The Scott Brown inevitability story isn’t quite as solid as thought

posted at 10:01 am on June 14, 2014 by Jazz Shaw

There’s been an interesting, but largely overlooked development in the New Hampshire GOP Senate primary race this week. One of the candidates, Karen Testerman, has dropped out of the race and tossed her support to former Senator Bob Smith, issuing the following statement.

It is time for all of us to put aside pride and focus on our greater GOAL, that of fighting for Family, Faith and Freedom. I will not force our principle-driven primary voters to make a self-defeating choice. After much prayer and consultation, I will step aside to allow Senator Bob Smith to be the ONLY conservative name on the primary ballot.…

Senator Smith has a well-earned reputation of standing firm for our conservative beliefs and values and for fighting Washington to stop their overreach. Bob Smith was TEA Party before it had a name.

I interviewed Ms. Testerman earlier this year during the Northeast Republican Leadership Conference, and she impressed me as being a solid, earnest, conservative candidate. Unfortunately, for all of her good intentions, she seemed to be one voice in a relatively crowded race who was perpetually unable to make serious ground in the fundraising race and break out from the pack. At the same time, I received some odd looks when I reported to various people – including Scarborough’s crew – that the locals weren’t exactly swooning over Scott Brown and he might not be such a shoe-in for the nomination.

How do these two things relate? To find the answer we need look no further than the last round of polling on this race prior to Testerman’s exit. She was never in danger of becoming the frontrunner, but she was pulling a significant percentage of the vote:

NHPoll1

Testerman was getting roughly 18 percent support – not inconsiderable in a four way race. Obviously she can’t force her supporters to go in any particular direction, but if her endorsement carries any weight with them, a fair number of those primary voters may indeed go over to Bob Smith. For his part, Smith was already nearly within the margins for going head to head against Shaheen – down by roughly six – and any significant bump from former Testerman voters could easily put him in the lead.

Analysts still aren’t rating this race as a very likely pickup for the GOP, but other issue related factors may spell trouble for any Senator who – like Shaheen – has been voting on the same side as Barack Obama these past few years. Browsing some of the other results of that poll we find that New Hampshire voters overall oppose amnesty for illegal aliens by a roughly ten point spread. They support the death penalty by a staggering 52-29 margin and they support requiring photo ID for voting at an overwhelming 79-19 clip. The President himself is underwater in the Granite State with 54% disapproval to only 36% support.

All of this spells trouble not only for Shaheen, but for anyone perceived as being soft on conservative issues. So is Brown simply destined to steamroll to the nomination with a pile of out of state money, only to lose to Shaheen later? I still wouldn’t bet the farm on it. We may be seeing more of Bob Smith’s name as the summer wears on and we slowly make our way to the state’s very late, Sept. 9th primary.


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Does anyone know anything about Bob Smith?

ncinca on June 14, 2014 at 10:12 AM

The only reason Brown won in Massachusetts in the first place was out of state money.

ladyingray on June 14, 2014 at 10:20 AM

Brown is a Massachusetts squish. If I were a NH voter I’d kick this guy to the curb.

neyney on June 14, 2014 at 10:27 AM

I made this comment under Ed’s post about Minnesota yesterday. The 2 states that always tease and always disappoint are Minnesota and New Hampshire. I don’t think a Republican will make it in either state. Rarely happens. Those 2 states seem on the fringe at times, but never quite pull it off.

COgirl on June 14, 2014 at 10:34 AM

Smith loses more GOP voters to Shaheen than Brown does. Since 33% of GOP voters say they are unsure of who they support between Brown and Shaheen, I would guess that once he became the nominee, a lot of those “unsure” GOP would swing behind Brown and bring this race to dead even. I don’t know that Smith can guarantee that more liberal GOP “unsure”s won’t swing to Sheheen if he is nominated.

Any vote against Harry Reid for Senate Majority leader is important so Brown looks like the better shot whether you agree with all his positions or not.

KW64 on June 14, 2014 at 10:34 AM

Brown is a carpet bagging RINO. Smith was our senator until Sununu. Then we got stuck with the creature from Lake Winnipesaukee.

evilned on June 14, 2014 at 10:35 AM

With a lying RINO like Brown, I’d rather have a Democrat in there.

Mr. Arrogant on June 14, 2014 at 10:40 AM

Yah, because it is better to have a True Conservative(r) lose than a moderate Republican win. Morons.

JayHaw Phrenzie on June 14, 2014 at 10:40 AM

I’m surprised the NH GOP is so weak that Brown had to be imported as the nominee. Shouldn’t ostensibly “purple” states have a decent stable of GOP politicians? No young up-and-comers? Why do they need an out-of-state retread to run?

will77jeff on June 14, 2014 at 10:41 AM

Yah, because it is better to have a True Conservative(r) lose than a moderate Republican win. Morons.

JayHaw Phrenzie on June 14, 2014 at 10:40 AM

Or we can have a NoCon like Brown run and, by the looks of it, apparently be on track to lose (to Shaheen no less!). Too bad the NH GOP didn’t have some homegrown talent who could appeal to the citizens in NH.

will77jeff on June 14, 2014 at 10:43 AM

Yah, because it is better to have a True Conservative(r) lose than a moderate Republican win. Morons.

JayHaw Phrenzie on June 14, 2014 at 10:40 AM

Progressives GOPe’ers undermine the credibility of the brand. Since you care so much about the brand, why support them?

nobar on June 14, 2014 at 10:46 AM

PLEA TO HA: Obama has abandoned thousands of Americans inside Iraq.

Al Qaeda is on the march to Baghdad. These Americans are in danger of being beheaded, tortured, or kidnapped.

Does anyone care about them?

Please pray for their safety and rescue.

faraway on June 14, 2014 at 10:49 AM

Bob Smith isn’t going to beat Shaheen, period. Democrats know that and will do everything in their power to support Smith including running articles and push polls to dupe the chest thumpin’ purists.

rhombus on June 14, 2014 at 11:00 AM

Brown is a Massachusetts squish. If I were a NH voter I’d kick this guy to the curb.

neyney on June 14, 2014 at 10:27 AM

Brown is a carpet bagging RINO. Smith was our senator until Sununu. Then we got stuck with the creature from Lake Winnipesaukee.

evilned on June 14, 2014 at 10:35 AM

The idea that Brown is a “carpetbagger” is urban legend. The only reason he wasn’t born in New Hampshire was because Pease Air Force Base in Portsmouth NH, where his parents lived at the time he was born, did not at that time have its own base hospital. So he was born instead a couple of miles away at the base hospital at the Portsmouth Naval Shipyard, part of which is just over the Maine border.

Del Dolemonte on June 14, 2014 at 11:00 AM

I made this comment under Ed’s post about Minnesota yesterday. The 2 states that always tease and always disappoint are Minnesota and New Hampshire. I don’t think a Republican will make it in either state. Rarely happens. Those 2 states seem on the fringe at times, but never quite pull it off.

COgirl on June 14, 2014 at 10:34 AM

Minnesotans really are some of the dumbest people out there, an entire state of fools.

Bishop on June 14, 2014 at 11:05 AM

Yah, because it is better to have a True Conservative(r) lose than a moderate Republican win. Morons.

JayHaw Phrenzie on June 14, 2014 at 10:40 AM

Nothing says “See things my way” quite like being called a moron for doing otherwise.

Cantor was a “moderate”, so is his impending replacement.

You be sure to come back and point fingers in the fall after your moderates and demorats join hands and provide you with 30 million brand-new neighbors whose surnames sound distinctly Spanish.

Bishop on June 14, 2014 at 11:09 AM

browns biggest donors are shaheen supporters.

they know he can’t win. he knows he can’t win. he won’t debate anyone. he refuses to go anywhere he may get on camera saying ANYTHING.

smith is at least a solid conservative.

warhorse_03826 on June 14, 2014 at 11:12 AM

It is time for all of us to put aside pride and focus on our greater GOAL, that of fighting for Family, Faith and Freedom. I will not force our principle-driven primary voters to make a self-defeating choice. After much prayer and consultation, I will step aside to allow Senator Bob Smith to be the ONLY conservative name on the primary ballot.…

…too bad more people aren’t like that!…it may have helped in other contests in the past…where the elite get to trumpet that the tea party is dead… and look how they use Ms. Crackers win in Carolina to trumpet that amnesty was not an issue in Cantors spanking.

KOOLAID2 on June 14, 2014 at 11:16 AM

Cantor was a “moderate”, so is his impending replacement.

Bishop on June 14, 2014 at 11:09 AM

You’re arguing that David Brat is a moderate? Really? What, a moderate libertarian? Everything I’ve heard and read from him suggests he’s far to the right of Cantor.

WesternActor on June 14, 2014 at 11:33 AM

The Scott Brown inevitability story isn’t quite as solid as thought

Hey Scottie, remember when you ran for senate in 2010 all the venom you received? Yep, me too. Then over those two years when you tried to make MA love you they did. Right? So now libs and most of us don’t like you. Your strategy worked well.

arnold ziffel on June 14, 2014 at 11:36 AM

Hey Jazz,, why don’t you look in to this

Be the first on Hotair to break it wide open.

wolly4321 on June 14, 2014 at 11:37 AM

People here forgot Scott voted with the democrats about 90% of the time. He will be another FAR LEFT Republican. People who vote for Scott must really LOVE HUGE GOVERNMENT controlling their lives.

He will not fight against democrats at all. He and John McCain are twins. I hope and pray Smith wins so we will not be stuck with a horrible Republican Senator.

BroncosRock on June 14, 2014 at 11:38 AM

Progressives GOPe’ers undermine the credibility of the brand. Since you care so much about the brand, why support them?

I am fully in favor of running hard core conservatives in red districts/states.

In blue or purple districts/states, you have to run moderates or settle for Democrats.

JayHaw Phrenzie on June 14, 2014 at 11:42 AM

You’re arguing that David Brat is a moderate? Really? What, a moderate libertarian? Everything I’ve heard and read from him suggests he’s far to the right of Cantor.

WesternActor on June 14, 2014 at 11:33 AM

Pretty sure His Eminence meant Cantor’s replacement as Majority Leader.

Dolce Far Niente on June 14, 2014 at 11:43 AM

WesternActor on June 14, 2014 at 11:33 AM

I think he means Cantor’s replacement as House Majority Leader.

Flange on June 14, 2014 at 11:44 AM

As a great American once observed, “Nothin’s a sure thing”.

formwiz on June 14, 2014 at 12:04 PM

Nothing says “See things my way” quite like being called a moron for doing otherwise.

The language may be strong, but I live in Indiana and I watched our state give away a sure thing by electing the moron Richard Mourdock in a primary. Dick Lugar is not my first choice, but I would take him over the most (fake) “conservative Democrat” in any election.

Same thing in Missouri, Connecticut, Nevada and other states.

Maybe thinking strategically is not a bad thing? The other side does it and they kept the Senate in two elections where they should have lost it.

The definition of insanity, is doing the same thing, over and over and expecting different results.

I’d rather win than be a “pure” loser.

JayHaw Phrenzie on June 14, 2014 at 12:04 PM

Brown, along with Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe were the only “republicans” to vote for the Dodd-Frank bill. Shouldn’t that be enough to disqualify him? At least I would like to know under what conservative principle this vote was justified…

ujorge on June 14, 2014 at 12:12 PM

73-year-old Bob Smith is a sure loss in a general election in a state like NH these days. I wish we could at least win back the senate first, before we purge Republicans on purity grounds.

BushyGreen on June 14, 2014 at 12:29 PM

Look guys. A vote against any GOP candidate is a vote for Harry Reid, Obama, Obamacare. Pull up your big boy pants.

COgirl on June 14, 2014 at 12:41 PM

The Bob Smith chart is inaccurate: the numbers don’t add up to 100%. Looking back at the polling data, the “Undecideds” should be 29.3% not 19.3%.

With that change, the Brown/Smith matchups vs. Shaheen matchups are basically margin of error differentials before Testerman dropped out.

Jim_B on June 14, 2014 at 12:58 PM

True conservatives, who would support Smith over Brown, should try to vacation in NH just prior to the primary.
An effective tactic would be to walk around with a carpet-bag slung over your shoulder with a BROWN for US Senate bumper sticker on it.

Another Drew on June 14, 2014 at 12:59 PM

Only leftist interlopers are legit. See HiLarry.

NH isn’t the “Live free or die” state any more.

Schadenfreude on June 14, 2014 at 1:18 PM

Carpetbagger talk is funny, especially when Smith ran for senate last year… in Florida.

He’s such a good candidate no one remembers his 2012 Senate run.

He wont even force the dems to spend money to defend Shaheen.

All that money can go to help Pryor, Begich, Landrieu.

swamp_yankee on June 14, 2014 at 1:18 PM

Pretty funny to see so many people comment who have no idea about NH or politics here.
Smith is a real conservative who went off the tracks when betrayed by the same Rove crowd who now think Brown is ‘mcdreamy’. The betrayal came when W’s team promised an endorsement that instead went to Sununu.
Smith is back from the dark side, and this support from Testerman may be just what the party needs.

Karen Testerman is a rock solid conservative who did what is best for the party, NH and the country.

Bob Smith will EASILY carry veterans, second amendment voters, most libertarians, and the GOP base in general.
After that he can just as easily beat Jeanne-Jeanne the Marxist Shaheen.

Brown has polarized GOP voters into the “we-think-the-middle-of-the-road-is-safer” camp, and the “not going to vote for Brown no matter what” camp.
People do NOT trust him and FAR too many have decided NOT to accept this lesser of two evils. And yes they DO know that is a half-vote for Shaheen.

As for carpetbagging, Brown lived, worked and raised his kids in Mass. He does not and will not understand or represent New Hampshire. This is a case of moving to NH so he can move back to DC.

Shaheen knows he will get NO grassroots support, and she expects to beat him easily.

Brown defends his votes with the Marxist(aka Democrat)Party as ‘working with the other side’.
His last year in the senate, he worked with them SIXTY-TWO PERCENT of the time, and Mass chose a fake-Indian instead of sending him back.

Brown should just “come out” as the closet Democrat he really is.

HammerNH on June 14, 2014 at 1:56 PM

Yah, because it is better to have a True Conservative(r) lose than a moderate Republican win. Morons.

JayHaw Phrenzie

Ahh yes, the clarion call of the RINO. We should elect democrats so the democrats don’t win. Because liberalism is cool when it comes from republicans.

xblade on June 14, 2014 at 2:11 PM

Look guys. A vote against any GOP candidate is a vote for Harry Reid, Obama, Obamacare. Pull up your big boy pants.

COgirl

Yeah, there’s nothing illogical about that at all. And I think you meant to say drop your drawers and bend over.

xblade on June 14, 2014 at 2:13 PM

Scott Brown is nothing more than a Progressive that spread them for Playgirl.

He snookered me to donate when he was supposed to be the vote to stop ObamaCare. No more.

He’s worthless for defending liberty and the Republic.

PappyD61 on June 14, 2014 at 2:30 PM

Ah yes Scott Brown ran as a conservative, forced the left to use Demon Pass to get Obamacare through, and then voted with Obama every time it mattered.

If I was in NH I suggest the conservatives let the Republican Party know if they vote for Scott “Kennedy Seat” Brown that I’m not voting in the general election.

We have plenty of left wing Republicans as it is, we don’t need more.

18-1 on June 14, 2014 at 2:31 PM

Ahh yes, the clarion call of the RINO. We should elect democrats so the democrats don’t win.

Scott Brown, casting the votes that actual conservatives won’t do…

18-1 on June 14, 2014 at 2:32 PM

Very interesting to hear. Would be nice for a conservative to win, however, whoever wins is going to have it tough as there will only be eight weeks until election day.

cat_owner on June 14, 2014 at 2:34 PM

The idea that Brown is a “carpetbagger” is urban legend. The only reason he wasn’t born in New Hampshire was because Pease Air Force Base in Portsmouth NH, where his parents lived at the time he was born, did not at that time have its own base hospital. So he was born instead a couple of miles away at the base hospital at the Portsmouth Naval Shipyard, part of which is just over the Maine border.

Del Dolemonte on June 14, 2014 at 11:00 AM

No, it’s said because he moved from Massachusetts to New Hampshire so he could win a senate seat in New Hampshire. When you move expressly for the purpose of acquiring political power, you’re going to be labeled a carpetbagger.

Stoic Patriot on June 14, 2014 at 2:47 PM

Testerman was getting roughly 18 percent support – not inconsiderable in a four way race.

That’s not what the poll says. It says that she was getting 18% support in a general election matchup against Shaheen.

The poll didn’t have a question asking Republicans who they preferred among the Republican candidates for Senate.

J.S.K. on June 14, 2014 at 3:07 PM

browns biggest donors are shaheen supporters.

they know he can’t win. he knows he can’t win. he won’t debate anyone. he refuses to go anywhere he may get on camera saying ANYTHING.

smith is at least a solid conservative.

warhorse_03826 on June 14, 2014 at 11:12 AM

Yeah, I’m sure Shaheen supporters fear the candidate that Shaheen is leading, on average, by about 15 points than Brown, who she’s leading by about 5.

Dems want Smith just like the Dems wanted Angle over Lowden and Tarkanian.

GOPRanknFile on June 14, 2014 at 4:50 PM

Yeah, I’m sure Shaheen supporters fear the candidate that Shaheen is leading, on average, by about 15 points than Brown, who she’s leading by about 5.

Dems want Smith just like the Dems wanted Angle over Lowden and Tarkanian.

GOPRanknFile on June 14, 2014 at 4:50 PM

I think you’re misreading the polls. Shaheen leads Brown by 3.6% and Smith by 5.8%. While I think Brown would have a better chance of winning the general election, his comparative advantage over Smith is not that large according to the polls.

J.S.K. on June 14, 2014 at 4:55 PM

I think you’re misreading the polls. Shaheen leads Brown by 3.6% and Smith by 5.8%. While I think Brown would have a better chance of winning the general election, his comparative advantage over Smith is not that large according to the polls.

J.S.K. on June 14, 2014 at 4:55 PM

I’m going off of the RCP average.

Brown:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/nh/new_hampshire_senate_brown_vs_shaheen-3894.html

Smith:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/nh/new_hampshire_senate_smith_vs_shaheen-4105.html

GOPRanknFile on June 14, 2014 at 5:01 PM

Between the two carpetbagger RINO’s we have the NH GOP establishment pushing down our throats running for senate and governor this year wife and I have had it. We both changed from GOP to undeclared. No way am I voting for Brown. Look at this guy’s record, it speaks for it self. Maybe at some point they will listen and get the message. If we are going to have a Dem senator might as well have the real deal and let them own it.

JLyons on June 14, 2014 at 5:15 PM

Bob Smith did a great job for NH when he was our senator.
I was a Karen Testerman supporter, I really like her, but I will happily support Smith again.

As far as Scott Brown goes, no thanks…yah, yah, he votes conservative values some of the time, the problem for me is when he courageously crosses the aisle in a show of Scott Brown bi- partisanship it’s usually a vote against one of my core values that he doesn’t share!

NHElle on June 14, 2014 at 6:03 PM

Folks here are talking out of their ass.

Bob Smith is a doddering older than dirt candidate who left NH to go to FL to run, lost and returned.
Yes Brown is a RINO but a RINO who voted against Obama including a Supreme Court nominee.
So, Hot Air morons would rather watch Shaheen get re-elected with near 100% support of Harry Reid & Obama vs taking Brown’s ~60% squish vote against Reid & Obama. Posters are acting like jilted teenagers.

NH has run some great conservative candidates. For example, true conservative Ovide Lamontagne had my support, vote & $ running for Governor, US Senator, etc. but could never win. Recurring proof that a “real” conservative cannot win state wide in 21st century NH. What fool here thinks it’s better to watch a 100% Obama supporter become further entrenched for life vs electing Brown where more than half the time he’ll vote against the Progressives.

philw1776 on June 14, 2014 at 6:30 PM

philw1776 on June 14, 2014 at 6:30 PM

Sorry Phil but when it comes to the constitution, especially the 1st and 2nd amendments there is no room for compromise.

JLyons on June 14, 2014 at 6:40 PM

That chart is NOT a poll on the primary, it is a match-up between the various candidates against Shaheen. So Testerman did NOT have “18% support in a four-way race” but only 18% support for the general election.

Adjoran on June 14, 2014 at 6:41 PM

With a lying RINO like Brown, I’d rather have a Democrat in there.

Mr. Arrogant on June 14, 2014 at 10:40 AM

Harry Reid thinks you are a bright fellow.

V7_Sport on June 14, 2014 at 6:45 PM

V7_Sport on June 14, 2014 at 6:45 PM

Yeah Yeah Yeah

You and your ilk have brought us Dole, McCain and Romney. How has that worked out? Maybe if we found people to run on a true conservative platform we’d win more often. Instead we always hear how we need to run someone who is electable. LOL. Enough with compromise and running RINO’s. If not now then when do we vote for freedom, the constitution and first principals?

JLyons on June 14, 2014 at 7:20 PM

Harry Reid thinks you are a bright fellow.

V7_Sport on June 14, 2014 at 6:45 PM

Lol, well said.

GOPRanknFile on June 14, 2014 at 7:20 PM

I’m going off of the RCP average.

Brown:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/nh/new_hampshire_senate_brown_vs_shaheen-3894.html

Smith:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/nh/new_hampshire_senate_smith_vs_shaheen-4105.html

GOPRanknFile on June 14, 2014 at 5:01 PM

Fair enough, I didn’t know RCP had those averages available.

J.S.K. on June 14, 2014 at 7:20 PM

Bob Smith hasn’t gotten any more effective with age (he’s 73, not much younger than Thad Cochran). Controlling both houses of Congress does matter, in terms of putting some restraint on Obama’s appointments and administrative agencies. The “my way of the highway” crowd apparently is dead wrong on this one. If conservatives wanted to unite behind someone besides Scott Brown they shouldn’t be looking to Bob Smith. The NH that elected Bob Smith back in the 1990s is not the NH of today.

BushyGreen on June 14, 2014 at 7:22 PM

V7_Sport on June 14, 2014 at 6:45 PM

Yeah Yeah Yeah

You and your ilk have brought us Dole, McCain and Romney. How has that worked out? Maybe if we found people to run on a true conservative platform we’d win more often. Instead we always hear how we need to run someone who is electable. LOL. Enough with compromise and running RINO’s. If not now then when do we vote for freedom, the constitution and first principals?

JLyons on June 14, 2014 at 7:20 PM

You can’t treat every state in the country like it is Mississippi, however, especially those in the northeast. NH used to be rather conservative, but it’s been trending left for some time. If you want to pretend otherwise, okay, but that attitude isn’t going to win back the senate. It’s like when people thought Christine O’Donnell was going to win Delaware and it just turned into a debacle.

BushyGreen on June 14, 2014 at 7:33 PM

BushyGreen on June 14, 2014 at 7:33 PM

You have an excellent point regarding O’Donnell. But clearly she was not vetted enough and overall has to be considered an outlier. I am not advocating running anyone who comes along spouting the “correct” talking points. I’m saying we should support qualified people who stand for something. How many more times do we vote for someone electable who then votes against our interests? At this point if Ron Regan was running the establishment would crucify him before he got started. What happened to republican principals? When inconvenient we push them aside?

JLyons on June 14, 2014 at 7:50 PM

Bob smith is a guaranteed loser to shaheen. Yes, let’s of course push ideological purity over victory. Yep, that’s the ticket to a GOP majority.

No wonder republicans are called the stupid party.

NH doesn’t have to disappoint. Kelly ayotte was elected statewide in 2010 becuz she was the nominee who could appeal to independents.

matthew8787 on June 14, 2014 at 8:53 PM

JLyons “when it comes to the constitution, especially the 1st and 2nd amendments there is no room for compromise.”

This has nada to do with Brown vs Shaheen.

Brown may be a RINO but he will not vote with the Progressives to limit 1st amendment rights. Shaheen will. She will also vote for ANY and ALL gun control bills. ANY & All, does that compute?

The reason the Progressives win elections is that when the perfect commie/socialist is not on the Democrat ballot, they still vote for the fellow traveler Democrat on the ballot anyway. Conversely, conservatives get their panties all in a wad and sit out or launch a protest vote like I did stupidly for Ross Perot and Viola! the Democrats control the Senate and the WH and the activist far left gets what they want while the conservatives mutter and oil their guns uselessly.

Smith is yesterday’s news. NH post 2000 is not NH of 1990. Too many Massholes here now. Brown is the best shot to keep 100% D voting Shaheen from becoming Senator For Life. If he goes squishier, your superman next conservative challenger can out him in the 2020 primary race.

philw1776 on June 14, 2014 at 9:07 PM

There is a streak of conservative but not registered in any party in NH, which is more RON Paul than Bob Smith, ask that nice man Ovid.

The people that gave you McCain instead of Romney in 2008 are these same people. There is a mindset of NH Vietnam Vets that is more populist than the rest of the country knows. They are patriotic, but very populist…against “Wall Street” with mixed feelings on social issues, they think they hear republicans telling them what they can do, and moralizing at them, they buy into the old Phyllis Schafley stereotypes, because that is when they came of age. These are the children of democrats. They probably have really “imperfect” lives. They liked McCain for his former “maverick” status, and they want BENEFITS for Vietnam Vets, and guns and they want to ride their Harley without a helmet. I have made the phone calls in NH and been on the street there. When McCain ran this group was sure he was going to save us. When Ron Paul ran there was a large contingent, with their pro pot stickers on the bumper stickers. NH is not VA-7.

Bob Smith’s a part of old Washington D.C., and even if he WERE Reagan himself, he has media problems, especially…he was struggling with name recognition…I suspect a lot of his former supporters…the Reagan Democrats perhaps…they are deceased. Anyone who was 50 years old voting for Reagan, would be over 80 years old now. My own dad died long ago, a Reagan “democrat” and NRA member.

I am glad to see one candidate drop out reading the poll results instead of hanging on and splitting up the vote. Wish someone might have thought of that in SC, 6 more years of Lindsay Graham. NH went for Obama in 2012 by 40,000 votes and has a democrat Governor and has “urban problems” along the MA border. They are being ruined by illegals and un-assimilated immigrant types from Lowell and the new class of welfare recipient, the “Foreign Refugee” which no one can afford. Foreign refugees get an apartment, tentacles, EBT card (s), Snap-wic, and they shoplift and return-for-cash, cuz it’s under the table income the social workers don’t want to see.

Learn about NH. It’s a nice place to visit, it is getting harder to live there. The working wage people don’t have more than the GIMME class.

Fleuries on June 15, 2014 at 9:34 AM

NH doesn’t have to disappoint. Kelly ayotte was elected statewide in 2010 becuz she was the nominee who could appeal to independents.

matthew8787 on June 14, 2014 at 8:53 PM

But Kelly “Little Johnnie McLame” Ayotte DOES disappoint. So what’s your point?

bofh on June 15, 2014 at 10:18 AM

If Testerman because of fundraising, why is she throwing her support to someone who is raising even less money and polling so poorly? Why not try to unify the party behind the conservative who can win? It’s as if she was more interested in playing spoiler in this race than helping the GOP take the Senate.

ezspirit on June 15, 2014 at 11:26 AM