Here comes the, er, cavalry? Iranian Revolutionary Guard heads to Iraq to take on ISIS

posted at 3:01 pm on June 12, 2014 by Allahpundit

A U.S./Israel/Iran/Saudi Arabia/Bashar Assad alliance in the Middle East is, if I’m not mistaken, mentioned in chapter nine of the Book of Revelation.

Alternate headline: “Atheist starting to believe in the End Times.”

Iran deployed Revolutionary Guard forces to fight in Iraq, helping government troops there wrest back control of most of the city of Tikrit from militants, Iranian security sources said…

Combined Iraqi-Iranian forces retook control of 85% of Tikrit, the birthplace of former dictator Saddam Hussein, according to Iraqi and Iranian security sources.

They were helping guard the capital Baghdad and the two Shiite holy cities of Najaf and Karbala, which have been threatened by the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham, an al Qaeda offshoot. The Sunni militant group’s lightning offensive has thrown Iraq into its worse turmoil since the sectarian fighting that followed the 2003 U.S.-led invasion…

In addition, Iran was considering the transfer to Iraq of Iranian troops fighting for the regime in Syria if the initial deployments fail to turn the tide of battle in favor of Mr. Maliki’s government.

Qassem Suleimani, the head of the Quds Force and the second-most powerful man in Iran, was in Baghdad a few days ago to reassure Maliki that his Shiite patrons will answer the bell for him, just like they did for Assad. As much fun in theory as an IRGC/ISIS slugfest might be for the west, in practice it’s horrific: It’s been happening in Syria for the past few years, with tens of thousands of civilians caught in the middle. There’s really no rooting interest here, either. If Iran succeeds in crushing the jihadis, Maliki and Assad will owe them everything. Tehran will own Iraq and Syria even more than they do now. If ISIS pushes Iran back to Iraq’s Shiite areas and secures the Sunni parts of Iraq and Syria for itself, the U.S. suddenly has to figure out a way to crush a huge Salafist terror statelet run by hardened guerilla jihadis right in the middle of Mesopotamia. Drone operators will be pulling double shifts for the next 20 years. One U.S. counterterror official, having looked at the intelligence on ISIS, told the WSJ, “It makes you want to kill yourself.” That’s the scope of what we’re dealing with here.

Sharia is already in effect in the areas seized by the group, which, per this Long War Journal map, is simply enormous. And they may not stop at Iraq.

According to the sources, ISIS leader Abu Baker al-Baghdadi recently discussed with his lieutenants the possibility of extending the group’s control beyond Syria and Iraq.

One of the ideas discussed envisages focusing ISIS’s efforts on Jordan, where Islamist movements already have a significant presence. Jordan was also chosen because it has shared borders with Iraq and Syria, making it easier for the terrorists to infiltrate the kingdom…

The ISIS terrorists see Jordan’s Western-backed King Abdullah as an enemy of Islam and an infidel, and have publicly called for his execution. ISIS terrorists recently posted a video on YouTube in which they threatened to “slaughter” Abdullah, whom they denounced as a “tyrant.” Some of the terrorists who appeared in the video were Jordanian citizens who tore up their passports in front of the camera and vowed to launch suicide attacks inside the kingdom.

One obvious possible response here is for Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and maybe even Egypt to send troops to Iraq to crush ISIS. The jihadis are hugely outnumbered: Combined, the Iraqi army and the Kurdish peshmerga in the country top them more than 30 to one. Add multinational Sunni troops and the ratio would skyrocket. I assume it won’t happen, though, partly because the Sunnis would rather let Iran bleed some more in handling this and partly because they may be nervous about being thin on troops at home at a moment when Islamists are running wild in Iraq. The local Islamists might seize on the security vacuum as an opportunity for mass protests or worse, which could destabilize the country. In the eternal game of Middle Eastern jihadi whack-a-mole, there are always more moles. And even if the Sunni states managed to keep order at home, what happens once they’re done with ISIS in Iraq? Do they go home, or push on into Syria to fight ISIS there — which could eventually lead to a direct confrontation between Iran, on Assad’s side, and the multinational Sunnis on the other?

At last check, ISIS was bulldozing border checkpoints between Iraq and Syria to symbolize the creation of a new, transnational jihadi state. Next stop: Caliphate?

Update: By the way, can anyone explain how the U.S. brain trust was “caught off guard” by all this when news about the jihadification of Syria’s rebels and the threat they pose to Iraq has been news for years? In particular:

“These groups were unified by the same goal, which is getting rid of this sectarian government, ending this corrupt army and negotiating to form the Sunni Region,” said Abu Karam, a senior Baathist leader and a former high-ranking army officer, who said planning for the offensive had begun two years ago. “The decisive battle will be in northern Baghdad. These groups will not stop in Tikrit and will keep moving toward Baghdad.”

Two years, and no intelligence services locally or internationally had a heads up?

Update: C’mon, you know I’m right.


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Americans, this is what the world will look like, only on a much larger scale, if the US becomes energy-independent of the saandmonkees’ delusions of grandeur (thinking they can dictate US policy because they happened to have been born on top of some oil).

The US should not intervene to show how tough it can be (small pennis syndrome).
The US should intervene only to protect its values and its interests… i.e. other democracies, and puppet regime proxies like the “Kingdom” of “Jordan”.

Otherwise— fark’m. Who cares. Because if you intervene then you’ll have to stay there and be the ref of these ancient hatreds, and we all know what that looks like by now (Afghanistan and Iraq, 2001 to today)

All of you who say Obama has a vadge between his legs think about that for a second. He may be doing things very wisely.

AlexB on June 12, 2014 at 7:08 PM

With all these potential groups squaring off against eAch other, perhaps we just need to supply 50 different sets of jerseys for each group to wear so we know WTF is going on and who is killing who at this moment.

Sort of like an Olympics for Islam terrorism.

txdoc on June 12, 2014 at 7:09 PM

In the Middle East, the End of the Beginning

Seven Percent Solution on June 12, 2014 at 7:16 PM

Why? The brain trust that runs American now doesn’t do history well…and even if it did, the other 300M people have 0 knowledge.

The first shot was dated June 10 and carried the title of the photo series, “Smashing the Sykes-Picot border” — a reference to the agreement between Britain and France that carved up the Middle East after World War I, with the former taking Iraq and the latter Syria.

right…try explaining the Sykes-Picot border to anyone and their eyes will glaze over…that’s so last century. This is the New World with smart phones and twerking…what more can you ask for?

r keller on June 12, 2014 at 7:17 PM

Seven Percent Solution on June 12, 2014 at 7:16 PM

Interesting read. Thanks.

cravenly abandoned by Barack Hussein Obama

Bmore on June 12, 2014 at 7:20 PM

We should all listen to CR since she’s the smartest of them all.

RickB on June 12, 2014 at 7:21 PM

….Man, this sounds like a whacked-out Tom Clancy plot…

Mike

Mike Kozlowski on June 12, 2014 at 7:39 PM

By the way, can anyone explain how the U.S. brain trust was “caught off guard”

The current U.S. “brain” trust is caught off guard by the sun rising…

Marxism is for dummies on June 12, 2014 at 7:51 PM

And yes, Putin does have a plan and you better believe he’s executing it, away from the cameras and photo ops.

AlexB on June 12, 2014 at 6:39 PM

His plan is to rake in more money for himself and to get more terrible cosmetic surgery.

What’s happening now has nothing to with Putin. This is Putin’s worse nightmare unfolding. A Sunni caliphate? There goes Russia’s influence in the region.

A Chair of Some Kind on June 12, 2014 at 7:53 PM

Iran is not the good guys here. They are offering to provide 10,000 foot soldiers to expel the terrorists and OWN IRAQ! It is opportunism at its worst. All these stories in the press keep giving Iran credit for being what it is not. It will conquer Iraq!

lkh on June 12, 2014 at 8:01 PM

A question that you already knew the answer to Allah. This is what happens when to quote my lovely wife. “You elect children.” Either way, war now, or BIG WAR LATER. It’s your choice.

flackcatcher on June 12, 2014 at 8:03 PM

Iraq violence
22m
Lockheed Martin official confirms all employees are being evacuated from Iraq due to concerns for their safety with escalating violence – @TheRyanParker

https://twitter.com/TheRyanParker

canopfor on June 12, 2014 at 8:00 PM

canopfor on June 12, 2014 at 8:06 PM

Guess why they’re off to building their Islamic state in Syria and Iraq and not in Chechniya? Right, cause Putin squashed them. While you’re govt. was busy arming them together with the Turks and the Saudis.

Hating Russia and arming the Mujahedeen in A-stan gave you Taliban and Bin Laden, now hating Russia and arming the rebels in Syria gave you ISIS. Seems like you refuse to learn the harsh lessons of history

Masih ad-Dajjal on June 12, 2014 at 5:46 PM

You need some remedial history lessons yourself.

Putin “squashed” nothing. The North Caucasus insurgency continues. Chechens carried out almost 400 terrorist attacks in the region in 2013.

The Taliban and bin Laden were proxies of Pakistan and Saudi Arabia. We helped for the same reason we helped the blood-soaked dictator Josef Stalin defeat the Nazis.

The Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant existed long before we gave even a penny to any rebel group in Syria.

Currently all the rebels in Syria are killing ISIL, so it turns out that arming those rebels was a good idea.

A Chair of Some Kind on June 12, 2014 at 8:08 PM

The Associated Press @AP · 38m

RAW VIDEO: Iraq militants seize former U.S. base in Tikrit: http://apne.ws/1hSbi5H

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ahh_whXhKcU

canopfor on June 12, 2014 at 8:10 PM

canopfor on June 12, 2014 at 8:10 PM

The Associated Press @AP · 4h

VIDEO: Iraqi Defense Ministry releases video that it says shows gun camera footage of airstrikes on militants: http://apne.ws/1ks9gUu

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RMA_4MTAqQQ

canopfor on June 12, 2014 at 8:12 PM

The US should not intervene to show how tough it can be (small pennis syndrome).
The US should intervene only to protect its values and its interests… i.e. other democracies, and puppet regime proxies like the “Kingdom” of “Jordan”.

Otherwise— fark’m. Who cares. Because if you intervene then you’ll have to stay there and be the ref of these ancient hatreds, and we all know what that looks like by now (Afghanistan and Iraq, 2001 to today)

All of you who say Obama has a vadge between his legs think about that for a second. He may be doing things very wisely.

AlexB on June 12, 2014 at 7:08 PM

Wow.

The US never uses the military to “show how tough it can be.” Only genuine idiots raised on TV and comic books think that.

Also, the US has NO PUPPETS. There isn’t a single nation on the face of the earth that the US controls. Jordan is no more an American proxy than Saudi Arabia is.

Who cares about a new Sunni caliphate in the Middle East, funded by oil and now armed with modern weaponry?

Gosh, I don’t know! Why would anyone care about that? What possible harm could Wahabbist terrorists do with billions of dollars, tens of thousands of fighters, and the weapons of a First World army?

And yes, Obama is wise to let the entire Middle East edge closer and closer to all-out war.

Who cares? We’re all willing to pay $25 a gallon for gas, right?

A Chair of Some Kind on June 12, 2014 at 8:20 PM

Who cares? We’re all willing to pay $25 a gallon for gas, right?

A Chair of Some Kind on June 12, 2014 at 8:20 PM

Well, someone was complaining that Tesla stock wasn’t high enough.

faraway on June 12, 2014 at 8:26 PM

this is our cue to begin expelling muslims from europe and the western hemisphere

clandestine on June 12, 2014 at 5:28 PM

I would go a step further and insteas of expelling them, I would execute them. One.at.a.time. It is Islam vs. the ‘infidel’ = west = US, folks. Any questions?

bimmcorp on June 12, 2014 at 8:47 PM

All of you who say Obama has a vadge between his legs think about that for a second. He may be doing things very wisely.

AlexB on June 12, 2014 at 7:08 PM

Please, name ONE thing that sorry SOB has done wisely.

GO!!!

BigWyo on June 12, 2014 at 9:00 PM

A Chair of Some Kind on June 12, 2014 at 8:20 PM

The US has no puppets? Lol ok. Jordan is just the easiest puppet to identify but the US has many others. They all do what they’re told like good boys’n’girls, until they can’t anymore, then they wh0re themselves out to someone else. Otherwise they risk collapse.

As to “oil is our interest”, believe it or not, not that much oil that America buys comes from the sandbox.
40% of US oil use comes from imports.
20% of that number (8% overall) comes from the Persian Gulf countries (Saud, Qatar, Iran, Kuwait, UAT, etc.)
Only 5.2% of all consumed oil by the US comes from Saudi Arabia.

http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=727&t=6

faraway on June 12, 2014 at 8:26 PM

As to tesla, I’m thinking more about fracking-style oil drilling.

AlexB on June 12, 2014 at 9:01 PM

ISIS Leader Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi Released From U.S. Detention By Obama Admin In 2009…

Why such a ferocious individual was deemed fit for release in 2009 is not known. One possible explanation is that he was one of thousands of suspected insurgents granted amnesty as the US began its draw down in Iraq.

Resist We Much on June 12, 2014 at 9:03 PM

Do I have this right: Ultimately this is a battle to the finish between Sunnis and Shiite to determine which “team” spreads the caliphate?

It looks as if Obysmal has placed his support on the Sunnis/Salafists.

onlineanalyst on June 12, 2014 at 9:07 PM

Please, name ONE thing that sorry SOB has done wisely.

GO!!!

BigWyo on June 12, 2014 at 9:00 PM

Despite talking tough and not following through (red line), he did make Syria give up on its chems (still in progress).
Not only did he intimidate Syria into it, he intimidated Putin into “working jointly to achieve this important objective”.

And all that without firing one missile. Bombing a bunch of rats might make things worse, even if not one hair is harmed on a single US soldier.
Bombing Bashar’s forces would certainly have made him hold to those weapons even tighter.

As to nintendo-bombing ISIS, maybe it’s a good thing, maybe it’s bad. I just don’t like to automatically hear Americans say “yes we can” and rush in without thinking if it is actually hurting them or not.

And besides, let France bomb someone for once. They did a great job in Mali recently, and that’s because the US stepped back. When that happens and the job still needs to be done, all those spoiled Europeans begin pulling their weight.

AlexB on June 12, 2014 at 9:11 PM

They way I see it, as long as they are killing each other, they are not focused on killing me. Let them slaughter each other and let Allah sort it out.

307wolverine on June 12, 2014 at 9:14 PM

The US has no puppets? Lol ok. Jordan is just the easiest puppet to identify but the US has many others. They all do what they’re told like good boys’n’girls, until they can’t anymore, then they wh0re themselves out to someone else. Otherwise they risk collapse.

Well, that was a convincing argument.

You really know your stuff, don’t you?

A Chair of Some Kind on June 12, 2014 at 9:18 PM

AlexB on June 12, 2014 at 9:11 PM

Ok..I asked for one thing…

Despite talking tough and not following through (red line), he did make Syria give up on its chems (still in progress).
Not only did he intimidate Syria into it, he intimidated Putin into “working jointly to achieve this important objective”.

Really???

Participation Prize…w00t..

Jesus Christ…

Still waiting.

BigWyo on June 12, 2014 at 9:22 PM

AlexB on June 12, 2014 at 9:11 PM

6 years???

I ask for one thing BeRock has done that hasn’t turned into a steaming pile of dog $hit IN THE 6 YEARS he’s been ‘running the show’ and you trot out some what if and therefore bull$hit…

BigWyo on June 12, 2014 at 9:28 PM

Or did I just get fished in…PraPah!!

BigWyo on June 12, 2014 at 9:28 PM

Captain Community Organizer to the rescue!!!!

WisCon on June 12, 2014 at 10:45 PM

if ISIS is stopped and Iraq stabilized it will be remembered that it was Iran who helped and that the miserable excuse for a CIC did absolutely nothing. the lesson: you can’t trust the US, for your own sake do not trust the US, trust Iran. Obama care nothing about fixing problems, he just wants push it down the line so he doesn’t have to deal with it. The next president will have to deal with the consequences of his blundering. I despise him and everyone in his administration.

warmairfan on June 12, 2014 at 10:56 PM

So is Iranian Revolutionary Guard going to start calling in USAF air strikes on ISIS? Cause that would be just plain nuts, all things considered.

Texas Zombie on June 12, 2014 at 11:03 PM

We should have left Saddam in power.

There–I have completely rejected my 2003 belief that the Iraq war was a wise decision. I am therefore on the same page as…Hillary Clinton.

Break open the seventh seal.

MidniteRambler on June 12, 2014 at 11:17 PM

AP they have been killing eachother for thousands of years….

sorrowen on June 12, 2014 at 11:21 PM

Published August 28, 2007
Associated Press

TEHRAN, Iran – President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad warned Tuesday that a power vacuum is imminent in Iraq and said that Iran was ready to help fill the gap.

“The political power of the occupiers is collapsing rapidly,” Ahmadinejad said at a press conference in Tehran, referring to U.S. troops in Iraq. “Soon, we will see a huge power vacuum in the region. Of course, we are prepared to fill the gap,

nazo311 on June 12, 2014 at 11:36 PM

They way I see it, as long as they are killing each other, they are not focused on killing me. Let them slaughter each other and let Allah sort it out.

307wolverine on June 12, 2014 at 9:14 PM

That would work if we didn’t have mass immigration throughout the Western world now. Including Islamic immigration.

Since 9/11, we’ve been “fighting them over there so we don’t have to fight them here”… while bringing them over here. And in Europe, in huge numbers.

It’s insane.

By far the most dangerous-to-us aspect of this war is something most people don’t even realize is war.

Immigration policy is the life and death of nations now. Invasions are worthless.

David Blue on June 13, 2014 at 12:29 AM

They way I see it, as long as they are killing each other, they are not focused on killing me. Let them slaughter each other and let Allah sort it out.

307wolverine on June 12, 2014 at 9:14 PM

Apart from what I said about the immigration thing, I agree 100%. If they want to go jihad on each other: fine. That’s not our problem.

David Blue on June 13, 2014 at 12:31 AM

Iran sends ground troop. America provides air power.

coolrepublica on June 12, 2014 at 3:15 PM

And who on the ground coordinates with the Iranian troops to make sure we don’t bomb them instead of ISIS? Or were you hoping to start a war with Iran too?

RINO in Name Only on June 13, 2014 at 12:41 AM

And who on the ground coordinates with the Iranian troops to make sure we don’t bomb them instead of ISIS? Or were you hoping to start a war with Iran too?

RINO in Name Only on June 13, 2014 at 12:41 AM

News Flash: We’ve been in a cold war with Iran for many years now.

nazo311 on June 13, 2014 at 1:10 AM

So just the other day, libfree posted this gem:

Either your book gets published by a tenure worthy publisher or it doesn’t. Either your articles come out, or they don’t. No amount of “networking” as you call it, can overcome that. Your world is based on who likes to play golf with who, and the academy is supposed to be jealous of the private sector’s efficiency? Ha!

libfreeordie on June 10, 2014 at 4:39 PM

To which I replied

Sweet Jesus. How do you exist?

I’m not sure I’ve seen a more comically obtuse statement on any topic, whatsoever, in my life.

RINO in Name Only on June 10, 2014 at 11:11 PM

And that is how libfree once again reaffirmed his title, “Lord of the idiots”.

And what happens when Iraq wants Iran to leave after beating back the Islamists?

blink on June 12, 2014 at 3:25 PM

They will not Iran to leave. Iran will not have men patrolling the streets, but they will be there to watch over the coop.

coolrepublica on June 12, 2014 at 3:39 PM

But suddenly, a new contender has emerged.

RINO in Name Only on June 13, 2014 at 1:10 AM

News Flash: We’ve been in a cold war with Iran for many years now.

nazo311 on June 13, 2014 at 1:10 AM

Your point?

RINO in Name Only on June 13, 2014 at 1:12 AM

nazo311 on June 13, 2014 at 1:10 AM

Also, since coolrepublica’s other exciting insight is that it’s not a big deal if Iran gets the bomb, one might argue that she could be a bit less cavalier about getting into a shooting war with them.

RINO in Name Only on June 13, 2014 at 1:19 AM

Alternate headline: “Atheist starting to believe in the End Times.”

I chuckled.

clancy_wiggum on June 13, 2014 at 2:58 AM

Actually this is a good idea. ISIS is getting its butt kicked in Syria by Iranian backed forces. Their “advancing in another direction” is a covered retreat. This is about tribal religion conflicts. I say let them sort it out. Let the Iranians come in and push from both sides. Let them, with their ROEs deal with AQ.

We should have left a force there like Korea and Japan. It would a generation to stabilize the government and grow a whole new generation of citizens.

archer52 on June 13, 2014 at 8:30 AM

From the Telegraph:

The Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham has set out a list of rules for residents of Mosul as it seeks to impose its Islamist rules on Iraq’s second city.
Referring to the area by its ancient name, Nineveh, the group says it has a clear set of instructions for the remaining occupants of the city and surrounding area.
Firstly it tells “anyone who is asking,” who its members are and what it is about: “We are soldiers of Islam and we’ve taken on our responsibility to bring back glory of the Islamic Caliphate.”
All Muslims in the city have been instructed to attend mosque for the five daily prayers.
It confirms that it seized up to half a billion dollars from the Mosul branch of the Bank of Iraq but states it can be trusted with the funds.
Any one of its members who breach this promise will have their hands cut off.
“No drugs, no alcohol and no cigarettes allowed,” it added.
No public gathering other than those organised by ISIS will be allowed at any stage. No guns will be allowed outside of its ranks.
All tribal leaders and sheikhs in the area have been warned not to co-operate with the state.
In a warning to the police, soldiers and other “kaffr” bodies the choice is to repent or face the ultimate punishment. The group said it will open “special places” for repentance.
Outlining its sectarian bias it declared all shrines, graveyards and monuments will be destroyed.
Finally all women must dress in concealing clothing that preserve decency. Females should only go outside “if necessary”.
The city has been told that it has tried secular experiments with the republic and Baathist regimes as well as the current Iranian-backed “Safavid” government in Baghdad. “Now is time for an Islamic state,” the note signed Imam Abu Bakr El Qurashi said.

JetBlast on June 13, 2014 at 8:44 AM

Just gotta invigorate the Iraqi Army. Tell ‘em the ISIS is full of homosexuals, Jews and Kafirs.

BigAlSouth on June 13, 2014 at 8:48 AM

To use a line from Godzilla …. “Let them fight”

Harpoon on June 13, 2014 at 10:22 AM

Great. Muslims killing Muslims extremists. It doesn’t get any better than that…unless it’s Free Beer!

(Hopefully, Opussy won’t compare himself to Reagan when these two were at it in the 80′s. Good times.)

NoPain on June 14, 2014 at 6:09 PM

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