Kerry flies to Baghdad in last-ditch effort to unify Iraqis against ISIS

posted at 8:01 am on June 23, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

Iraq lost control of most of its western border in fighting over the last few days as ISIS has now rolled all the way down to Jordan. The al-Qaeda offshoot claimed control of a border crossing that connects to the US ally while still threatening Iraq’s capital, Baghdad:

Al-Qaeda-inspired rebels captured three more towns in the western Iraqi province of Anbar on Sunday, expanding their onslaught against crumbling Iraqi security forces deeper into the heart of the Middle East.

The latest conquests give the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) unchecked control of hundreds of miles of territory spanning the Iraqi-Syrian border, erasing the line drawn between the two countries by colonial powers.

The gains also put the militants within easy reach of Jordan and Saudi Arabia, U.S. allies that are among those in the region watching with alarm as the fighters rout Iraqi security forces and close in on Baghdad.

Reports that ISIS fighters had also seized a crossing post on the border with Jordan could not be independently confirmed. There was no indication that either Jordan or Saudi Arabia is under immediate threat from the fighters, whose recent offensives have focused on areas of Iraq and Syria that would form the nucleus of their proposed pan-Islamic state, modeled along the lines of the 7th-century Islamic caliphate.

If Iraq has lost control of the Turabil crossing, this presents a huge danger to Jordan and its flood of refugees from the Syrian civil war. ISIS is not likely to be big fans of the Jordanian government, which has diplomatic relations with Israel and a good relationship with the US. The Jordanian military has better unit cohesion and morale than does Iraq’s military, though, and the nearby Saudis would likely ally with them against any ISIS incursions in the Turabil area.

The Washington Post suggests that these ISIS forces sweeping through Iraq’s southwest are turning to the east anyway, toward Baghdad. That would make for a separate prong for the Sunni terrorist army, mostly through relatively friendly country, one that would put pressure on Baghdad’s defenses to spread across two or more fronts. If the forces in Iraq are to survive, they will have to unite, which is exactly the message John Kerry brought with him when meeting with Nouri al-Maliki in Baghdad today:

Confronting the threat of civil war in Iraq, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry flew to Baghdad on Monday to personally urge the Shiite-led government to give more power to political opponents before a Sunni insurgency seizes more control across the country and sweeps away hopes for lasting peace.

CBS News correspondent Margaret Brennan reports that in a nearly two-hour long meeting, Kerry urged Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki and other Iraqi leaders to form an inclusive coalition government with grassroots support to try and counter the sectarian violence sweeping the country.

The meeting between Kerry and, which took place at al-Maliki’s residence not long after Kerry’s arrival, was never expected to be friendly, given that officials in Washington have floated suggestions that the Iraqi premier should resign as a necessary first step toward quelling the vicious uprising.

Brennan says that while the Obama administration has made clear it would not mind seeing a new prime minister in Iraq, it has stopped short of actually asking al-Maliki to step down.

Iran has applied pressure in the opposite direction, the Washington Post reported:

Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, slammed U.S. policies in Iraq as “interference” on Sunday and made clear that Shiite Iran does not support American plans to find a new leader. …

In a clear reference to U.S. hopes of replacing Maliki, Khamenei also accused Washington of wanting to “dominate Iraq and have its agents rule over the country.”

“The United States is dissatisfied with the result of elections in Iraq, and they want to deprive the Iraqi people of their achievement of a democratic system, which they achieved without U.S. interference,” Khamenei said.

So much for Iran and the US working together to solve this crisis, eh? Even if Maliki was to change his stripes now and become an ecumenical inclusivist, which Sunni leaders would trust him at this point more than they’d trust ISIS and the former Ba’athist dead-enders who succored them during the Saddam Hussein era? That question might still apply even if Maliki himself stepped down, since there are now so few Sunnis left in in military and political leadership, thanks to purges and power plays conducted by Maliki in the vacuum left by American withdrawal. The Shi’ite Iranians have no problem with Shi’a domination, which means that Maliki has even more incentive to look to Tehran for assistance rather than the US.

The New York Times offers a look at how that leverage slipped away from the US in the first place:

The journey from then to now is a tale of premature celebration and dashed hopes. A president who thought he had set Iraq on a more stable course that could be sustained without American help has now determined that American diplomacy and power are critical to saving it. Tired of war, like most Americans, he found his aspiration to move on bedeviled by forces tearing across a region in a story punctuated by miscalculation and missed opportunities.

The withdrawal ceremony on that winter day in 2011 was, in the end, the result of a failed negotiation. In theory, both Mr. Obama and the Iraqi leadership wanted a small American detachment to stay behind. In reality, neither side was enthusiastic and seemed just as happy that a dispute over legal conditions scotched the deal.

The residual troops would not have been a combat force, but might have mounted counterterrorism missions and helped Iraqi forces gain better intelligence on the militants. Whether it would have made a difference is impossible to know, but will be a subject of debate for a long time. …

Mr. Obama came to office vowing to withdraw from Iraq but he largely followed an agreement signed by his predecessor, George W. Bush, with Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki committing the United States to leave by the end of 2011. Both Washington and Baghdad had imagined that they would negotiate a new agreement for a small residual force after that.

But as 2011 opened, the war had quieted down. After a troop increase ordered by Mr. Bush, a strategy shift by Gen. David H. Petraeus and a change of sides by Sunni militias, Mr. Maliki’s government seemed in a strong position. Gen. Lloyd Austin, the commander on the ground, developed proposals for keeping as many as 24,000 troops in Iraq after 2011, only to run into instant resistance.

Read on for the rest. Obama eventually got the Pentagon down to a plan for 10,000 troops to continue training and intelligence operations, and then largely threw up his hands rather than “beg” to stay in a place he wanted to leave. At this point, though, that kind of force not only would make a big difference in the defense against ISIS, but it would also provide a lot of leverage on Maliki that we no longer have — and that leverage might have stopped Maliki from conducting his corrosive purges and power grabs in the first place.

As the Times writes, we may not know whether that would have made a difference, but clearly washing our hands of Iraq completely the way we did in 2011 didn’t “end the war” at all.

 


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“wait,,, stop that bus”

jake-the-goose on June 23, 2014 at 8:05 AM

He’s going to help evacuate the US embassy.

Oil Can on June 23, 2014 at 8:05 AM

He’s going to help evacuate the US embassy.

Oil Can on June 23, 2014 at 8:05 AM

They’re screued.

katy the mean old lady on June 23, 2014 at 8:11 AM

I guess it’s wrong to wish for him to have a personal experience with one of those stingers Hillary gave to Al Qaeda in Libya.

Tom Servo on June 23, 2014 at 8:12 AM

But it’s bush’s fault!!!!
-lefties

cmsinaz on June 23, 2014 at 8:14 AM

He’s going to trash our troop then throw a few more medals at them.

rplat on June 23, 2014 at 8:17 AM

I strongly doubt that ISIS terrorists make up a majority of the Sunni rebels in Iraq… ISIS terrorists are estimated to be around 15,000 and that is an overestimation, thus it is impossible for them to control all these territories and against an Iraqi army that is numbered in the hundreds of thousands with an infinite advantage of fire power… I believe that ISIS terrorists are barely 20% of the Sunni rebels in Iraq and the remaining 80% are made of local Sunni tribes and ex-Saddam army.

mnjg on June 23, 2014 at 8:20 AM

But it’s bush’s fault!!!!
-lefties

cmsinaz on June 23, 2014 at 8:14 AM

I can’t wait to see how they try to blame Bush if 2nd quarter GDP winds up in negative territory and puts us officially in another recession.

Doughboy on June 23, 2014 at 8:21 AM

Umpteenth verse, same as the first. Is any place in the world this administration pushed regime change not a total mess today?

NotCoach on June 23, 2014 at 8:23 AM

“HALP UZ JOHN CARY!”

He couldn’t rally an ant hill with honey.

Marcus on June 23, 2014 at 8:24 AM

Obama lost Iraq.

There are more Muslim terrorists in more countries, controlling more territory during Obama’s Presidency than any other Presidency.

Kerry watching his 2016 Presidential hopes fading fast.

Joe Biden has gone into hiding.

albill on June 23, 2014 at 8:26 AM

But it’s bush’s fault!!!!
-lefties

cmsinaz on June 23, 2014 at 8:14 AM

Not just the lefties. Did you hear Rand Paul this weekend? Apparently the crazy foreign policy notions of his daddy are part of his agenda.

Happy Nomad on June 23, 2014 at 8:30 AM

Yepper Doughboy….it’ll be someone else’s fault for sure

cmsinaz on June 23, 2014 at 8:31 AM

With any luck ISIS will threaten Jordan or SA. Their militaries won’t be hamstringed with ridiculous ROE and liberal sensitivities.

Megyn Kellys Lipstick on June 23, 2014 at 8:31 AM

He’s going to help evacuate the US embassy.

Oil Can on June 23, 2014 at 8:05 AM

Yup, that’s one thing the pompous twit is probably good at: Retreats.

petefrt on June 23, 2014 at 8:32 AM

Kerry flies to Baghdad in last-ditch effort to unify Iraqis against ISIS

You mean three flights..

One to each country……

Electrongod on June 23, 2014 at 8:32 AM

mnjg on June 23, 2014 at 8:20 AM

You may be right but that small bunch is going to take over the entire country.

docflash on June 23, 2014 at 8:33 AM

The residual troops would not have been a combat force, but might have mounted counterterrorism missions and helped Iraqi forces gain better intelligence on the militants. Whether it would have made a difference is impossible to know, but will be a subject of debate for a long time

No, it is not impossible to know. The residual force would have prevented this including the root cause of the problem which is Maliki becoming a total Iranian stooge and treating the Iraqi Sunni and Kurds like second class citizens. Maliki has been PM of Iraq since 2006 and he behaved well when we were there but when we left he went full Iranian and Shia sectarian…

mnjg on June 23, 2014 at 8:35 AM

The lowest of the low, the stupidest of the stupid, the most corrupt of the corrupt. That’s the obama administration.

vityas on June 23, 2014 at 8:36 AM

I believe that ISIS terrorists are barely 20% of the Sunni rebels in Iraq and the remaining 80% are made of local Sunni tribes and ex-Saddam army.

mnjg on June 23, 2014 at 8:20 AM

I agree. I read an article about the judge who convicted Saddam Hussein and had him executed. Apparently, that judge has been captured and executed. I seriously doubt if the ISIS barbarians would give a damn about that judge. Al Qaeda had no love for Saddam when he was alive.

TarheelBen on June 23, 2014 at 8:38 AM

I strongly doubt that ISIS terrorists make up a majority of the Sunni rebels in Iraq… ISIS terrorists are estimated to be around 15,000 and that is an overestimation, thus it is impossible for them to control all these territories and against an Iraqi army that is numbered in the hundreds of thousands with an infinite advantage of fire power… I believe that ISIS terrorists are barely 20% of the Sunni rebels in Iraq and the remaining 80% are made of local Sunni tribes and ex-Saddam army.

mnjg on June 23, 2014 at 8:20 AM

What difference does it make how ISIS gas configured itself, they’re overwhelming their opponent. Furthermore, do you recall another very large army in Southeast Asia that had a significant advantage in firepower yet caved like a sand castle on a stormy beach when confronted by a strong, radicalized and dedicated enemy? The will of a nation or a movement and an army is as important as its size and weapons.

rplat on June 23, 2014 at 8:39 AM

Why didn’t the administration do something weeks ago before it was too late, not that Kerry is capable of helping.

DAT60A3 on June 23, 2014 at 8:45 AM

If the forces in Iraq are to survive, they will have to unite

Listening to Kerry talk should be against the law; isn’t it “cruel and unusual punishment”?

GarandFan on June 23, 2014 at 8:46 AM

I agree. I read an article about the judge who convicted Saddam Hussein and had him executed. Apparently, that judge has been captured and executed. I seriously doubt if the ISIS barbarians would give a damn about that judge. Al Qaeda had no love for Saddam when he was alive.

TarheelBen on June 23, 2014 at 8:38 AM

Exactly… Also, usually ISIS terrorists video tape and broadcast the executions of their enemies even if they are ordinary people let alone Saddam Hussein judge…

mnjg on June 23, 2014 at 8:50 AM

Obama Schedule || Monday, June 23, 2014
by KEITH KOFFLER on JUNE 22, 2014, 10:37 PM
10:00 am || Receives the President Daily Briefing
1:40 pm || Delivers remarks at the White House Summit on Working Families; Washington
2:10 pm || Participates in a discussion at the White House Summit on Working Families; Washington

All times Eastern
Live stream of Josh Earnest briefing at 12:30 pm

What a blowhole this Obama guy is.

Key West Reader on June 23, 2014 at 8:50 AM

Yup HN
*sigh*

cmsinaz on June 23, 2014 at 8:54 AM

Let me get this straight;
The man who demonised his own comrades in arms, coined the term ‘Baby Killers’, threw his medals away;
Is going to inspire the Iraqis to stand and fight.

“So long, its been good to know ya”

thelastminstrel on June 23, 2014 at 8:55 AM

Where was the intelligence on such a well planned, and orchestrated movement by this organization, (ISIS)?

How come Susan Rice didn’t hit all the Sunday shows and claim this is all a spontaneous demonstration?

It sure appears that when Obama “removed” all military forces from Iraq, he also did a clean sweep of all intell personnel as well.

Good job, Barry!

Rovin on June 23, 2014 at 8:55 AM

If the forces in Iraq are to survive, they will have to unite, which is exactly the message John Kerry brought with him when meeting with Nouri al-Maliki in Baghdad today:

A late night cram session doesn’t help when the exam is 3/4 over.

rbj on June 23, 2014 at 9:02 AM

Kerry: Blah, blah, blah…ISIS: Blam! Blam! Blam!

vnvet on June 23, 2014 at 9:11 AM

Carter gave us the Islamic state in Iran. Obama will give us a Caliphate in the ME. I predict there will be a Caliphate in place before Obama leaves office.

iceman1960 on June 23, 2014 at 9:20 AM

When a Prime Minister’s subjects are deciding that being ruled by Al Queda in Iraq is better than being ruled by him, the Prime Minister has hit rock bottom.

Kerry can now plead with this fellow to leave power all he wants but Maliki can see what he did to former rulers and unless he decides to take an overseas indefinite vacation, it may not be a pretty retirement.

KW64 on June 23, 2014 at 9:28 AM

The Five Year Plan

Bmore on June 23, 2014 at 9:31 AM

It’s Magic Hat Time

steveracer on June 23, 2014 at 9:33 AM

Why didn’t the administration do something weeks ago before it was too late, not that Kerry is capable of helping.

DAT60A3 on June 23, 2014 at 8:45 AM

Why would you expect quick decisions from this administration? Heck, it takes over 5 years and counting just to review a pipeline let alone build it. Maybe when the mid-terms are over and fundraising is a less pressing need there will be time to review the Iraqi thing.

KW64 on June 23, 2014 at 9:36 AM

I hope Kerry is thinking about what happened to Ambassador Stevens.

When he says he wants to convince Maliki to form a more inclusive government, is he referring to the terrorists King Putt armed, equipped and financed?

This article is worth a look:

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/world/iraqis-unable-defend-borders-troops-exit-years-training-billions-dollars-spent-article-1.991624

Iraq was in no way ready to protect itself.

dogsoldier on June 23, 2014 at 9:37 AM

I believe that ISIS terrorists are barely 20% of the Sunni rebels in Iraq and the remaining 80% are made of local Sunni tribes and ex-Saddam army.

mnjg on June 23, 2014 at 8:20 AM

Exactly right, and exposes the ignorance if not downright mendacity of the media narrative surrounding recent events in Iraq, a narrative that this web site, unfortunately, buys into.

This is a full-scale Sunni uprising against Iran and their Shia puppets in Iraq. The Saudis and the other Gulf oil states are behind it. The U.S. is complicit. The pro Shia/Iran wing of the American foreign policy establishment has been beat down, and thank God for it.

The ISIS-front coalition won’t go anywhere near Jordan. They are focused on Syria and Iraq, i.e. anyplace where the Shia are repressing Sunni.

Maliki will be in a landfill before the year is up. Ironically, and hopefully, Iran will be bled dry by the conflict, a fate they had hoped for the U.S. Well, we may be a damaged giant, but we are still a giant, and they are nothing. Turnabout is fair play.

Joseph K on June 23, 2014 at 9:38 AM

The NY Times article IS A LIE:

http://www.nydailynews.com/opinion/obama-abject-failure-iraq-squandered-hard-won-gains-bush-surge-article-1.971925

This is what I heard from several other sources:

Three years, two abject failures. The first was the inability, at the height of American post-surge power, to broker a centrist coalition governed by the major blocs — one predominantly Shiite (Maliki’s), one predominantly Sunni (Ayad Allawi’s), one Kurdish — that among them won a large majority (69%) of seats in the 2010 election.

Vice President Biden was given the job. He failed utterly. The government ended up effectively being run by a narrow sectarian coalition where the balance of power is held by the relatively small (12%) Iranian-client Sadr faction.

The second failure was the SOFA itself. The military recommended nearly 20,000 troops, considerably fewer than our 28,500 in Korea, 40,000 in Japan and 54,000 in Germany. The President rejected those proposals, choosing instead a level of 3,000 to 5,000 troops.

dogsoldier on June 23, 2014 at 9:40 AM

Sorry the paragraphs starting with “Three years” should also be in block quotes it came from the linked article.

dogsoldier on June 23, 2014 at 9:41 AM

Is he going to teach them to throw their medals over the fence?

Snowblind on June 23, 2014 at 10:20 AM

Let’s see: Kerry wants us to join Iraq and Iran (our enemy) to fight a bunch of teenagers and young men, enlisted by the prospect of loot and rape of Shiite and Christian women, and paid and supported by the Saudis and Emirates (our supposed allies).

Curious.

Special Forces Grunt on June 23, 2014 at 10:28 AM

Obama is livid and has told Kerry he must get this Iraq thing under control. Obama can’t have this Iraq thing interfering with any fundraisers or golf outings.

Wallythedog on June 23, 2014 at 10:55 AM

U.S. foreign policy is being conducted as a Saturday Night Live skit.

Mental Picture:

John Kerry sitting at the ambassador’s desk in Baghdad with a small stack of leather-bound treaties in front of him. He is on the phone trying to call various faction leaders in Iraq to come to a formal signing ceremony on Thursday, where they will all agree to renounce violence, talk peacefully and thank John Kerry for his diplomatic acumen.

Unfortunately, whenever anyone hears his voice on the phone, they either hang-up, start laughing hysterically, or shout Allahu Akhbar into the phone.

pilsener on June 23, 2014 at 11:03 AM

His face has all the human authenticity of Max Headroom.

vityas on June 23, 2014 at 11:04 AM

Is he going to teach them to throw their medals over the fence?

Snowblind on June 23, 2014 at 10:20 AM

Nah, he’s going to teach them how to be inclusive and tolllllllerrrrraaaaannnnnnttt…

http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/kerry-im-working-hard-have-lesbian-bisexual-and-transgender-ambassadors_795488.html

I’m working hard to ensure that by the end of my tenure, we will have lesbian, bisexual, and transgender ambassadors in our ranks as well.

Does he think they don’t read our magazines and newspapers?

They will try to convince him to talk Obama into helping them, but they know who they are dealing with and what his priorities are.

dogsoldier on June 23, 2014 at 11:05 AM

pilsener on June 23, 2014 at 11:03 AM

Exactly.

Moreover they are completely unconscious about the ramifications of what they do. They assume everyone they deal with agrees with them because they are so much smahtah and righteous.

dogsoldier on June 23, 2014 at 11:07 AM

So, that’s why the long face!

I deleted my second statement out of fear of the ban hammer,

nuf ced

D-fusit on June 23, 2014 at 11:09 AM

Lurch would have thought he could do the same thing the beginning of May 1940.

I can’t wait to see how they try to blame Bush if 2nd quarter GDP winds up in negative territory and puts us officially in another recession.

Doughboy on June 23, 2014 at 8:21 AM

There you go, being logical again.

formwiz on June 23, 2014 at 11:09 AM

Doughboy on June 23, 2014 at 8:21 AM

The real, or “official good facts value?”

dogsoldier on June 23, 2014 at 11:13 AM

With Kerry in Iraq, a unified Iraq free of al-Qaeda is all but assured! I so thankful for the wise foreign policy leadership of Obama, Hilary Clinton, Susan Rice, and John Kerry. Who needs to pay attention to reality when you have them representing American interest?

thuja on June 23, 2014 at 11:17 AM

dogsoldier on June 23, 2014 at 9:40 AM

You’ve pretty much nailed it. According to my understanding, Maliki and his party were trashed in the 2010 election. The winner was a centrist, nationalist, secular party that, unfortunately, had not polled a majority, and so were unable to form a government on their own. Had the U.S. got behind this group, things might be very different today.

Instead, the Obama administration decided that Maliki was the only workable option. They turned a blind eye as Maliki accepted an Iranian-brokered deal with Sadr that gave him a governing majority. One of the worst aspects of this deal was that it was evidently un-Constitutional. So much for the Obama administration backing the rule of law in a modern Iraq.

The price for the Iranian-brokered deal was the removal of all U.S. influence from Iraq. It is true that Maliki asked for a residual troop presence. But he claimed his hands were tied over immunity for U.S. troops, which would be unable to get through Parliament. That was the deal breaker. Of course, in previous years the Bush administration had forced Maliki to push through an immunity deal, but this time the Obama administration was so intent on getting out with as little fuss as possible that they refused to push and essentially washed their hands of Iraq. According to my reading a number of U.S. officials were so angered over this passivity and ineptitude that they resigned.

The simple fact is, Bush had won the war, albeit at a cost. The Iraquis had used their newfound power at the voting booth to elect a more modern, secular party that might have governed in a more even-handed and “federated” manner than the Shia clown and Iran puppet Maliki. It was the Obama administration that blew it.

Joseph K on June 23, 2014 at 11:21 AM

The simple fact is, Bush had won the war, albeit at a cost. The Iraquis had used their newfound power at the voting booth to elect a more modern, secular party that might have governed in a more even-handed and “federated” manner than the Shia clown and Iran puppet Maliki. It was the Obama administration that blew it.

Joseph K on June 23, 2014 at 11:21 AM

Yes. You are absolutely correct. Obama also wanted to spout off on the stump that he brought all our troops home.

( Wars are always won a cost. This is why I always say we should never start a fight we can’t commit to. )

dogsoldier on June 23, 2014 at 11:27 AM

…please let the airport fall while horseface is spewing his oats there!

JugEarsButtHurt on June 23, 2014 at 11:36 AM

Remember – He served in Vietam.

antisocial on June 23, 2014 at 12:35 PM

What? Kerry is in Irak??? Wait! lemme produce a quick youtube video that slanders the prophet of islam…

Harbingeing on June 23, 2014 at 1:41 PM

I smell another bit of “smart power” coming about here. ISIS captures Kerry, then Obama trades all the Gitmo prisoners for him. Then the MSM hails another Obama victory.

bartbeast on June 23, 2014 at 4:14 PM

Is this his goal? Don’t let the Muslims in Iraq know this Johnny boy

http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/kerry-im-working-hard-have-lesbian-bisexual-and-transgender-ambassadors_795488.html

So I am very proud of the progress that we are now making even in appointing LGBT ambassadors. I worked with the committee here at the State Department – with the D Committee, and I worked with the White House. And as a result, Ted Osius, sitting here, whom I’ve known a long time, and his family I know, will be the first openly LGBT officer nominated to serve as an ambassador in Asia. And on confirmation, he’s going to join five openly gay ambassadors who are now serving their country. I’m working hard to ensure that by the end of my tenure, we will have lesbian, bisexual, and transgender ambassadors in our ranks as well.
“:

sadsushi on June 23, 2014 at 7:40 PM

Is this his goal? Don’t let the Muslims in Iraq know this Johnny boy
http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/kerry-im-working-hard-have-lesbian-bisexual-and-transgender-ambassadors_795488.html
sadsushi on June 23, 2014 at 7:40 PM

This worked out so well for Ambassador Stevens, I was wondering why they didn’t send more LGBTs to the Middle East. Great idea

AppraisHer on June 23, 2014 at 9:00 PM

Let’s see how Kerry can “win the peace” in Iraq.

How can he be such a jack-ass and a horse-face at the same time? He’s just incredible!

virgo on June 23, 2014 at 9:09 PM