the gangs and build infrastructure through the region, trained security forces and maintained borders? Even though it cost them trillions of dollars and thousands of lives?

That would be nice, eh?

That’s what we’ve been doing for Iran, who of course dumped their resulting savings into a nuclear program.

everdiso on August 18, 2014 at 5:00 PM

Is this why he left the vineyard for a couple of days?

cmsinaz on August 18, 2014 at 3:29 PM

I can’t think that. There has to be something else going on.

slickwillie2001 on August 18, 2014 at 5:01 PM

Remember the old days when we were trying to keep the Iranians out of Iran, because they were responsible for most of the IEDs that were killing our military and the Iraqis that were working with us?

Remember the much older days when we sort of supported Iraq because they were fighting Iran which had kidnapped a bunch of Americans and held them for more than a year?

LegendHasIt on August 18, 2014 at 5:21 PM

I can’t think that. There has to be something else going on.

slickwillie2001 on August 18, 2014 at 5:01 PM

Supposedly Dr Evil has plopped 2 Bil on a market crash.

formwiz on August 18, 2014 at 5:23 PM

How does the UN feel about this?

Schadenfreude on August 18, 2014 at 3:31 PM

UN: “Hamas good, Israel bad.” Not much different than Barky.

cthemfly on August 18, 2014 at 5:29 PM

Supposedly Dr Evil has plopped 2 Bil on a market crash.

formwiz on August 18, 2014 at 5:23 PM

You mean the Democratics’ favorite Nazi stooge George Soros? I read something about that. With his money and shadowy network he could also cause the crash.

slickwillie2001 on August 18, 2014 at 5:36 PM

At this point what difference does it make?

Diluculo on August 18, 2014 at 5:53 PM

Iran vs ISIS? I hope they both lose and, if Iran moves into Iraq and stays after ISIS is defeated, they both will.

The Grinch on August 18, 2014 at 5:59 PM

If and when the ISIS threat is diminished in Iraq, Iran will have established a foothold in Iraq which the West will find difficult to dislodge.

Why would we want to? Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again expecting different results.

VorDaj on August 18, 2014 at 6:03 PM

So Iran is going to fight ISIS?

Good.

Um, can I root for a Pyrrhic victory for Iran now, or is it too early for me to be doing that?

gekkobear on August 18, 2014 at 6:19 PM

Anybody surprised? It was very predictable that the Shia areas of Iraq would be protected by Shia Iran. Iran is already fighting ISIS in Syria as Assad’s ally. Iranian Quds Force have been reported in Syria for a while. All part of the Suuni-Shia War.

Viator on August 18, 2014 at 6:56 PM

No question, IS is barbaric. Quds is worse.

burt on August 18, 2014 at 8:12 PM

Iran may partially invade Iraq

Well, wouldn’t that be great? Here we are, already launching air strikes, and Iran wants to give us another target! Damned decent of them!

There Goes the Neighborhood on August 18, 2014 at 8:50 PM

Yeah this is the perfect time to be having an argument on what’s in it for us.

What America and the world needs right now is a Captain Picard of the Starship America. When the Borg are coming to your sector, you don’t care if the Romulans or the Klingons help you flush them out. You send a thank you note and save the whining for another day.

But some comments are saying it sounds like a good time to bomb them. What is worst than Obama derangement syndrome, Iran derangement syndrome. Any disease that make IS winning a better idea than Iran destroying them need urgent care ASAP.

coolrepublica on August 18, 2014 at 3:33 PM

Ummmm, the fact that Iran is much closer to getting a nuclear weapon just might tip the scale in favor of Iran being worse than ISIS….

There Goes the Neighborhood on August 18, 2014 at 8:54 PM