Obama hits 40% approval in AP poll, loses ground on foreign policy

posted at 12:01 pm on August 1, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

The slow erosion of Barack Obama’s popularity and perceived competence continues. In today’s Associated Press/GfK poll, Obama hits his lowest approval rating ever at 40% and his highest disapproval rating ever at 59%. His one bright spot in policy over the last few years has dimmed considerably as well:

Foreign policy used to be a bright spot in Americans’ dimming opinion of President Barack Obama. Not anymore. Associated Press-GfK polling found a spring and summer of discontent with the president’s handling of world events.

Obama’s consistently low marks across crises such as the fighting in Ukraine and the conflict between Israel and Hamas could benefit Republicans aiming to win control Congress in the fall. …

Asked about world trouble spots:

—42 percent say the conflict between Israel and Hamas is “very” or “extremely” important to them; 60 percent disapprove of the way Obama has handled it.

—40 percent consider the situation in Afghanistan highly important; 60 percent disapprove of Obama’s handling of it.

—38 percent give high importance to the conflict in Ukraine; 57 percent disapprove of what Obama has done about that.

—38 percent find the situation in Iraq of pressing importance; 57 percent disapprove of Obama’s handling of it.

We discussed the falling numbers for Obama’s foreign policy on the Hugh Hewitt show last night and the impact it would have on the midterms. It seems doubtful that foreign-policy questions will directly affect voter decisions this fall, as House and Senate races rarely have much to do with anything but domestic policy, and for good reason. Foreign policy is the purview of the executive branch, not the legislative, and midterm voters will focus more on issues closer to their own homes than abroad. What it will do, though, is to feed into a perception that the current administration is failing and perhaps even incompetent, which will have a significant indirect impact on both turnout and voter choices. If Obama is this unpopular and incompetent, the last thing voters will want is to send more Democrats to rubber-stamp his policies and actions.

The problem for Obama is that his domestic policies aren’t faring any better. He gets a 31/68 on immigration, for example, an issue which Democrats now want to use for the midterms as the GOP struggles to pass a bill dealing with the border crisis. Note this rather interesting shift:

That looks more like a trap than an opportunity, although it looks better than talking about ObamaCare. In a new Kaiser Family Foundation poll, disapproval of ObamaCare jumped by the largest amount in months, and perhaps ever:

Even after survey after survey has recently shown a major drop in the nation’s uninsured rate, Obamacare just had its worst month in a key health-care poll.

Kaiser Family Foundation, which has done arguably the best and most consistent polling on the health-care law in the past four-plus years, found that public opinion on the law sank to a record low in July. More people than ever (53 percent) last month said they viewed the law unfavorably, an increase of 8 percentage points since June — one of the biggest opinion swings ever.

As the foundation notes, more people seemingly made up their minds about the law last month. The rate of those without an opinion on the Affordable Care Act dropped from 16 percent in June to 11 percent in July.

Historically, public opinion on the ACA hasn’t changed much since it was enacted, despite some notable monthly swings. Kaiser pollsters said it’s not clear what drove the change in opinion this month.

“Normally, when negatives go up, you can tie it to an event,” said foundation chief executive Drew Altman in an interview. Events like a broken enrollment Web site, or people losing their health plans.

The “event” may be fairly simple to explain: More and more of the enrollees now have had a chance to utilize their new coverage. They will increasingly start looking for providers who accept their coverage and find that the choices have significantly narrowed. They may find that the coverage for services no longer fits their particular situation as well as the plans they had in the past. Just extending coverage to the uninsured — some of whom, it should be recalled, were uninsured by choice — isn’t the end of the equation for consumers. They still have to get access to care, and see that as an overall bargain for the costs and trade-offs involved in ObamaCare.

This correlation seems to be borne out by Kaiser’s chart of public opinion on ObamaCare since its passage:

kaiser-chart

The Kaiser series has been one of the friendliest polls to ObamaCare since 2010. While other pollsters showed significant and sustained opposition to the law, Kaiser showed more of a mixed bag — until late 2013. When ObamaCare became a reality for millions of Americans who suddenly got forced into the exchanges and who lost their existing insurance, it became much more unpopular even in this series. And now that the enrollees have had some experience in seeking care through the mandated plans they had to choose, they’re not finding ObamaCare to be a positive experience in the aggregate. This chart shows the difference between the lofty promises Democrats made and the reality of what they delivered.

Democrats would rather talk about anything in the midterms than ObamaCare. Unfortunately for them, the upcoming enforcement of the employer mandate will spread the misery far wider for Americans than the 2013 rollout of ObamaCare did, as millions of consumers get dumped out of employer-based coverage and are forced into the exchanges for coverage. That will likely begin to happen in October of this year, as businesses have to prepare for their 2015 budgets, just a few weeks before those midterm elections. They may not want to discuss ObamaCare, but it may be the final straw for voters tiring of incompetence in the White House and in his political allies on Capitol Hill.

 

 


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Who the hell are these 40% and how can we deport them with immediate effect?

The world is burning while the emperor plays golf.

Defenestratus on August 1, 2014 at 12:03 PM

Who in the hell are the 40%? Can people be that obtuse???

Corky on August 1, 2014 at 12:04 PM

40% of the people think that the US was too wealthy, influential and secure.

They can see that BHO is changing that.

shinty on August 1, 2014 at 12:06 PM

Storm them, and keep storming.

Wake them up and let them know who pays for their fat azzes.

obama should not only lose the senate; it s/b veto-override proof.

The luxuries in the invader-facilities should make all the poor pitchfork, politically, every single amnesty shill, incl Rahm Emanuel.

Keep going, good people.

All D-rats and RINO/DIABLOs are your direct enemies and traitors of the Land of Laws.

Schadenfreude on August 1, 2014 at 12:06 PM

You break it you own it. Congratulations America!

Franklin100 on August 1, 2014 at 12:07 PM

But these Obamacare posts are about whistling past the graveyard, by next Novemeber Democrats will be openly running on the ACA. Mark my words.

libfreeordie on December 20, 2013 at 10:14 AM

portlandon on August 1, 2014 at 12:08 PM

This is obama’s America – he made it so.

BORDER BREAKDOWN:
Detention Center Has Hair Salon, Child Care, Basketball Courts, Gym, Soccer Field…
SUITES WITH FLAT-SCREEN TVS…
Immigrants’ ‘unfamiliarity with bathroom facilities’ causes problems…
REPORT: Transgender Raped…
Illegal charged in beating death of Chinese college student in LA…
UPDATE: TB, Scabies Spreading…
TX Law Enforcement Volunteer To Form ‘Border Brotherhood’…
Ready to rumble: Activists to raid congressional town hall meetings…

–Good Drudge, who fights for all of you weasels and sissies of the former Land of Laws

Schadenfreude on August 1, 2014 at 12:08 PM

Apparently at least 40% of Americans hate America. There is no other way someone could approve of this loser other than hating America and wanting it brought down.

Flange on August 1, 2014 at 12:09 PM

All you traitors, I hope one of those diseases get to you. YOU deserve to suffer what you’ve brung to the land.

There could be no bigger justice.

Poor kids die in Chicago every night and Rahm brings in 1000 more. Who does he think he is?

This cow on Fox “our prisons have pools, but the immigrant housing don’t”…imagine!

Schadenfreude on August 1, 2014 at 12:10 PM

They may not want to discuss ObamaCare, but it may be the final straw for voters tiring of incompetence in the White House and in his political allies on Capitol Hill.

To call it just ‘incompetence’ downplays and excuses just how destructive (by plan, intent, and action) this Administration and it’s Congressional allies are in their efforts to ‘fundamentally change’ the country to a fascist state.

Athos on August 1, 2014 at 12:10 PM

Who cares? He could be polling at 2% and we would still have a complicit Republican leadership in the House. Polls won’t stop his executive lawlessness.

chuckfinlay on August 1, 2014 at 12:10 PM

For spineless LIVs, I think the more that the facts about illegal immigration come out, the more they’ll finally turn on Dems.

BuckeyeSam on August 1, 2014 at 12:11 PM

Who in the hell are the 40%? Can people be that obtuse???

Corky on August 1, 2014 at 12:04 PM

I work in higher ed… it’s around 94% approval here.

I’ve long concluded that most blind leftists have an axe to grind that reality will never touch. Gay rights, abortion, free phones, anger at some boss somewhere, jealousy of the successful, etc. Those will all trump reality for 40% of us.

You can show that minimum wage increases affect very few workers, increases unemployment, reduces the buying power of those on fixed incomes, and puts downward pressure in middle wage earners… and no amount of fact will matter to someone angry at the “rich.”

They’re not interested in policy success, they’re interested in either having their lifestyles sanctioned by society or in using government to get back at some perceived enemy they blame for their failures in life.

mankai on August 1, 2014 at 12:11 PM

Every rat in DC, be cantorized!!!

Schadenfreude on August 1, 2014 at 12:11 PM

YAY!!!! ED IS BACK! YAY!!!

Key West Reader on August 1, 2014 at 12:11 PM

His useless idiots in the media won’t ever let it, on average, go any lower than 40%.

As reliable as the so-called unemployment numbers reported …

ShainS on August 1, 2014 at 12:11 PM

I would love for obama to be cornered for 2 years.

The hilarity w/b too schadenfreudig.

Look at the Goon, who’s Chief.

Schadenfreude on August 1, 2014 at 12:13 PM

In another poll…..

40% of American voters shouldn’t be allowed to vote.

StubbornGreenBurros on August 1, 2014 at 12:13 PM

I didn’t realize that 40% of the American population was African American…

bimmcorp on August 1, 2014 at 12:13 PM

Dereliction of Duty,………..DUH!!!!

canopfor on August 1, 2014 at 12:14 PM

My goodness: I had no idea that 59% of us were narrow, gun clinging intolerant racists!
I feel so ashamed. Maybe I should go donate some money to OFA and Planned Parenthood, to erase the perception of evil reflected in my incorrect opinions.
Or, so MSNBC and Josh Earnest might have one believe.

orangemtl on August 1, 2014 at 12:14 PM

Translation: 40% of population are Federal/State/Government employees, or is dependent on one.

portlandon on August 1, 2014 at 12:15 PM

40% are still polishing this turd…. Unreal. These people are certainly going to elect Hillary.

rightConcept on August 1, 2014 at 12:19 PM

It’s fairly simple when you think about it.
 
12% of our population is black.
 
17%+ is Hispanic.
 
That’s 29% combined right there.
 
Add in the true believer leftists which are easily 10% of the population (if you don’t know who they are, watch the threads for people defending the IRS) plus The Gays and The 99%ers and The Greens and the morons who don’t know who the vice president is (40% of the population, btw. Let that sink in for a bit)
 
http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2010/09/28/5195196-just-six-in-10-know-biden-is-vice-president
 
to make up any minority slack, and 40% is probably a fair guess at his baseline.
 
I doubt it’s possible for him to go much lower, and I’d wager 37% is the absolute lowest we could ever possibly see him get. Period. Killing and eating puppies on TV period.

rogerb on August 1, 2014 at 12:20 PM

But these Obamacare posts are about whistling past the graveyard, by next Novemeber Democrats will be openly running on the ACA. Mark my words.

libfreeordie on December 20, 2013 at 10:14 AM

Where’s libfree?

Washington Nearsider on August 1, 2014 at 12:22 PM

Even LIVs know this:

- economy – their personal pain

- security – ISIS slipping through the open borders is not “over there in the ME and Africa”

- obama’care’ will have to absorb all the usurpers/illegal aliens

- bennies for the invaders over the poor/middle class in the US

- taxpayers are punished and made to work harder to pay for all the obama-amnesty-frills

The forks are out, politically, and the next few months will only get rougher for all.

Schadenfreude on August 1, 2014 at 12:22 PM

* Twenty five EBT credits says we could lay a chart of percent-who-can’t-name-the-VP over an approval rating chart and the two would trend almost identically.

rogerb on August 1, 2014 at 12:23 PM

“The empty suit” is an EMPTY SUIT.

Who knew?

GarandFan on August 1, 2014 at 12:23 PM

Obama hits 40% approval

Well, Romney only missed it by 7%.

BacaDog on August 1, 2014 at 12:24 PM

Do “Obamaphone” recipients actuarially constitute 40% of the voting population”? Disgusting.

rplat on August 1, 2014 at 12:27 PM

Even after survey after survey has recently shown a major drop in the nation’s uninsured rate, Obamacare just had its worst month in a key health-care poll…

Could it be that the people taking part in surveys are more responsible i.e. working taxpayers, while the increase in the number of insured is mostly among non-working tax eaters i.e. welfare beneficiaries?

jbspry on August 1, 2014 at 12:27 PM

And remember Ebola has yet to hit.

Who the hell are these 40% and how can we deport them with immediate effect?

Defenestratus on August 1, 2014 at 12:03 PM

At least 5 to 10 points are skew, so it’s in the 30s at least.

formwiz on August 1, 2014 at 12:28 PM

40%… who are they?

“When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.”

– Benjamin Franklin

Tsar of Earth on August 1, 2014 at 12:31 PM

bimmcorp on August 1, 2014 at 12:13 PM
They are not 40%, but when they vote more than once they just seem like they are 40% of the population.
Oh and don’t forget they count the dead relatives they vote for, as the dead just can’t make it to the polls.

Bakokitty on August 1, 2014 at 12:32 PM

The reults of this poll is the only thing our “precident” has ever earned.

Skwor on August 1, 2014 at 12:33 PM

I wish it didn’t take two terms to figure out this guy was incompetent. But, we are where are.

chrisbolts on August 1, 2014 at 12:37 PM

Add in the dead and fraudulent voters and Hillary or Warren wins in 2016.

All the $hit started to hit the fan win Soros started his campaign of getting the democrats elected to Secretary of State program. It’s not who votes, it’s who counts the votes.

jukin3 on August 1, 2014 at 12:39 PM

Apparently, a majority of this country needs to stop hatin on Barry.

Bart DePalma on August 1, 2014 at 12:41 PM

Who in the hell are the 40%? Can people be that obtuse???

Corky on August 1, 2014 at 12:04 PM

Blacks, communists and single women are the only remaining people holding him up at 40%. I think this is about his support floor – unless the Lerner emails go public.

Well, Romney only missed it by 7%.

BacaDog on August 1, 2014 at 12:24 PM

No, it’s about 47-51%. Incredible as it may sound, some people disapprove of him for not redistributing enough money but would vote for him over any Republican.

crrr6 on August 1, 2014 at 12:45 PM

Old Texas saying “Y’all can’t get the water to cleared up, until you get the turd out of the creek.”

Schadenfreude on August 1, 2014 at 12:56 PM

Old Texas saying “Y’all can’t get the water to cleared clear up, until you get the turd out of the creek.”

Schadenfreude on August 1, 2014 at 12:57 PM

“The empty suit” is an EMPTY SUIT.
Who knew? GarandFan

I would say he is more of a cardboard cutout… Gives the impression that there is a presence there, but totally 2 dimensional… No depth whatsoever…

Kuffar on August 1, 2014 at 1:00 PM

For the mild-mannered vet, the buck stops in the Oval Office.

All this blood we see out here is on Obama’s hands.’

Schadenfreude on August 1, 2014 at 1:02 PM

I wanted to know more about the sample so I tracked down the web site:

http://ap-gfkpoll.com/featured/our-latest-poll-findings-34

It involved online interviews with 1,044 adults

Should we even consider this a valid poll? When I read online poll of 1044 adults I did /eyeroll.

dogsoldier on August 1, 2014 at 1:08 PM

Obama’s approval has been +- 40% forever and isn’t likely to change. These really are non-stories.

PersonFromPorlock on August 1, 2014 at 1:11 PM

When ObamaCare became a reality for millions of Americans who suddenly got forced into the exchanges and who lost their existing insurance, it became much more unpopular even in this series.

Now that’s odd. When more and more people get tossed into Obamacare the unpopularity of the law goes way up. Huh….who could have ever figured that one out. If you read the survey article they try to turn the bad results around by saying that more people are benefitting from insurance now.

Wait until they enforce the employer mandate. Boy that’s going to be a doozy! Disclaimer: I suspect it will never be enforced and will just go quietly away leaving out a huge chunk of money to pay for the ACA and causing it’s costs to explode.

Johnnyreb on August 1, 2014 at 1:13 PM

Oh, come on, it’s the AssPress. They don’t even pretend to be objective any more.

viking01 on August 1, 2014 at 1:21 PM

Well lucky for Jugears, he’s a king. His subjects don’t have to like him, they just have to do as they’re told — or else.

Rational Thought on August 1, 2014 at 1:32 PM

I think the nation is quickly coming to an impasse where the portion of the population that works and pays taxes becomes fed up with the parasite class who supports Obama and other vermin for no other reason than he promises them free stuff. Throw in the stupid liberals who are proud that they supported a black man for President and you very quickly get to at least 40% support.

But all supporters and opponents are not created equally. It’s fine if some welfare queen in Detroit supports Obama but sooner or later the taxpayers are going to revolt over having to pay for all this “generosity.” My guess is that the revolution is going to happen sooner rather than later.

Happy Nomad on August 1, 2014 at 1:35 PM

Apparently, a majority of this country needs to stop hatin on Barry.

Bart DePalma on August 1, 2014 at 12:41 PM

Yep. Most of us are apparently scary crazy a**holes.

Happy Nomad on August 1, 2014 at 1:37 PM

I found the AP’s polling question:

“Are you racist or do you support the Kenyan pharaoh?”

viking01 on August 1, 2014 at 1:40 PM

for the life of me, why isn’t it 20%?

warmairfan on August 1, 2014 at 2:30 PM

I’m a bitter clinger and will tell anyone, proudly.

Tard on August 1, 2014 at 2:33 PM

obama’s America

92,001,000 Americans Not Working…

…increased by 11,472,000 since Obama

– Drudge

Schadenfreude on August 1, 2014 at 2:35 PM

mankai on August 1, 2014 at 12:11 PM

Exactly.

One thing we have working for us is that the media empires are disintegrating before their owners eyes. All the big lib dailys are losing money as they continue to tick off their potential audience by pandering to many who no longer buy papers and won’t. The creation of Netflix and other TV streaming devices is further eroding the ability of the networks to drive the narrative. They are getting hammered by th epublic on their immigration and Gaza coverage.

Once the media has been destroyed by bankruptcy – the democrat party having lost its communications arm will be in serious trouble.

Zomcon JEM on August 1, 2014 at 4:38 PM

This is one obstinate group of 40%. This has got to be the Democrat base. I see or hear no one else espousing much love for this moron. Yet, Hillary enjoys a popularity rating in the 60′s. I can’t get over it! It’s just too much to fathom, don’t these people read? Even the most left wing twisted reports show ineptitude & incompetence when you read between the lines.

Boats48 on August 2, 2014 at 6:36 AM

I think we might be better off if this 40% of people were given a huge chunk of land to start their own people’s republic, and leave real Americans alone.

Reggie1971 on August 2, 2014 at 12:46 PM