Can Thad Cochran get Democrats to pull him over the finish line?

posted at 11:01 am on June 8, 2014 by Jazz Shaw

After the dust failed to entirely settle following the Mississippi GOP primary, sending us to a runoff between Senator Thad Cochran and state senator Chris McDaniel, Ed had the following to say about Cochran’s prospects.

[Cochran's] inability to best McDaniel last night may have some Mississippi voters who supported the incumbent last night wonder whether it’s better to make a change now that is obviously inevitable, while those few who voted for someone other than the top two finishers are already looking for a Cochran alternative. The runoff will probably still be relatively close, but don’t be surprised to see McDaniel win by more than 51/49, either.

Team Cochran might have been reading Ed’s comments and taken notice. But rather than throwing their hands up in despair, reports indicate that they may have decided to attempt a rather unusual comeback strategy for a primary.

Senator Thad Cochran’s supporters opened Mississippi’s Republican Senate runoff on Wednesday by signaling that they would treat the race like a general election and seek the votes of Democrats and independents during the three-week campaign against State Senator Chris McDaniel.

The only reason this is a possibility is found in the rather free wheeling rules of Mississippi election law. Nobody registers by party, so anyone can vote in the election. The Democrats already have their nominee without the need for a runoff – and they’re highly unlikely to win the general election – so there’s nothing stopping them from voting in the GOP tiebreaker this month. Still, Matt Lewis seems somewhat skeptical.

The good news for Cochran is that Lieberman and Murkowski both found ways to expand their pool of voters and defy their party’s base — after having lost a primary contest. The bad news for Cochran is that they both did it in a General Election. It’s presumably going to be much harder for Cochran to get Democrats to turn out and vote in a Republican runoff election on some random Tuesday in June.

I’m not going to write this off as an impossible task, primarily because the margin between Cochran and McDaniel in the primary was pretty slender. I don’t think anyone is expecting McDaniel to suddenly surge to a 65% or more blowout in the runoff, even if it were limited to only actual Republicans voting. With that in mind, Cochran may not need a massive surge of insurgent Democrats to get him to 50.1%. But it would certainly be a strange and challenging course to follow.

First of all, we typically think of Republicans as needing to run to the Right in the primary and then glide back to the middle for the general election. This concept will force Cochran to essentially attempt a zig zag to the Left. I’m not sure what sort of sales pitch one makes to Mississippi Democrats in a situation like this. The only thing that comes to mind is to effectively say, “Look… you’re going to lose the general election anyway and wind up with a Republican in this Senate seat. Would you rather have me – the guy you already know – or that crazy Tea Party guy instead?

But even if that’s the pitch, you still have to get people out the door. Primary races are notoriously low in turnout as it is. This is a runoff in a non-election week. As Matt Lewis noted above, how motivated will Democrats be to show up on a Tuesday to vote for (or against) a candidate who’s not even from their own party?

UPDATE: (Jazz) A clarification on the potential number of democrats, helpfully provided in the comments.

Mississippi Run-off Rules

If a person voted in the Democratic primary Tuesday, he or she cannot vote in the June 24 Republican runoff — and vice-versa.

So, what Cochran is shooting for is Dem voters who didn’t come out to vote in the Dem primary last week.


Related Posts:

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

I’m not going to write this off as an impossible task, primarily because the margin between Cochran and McDaniel in the primary was pretty slender. I don’t think anyone is expecting McDaniel to suddenly surge to a 65% or more blowout in the runoff

If McDaniel portrays Cochran as trying to get the Democrats to pick the GOP nominee, he may very well do so.

Stoic Patriot on June 8, 2014 at 11:04 AM

The Partai über alles morons love this with their whole hearts. “Crush any economic responsibility and basic human decency” is their motto.

ebrown2 on June 8, 2014 at 11:07 AM

RINOs are nothing more than democrat leftist statist socialist pretending to be republicans in order to get elected. Had enough yet, cause it’s only going to get worse. Politics isn’t fixing the country. That ship has sailed.

bgibbs1000 on June 8, 2014 at 11:08 AM

Can Thad Cochran get Democrats to pull him over the finish line?

That old boy will do anything to win . Why give up the perk
of the taxpayer funding your , cough cough , lifestyle .

Lucano on June 8, 2014 at 11:11 AM

Maybe if they piss off enough Tea Party folks they will vote for the Democrat. All sorts of lessons could be taught.

Cindy Munford on June 8, 2014 at 11:12 AM

Mississippi Run-off Rules

If a person voted in the Democratic primary Tuesday, he or she cannot vote in the June 24 Republican runoff — and vice-versa.

So, what Cochran is shooting for is Dem voters who didn’t come out to vote in the Dem primary last week.

It will be interesting to see how the “crush Tea Party” Repubs respond if McDaniel wins. Will they issue a call to rally behind the Republican in the general?

lineholder on June 8, 2014 at 11:13 AM

Here’s how it goes in Mississippi:

Things you need to know about a runoff:

• People who didn’t vote in Tuesday’s primary can vote in the June 24 runoff.

• If a person voted in the Democratic primary Tuesday, he or she cannot vote in the June 24 Republican runoff — and vice-versa.

• If a person voted in the Republican primary, the voter can vote in the Republican runoff

• Citizens must have been registered for the June 3 primary be eligible to vote in the June 24 runoff.

• The same rules apply for the runoff as the primaries: A voter will be required to show an acceptable photo ID. If the voter doesn’t have an acceptable form of photo ID, he or she will be allowed to vote by affidavit ballot. The voter will then have five business days to show an acceptable form of photo ID or apply for a Mississippi voter ID card, at their circuit clerk’s office.

And don’t you think the Dems would rather have McDaniel to run against than Cochran…so why would they vote for Cochran in the runoff??

gracie on June 8, 2014 at 11:16 AM

It will be interesting to see how the “crush Tea Party” Repubs respond if McDaniel wins. Will they issue a call to rally behind the Republican in the general?

lineholder on June 8, 2014 at 11:13 AM

Will the Kardashians become talented and stylish youth role models?

Will Mitch McConnell become a courageous fighter for America’s economy?

Will Barack Obama become a follower of Austrian economic theory?

ebrown2 on June 8, 2014 at 11:18 AM

ebrown2 on June 8, 2014 at 11:18 AM

Heh! I’m inclined to think it falls into that realm of “rhetorical question already answered” myself.

But it’s possible the “crush TEA party” Repubs could do the unexpected.

lineholder on June 8, 2014 at 11:20 AM

Senator Thad Cochran’s supporters opened Mississippi’s Republican Senate runoff on Wednesday by signaling that they would treat the race like a general election and seek the votes of Democrats and independents during the three-week campaign against State Senator Chris McDaniel.

…come on!…there are no independents… they are progressives that don’t want the D label…Since they are slutting for the demorats vote…he needs to be ‘crushed’ by conservatives… to send a message!

KOOLAID2 on June 8, 2014 at 11:24 AM

The enemy of my enemy is my friend!

Evi L. Bloggerlady on June 8, 2014 at 11:24 AM

For Thad, keeping his job is more important than anything else.

But of course we knew that already.

Evi L. Bloggerlady on June 8, 2014 at 11:25 AM

Just go away already Thad…

OmahaConservative on June 8, 2014 at 11:28 AM

he should go visit his wife. take the mistress with him, make it a glorious party.

dmacleo on June 8, 2014 at 11:30 AM

In southern states, only the most motivated voters turn out for primary elections. In run-offs, that is intensified by an order of magnitude.

Cochran can’t motivate his people to get to the polls because they’re casual, disinterested voters. McDaniel can get his people to the polls so I frankly believe Cochran is done.

It doesn’t matter if you’re running for county dog catcher or President of the United States, you can’t win if you don’t get your people to vote. I don’t think Cochran can. I think McDaniel will.

Either way, this seat will stay Red.

Conservative Mischief on June 8, 2014 at 11:36 AM

I doubt any sleazy trick is out of bounds for ” hold on to your seat at all costs ” statists. All the Senators who live in Washington and ” visit” their constituents ( Kansas, I’m looking at you! ), deserve to be sacked, but hardly ever are.

SMACKRUNNER on June 8, 2014 at 11:36 AM

Why would the Democrats help Cochran? I’m sure they feel it will be much easier to beat McDaniel but not that much. I can’t imagine Mississippi electing a Democrat any time soon, no matter who the Republican nominee is.

bflat879 on June 8, 2014 at 11:39 AM

Crossing party lines only works when there’s a perceived direct benefit to the line-crossers. Cochran’s problem is the spin his supporters were putting out prior to the primary was McDaniel was the more vulnerable of the two Republicans in the general election.

Based on that, Cochran’s people can’t now turn around and say vote for their guy because you’re going to lose anyway in November, because it contradicts their first claim that the Democrats can win if McDaniel’s the nominee.

jon1979 on June 8, 2014 at 11:40 AM

I thought I heard Karl Rove’s PAC had thrown in the white towel. The only people keeping this story going have something to benefit from the unlikely hood of a Democrat Mississippi Senator after Obama just released 5 Taliban. When the nominee is McDaniel we’ll hear how up in play it is. Yawn.

Marcus on June 8, 2014 at 11:40 AM

If you didn’t vote the 1st time, you shouldn’t be allowed to vote in the runoff. Oh well, this will make Cochran’s defeat all the more satisfying.

SouthernGent on June 8, 2014 at 11:40 AM

Desperate fossil is desperate.

ElectricPhase on June 8, 2014 at 11:45 AM

• If a person voted in the Democratic primary Tuesday, he or she cannot vote in the June 24 Republican runoff — and vice-versa.

Why are Democrats allowed to vote in Republcan primaries – and vice-versa? This only fosters election shenanigans.

Rio Linda Refugee on June 8, 2014 at 11:51 AM

… take the mistress with him, make it a glorious party.

dmacleo on June 8, 2014 at 11:30 AM

…I’m just flabbergasted the guy has a mistress!…whenever I see him…he looks like he can hardly stand up and but one foot in front of the other!…A mistress?…does he have a little dispenser in his pocket…that lets him pop ‘the little blue pill’ like tic-tacs or something?

KOOLAID2 on June 8, 2014 at 11:53 AM

If Ds show up to vote at all, it will likely be McDaniel, the supposedly “unelectable” one.

Heck, even Karl Rove knew to throw in the towel on this one. Cochran’s done.

Now where Ds might make a difference in the primary is Tuesday. Eric Cantor’s primary is an open one, and no D is on the ballot. His opponent has already gained a lot of traction among conservatives. Tuesday could be a very interesting evening.

cat_owner on June 8, 2014 at 11:58 AM

Crossing party lines only works when there’s a perceived direct benefit to the line-crossers. Cochran’s problem is the spin his supporters were putting out prior to the primary was McDaniel was the more vulnerable of the two Republicans in the general election.

Based on that, Cochran’s people can’t now turn around and say vote for their guy because you’re going to lose anyway in November, because it contradicts their first claim that the Democrats can win if McDaniel’s the nominee.

jon1979 on June 8, 2014 at 11:40 AM

LOL, that’s so true.

cat_owner on June 8, 2014 at 12:00 PM

lineholder on June 8, 2014 at 11:13 AM

Excellent clarification, lineholder. Thanks! Added to the original post.

Jazz Shaw on June 8, 2014 at 12:01 PM

…I’m just flabbergasted the guy has a mistress!…whenever I see him…he looks like he can hardly stand up and but one foot in front of the other!…A mistress?…does he have a little dispenser in his pocket…that lets him pop ‘the little blue pill’ like tic-tacs or something?

KOOLAID2 on June 8, 2014 at 11:53 AM

It’s a social, not a sexual, relationship. After all, prostitutes should stick together.

ebrown2 on June 8, 2014 at 12:06 PM

Are we sure the Dems who voted in the Democratic primary can then vote in the Republican runoff. On Glenn Beck’s radio show last week Chris McDaniel gave the impression that they can’t. Only those who voted in the Republican Primary as they have “a list” of voters can vote in the runoff, have that be Rep, Dems or Independents but not any more not on the list of voters of any party. Not on the list the vote will be tossed and could/should lead to charges of voter fraud.

https://soundcloud.com/glennbeck/michelle-malkin-and-marcus-luttrell-join-glenn-to-discuss-the-strange-bowe-bergdahl-60414

Stu asks around 24min mark.

tjexcite on June 8, 2014 at 12:14 PM

It goes farther than the Update. The impression from McDaniel is only people who voted in the primary can vote in the run off regardless of party. Closed vote to those who voted in the GOP primary.

tjexcite on June 8, 2014 at 12:17 PM

Cochran reminds me of that movie ” Weekend At Bernie’s ”

I firmly believe he is a corpse.

Exninja on June 8, 2014 at 12:20 PM

Thad had two public appearances this weekend and would not answer questions from local reporters. His aides shielded him from reporters?

d1carter on June 8, 2014 at 12:21 PM

Here is the point of getting “new” Dems to vote for Cochran. 4th point in the link provided.

• Citizens must have been registered for the June 3 primary be eligible to vote in the June 24 runoff.

Democrats in large numbers are unlikely to have to have registered for the June 3 primary but did not vote in it. The only Dems who could vote for Cochran in the runoff voted for McDaniel in the primary after they registered for it.

tjexcite on June 8, 2014 at 12:26 PM

HA – Quit promoting this Tool and Take Him Out……post after post of how he doesn’t HAVE A CHANCE!

williamg on June 8, 2014 at 12:29 PM

These are the rules from the Clarion-Ledger newspaper

Things you need to know about a runoff:

• People who didn’t vote in Tuesday’s primary can vote in the June 24 runoff.

• If a person voted in the Democratic primary Tuesday, he or she cannot vote in the June 24 Republican runoff — and vice-versa.

• If a person voted in the Republican primary, the voter can vote in the Republican runoff

• Citizens must have been registered for the June 3 primary be eligible to vote in the June 24 runoff.

So the only people that can vote are the registered voters who may or may not have voted June 3rd except those who voted in the Democratic primary June 3rd. This would seem to effectively cut out the Democrats who voted for the Democratic Senate candidate or those who crossed over to Cochran at that time, or anyone who is not already registered that the Cochran campaign thinks they can dig up but now can’t. I don’t know if the 3rd party candidate voters can vote again.

gracie on June 8, 2014 at 12:36 PM

Mississippi Run-off Rules

Yeah, but you’re talking about Democrats dross-voting against state voting regulations. Hun’h? What do Democrats care about voting regulations?

Willys on June 8, 2014 at 12:38 PM

I hate the GOPe and that’s OK. They hate me too.

Cruz 2016

Franklin100 on June 8, 2014 at 12:42 PM

A riff on the Demos’ Todd Akin strategy.

formwiz on June 8, 2014 at 12:43 PM

ebrown2 on June 8, 2014 at 12:06 PM

He lives in this woman’s basement ( separate entry ) in MS , travels with her ( 30 some trips )
where she’s listed as his assistant or listed on the spouse side . She throws fundraisers
for him in the basement of her DC estate .
AND WE’RE PAYING FOR IT !

Lucano on June 8, 2014 at 12:45 PM

The only Dems who could vote for Cochran in the runoff voted for McDaniel in the primary after they registered for it.

I don’t know that this is true if they are registered Democrats and they voted no matter for whom.
In any events the # of Democrats who can vote is significantly diminished by design.

gracie on June 8, 2014 at 12:46 PM

Sore Loser RINOS always either end up in bed with Democrats or become Democrats.

ConstantineXI on June 8, 2014 at 12:51 PM

I don’t know that this is true if they are registered Democrats and they voted no matter for whom.
In any events the # of Democrats who can vote is significantly diminished by design.

gracie on June 8, 2014 at 12:46 PM

Eric Witholder and some federal hacktavist “judge” to ride to the rescue?

ConstantineXI on June 8, 2014 at 12:52 PM

UPDATE: (Jazz) A clarification on the potential number of democrats, helpfully provided in the comments. BY LINEHOLDER!

Mississippi Run-off Rules

If a person voted in the Democratic primary Tuesday, he or she cannot vote in the June 24 Republican runoff — and vice-versa.
So, what Cochran is shooting for is Dem voters who didn’t come out to vote in the Dem primary last week.

LH – coherent as usual. A rule like this only gets missed when someone is RUSHING past The Facts to say something POSITIVE and FAWNING about The Establishment Republicans – instead of CRUSHING THEM EVERYWHERE!!!

williamg on June 8, 2014 at 12:58 PM

Sore Loser RINOS always either end up in bed with Democrats or become Democrats.

ConstantineXI on June 8, 2014 at 12:51 PM

…..no – They ARE DEMOCRATS!!!

williamg on June 8, 2014 at 12:59 PM

Don’t ever under estimate Boss Hawg and his henchmen in Mississippi…

d1carter on June 8, 2014 at 1:22 PM

“IT IS MY SEAT, YOU STUPID CONSERVATIVES, AND I DON’T CARE WHAT I HAVE TO BECOME TO HOLD IT — A DEMOCRAT, A FREAKIN’ COMMIE, ZERO’S BEST FRIEND, WHATEVER — IT IS MINE! DO YOU HEAR ME?!!!!! MINE! MINE! MINE!”

Stupid Party Establishment: “Yup. He’s our guy.”

Rational Thought on June 8, 2014 at 1:32 PM

How desperate the D-rats and the GOPe rats are…

Schadenfreude on June 8, 2014 at 1:40 PM

Eric Witholder and some federal hacktavist “judge” to ride to the rescue?

ConstantineXI on June 8, 2014 at 12:52 PM

Maybe. But R’s already went against the D’s…now I would think that it should be left up to the R’s who have voted and to other registered voters (R’s and D’s and Independents) who haven’t to decide. And there certainly can’t be that many D’s in there and we know there’s only a pinch of others.

gracie on June 8, 2014 at 1:41 PM

Cochran, the old coot, needs to go and sit by his very ill wife. He spends too much time in DC, with his secretary.

Schadenfreude on June 8, 2014 at 1:41 PM

Heh: Decades ago, wife and I, in college, switched parties here in California to be able to vote against Bobby Kennedy.

GaltBlvnAtty on June 8, 2014 at 1:45 PM

If a person voted in the Democratic primary Tuesday, he or she cannot vote in the June 24 Republican runoff — and vice-versa.

Oh, look – someone who quaintly thinks that Democrats give a shit about election laws – or that the ‘so-called’ GOP establishment (h/t Ed) would grumble in the least if Democrats showed up and illegally voted for their boy Cochran.

Midas on June 8, 2014 at 1:53 PM

williamg on June 8, 2014 at 12:58 PM

Can’t take the credit…it had been discussed elsewhere. Just passing it on. ;-)

lineholder on June 8, 2014 at 2:04 PM

No word yet on whether Cochran this time will agree to debate McDaniel.

It’s insane that Cochran won’t debate his opponent. These days debate has become all but a required part of running for office. You get a plush country club style job for 6 years that pays 175k+, it’s the least you can expect that in order to get or be reelected to that position that you spend an hour debating your primary opponent(s) and an hour in debate for the general.

Debate his opponent for a single hour. Is that way too much to ask? Now that Cochran is technically behind McDaniel there is only two plausible explanations for why Cochran won’t debate. And the most likely explanation is not that Cochran is running from the issues, but that Cochran is unfortunately not able to do it any more, to put coherent sentences together that answer a specific question. Imagine then that Cochran wins the election and we wonder in 6 1/2 years whether Cochran will become a kind of blank slate.

If you google it you will see that, already, Cochran is bumbling and mumbling and not really able to answer simple questions competently. This is true. And unfortunately it has to be considered an issue. And it’s not about age. There are plenty of senators that are much older than Cochran that remain sharp as a tack.

anotherJoe on June 8, 2014 at 2:10 PM

For Thad, keeping his job is more important than anything else.

But of course we knew that already.

Evi L. Bloggerlady on June 8, 2014 at 11:25 AM

Actually, it appears that Haley “Boss Hogg” Barbour and his two idiot nephews may be pulling the strings.

I have read several stories that Cochran was ready to hang it up. Apparently he isn’t that sharp these days. Cochran didn’t even address his supporters following Tuesday’s primary.

bw222 on June 8, 2014 at 2:13 PM

Thad had two public appearances this weekend and would not answer questions from local reporters. His aides shielded him from reporters?

d1carter on June 8, 2014 at 12:21 PM

BTW, that’s what I’m talking about, that’s what I was saying. Thad doesn’t seem to be able to answer simple questions so his staff is shielding him from that.

anotherJoe on June 8, 2014 at 2:15 PM

Can Thad Cochran get Democrats to pull him over the finish line?
…That has consistently worked for McRINO (d-crats are second behind STUPID, DUMB-A$$ Repubs in supporting him.)

MicahStone on June 8, 2014 at 2:19 PM

Now where Ds might make a difference in the primary is Tuesday. Eric Cantor’s primary is an open one, and no D is on the ballot. His opponent has already gained a lot of traction among conservatives. Tuesday could be a very interesting evening.

cat_owner on June 8, 2014 at 11:58 AM

Right! This is the showdown that counts. You might like Eric Cantor, but it comes down to this: if you want amnesty passed, vote for Cantor. Otherwise, don’t!

anotherJoe on June 8, 2014 at 2:34 PM

All this crass intra-party sniping misses a golden opportunity for much greater achievements. ~ First, let’s agree that the Dems who voted last week are ineligible by law. These folks are – however – the hardest-core Dems to be found in a place as conservative as MS. That is, they voted in a primary election for a nominee almost certain to lose the general. In terms of reward for time & effort expended; that’s a very long shot wager. ~~ If Cochran and the Dems are true to their commonly accepted natures, then we can look forward to many, many cases of election/voter FRAUD. Once documented, this might serve a national debate in support of commonsense initiatives to secure the ballot, as True-The-Vote and others. I say to them, “Bring it!”

SomeDude on June 8, 2014 at 2:38 PM

BTW, that’s what I’m talking about, that’s what I was saying. Thad doesn’t seem to be able to answer simple questions so his staff is shielding him from that.

anotherJoe on June 8, 2014 at 2:15 PM

I think Thad has bad days and some not so bad days….it is definitely a problem.

d1carter on June 8, 2014 at 2:40 PM

It will be interesting to see how the “crush Tea Party” Repubs respond if McDaniel wins. Will they issue a call to rally behind the Republican in the general?

lineholder on June 8, 2014 at 11:13 AM

It will be interesting, but it is pre-ordained. If McDaniel wins the nomination, the Mississippi Institutional Republican Party and the NRSCC will at best become “neutral” and discover that they “don’t have the resources” to contest the Senate election in Mississippi. More likely, they will functionally start working for the Democrat.

They may do like they did here in Colorado in 2010, and run a well known Republican under a 3rd party banner with Republican support to deliberately split the conservative vote so the Democrat beats the the TEA Party Republican who won our nomination for governor that year.

What they are assuming is that there will be no TEA Party counter to those moves. That may not be an accurate assumption.

Subotai Bahadur on June 8, 2014 at 2:44 PM

if going left in the runoff to try and get dems to come out and vote for him works then he is toast in the general. at that point enough McDaniel voters will stay home out of spite. and I wouldn’t blame them. Cochran shouldn’t be going out of bounds to get voters.

chasdal on June 8, 2014 at 2:47 PM

Now where Ds might make a difference in the primary is Tuesday. Eric Cantor’s primary is an open one, and no D is on the ballot. His opponent has already gained a lot of traction among conservatives. Tuesday could be a very interesting evening.

cat_owner on June 8, 2014 at 11:58 AM

i’d rather see cantor run out than Cochran if I had to choose. he’s been way to underhanded in his moves behind the scenes on bad legislation and he is closer to a leadership position than Cochran will ever be.

chasdal on June 8, 2014 at 2:49 PM

Can Thad Cochran get Democrats to pull him over the finish line?

It worked for Lisa Murkowski when she lost her primary.

Texas Zombie on June 8, 2014 at 2:49 PM

So, what Cochran is shooting for is Dem voters who didn’t come out to vote in the Dem primary last week.

Good luck with that. Primaries themselves are very low turnout affairs. Runoffs are usually even lower. Trying to turn out someone in a runoff who didn’t vote in a primary is a pretty low propensity gambit. Kind of a waste of energy.

Texas Zombie on June 8, 2014 at 2:52 PM

Texas Zombie on June 8, 2014 at 2:52 PM

It is definitely that. Pretty pathetic, too, if you stop to think about it, that Establishment Repubs would choose that course of action, of their own volition.

lineholder on June 8, 2014 at 2:56 PM

Not going to happen…

sorrowen on June 8, 2014 at 2:56 PM

i’d rather see cantor run out than Cochran if I had to choose.

chasdal on June 8, 2014 at 2:49 PM

Yes, Cantor is the big potato. If Cantor goes down, then amnesty is done. Candidates will know that the R voters don’t want candidates, and especially leadership, that are trying to force amnesty on us.

anotherJoe on June 8, 2014 at 3:29 PM

Ah yes, who does the GOPe turn to when their party turns against them? Their truest, most dependable supporters, DimocRat voters.

Meople on June 8, 2014 at 3:36 PM

If a person voted in the Democratic primary Tuesday, he or she cannot vote in the June 24 Republican runoff — and vice-versa.
So, what Cochran is shooting for is Dem voters who didn’t come out to vote in the Dem primary last week.

Yeah, that’s gonna happen.

Why would a Democrat care who wins the GOP nomination? To a lib, even a Boehner or McCain is too conservative. Both Cochran and McDaniels are evil to the left.

Ted the Average on June 8, 2014 at 4:05 PM

There is long experience in Southern run-offs that shows the supporters of the third candidate, who never had a chance but they showed up for him anyway, will stay home. Also, the run-off will likely have reduced turnout even after the good primary turnout, because there will be no other offices at stake.

Mississippi has no party registration, and Republicans have dominated the national and statewide races in recent years, but there are still plenty of Democratic officeholders at the local levels. And many more self-identifying “Democrats” who vote for Republicans very often.

In fact, without Democratic votes, Republicans would not win, there is not a majority of self-identifying GOP-ers yet.

¤¤¤

What Cochran has done in his Senate career, as is the tradition of Mississippi Senators, is bring home the federal bacon to the poorest state in the union. So there will be a fair number of those uncommitted Democrats who figure that if Republicans take the Senate, their share of the pork will be determined either by a very senior committee chairman or by a freshman.

So the truth is that no one knows what will happen. One supposes McDaniel, as the challenger who managed to win against the incumbent, will have the edge of enthusiastic supporters. But in the South, you can never tell the motivations of those who did not vote in the primary, so it becomes a get-out-the-vote contest.

Adjoran on June 8, 2014 at 4:12 PM

The DSSC is scouring every tape, every speech, every radio show McDaniel ever made.

All those advocating for McDaniel better hope he is bullet-proof in the general. We need this seat and we need it to be an easy “hold.”

matthew8787 on June 8, 2014 at 4:20 PM

The NRSC quietly stated earlier this week that they will support McDaniel if he is the GOP nominees.

They want the majority, folks. They are not going to forfeit or undermine this seat.

matthew8787 on June 8, 2014 at 4:23 PM

chasdal on June 8, 2014 at 2:49 PM

Hopefully we will get our wish on Tuesday. Doesn’t seem to be much doubt Cantor is in big trouble.

And like Cochran, Cantor has refused to debate his opponent. He can’t defend his record.

I think it’s entirely possible that Cochran would have trouble even putting two sentences together in a debate that would make sense. That’s the main reason why he won’t debate.

cat_owner on June 8, 2014 at 4:34 PM

Republican voters take note.Cochran is a deceitful lying RINO who wants Democrats to help determine whom will be your nominee.Throw the bum out!

redware on June 8, 2014 at 4:58 PM

matthew8787 on June 8, 2014 at 4:20 PM

thanx for your concern, Thaddeus…u were thinking the same thing before the primary….didn’t seem to matter.

gracie on June 8, 2014 at 5:00 PM

Can Thad Cochran get Democrats to pull him over the finish line?

While Conservatives are suppose to support rinos when our preferred candidate loses it’s a one way street. When rinos lose they reach out to Democrats, work against the chosen Republican candidate or become Democrats.

RJL on June 8, 2014 at 5:09 PM

There’s a lot of comments here on Cantor falling quickly out of favor due to his pro-amnesty position. Yes, Cantor is in trouble. This from Breitbart:

Shock Poll Shows Eric Cantor Struggling In Primary

Republican primary voters in the district on June 2, showed that 52 percent support Cantor while 39 percent support Brat.

The results suggest a sharp drop in support for Cantor. A poll conducted by McLaughlin and Associates between May 27 and 28 that showed Cantor leading by a 62 percent to 28 percent margin.

The poll also showed a sharp decline for Cantor when compared to his huge margin of 79 percent to 21 percent by which he beat challenger Floyd Bayne in the 2012 Republican primary. In the 2012 general election, Cantor defeated his Democratic opponent by a 59 percent to 41 percent margin.

Despite being outspent by $1.9 million to $123,000 up to May 21, according to reports filed by each campaign with the Federal Election Commission, Brat’s focus on Cantor’s immigration record has sparked national attention on the campaign…

With the active support of conservative talk show host Laura Ingraham, Brat has been able to focus the national spotlight on Cantor’s immigration record [but] Cantor’s campaign, which is expected to spend more than $3 million before the polls close, has flooded the television airwaves with commercials .. proclaiming him as a champion of opposition to amnesty.

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/06/07/New-Poll-Cantor-s-Lead-Cut-to-52-39

Cantor agreed with the R “leadership” position that amnesty (or, earn-esty) should be forced to come to a vote against the wishes of most R congressmen and voters. Any pretension that Cantor is against Rubio’s amnesty is straight out trickery.

Yes, this is about amnesty.

Now is the time for the R voters to rise to the occasion and make it clear that we don’t want our leadership pushing amnesty. And now is time for us to get this key message out before Cantor’s Tuesday primary.

anotherJoe on June 8, 2014 at 5:13 PM

No … Thad Cochran can’t get Dims to make the difference.

First … the Dims in MS would rather have a Democrat – not a Republican.

And the weakest Republican would be McDaniel – since he’s not an incumbent. Why would Dims want to face Cochran’s incumbency machine?

Smart ones don’t.

Have no fear – McDaniel will easily defeat Childers – the Democrat.

But if Dims have one shot in hell – it’ll be against McDaniel – not Cochran.

HondaV65 on June 8, 2014 at 5:26 PM

Another POS RINO.

nobama1267 on June 8, 2014 at 6:13 PM

Hypocrisy, Thy Name is Cochran.

Republican voters should run over this guy in the election like a freight train. What more definitive example of self-absorbed, geriatric cronyism can one point to (outside of Michigan, I mean) than this mope?

orangemtl on June 8, 2014 at 6:17 PM

Now is the time for the R voters to rise to the occasion and make it clear that we don’t want our leadership pushing amnesty. And now is time for us to get this key message out before Cantor’s Tuesday primary.

anotherJoe on June 8, 2014 at 5:13 PM

You know it’s going to be so funny to read conservative websites on Wednesday morning if Cantor is defeated.

This race has been almost entirely ignored by most media. Breitbart is the one exception. Mark Levin and Laura Ingraham have been very supportive of Brat. If you don’t follow them, you probably don’t realize what may happen on Tuesday night.

cat_owner on June 8, 2014 at 6:28 PM

Dems will not vote. Why would they?

Unless the DNC wants McDaniel in the general

Then they’ll bus them in to vote

McDaniel will lose the general election

Just as Richard Mourdock lost the IN safe GOP seat

Redford on June 8, 2014 at 7:20 PM

McDaniel will lose the general election

Just as Richard Mourdock lost the IN safe GOP seat

Redford on June 8, 2014 at 7:20 PM

in your dreams robert…and not even close

gracie on June 8, 2014 at 7:26 PM

McDaniel will lose the general election

Just as Richard Mourdock lost the IN safe GOP seat

Redford on June 8, 2014 at 7:20 PM

in your dreams robert…and not even close

gracie on June 8, 2014 at 7:26 PM

If McDaniel wins, you can bet he will shoot his mouth off about rape, abortion..whatever …and he will lose. The media will be there and will report it 24/7….I’m not sure what the attraction is with this guy…

Redford on June 8, 2014 at 7:46 PM

If McDaniel wins, you can bet he will shoot his mouth off about rape, abortion..whatever …and he will lose. The media will be there and will report it 24/7….I’m not sure what the attraction is with this guy…

Redford on June 8, 2014 at 7:46 PM

He’s not a senile old moderate GOP De-eliter who cheats on his invalid wife on the taxpayer dime? That’s some mighty fine justification to vote for McDaniel if you’re in MS.

ebrown2 on June 8, 2014 at 8:05 PM

The DSSC is scouring every tape, every speech, every radio show McDaniel ever made.

All those advocating for McDaniel better hope he is bullet-proof in the general. We need this seat and we need it to be an easy “hold.”

matthew8787 on June 8, 2014 at 4:20 PM

It’s gonna take quite the radioactive comment to make MS go Dem. I don’t see it happening, TBH. Whoever wins the Republican nomination will be the next Senator from the great state of MS.

Also, the Cochran campaign has already scoured every tape, every speech, every radio show McDaniel ever made and would have used it with delight if it existed.

yaedon on June 8, 2014 at 10:07 PM

So the truth is that no one knows what will happen. One supposes McDaniel, as the challenger who managed to win against the incumbent, will have the edge of enthusiastic supporters. But in the South, you can never tell the motivations of those who did not vote in the primary, so it becomes a get-out-the-vote contest.

Adjoran on June 8, 2014 at 4:12 PM

Ah, the nervous Cochran supporter. You are correct that no one knows what will happen, but pretending that the odds are not incredibly long for Cochran at this point is pretty ridiculous. The fact that this runoff is in the South has no bearing on its predictability. The particular motivations of those who did not vote on June 3rd is much less important than the fact that they were not motivated enough to vote in the primary. Anyone who did not vote in the primary is even less likely to vote in the runoff. That’s the situation, and that is what Cochran’s campaign is having to deal with right now.

Unless there is some major and unprecedented focus on physically busing Democrats (who were not motivated enough to vote in the primary) to the polls for the runoff, then the USS Cochran is already taking on too much water and is in imminent danger of capsizing.

yaedon on June 8, 2014 at 10:21 PM

McDaniel will lose the general election

Just as Richard Mourdock lost the IN safe GOP seat

Redford on June 8, 2014 at 7:20 PM

Ah, the leftist concern troll. No further response required.

yaedon on June 8, 2014 at 10:26 PM

Lets cut to the chase – McDaniel beats Cochran by 20 points in the runoff, because of turnout. The ideas that dems will show up for the runoff is ludicrous.

The general election will be closer, but not that close. 55-45 for McDaniel.

Tom Servo on June 8, 2014 at 10:33 PM

I don’t think it’s impossible for Cochran’s team to pull this off. If it were impossible, they wouldn’t be wasting their time trying it.

But it is a long shot. I think there were already a lot of Democrats voting for Cochran. I think a lot of them can be counted on to do it again.

But even if they all do it again, that would at best repeat the results from last time.

To really get enough to pull it off, they’d have to get Democrats voting for Cochran in the runoff who failed to vote in the Republican primary. I think the Democrats willing enough to vote in a Republican primary have already done it. I don’t expect a sizable number who failed to vote in the primary suddenly deciding to vote in the runoff.

On the other hand, if the news gets out with solid evidence that Cochran is trying to win a Republican primary with Democratic votes that have no intention of voting for him in the general election, I would imagine the number of Republicans abandoning Cochran to vote for McDaniel would dwarf the few Democrats willing to vote for Cochran in the primary.

I still think it’s possible that Cochran could win this way. But I think it’s more likely just pure desperation.

There Goes the Neighborhood on June 8, 2014 at 11:50 PM

I think the title of this thread says it all. If the GOPe needs Democrats to pull them over the finish line, then there is no need for the GOP

Brock Robamney on June 9, 2014 at 11:44 AM

Basically, the “Update” regarding Mississippi election law means the question asked in the article is moot. Those who didn’t care enough to vote in the primary are not going to show up to vote in the run-off.

J Baustian on June 9, 2014 at 12:49 PM