New Economist/YouGov poll shows Hobby Lobby impact on Supreme Court approval

posted at 12:41 pm on July 11, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

It’s a pretty strong suggestion too, and it should give Democrat incumbents in the Senate yet another reason to question Harry Reid’s leadership. The Economist/YouGov partnership conducted two polls on approval levels for the Supreme Court. One was taken from June 28th-30th, ending the same day that the court handed down its Hobby Lobby decision (and Harris v Quinn for that matter), and after its previously-announced decisions the week before, and the other from July 5-7, at the pitch of the hysterical overreaction to the 5-4 Hobby Lobby result. While the media and Democrats seem to believe that the Supreme Court’s credibility would take a beating, the opposite turned out to be true:

In the latest Economist/YouGov Poll, Americans are closely divided in how they view the Court, but there has been a slight improvement in the last week.

Although the Hobby Lobby decision was unpopular with Democrats, whose image of the Court shifted from mixed to negative after the ruling, Republicans (who were more positive about the Court to begin with) became even more positive.   Favorable ratings of the Supreme Court jumped six points among Republicans, while unfavorable views rose seven points among Democrats.

But the greatest change in perception of the Supreme Court came from independents.  Last week, independents were more unfavorable than favorable, this week, a majority of independents are favorable.

The change among independents turned out to be rather dramatic, actually:

yougov-indies

 

That’s a sea change in opinion, and it’s not the only bad news for Democrats planning to make their opposition to the Hobby Lobby decision a centerpiece for the midterms. On the decision itself, a plurality of Americans favor the outcome by a 47/41 margin. Among independents, that goes to a 53/36 approval. Even among women, the target demo for this campaign strategy, the outcome is decidedly mixed at 43/46; the crosstabs show an almost even split among women who feel strongly either way, 32/34. That’s hardly a ringing endorsement of this being part of the “war on women” Democrats keep claiming.

Looking further at the crosstabs for the second poll, there’s more bad news for Reid and whoever decides to follow him on this path. The only region to disapprove of this decision is the northeast, and only narrowly at 40/45. In the regions where incumbent Democrats run higher risks of losing their seats, respondents support the Hobby Lobby outcome: 48/43 in the Midwest, 45/42 in the West, and a big majority in the South of 53/37.

Which Democrats want to climb aboard Reid’s anti-religious-expression bandwagon with these numbers? Mary Landrieu in Louisiana? Michelle Nunn in Georgia? Kay Hagan in North Carolina? Even Al Franken in Minnesota may want to think long and hard before backing Reid’s play on the RFRA amendment.

As I wrote at The Fiscal Times this week, Reid’s strategy is a loser on many levels:

It attempts to restore a mandate that actually wasn’t included in the law itself, but was created as a regulation without any vote in Congress. Where the RFRA was a highly popular attempt to protect and expand the ability to defend religious expression – it passed unanimously in the House and 97-3 in the Senate, both controlled at the time by Democrats – the effect of this amendment will be to limit religious expression, which won’t endear Democrats to voters of faith in any sense.

Democratic incumbents in the Senate already face long odds in the upcoming midterm elections, largely because of ObamaCare and the unintended consequences of its rollout and control of the health-insurance market. Reid now wants them to cast a vote to limit religious conscience objections for products that are so widely available that the CDC couldn’t detect any access issues, in what will be seen as another endorsement of the unpopular ACA.

That will come either just before a new round of price hikes gets announced, or at the same time, just weeks ahead of the midterms – price hikes that have the White House so worried that their team has already begun the spin effort to deflect attention. On top of all this, Reid wants them to expose themselves to considerable voter backlash in purple and red states for a bill that has zero chance of becoming law.

Perhaps Harry Reid might convince these vulnerable Senate Democrats to go all in on a futile endorsement of Obamacare, bureaucratic arrogance, and restrictions on religious expression ahead of facing the voters. They may instead think back to what motivated the RFRA twenty-one years ago, and wonder what Harry Reid is smoking.

A month from now, Democrats won’t even be talking about it. But maybe they should seriously think about retiring Harry Reid as their majority leader before he talks America into giving Republicans a clean sweep in November.


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Not going to happen. This old smelly turd will stay until they shackle him to a post and carry his pederast butt out of the Capitol.

HomeoftheBrave on July 11, 2014 at 12:43 PM

Oh, and Bishop!

HomeoftheBrave on July 11, 2014 at 12:44 PM

Confused.

Libfree said the Hobby Lobby decision was the start of the 2nd Women’s Right Movement.

sentinelrules on July 11, 2014 at 12:44 PM

The Republicans need to help fast track this to the floor of the Senate. Get the Dems on record before sanity prevails.

PackerBronco on July 11, 2014 at 12:45 PM

Bring back tar and feathers.

John the Libertarian on July 11, 2014 at 12:46 PM

Maybe the Demos need to be reminded nobody but them likes BarryCare.

formwiz on July 11, 2014 at 12:49 PM

…Democrats planning to make their opposition to the Hobby Lobby decision a centerpiece for the midterms.

(Been seeing that for three days and it still makes me laugh.)

Tsar of Earth on July 11, 2014 at 12:51 PM

An underage boy from Searchlight was recently heard to say “Harry Reid” was pretty accurate description of Harry’s junk.

M240H on July 11, 2014 at 12:52 PM

War on Women, from the left

Schadenfreude on July 11, 2014 at 12:53 PM

Boom until they legalize gay mirage all over the us and then the same people will hate them all over gain.

coolrepublica on July 11, 2014 at 12:54 PM

War on women and blacks, from all sides.

Schadenfreude on July 11, 2014 at 12:56 PM

Boom until they legalize gay mirage all over the us and then the same people will hate them all over gain.

coolrepublica on July 11, 2014 at 12:54 PM

Mirage all over us, indeed

Schadenfreude on July 11, 2014 at 12:56 PM

Confused.

Libfree said the Hobby Lobby decision was the start of the 2nd Women’s Right Movement.

sentinelrules on July 11, 2014 at 12:44 PM

live4free isn’t too bright but plays the role of a trolling college prof in his spare time which is pretty much all the time.

cthemfly on July 11, 2014 at 12:57 PM

Kelly went after Pelosi’s remarks, saying “Nancy Pelosi either doesn’t know what she’s talking about, or she’s intentionally misleading you,” and called the gendered attack an “attempt to stoke resentment.”

“First of all, the gender of the justices in the Hobby Lobby majority is totally irrelevant,” Kelly said, pointing out that the justices who ruled in the majority for Roe v. Wade were also men. “Does Ms. Pelosi think those justices were ill-equipped to fairly decide that case? Or is it only when a judge disagrees with Ms. Pelosi that his gender is an issue.”

Hillary has promoted a war on women, always.

Schadenfreude on July 11, 2014 at 12:58 PM

Leftist hacks love deflection.

See the oaf, who’s chief.

See Harry Reid.

See Pelosi.

See the trolls.

Schadenfreude on July 11, 2014 at 12:59 PM

The Koch Brothers made Harry Reid lose his mind, Reid is the victim.

jedifinance on July 11, 2014 at 1:00 PM

Republican challengers in these states need to hammer home the fact that electing a Democrat Senator is putting ammo in Harry Reid’s cannon that is pointed at your individual freedoms.

Democrat incumbents can claim they don’t go along with Reid, but Republican campaigns can easily put together a tally of the incumbents voting record with Reid, vs. against Reid, and the tally will carry a lot of weight, particularly with freedom-minded voters in either party, or independents.

Democrats with Harry Reid as baggage, will end up sinking themselves. Any who consistently go against Reid may have a chance, but… well there won’t be any will there?

s1im on July 11, 2014 at 1:07 PM

Imagine what it would be if there was not a 98% pro-fascism/anti-liberty MSM bleating the DNC propaganda 24/7.

jukin3 on July 11, 2014 at 1:08 PM

largely because of ObamaCare and the unintended consequences of its rollout and control of the health-insurance market.

The only consequence they didn’t intend was how disastrous O’care would be to Dem legislators.

AesopFan on July 11, 2014 at 1:09 PM

I hope you amnesty and open borders shills will be forced to take a group into your homes, indefinitely.

Yes, all will be one topic, soon.

The war on women will be forgotten because this is a war on your children.

Schadenfreude on July 11, 2014 at 1:12 PM

The trollpervs will be here any minute equating it to the right to fire gay people.

itsspideyman on July 11, 2014 at 1:12 PM

Internal polling will soon show the democrats that nobody cares about their hysterical screaming about birth control and they’ll have to move onto something else.

supernova on July 11, 2014 at 1:12 PM

I, for one, would love to see ‘gay mirage’ all over the U.S. That would bean this nonsense would all be a figment of the imagination. A nightmare, if you will…

bimmcorp on July 11, 2014 at 1:14 PM

The trollpervs will be here any minute equating it to the right to fire gay people.

itsspideyman on July 11, 2014 at 1:12 PM

coolrepubica is already here, butchering the English language yet again…

bimmcorp on July 11, 2014 at 1:15 PM

But maybe they should seriously think about retiring Harry Reid as their majority leader before he talks America into giving Republicans a clean sweep in November.

Also, I hear from reliable sources that Harry Reid is a pederast.

jaime on July 11, 2014 at 1:16 PM

The YouGov/Economist polls are more biased than telephone polls given how respondents were selected:

“Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in Internet panel using sample matching.”

Adjustments are later performed, but the validity of the poll results depend to a large degree on how well the adjustment is done.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/04/09/tracking-public-opinion-with-biased-polls/

jim56 on July 11, 2014 at 1:17 PM

Just about every issue is running away from the Democrats, lead by a president who doesn’t just seem disengaged, but driven by some curiously destructive, out of control intent.

If the Republicans were not such big collaborators in these issues, such as the current illegal immigration crisis, they would not only be running away with the midterms but also the presidency.

The problem is people don’t trust this current group of Republicans to run a lemonade stand, much less the government. Should they gain control of the senate, it will be because the local situations have become toxic enough for people to want a change in their representatives. It has zero to do with trusting Republicans to “lead” the majority. In fact if the existing group of priorities continue to dominate- they can expect a very short ride. Democrats are crafty at one thing: opportunistic exploitation. Should Republicans be foolish enough to co-opt their central issues or lean towards big-government initiatives- it will be their undoing.

As for Hillary, who was part of this administration and is on record time and again? If this continues, she keeps sliding in popularity (probably already due to what’s going on) and people actually start connecting her to the many dangerous, foolish and naive failures we see around the world- it is over. People don’t want another politician who is a creation of the media. They want a leader and she is the converse.

Ultimately, what everyone wants back is a government which serves it’s citizens. One that considers the dire needs of its constituents, not big corporations, lobbyists or foreigners who aren’t part of the electorate.

Marcus Traianus on July 11, 2014 at 1:17 PM

Gosh, it’s almost as if the majority of Americans are still, freedom-loving Christians, huh?

kingsjester on July 11, 2014 at 1:18 PM

FIVE WHITE MEN FOR THE WIN!

hillsoftx on July 11, 2014 at 1:19 PM

Here, Jimbo03. Have a Kleenex…and blow.

kingsjester on July 11, 2014 at 1:20 PM

Nov. should be fun, were the Rs not such amnesty and illegal border usurpation shills.

Schadenfreude on July 11, 2014 at 1:21 PM

Troll number 2, checking in…

bimmcorp on July 11, 2014 at 1:22 PM

Between Harry’s diatribes and Obama’s open border policies/pool playing abilities, November might be more like Christmas.

Go Harry!

Rovin on July 11, 2014 at 1:22 PM

Gosh, it’s almost as if the majority of Americans are still, freedom-loving Christians, huh?

kingsjester on July 11, 2014 at 1:18 PM

That’s a pretty haughty way of dismissing America’s rise in intolerance, racism, sexism, and homophobia!

Happy Nomad on July 11, 2014 at 1:25 PM

jim56 on July 11, 2014 at 1:17 PM

Unskew that Huffington Post poll!

Rasmussen shows 49%-39% support the Hobby Lobby decision.

sentinelrules on July 11, 2014 at 1:26 PM

Happy Nomad on July 11, 2014 at 1:25 PM

LOL!

Yeah. Ain’t it great?

kingsjester on July 11, 2014 at 1:29 PM

In that respect let them keep Reid.

At least until we lay him FLAT . . . in November.

Although I’m not thrilled with Boehner’s Lawsuit verse’s Impeachment. It may backfire on Boehner and pave the road for Impeachment if it has a positive move.

Nat George on July 11, 2014 at 1:33 PM

Harry Reid=political suicide

sorrowen on July 11, 2014 at 1:38 PM

The trollpervs will be here any minute equating it to the right to fire gay people.

itsspideyman on July 11, 2014 at 1:12 PM

coolrepubica is already here, butchering the English language yet again…

bimmcorp on July 11, 2014 at 1:15 PM

See it now, bim buddy…that makes even less sense.

itsspideyman on July 11, 2014 at 1:41 PM

Imagine what it would be if there was not a 98% pro-fascism/anti-liberty MSM bleating the DNC propaganda 24/7.

jukin3 on July 11, 2014 at 1:08 PM

Exactly right! e.g. Have you heard the rant on a Houston TV station by a black woman who can’t understand what is going on at our southern border? Why politicians would allow all the illegals to take away jobs from mostly black people? Quite illuminating!

tomshup on July 11, 2014 at 1:44 PM

To Harry Reid the Koch brothers are Moby Dick and he is captin nemo.

sorrowen on July 11, 2014 at 1:47 PM

harry reid and liberal woman make excellent cases for birth control. My only wish, that their parents would have practiced it a lot more fervently.

crosshugger on July 11, 2014 at 1:55 PM

Don’t listen, Harry! Go all in with this one.
Trust us, you can’t go wrong suppressing religious expression.

Fondly,
Every conservative in the country

orangemtl on July 11, 2014 at 2:00 PM

Kelly went after Pelosi’s remarks, saying “Nancy Pelosi either doesn’t know what she’s talking about, or she’s intentionally misleading you,” and called the gendered attack an “attempt to stoke resentment.”

“First of all, the gender of the justices in the Hobby Lobby majority is totally irrelevant,” Kelly said, pointing out that the justices who ruled in the majority for Roe v. Wade were also men. “Does Ms. Pelosi think those justices were ill-equipped to fairly decide that case? Or is it only when a judge disagrees with Ms. Pelosi that his gender is an issue.”

Hillary has promoted a war on women, always.

Schadenfreude on July 11, 2014 at 12:58 PM

Schad,

Reid also parroted the Pelosi talking point “It’s wrong for five men to decide what happens to women in America”.

I thought it was important to add this Kelly quote to the above:

News flash: all birth control was legal before this decision remains legal today,” Kelly said. “The high court simply found that a religious freedom law which was co-sponsored by none other than — wait for it — Nancy Pelosi, sometimes protects corporations from being forced to violate their religious beliefs.”

Also time for America to forget the faux “War on Women” it’s “War on Vets” and it’s real.

31giddyup on July 11, 2014 at 2:04 PM

“Never Interfere With an Enemy While He’s in the Process of Destroying Himself.”
Napolean(?) and others

Closet Optimist on July 11, 2014 at 2:13 PM

coolrepubica is already here, butchering the English language yet again…

bimmcorp on July 11, 2014 at 1:15 PM

ESL courses tend to reach a point of diminishing returns for people over a certain age.

slickwillie2001 on July 11, 2014 at 2:27 PM

“maybe [Dems] should seriously think about retiring Harry Reid as their majority leader before he talks America into giving Republicans a clean sweep in November.”

Shhh!!! utUpShay!!!

wdkeller on July 11, 2014 at 2:38 PM

But maybe they should seriously think about retiring Harry Reid as their majority leader before he talks America into giving Republicans a clean sweep in November.

Yeah right. Democrats had no problem with a Dem senator who was a a Grand Kleagle of the KKK until he died in office in 2011. Why would they give Reid the old heave ho?

HotAirian on July 11, 2014 at 2:54 PM

jim56 on July 11, 2014 at 1:17 PM

You were an ignorant hack as Jimbo3 and you’re embarrassed to admit how much you were wrong about the ACA.

hawkdriver on July 11, 2014 at 5:44 PM

Reid’s strategy is a loser on many levels

FIFY, Ed…don’t bother to thank me now… ;-)

Newtie and the Beauty on July 11, 2014 at 6:36 PM

Hi Ed, We’ll take the “clean sweep” b/c 2016 will not be as favorable to Rs as 2014 is favorable.

MN J on July 11, 2014 at 9:47 PM