GA Senate poll shows Nunn stuck in the 30s

posted at 8:31 am on June 9, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

Georgia Democrats hoped to use the combination of an open seat, a fractious Republican primary fight, and a familiar name in state politics to steal a march on the GOP and pick up a badly-needed seat in the US Senate. According to the latest Survey USA poll, that long shot looks even longer. Despite getting the intraparty fight among Republicans they wanted, Michelle Nunn can’t even get to 40% against either of the two runoff candidates in the GOP:

6 weeks to the 07/22/14 Georgia Republican Primary, Jack Kingston is 11 points ahead of fellow Republican David Perdue in the battle for the Republican nomination, and the right to face Democrat Michelle Nunn in the 11/04/14 general election, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WXIA-TV, the Gannett owned station in Atlanta.

Today it’s Kingston 52%, Perdue 41%. Encouraging for Perdue is that among seniors, who are the most reliable voters, the contest is tied, 47% to 47%. Encouraging for Kingston is that he is above 50% among men, whites, independents, conservatives, middle and upper income voters, more educated voters, and in all 3 regions of Georgia. In greater Atlanta, Kingston leads by 10, in South Georgia and Eastern Georgia, Kingston leads by 18, and in Northwest Georgia, Kingston leads by 6.

In hypothetical head-to-head November match-ups against Democratic nominee Michelle Nunn, today, 5 months to election day, Kingston defeats Nunn by 6 points and Perdue defeats Nunn by 5 points. The race is for Republican Saxby Chambliss’ seat. Early though it is: the seat at this hour is a Republican “hold,” not a Democratic “takeaway.”

It hasn’t helped that Nunn turned out to be a mediocre candidate. Given multiple opportunities, Nunn refused to say whether she would have voted with the Democratic majority to approve ObamaCare, even during friendly questioning on MSNBC. Chuck Todd referred to this as “a terrible dodge,” and it’s obviously not impressing many Georgia voters.

Even among the demographics that Nunn should be winning, her performance is almost singularly unimpressive. She leads Kingston among women, but only 42/38, with 16% undecided. She barely edges Kingston among voters under 35 years of age by 38/37, and loses every other age demo. Kingston beats her by 13 points among independents, and only trails Nunn by eleven points in Atlanta. The demos against Perdue are similar.

Georgia Democrats look like they’re bound for disappointment — especially after the GOP unifies after the runoff election next month. If Nunn is not gaining any traction now, she’ll start moving backwards shortly afterward.


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Politics is showbiz for the ugly.

ConstantineXI on June 9, 2014 at 8:34 AM

Long shot = No shot. Ain’t gonna happen. Its either Perdue or Kingston.

Bmore on June 9, 2014 at 8:35 AM

Good. I didn’t want to have to make up for seats that should be in the red column.

BuckeyeSam on June 9, 2014 at 8:38 AM

To be fair, Nunn is a better candidate than Wendy Davis. But both share the same problem in that in these days of nationalized political issues at the state levels, you can’t hide who you are or what your beliefs are six years into a Democratic administration that’s not exactly going like gangbusters in Washington.

Rahm Emannuel was able to play this strategy to give the Democrats control of the Senate and House in 2006 by basically doing the same thing at the local level Obama did in ’08 — play off the Democrats’ candidates for Congress as moderates, by saying safe things and claiming to hold conservative beliefs on a few key issues. That was easy to do when George W. Bush was president, because they could say they were just going to Washington to fix the problems Bush caused six years into his term.

You can’t do that when you’re six years into Obama’s term, and with the nationalized media, Michelle Nunn can’t simply go out and say she’s going to oppose Obama if she goes to D.C., because then it would become a major kerfuffle within her own party, especially the far left ideologues who run the nation’s PC police. Nunn can’t get on the wrong side of them and still get decent campaign funding, but she can’t win in November without sharply breaking from Obama.

jon1979 on June 9, 2014 at 8:47 AM

Sick of multi-generational political families.

Galtian on June 9, 2014 at 8:52 AM

Ruh roh

cmsinaz on June 9, 2014 at 8:52 AM

Maybe she can first go on Extreme Makeover.

ToddPA on June 9, 2014 at 8:53 AM

I feel certain that former senators Lugar and Warner can get her over the finish line. Not first, you understand, but over the finish line.

Cindy Munford on June 9, 2014 at 9:00 AM

Maybe she can first go on Extreme Makeover.

ToddPA on June 9, 2014 at 8:53 AM

There isn’t enough Bondo in the Universe to fix that, or Hildabeast, or Chelsea. Some people are born to be ugly. Others get the ugly face due to Sith Corruption (Kelly Ayotte) in office.

ConstantineXI on June 9, 2014 at 9:01 AM

GA is not going to elect a liberal to the senate. Kingston takes the prize now that he has Herschel Walkers endorsement.

David in ATL on June 9, 2014 at 9:02 AM

Dude would probably stand a better chance in the polls if he’d get a haircut.

iceman1960 on June 9, 2014 at 9:04 AM

Atlanta’s gonna need a few more Obama busdrops.

Bruce MacMahon on June 9, 2014 at 9:05 AM

ConstantineXI on June 9, 2014 at 9:01 AM

Now, now, I’m sure it’s the angle of the shot. /

Cindy Munford on June 9, 2014 at 9:06 AM

Separated at birth?

iceman1960 on June 9, 2014 at 9:08 AM

I live in GA and I have known from the first mention by the Demorats that they had a chance of taking Chambliss’ seat that they were dreaming. There is NO chance that Nunn will even break 40%. She is running as a person, not a Demorat, and never mentions obama or any other Demorat. Carter, who is running for governor is doing the same thing. I think we have all learned by now that no matter what a person running as a Demorat tells us about being independent from obama, once elected they go straight to the obama reservation and vote with him almost 100% of the time.

inspectorudy on June 9, 2014 at 9:24 AM

There is NO chance that Nunn will even break 40%. She is running as a person, not a Demorat, and never mentions obama or any other Demorat.

“Vote for Michelle Nunn. Because My Dad Was Really Important.”

orangemtl on June 9, 2014 at 9:43 AM

Georgia resident here. Nunn has no chance and never did.

Noonan on June 9, 2014 at 9:45 AM

Get thee to a Nunn’ry.

Couldn’t help myself…

Fallon on June 9, 2014 at 10:16 AM

Her Daddy’s Democrat Party has long been buried. Nunn would need to have her May Day jack boots on, if she wants to march with the Obamanists. Georgia voters still hopefully have some brains and will tell her to go home back to daddy.

Krupnikas on June 9, 2014 at 10:18 AM

So we don’t get to find out that Nunn is a democrat until the boxed quote because Morrissy can’t write a proper article. And he’s the chief editor, why? Are you the product of a public education, Ed? It’s like your stupid quote section where no attribution is given for the quotes, and your co-editor who can’t use his real name. When will HA grow up and at least try to look like it might be a professional publication? (I’m guessing; never.)

earlgrey on June 9, 2014 at 10:18 AM

It’s down to the two strongest candidates on the Republican side. Nunn has no shot against either.

GOPRanknFile on June 9, 2014 at 10:23 AM

Maybe she can first go on Extreme Makeover.

ToddPA on June 9, 2014 at 8:53 AM

Still looks like south end of baboon heading north.

txdoc on June 9, 2014 at 10:23 AM

They say you can’t judge a book by its cover but damn!!

That just screams Liberal WhackBag.

BigWyo on June 9, 2014 at 10:26 AM

Earl – we all know she is a democrat.

Zomcon JEM on June 9, 2014 at 10:26 AM

GA Senate poll shows Nunn stuck in the 30s.

Yeah, maybe…

Fallon on June 9, 2014 at 10:32 AM

I was a big supporter of Jack Kingston until he took millions from the Chamber of Commerce. Now I’m leaning towards Purdue.

luckybogey on June 9, 2014 at 10:43 AM

Nunn for you.

Red Creek on June 9, 2014 at 10:43 AM

luckybogey on June 9, 2014 at 10:43 AM

Was already supporting Perdue, but I noticed that too. Hope that gets out. You would think the supporters of Handel would know this.

Barred on June 9, 2014 at 10:54 AM

When I saw stuck in the 30′s I thought it meant the 1930′s. She looks like she belongs in the teens.

crankyoldlady on June 9, 2014 at 10:56 AM

Talk about a headline being misleading.

“Nunn stuck in the 30s” sounds very good until one sources the link that provides this reality: “Republican’s stuck at 43%”.

Foot-in-mouth disease suffered by “the” R after 7/22 would be a disaster.

Carnac on June 9, 2014 at 11:22 AM

This is reassuring. I was actually nervous about Michelle Nunn b/c she’s been running Republican-looking ads.

The Bringer on June 9, 2014 at 12:13 PM

Here’s laughing at you Lugar, you old swine.

Schadenfreude on June 9, 2014 at 12:23 PM

There is NO chance that Nunn will even break 40%. She is running as a person, not a Demorat, and never mentions obama or any other Demorat.

“Vote for Michelle Nunn. Because My Dad Was Really Important.”

orangemtl on June 9, 2014 at 9:43 AM

I think she had Sam’s casket opened to retrieve his glasses, so she could look even more like him.

slickwillie2001 on June 9, 2014 at 1:18 PM

earlgrey on June 9, 2014 at 10:18 AM

May I respectfully suggest decaf?

Athanasius on June 9, 2014 at 2:23 PM

Georgia voters really aren’t that stupid. At least those outside the Atlanta perimeter. It takes more than family name recognition. Which is honestly the only thing Nunn has going for her. Her Daddy’s name and record. We are more and more rejecting that old southern way of doing business in favor of wanting to know what the candidate themself brings to the table. And honestly Nunn brings nothing. Zip nada zero. She has no resume, no experience, no leadership, no charisma, no perceivable reason to vote for her beyond “you knew my daddy.” This is why she is polling below the pool of registered Democrats in the state, even when her opponent is still undecided.

patches on June 9, 2014 at 2:25 PM

May I respectfully suggest decaf?

Athanasius on June 9, 2014 at 2:23 PM

I’m so happy that you are fine with low quality Athanasius because you are getting exactly what you want. HA doesn’t even come up to the lowest of journalistic standards that I learned in fourth grade.

earlgrey on June 10, 2014 at 12:08 AM