Reuters: That July deadline for an Iran nuke deal? Probably not gonna’ happen.

posted at 4:01 pm on June 4, 2014 by Erika Johnsen

Back when the United States and the other members of the P5+1 group (Britain, France, Germany, Russia, China) embarked on their latest mission last year to strike a deal with Iran to prevent any nuclear proliferation on their part, there was a lot of criticism of the Obama administration for creating an opportunity for an only apparently willing and newly cooperative Iran to get exactly what it really wanted: Some relief from economic sanctions in exchange for doing nothing, and more time to stall on dismantling the threatening aspects of their nuclear program, even while Iranian envoys claim that they are sincerely hunting for a deal.

Mmm hmm. Via Reuters:

It is increasingly unlikely that six world powers and Iran will meet their July 20 deadline to negotiate a long-term deal for Iran to curb its nuclear programme in return for an end to economic sanctions, diplomats and analysts say. …

The latest round of talks in Vienna last month ran into difficulties when it became clear that the number of enrichment centrifuges Iran wanted to maintain was well beyond what would be acceptable to the West. That disagreement, envoys said, can be measured in tens of thousands of centrifuges. …

Barring a surprise breakthrough in the next round in Vienna on June 16 to 20, Western officials said an extension was virtually a foregone conclusion. “We’re far apart,” one diplomat said, adding that the talks would be “long and complicated.” …

If there is an extension, the Obama administration will seek the blessing of Congress. U.S. officials voiced confidence to Reuters they would ultimately get it, but it appears it would not come without a fight.

Technically, the interim agreement from last November included a possible six-month extension if the two sides weren’t yet on the same page, and as Reuters mentions, the Obama administration has signaled that it will try to get approval from Congress before going forward with the negotiations and limited sanctions relief for another half a year. The White House managed to lobby a bipartisan majority in the Senate into submission last winter when it came to Iranian sanctions, but it might not be able to do so again without Congress heaping a lot of unwanted extra attention onto the issue.


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bye Erika!

coolrepublica on June 4, 2014 at 4:04 PM

Another useless red line?

dentarthurdent on June 4, 2014 at 4:04 PM

Why am I not surprised?

wifarmboy on June 4, 2014 at 4:06 PM

If there is an extension, the Obama administration will seek the blessing of Congress.

Surrrrrrre they will….
Just like they did for the terrorist-deserter trade.

dentarthurdent on June 4, 2014 at 4:07 PM

That’s a big Prairie Fire you’ve got going on. Is that the right fact pattern, Kenneth?

faraway on June 4, 2014 at 4:08 PM

…they are waiting for JugEars to hug them!

KOOLAID2 on June 4, 2014 at 4:09 PM

Obama has done nothing but bend over backward trying to help Iran get nuclear weapons, July deadline? Bah…

oscarwilde on June 4, 2014 at 4:11 PM

Shocka

cmsinaz on June 4, 2014 at 4:11 PM

This administration will keep extending the ‘talks’ until Iran announces that they don’t need no more stinkin’ extensions because they now have the Bomb – and the delivery systems to throw it just about anywhere.

vnvet on June 4, 2014 at 4:12 PM

The 12th Imam will pop out of his hidey hole in Qom before an acceptable deal (one that could pass the Senate) can be made. Unless, of course, the One signs a surrender document enforced by Executive Order. Perhaps he could then name that hero Bergdahl as ambassador to Iran.

Annar on June 4, 2014 at 4:14 PM

OT: Afghan villagers witnessed Bergdahl desert, seek out Taliban stronghold.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/worldviews/wp/2014/06/04/exclusive-afghan-villagers-recall-when-bergdahl-stumbled-into-their-midst/

JeremiahJohnson on June 4, 2014 at 4:15 PM

Speaking of oppressive nations, I hope HotAir is not going to neglect the 25th anniversary of Tiananmen Square, & the 1/5 of the Earth’s population that is still enslaved in China.

itsnotaboutme on June 4, 2014 at 4:18 PM

Obama ♥ the Muslim Brotherhood.

albill on June 4, 2014 at 4:23 PM

Maybe we could give them some Gitmo terrorists as a retainer…

Axeman on June 4, 2014 at 4:38 PM

Question: Why shouldn’t the US try to the United Nations to pass a law: Any nation in the Nuke Non-prolification Treaty, who produces a Nuke, has declared war against the world and is fair game? Who would vote against that? :-)

LouisianaLightning on June 4, 2014 at 4:49 PM

the Obama administration has signaled that it will try to get approval from Congress before going forward with the negotiations and limited sanctions relief for another half a year.

I’m sure they already did that like two years ago.

Patriot Vet on June 4, 2014 at 5:11 PM

Iran will attempt a ‘high order’ nuclear test just before the Gimmedats national convention in 2016. (And claim total yield conversion despite copious evidence to the contrary.)
King Taliobowmao Putt and Team Killary, with total cooperation of the Pressitutes, will foist blame for this epic diplomatic failure on the Bush administration.
And will claim the White House because of … Stupid Americans.

Missilengr on June 4, 2014 at 5:26 PM

Their respect for Il Duce is on display nicely here.

WWRD?

Tard on June 4, 2014 at 5:58 PM