A “sustainable majority” is probably neither

posted at 11:01 am on July 27, 2014 by Jazz Shaw

Rodrigo Sermeño covers a little heralded press briefing in DC this week where a collection of Republican committee leaders put forth an optimistic look at what we should expect to see this November. While understandably short on specifics, it at least paints the picture of an organizational structure which is trying to get a solid ground game in place.

The five GOP committees overseeing presidential, Senate, House, gubernatorial and state legislative races hosted a joint press briefing on Capitol Hill, where they highlighted their coordinated strategy for the November elections.

Republican National Committee Chief of Staff Mike Shields said the idea behind the event was to highlight how well the groups are “working together.”

Shields said there are some “common things in many of the different races that makes us feel good about where we are headed.” …

Shields cited a poll that showed 53 percent of Americans believe it is important to put Republicans in charge to offset Obama and his party allies.

The committees have apparently recruited and deployed more than 16,000 workers on the local level – primarily precinct captains and minority outreach coordinators – to make first person contact with “low propensity voters” and obtain buy-in well in advance of the mid-terms. To be sure, this is important work in an area where Democrats had the upper hand two years ago, but the more important question is precisely what message these ground level agents are taking with them to the masses. Somewhat disturbing is the highlighting of studies showing the general dissatisfaction among voters about the nation’s direction.

In reality, this is nothing more than the overarching strategy of both parties over the past several decades. A shorter way of describing it is that the party currently out of power wants to rely on the fact that people are generally unhappy with the state of affairs in the country and are willing to throw the bums out this year, only to put a new set of bums in charge of the store. Unfortunately, while this has been a successful short term strategy in the past, it does not lead to any actual change.

In order to achieve the long sought dream of a sustainable majority, you have to do more than point out how bad the other guys are. You need to provide a demonstrable case where you offer a plan to actually make the lives of the voters better, not just today, but into the future. And then, of course, the hard part comes. If you win, you have to actually do it. Failing that, all you’ve managed to do is grab the tiller for two or four years until the ousted party does precisely the same thing to you. The GOP definitely needs to turn out a tide of less likely voters willing to give them a chance, but they also need to show them exactly what the change will look like and how it will reach into their lives in a positive way. If you can manage that, they just might show up to vote again next time. And the time after that…


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where a collection of Republican committee leaders old boy network RINO’s

Same shit different day RINO progressives attempting to secure their place at the public feeding trough…

oscarwilde on July 27, 2014 at 11:12 AM

The only difference between the Democrat and Republican Establishments is that they are rival gangs of “leaders” who want the plum posts.

ConstantineXI on July 27, 2014 at 11:13 AM

Perhaps the party in power shouldn’t feel they can scr*w over their base while they hurry to pander to “less likely voters.”

Is “less likely voters” what we’re calling the minority voters who usually vote Democratic?

katiejane on July 27, 2014 at 11:20 AM

A “sustainable majority” is probably neither

No kidding. Considering the demographics and the illegal aliens flooding our borders we’re going to look a lot more like Brazil or Venezuela or Argentina in 10 years or less.

Whoever’s up for providing all the free goodies is going to be the winner.

Ruckus_Tom on July 27, 2014 at 11:26 AM

I really hope these juggheads read this piece on the Democrat data-driven GOTV campaign and have something similar in place for 2014.

Hate to not pick up the Senate to a president with approval ratings in the low 40′s because of superior Facebook poking.

motionview on July 27, 2014 at 11:27 AM

Since the GOP defecated all over the base in MS, there is no way they maintain a majority in Congress. I wish you the best of luck GOP.

Mr. Arrogant on July 27, 2014 at 11:28 AM

Hope congress stays divided and gridlocked as much as possible. Less new damage will be done as we prepare for the next financial crisis.

Meremortal on July 27, 2014 at 11:37 AM

Fusk the GOPe. They have screwed us, so screw them.

Do you really think a republican senate would be much different in results than the current Reid-led fiasco?

Two words in my favor on this subject: John Boehner.

It doesn’t matter whom we elect. The guys in power couldn’t give a shite about us.

Wino on July 27, 2014 at 11:39 AM

Won’t happen until they stop being Whigs and start acting like republicans.

formwiz on July 27, 2014 at 11:50 AM

The engines are already warming up in the K Street Project.

Viator on July 27, 2014 at 11:55 AM

The GOP doesn’t have a vision of how to make things better. So, of course they couldn’t execute any plan for making things better. They just want to be in charge of all that power and all those sweet, sweet taxpayer dollars.

trigon on July 27, 2014 at 11:58 AM

Screw both parties … I want a party that practices our constitution!
End the Patriot Act, abolish the IRS, abolish Social Security, go small, stop creation of laws intended on increasing prison populations & police states, and allow States the right to practice 100% capitalism (free trade).

kregg on July 27, 2014 at 12:03 PM

They’re fooling themselves – again.

Even I could mount a media campaign that would have Republicans winning a landslide in November. You do it by showing how Democrat policies have hurt the middle and working classes. You show how what Obama and the Democrats are doing on immigration is going to make it that much harder for working class Americans to get a job, get a raise, move up, etc. That increasing H1B visas hurts American tech workers by keeping down salaries and making it difficult for displaced technical workers to find a new job. And on and on. It writes itself.

huckleberryfriend on July 27, 2014 at 12:06 PM

New leaders and out with the old.

sorrowen on July 27, 2014 at 12:07 PM

The party always talks about the “long game,” but they sure aren’t very good at playing it.

The only way to get long-term change is to pass something drastic while you have your majority, like the Dems did with Obamacare.

Good Solid B-Plus on July 27, 2014 at 12:09 PM

I really hope these juggheads read this piece on the Democrat data-driven GOTV campaign and have something similar in place for 2014.

motionview on July 27, 2014 at 11:27 AM

You didn’t like ORCA? The Democrats want to change the country. The establishment Republicans only goal is maintaining power within the GOP. The Dems hire competent staffers. The GOP employs @$$holes like the NRSC’s Brad Daystream.

bw222 on July 27, 2014 at 12:53 PM

Even I could mount a media campaign that would have Republicans winning a landslide in November. You do it by showing how Democrat policies have hurt the middle and working classes. You show how what Obama and the Democrats are doing on immigration is going to make it that much harder for working class Americans to get a job, get a raise, move up, etc. That increasing H1B visas hurts American tech workers by keeping down salaries and making it difficult for displaced technical workers to find a new job. And on and on. It writes itself.

huckleberryfriend on July 27, 2014 at 12:06 PM

But, you would be focused on governing the country. GOPe’s primary focus is maintaining control of the party and not offending Chuck Schumer or any groups that will never vote Republican.

bw222 on July 27, 2014 at 12:56 PM

Party gains majority. Party feeds money machine to detriment of the citizens. Party gets displaced by “other” party. Rinse, repeat.

S. D. on July 27, 2014 at 1:05 PM

Basically progressives are just waiting out the demographic shifts that will end the GOP and conservatisms influence. Not pressed.
libfreeordie on July 27, 2014 at 9:49 AM

Schadenfreude on July 27, 2014 at 1:20 PM

Who needs enemies?

Schadenfreude on July 27, 2014 at 1:22 PM

The GOP employs @$$holes like the NRSC’s Brad Daystream.

bw222 on July 27, 2014 at 12:53 PM

A cousin of Buzz Lightyear?? And just as effective?

fred5678 on July 27, 2014 at 1:31 PM

After reading all of the above, the conclusion must be: The only people worse than RINOS are WHINOS.

unclesmrgol on July 27, 2014 at 1:50 PM

You need to provide a demonstrable case where you offer a plan to actually make the lives of the voters better, not just today, but into the future.

Gee, here’s a winning strategy:

http://www.jmisys.com/immigrationmarches/zogby5.html

Note that the latest Gallup poll has immigration as important as it was in 2006 — twin spikes.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/173306/one-six-say-immigration-important-problem.aspx

fred5678 on July 27, 2014 at 1:56 PM

In order to achieve the long sought dream of a sustainable majority, you have to do more than point out how bad the other guys are. You need to provide a demonstrable case where you offer a plan to actually make the lives of the voters better, not just today, but into the future.

Wrong.

The donks have had no new ideas or constructive suggestions for years now, but between their incessant trash-talking of Republicans to their moronic base and remaking the demographics of the electorate on a national level to expand that base, at the very least they are likely to succeed in “transforming” America into a permanent one-party state.

Spurius Ligustinus on July 27, 2014 at 2:07 PM

In order to achieve the long sought dream of a sustainable majority, you have to do more than point out how bad the other guys are. You need to provide a demonstrable case where you offer a plan to actually make the lives of the voters better, not just today, but into the future.

Absolutely. Well said.

cat_owner on July 27, 2014 at 2:36 PM

Karl Marx stated that capitalism has within it the seeds of its own destruction. He was only partly right. ALL SOCIETIES have these deadly seeds. Socialism stops when the well runs dry on producers. Capitalism stops when non-producers outnumber producers and politically remove them from power eventually setting up a new cycle of ‘socialism stops when producers run dry’, ad infinitum.

The seeds of capitalist destruction are the socialists, ironically nurtured by the very capitalism they profess to despise, who gather up the social ‘have nots’ like a snowball rolling down hill perpetually growing larger. The stronger the socialists grow, the larger the number of dependent voters they garner hence ever increasing their prestige and power.

Thus the old aphorisms become cliches and the cliches become irrelevancies.

EX: “Obama is a foreign policy disaster”. What difference does it make since the vast majority of Obama’s constituents have never heard of ‘Putin” and don’t know what (or “who”) ‘Benghazi’ is.

Ex: “We are a center right nation”. Not any more. Gore and Kerry (and Kerry bordered on treason) just missed the presidency and Marxist Obama was elected twice.

Ex: “We are a nation of laws’” Not when a liberal SC votes 5-4 that bona fide laws are unconstitutional. And, as for the Constitution, what good is it when liberal judges interpret it any way they want?

Of course we could survive a bit longer if the GOP had backbone, competency and cohones but that’s like asking for the moon.

MaiDee on July 27, 2014 at 3:54 PM

The essential problem is that Obama’s economic policies attempted to avert the pain of the recession. The pain is actually necessary, squeezing out the nonproductive companies, industries, products, and workers for a more efficient allocation of capital resources.

When this temporary pain is postponed by extended unemployment benefits, “help” for delinquent debtors, and deficit spending, the required restructuring is, too. That’s the main reason we’ve had such a tepid “recovery” under Obama.

~~

BUT if the next Republican President and Congress does what is needed, there will be pain. Can’t get around it. And that usually hands power to the other party, so the Democrats can come back in and screw it all up again.

Adjoran on July 27, 2014 at 4:56 PM

A sustainable GOP majority is probably only achievable when the average age of the clear thinking, cogent talking GOP politician is nearer experienced working age folks instead of the current geriatric crowd leading the GOP who should have retired decades ago.

FYI, the group in charge is basically the same gutless leadership crowd that allowed the 55 MPH speed limit to survive the 1980s and early 1990s. Think they’re going to do much about Obamacare? Think again…

drfredc on July 27, 2014 at 8:33 PM

Last time Rs controlled everything, 2005, 2006 the Rs in the Senate consistently thwarted what Rs in the house passed – all for “bipartisan” garbage.

IF Rs gain control of the US Senate, they BETTER put in place a plan that is more than 12-24 months in duration. None of this comprehensive garbage that goes nowhere. Specifics – a few listed below and they need outlines, marketing outlines, sales outlines for each – not detail garbage, outlines that people can understand.

Immigration: total fence, first, then worry about the rest. Then check illegals here; return the teenage boys (aka “children”) to home nations – they’re not children, they’re teenage boys. We have to stop the perception that getting here is all that matters. Key words: unfair, unjust, unsustainable.

Debt: open drilling everywhere: Keystone, Gulf of Mexico, Atlantic and Pacific coasts; allocate 10% of has revenues from sales to pay down the debt – NO exceptions; switch public pensions to 401K equivalents; no more auto pension increases; (Private sector pensions are set the day you leave your job);

Deficit: immediate, across the board cut for all but defense – and I mean ALL bureaus;

Education: return to states and go back to California tests and Iowa tests of basic skills;

These would be starters.

MN J on July 27, 2014 at 10:01 PM

They can cut programs and waste, and then put the bill on Obama’s desk for him to sign. They can cut taxes and put the bill on Obama’s desk. If the bills sit there and Obama doesn’t sign them, and they expire? They can pass it again, like the 50 times the republicans have cut the ACA, and it will go back to sitting on Obama’s desk.

There are 350 House Bills on Harry Reids desk right now, the republican House has been busy, but the News Media nods with Obama and says congress is doing nothing…The House is In Session, our reps are choosing the solutions, the media ignores them.

In 2016, they pile up the bills again, and say, Obama won’t sign these bills, but our republican candidate will. And if Hillary is there screaming I’ll do it I’ll do it, I am not like Obama, tell her to quiet down, that she has had 8 years to tell her democrat friends to break the log jam in the Senate. I expect she is saving that for October 2016, to pretend to save the day. After 8 years of averting her eyes from the country’s suffering?

Fleuries on July 28, 2014 at 10:31 AM