Gallup: Democrats lead by eight when voters are asked which party would do a better job on the Affordable Care Act

posted at 5:21 pm on May 20, 2014 by Allahpundit

Another day, another highly eeyorish poll result that may or may not have been affected by questionable question phrasing. Yesterday it was Politico’s survey on “comprehensive immigration reform,” today it’s Gallup polling the top issues for the midterms. The good news for the GOP: They’re ahead on the public’s perennial top priority, the economy. The bad news: ObamaCare seemingly isn’t the liability it once was.

aca

The Affordable Care Act is above-average in terms of importance to both parties, as you would expect. What you might not expect, given the intensity of GOP opposition, is that slightly more Democrats consider it important than Republicans do. You also might not expect that more people say Democrats would do a better job with the ACA than Republicans would — and that the Dems’ lead on that is also above-average compared to issues. Proof positive that Obama’s victory lap after they hit eight million enrollments really has restored public confidence in O-Care? Maybe not, but at a minimum, it may corroborate other polls showing that only a minority of the public wants to repeal the law; most prefer to make either minor or major repairs to the existing structure. It stands to reason that if you want to see the law kept in place and fixed, you’re going to trust the party that passed it to do so marginally more than the party that’s been vowing to tear the whole thing down for the past four years. If any (or all) of that is true, then we’re looking at a weird situation in the midterms where the GOP is running mainly on an issue that favors Democrats, i.e. ObamaCare, while Democrats are essentially running on an issue that favors the GOP, i.e. the economy. Their income inequality message is double-barreled: Part of it is simple class warfare, that redistribution is only fair, but the other part is that greater wealth-sharing ultimately means a stronger middle class and that in turn means economic growth and new jobs. The first part of that is working for them, per the results above, but not the second. And the second is where most of the electoral benefits are to be had.

Conn Carroll asks a good question, though:

Phrasing does matter here. Gallup itself reported back in November that they get different results when polling on O-Care depending upon whether they mention Obama in the question and whether they refer to the law as the “Affordable Care Act” or as “ObamaCare.” The best numbers for the law come when you strip O out of it entirely; the worst results come when you call it “ObamaCare.” Guess which phrase GOP attack ads this fall are going to use. Using the broader term “health care” might also have affected the numbers, as Conn suggests, simply because that term doesn’t assume that the ACA will remain in place the way a question that refers specifically to the ACA tacitly does. If Gallup had opened up the Overton window more here, they might have gotten a more pro-GOP result. Or … they might not: This isn’t the only poll lately to show Democrats with a lead on health care, even when you use the phrase “health care.” And that probably has less to do with America falling in love with ObamaCare (which it isn’t) than with the GOP’s refusal to enthusiastically back an alternative plan. Rhetorically, the party is almost entirely “repeal” and no “replace.” If you’re going to make this issue a referendum on repeal and the public’s no longer gung ho for repeal, it’s no surprise that Democrats come out ahead.

Luckily for us, national polls like this matter very little to red-state battlegrounds like Louisiana and North Carolina, where Mary Landrieu and Kay Hagan still have to figure out a way to win. But I do think it helps explain why Boehner’s suddenly decided that a Benghazi committee is a good summer project: The party’s not quite as invested in beating the O-Care drum as it was last fall. Exit question via Carroll: The GOP’s still going to try to stop Obama’s illegal taxpayer bailout for O-Care insurers, isn’t it?


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VA Death Panels

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Schadenfreude on May 20, 2014 at 5:24 PM

The ACA is not “affordable”.

obama’care’ is NOT care.

Schadenfreude on May 20, 2014 at 5:25 PM

They did a bang up job with GM.

rogerb on May 20, 2014 at 5:25 PM

Kind of off topic…but all leads to Guinea worms.

Goebbels loves the Warrenhonta!!!

Schadenfreude on May 20, 2014 at 5:26 PM

This shows how bad a job the Republican Party does of communicating.

bw222 on May 20, 2014 at 5:26 PM

Proving once again that there is no hope for America. Lack of real education and apathy. I guess we’re just not hurting enough yet.

Judge_Dredd on May 20, 2014 at 5:28 PM

Exit question via Carroll: The GOP’s still going to try to stop Obama’s illegal taxpayer bailout for O-Care insurers, isn’t it?

The insurance companies are members in good standing with the Chamber, right?

Steve Eggleston on May 20, 2014 at 5:28 PM

Obamacare. Slaughterforce One.

Murphy9 on May 20, 2014 at 5:29 PM

Judge_Dredd on May 20, 2014 at 5:28 PM

Scary. I wonder how much hurt it will take.

KCB on May 20, 2014 at 5:30 PM

This is why ‘Repeal!’ has been replaced by ‘Benghazi!’.
As most are aware.

verbaluce on May 20, 2014 at 5:30 PM

Liar in the picture?

Schadenfreude on May 20, 2014 at 5:31 PM

Employer mandate is coming. I just got hit with 25% increase for worse insurance. Our open season ended last week, and my employer laid the blame squarely on the Affordable Care Act. Made no bones about it. Paying a little over $00 per month for a bronze type plan.

KCB on May 20, 2014 at 5:33 PM

I am convinced there’s a segment of respondents that simply do not understand survey questions as presented.

Lolo on May 20, 2014 at 5:34 PM

These polls are always done for the benefit of Republicans. Democrats could care less if Obamacare is popular or not. Or immigration reform. Or gun rights. Whatever.

They’ll make the laws and change our minds along the way.

Republicans? Bunch of cowards who think polls should run this country, rather than people.

Baggi on May 20, 2014 at 5:34 PM

The bad news: ObamaCare seemingly isn’t the liability it once was.

They didn’t ask about ‘Obamacare.’ They were asked about the ACA.

You and I know that they are one and the same, but as Leno and others have shown over the years with their man-on-the-street interviews, the (so-called) Affordable Healthcare Act polls much better than Obamacare…by double-digits.

Resist We Much on May 20, 2014 at 5:34 PM

verbaluce on May 20, 2014 at 5:30 PM

Duhhhh, all have been replaced by the VA Death Panels. Wake up.

20 states and almost 170 dead.

Shitseki is “mad as Hell”.

obama is “madder than Hell”.

Baghdad Bobbie is clusterfarked.

Schadenfreude on May 20, 2014 at 5:35 PM

Talk about a sham poll. Try asking if we want Obamacare.

jainphx on May 20, 2014 at 5:35 PM

Liar in the picture?

Schadenfreude on May 20, 2014 at 5:31 PM

I didn’t get to keep my plan, so……..

KCB on May 20, 2014 at 5:35 PM

The bad news: ObamaCare seemingly isn’t the liability it once was.

It will be. They ain’t seen nothing yet…

sandee on May 20, 2014 at 5:36 PM

Paying a little over $400 per month for a bronze type plan.

KCB on May 20, 2014 at 5:33 PM

FIFM

KCB on May 20, 2014 at 5:36 PM

This is why ‘ObamaCare!’ has been replaced by ‘SSM!’ or ‘Global Warming!’ take your pick.
As most are aware.

verbaluce on May 20, 2014 at 5:30 PM

FIFY

HumpBot Salvation on May 20, 2014 at 5:37 PM

Democrats can always pull out the fear card and win.
As in, “If you vote for Republicans you will lose (fill in the blank)”.

albill on May 20, 2014 at 5:38 PM

Well if the GOP wasn’t stupid, this would be a slam dunk. Democrats will be complacent now that Obamacare “isn’t the liability it once was”, and not foresee the prempting they will need to do in order to prevent a massive wave of employer based cancellations come the fall….right before election day.

Wonder how 10s of millions of cancellations will sit with Obamacares popularity come October?

Ca97 on May 20, 2014 at 5:39 PM

Here’s your answer Mr. Fournier.

http://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2014/05/20/how-dumb-does-obama-think-we-are/

HumpBot Salvation on May 20, 2014 at 5:39 PM

The bad news: ObamaCare seemingly isn’t the liability it once was.

 
Wish you were here!

Love,
The Employer Mandate

rogerb on May 20, 2014 at 5:41 PM

Gallup: Democrats lead by eight when voters are asked which party would do a better job on the Affordable Care Act

I’m trying to figure out what the heII this means. If someone asks me who can do a better job crapping on my lawn, I might point to group A but that doesn’t mean I want them to do it.

dorkintheroad on May 20, 2014 at 5:42 PM

Scary. I wonder how much hurt it will take.

KCB on May 20, 2014 at 5:30 PM

I still see far too many idiots who swallow the ‘blame the republicans’ line. Like we’ve crossed some rubicon regarding the ability of simple reason/logic. 5 1/2 long years later. Allah’s had those poll threads where people still blame Bush. After all this time, I blame Bush too. For not fighting back. Yet we’re still treated to that ‘we’re not like the left’ crap. That will get us consecutive places in the bread line. Or adjoining bunks in a FEMA camp.

Judge_Dredd on May 20, 2014 at 5:43 PM

rogerb on May 20, 2014 at 5:25 PM

Um, so there’s a pattern here? VA, ACA, GM, Secret Service hookers, Lois Lerner, NSA (Nationwide Spying on Americans) …….. drip, drip, drip. How on Earth do lefties justify government incompetence? Throw King Putt in with Bush for all I care. Why do they want government to do anything?

Those are rhetorical questions. Pulees!

Chuck Ef on May 20, 2014 at 5:45 PM

This shows how bad a job the Republican Party does of communicating.

bw222 on May 20, 2014 at 5:26 PM

Or maybe that most Americans are complete idiots thanks to decades of indoctrination in lieu of education?

Ted the Average on May 20, 2014 at 5:46 PM

I agree with the poll results. Republicans would destroy it. This is not a bad thing.

Ronnie on May 20, 2014 at 5:49 PM

Well duh. I could take the same position if I wanted to save the world. My policy which is great has not been canceled. I have received
a 50% increase since it passed but I have my policy. It is when the bulk of the policies get canceled and the real world costs hit this it becomes serious for the hat size IQ voter. I am now reading this may be the end of employer policies. No kidding.

Read I want the free stuff crowd poll here.

CW20 on May 20, 2014 at 5:49 PM

Of course they would do a better job on yet another failed program. The VA scandal – i.e., REAL GUBMINT HERF-CARE will sink the Dems in 2014 and 2016 if it is not repealed entirely.

Caught a blip on the newz… Obama’s Transportation Suxaterry wants another $300B to build roads and bridges..

WTF happened to the Obama Trillion Dollah Stimulus? Where did the money go?

Obama’s Term.. It’s shovel ready.

Key West Reader on May 20, 2014 at 5:55 PM

KCB on May 20, 2014 at 5:36 PM

Don’t forget your deductible and co-pays?

When you add those in….the scenario gets even worse. The part that is really sticking in my craw is that you need to meet your higher deductible before the “insurance” kicks in.

A lot of people today don’t have $3K, $4K or $5K just sitting around in an account any more.

CoffeeLover on May 20, 2014 at 5:57 PM

I’m trying to figure out what the heII this means. If someone asks me who can do a better job crapping on my lawn, I might point to group A but that doesn’t mean I want them to do it.

dorkintheroad on May 20, 2014 at 5:42 PM

Thread winner

Key West Reader on May 20, 2014 at 5:57 PM

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_DRONE_KILLING_MEMO_?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2014-05-20-17-36-08OT. They want to kill Amerrricans with drones again. Might be why Rand is fillibustering tomorrow.

KCB on May 20, 2014 at 5:58 PM

Golly geeee….let’s post a leftist poll on Hot Air because…..?

You contributors are some hard hitters aren’t you?

Bleed_thelizard on May 20, 2014 at 5:59 PM

Key West Reader on May 20, 2014 at 5:55 PM

Yup just TOSS more $$$ at it! And the media doesn’t even bother to ask where all those shovel ready jobs O promoted and then laughed at when he found out (probably from the media) weren’t there.

CoffeeLover on May 20, 2014 at 5:59 PM

A lot of people today don’t have $3K, $4K or $5K just sitting around in an account any more.

CoffeeLover on May 20, 2014 at 5:57 PM

Exactly.

KCB on May 20, 2014 at 6:00 PM

KCB on May 20, 2014 at 5:58 PM

Read it is over Barron’s nomination.

CoffeeLover on May 20, 2014 at 6:01 PM

OT- Break out the pouty-faced selfies holding a hashtag. Nigeria just had a couple of bombs of off with over one hundred killed. They suspect it was that group that Killary didn’t think were terrorists.

Happy Nomad on May 20, 2014 at 6:03 PM

I’m trying to figure out what the heII this means. If someone asks me who can do a better job crapping on my lawn, I might point to group A but that doesn’t mean I want them to do it.

dorkintheroad on May 20, 2014 at 5:42 PM

But that’s push polling.

Would your answer change if you found out that you were expected to pay a lot of money for their service, even if your lawn doesn’t need the fertilizer?

Happy Nomad on May 20, 2014 at 6:05 PM

If a linear regression were drawn between the points on the graph of “issue importance” vs. Democrat advantage, the slope is decidedly downward. The more important the issue, the bigger the Republican advantage. It’s the economy, stupid!

Oh, BTW, if Gallup had asked about “Obamacare” instead of the “Affordable Care Act”, the Republicans would lead. The only people who call it the “Affordable Care Act” anymore are Democrats and the MSM, and I repeat myself.

Steve Z on May 20, 2014 at 6:11 PM

I’m trying to figure out what the heII this means. If someone asks me who can do a better job crapping on my lawn, I might point to group A but that doesn’t mean I want them to do it.

dorkintheroad on May 20, 2014 at 5:42 PM

Call in the Dog Eater, and you’ll have less crap on your lawn.

Steve Z on May 20, 2014 at 6:13 PM

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_DRONE_KILLING_MEMO_?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2014-05-20-17-36-08OT. They want to kill Amerrricans with drones again. Might be why Rand is fillibustering tomorrow.

KCB on May 20, 2014 at 5:58 PM

Will they vaporize our veterans and active duty Special Op’s and SEALS overseas? Obama’s War on our Military

Key West Reader on May 20, 2014 at 6:14 PM

But I do think it helps explain why Boehner’s suddenly decided that a Benghazi committee is a good summer project…

It’s going to take the entire summer for the Select Committee members and staff to do the under-the-radar work– the off-camera depositions, informal witness interviews and statements, covering not only what happened, but how in hell did the situation for it to happen come about in the first place– before the carefully-prepared questions are posed to witnesses on-camera.

Boehner and everyone else knows that the tv fireworks, if any, won’t begin until the fall. About the time that Employer Mandate-driven increases in heath care insurance premiums and deductibles begin for even more Americans than last winter. Could be a GOP windfall fall.

With these minefields being laid, and as much as he might like to, it’s hard to imagine Boehner stepping all over himself with amnesty this summer or fall.

Okay, it isn’t hard to imagine, but…

Well, okay, he could.

… yeh… probably will…

sigh

de rigueur on May 20, 2014 at 6:14 PM

Yup just TOSS more $$$ at it! And the media doesn’t even bother to ask where all those shovel ready jobs O promoted and then laughed at when he found out (probably from the media) weren’t there.

CoffeeLover on May 20, 2014 at 5:59 PM

LOL.. I still have a spreadsheet from 2009 that documents where the “stimulus” was supposed to go. It sickens me to look at it LOL.

The “Delta Smelt” “Turtle Crossings”

Key West Reader on May 20, 2014 at 6:16 PM

Useful read at Pew:

Question Wording

novaculus on May 20, 2014 at 6:20 PM

I’m sure nobody could run Auschwitz anywhere near as efficiently as the Nazis.

/yeahIwentthere

CurtZHP on May 20, 2014 at 6:23 PM

Would your answer change if you found out that you were expected to pay a lot of money for their service, even if your lawn doesn’t need the fertilizer?

Happy Nomad on May 20, 2014 at 6:05 PM

Since my lawn is dying anyway, I’d rather repeal and replace with field turf. Inexpensive, easy to manage, lots of variety, and if I like it I can keep it…forever.

dorkintheroad on May 20, 2014 at 6:27 PM

What does that question even mean?

I think the Democrats would do a better job “on the Affordable Care Act,” too. It’s their law.

Also, signing up 8 or 10 million of whom three quarters already had insurance is not an accomplishment. That’s why the only Democrats trumpeting it are sitting in safe seats or not in office at all.

What happens over the next few years when Obama stops blocking his own law, and the site is signing up 30, 50, 80 million people? Is that going to be considered a revolutionary triumph for American when 50 million of those people had health insurance already? Are Democrats running in competitive elections going to be bragging about it? Are Republicans going to stop making hay from it?

HitNRun on May 20, 2014 at 6:28 PM

Step away from the polls, AP,

Using the broader term “health care” might also have affected the numbers, as Conn suggests, simply because that term doesn’t assume that the ACA will remain in place the way a question that refers specifically to the ACA tacitly does.

No, that’s not why it matters at all. Not many people have a clue on what the “Affordable Care Act” is or what it’s about. Most respondents, quite likely, heard the phrase for the first time when Gallup asked the question. Two thirds of the populace can’t name even one Supreme Court justice. Who would be against “affordable care”? It must be a good thing, it’s care and it’s affordable. On the other hand, “Obamacare” is almost universally known and reviled by the overwhelming majority of Americans.

whatcat on May 20, 2014 at 6:28 PM

Well, see, most people haven’t even really had anything happen to them yet, via the ACA. Mostly self-employed people who don’t count with ANYONE.

But it’s coming.

Tard on May 20, 2014 at 6:33 PM

Might as well poll who would manage the Death Panels better? The poll is absurd. No one wants but if you had it who would manage it better?

lilium479 on May 20, 2014 at 6:38 PM

Idiotic poll, with idiotic results. Perhaps Gallup should as the same questions again this fall when another part of ObamaCare starts throwing people off their insurance policies.

GarandFan on May 20, 2014 at 7:11 PM

Employer mandate is coming. I just got hit with 25% increase for worse insurance. Our open season ended last week, and my employer laid the blame squarely on the Affordable Care Act. Made no bones about it. Paying a little over $400 per month for a bronze type plan.

KCB on May 20, 2014 at 5:33 PM

Yep, the employer mandate will be hitting businesses and their employees right through the election in November. All Barry did was postpone the deadline, not employers’ negotiations with insurance companies. Should be good for one or two horror stories a week.

slickwillie2001 on May 20, 2014 at 7:31 PM

One poll does make the midterms. Please stop pronouncing issues over when one poll shows something that no others are showing.

crazywater on May 20, 2014 at 8:16 PM

I don’t really care what anyone wants – I don’t believe that other people have the right to vote my heathcare choices away from me!

LilyBart on May 20, 2014 at 8:27 PM

ObamaCare seemingly isn’t the liability it once was.

…more people are dying from one side…than the other?

KOOLAID2 on May 20, 2014 at 9:15 PM

A lot of people are stupid, and push-polls are bullshit.

S. D. on May 20, 2014 at 11:19 PM

Gallup: Democrats lead by eight when voters are asked which party would do a better job on the Affordable Care Act

The Democrats passed O-care by hook and crook, without a single GOP vote. It opened as a disaster -as predicted- and has gone downhill since then. So the Dems own this turd. Completely. Yet voters think the Democrats would do a better job on it than the GOP. Should this poll be accurate, you might as well turn out the lights because the end is upon us. There’s no way a society can survive with a majority of citizens possessed of such surpassing ignorance and stupidity.

Physics Geek on May 21, 2014 at 12:35 AM

Well, yeah, they passed it unilaterally and the most prominent butthead of their party is in charge of institutingmaking up the law as they go, on a day to day basis, by whatever strikes their fancy. It’s the Dems’ shiny toy. They’ve got the keys. They’re in the driver’s seat. They’re fixing W’s and the Repubs’ mess. The Repubs are shut up in the back seat, twiddling their thumbs.

Gymistokles on May 21, 2014 at 5:23 AM

Wait until workers find themselves dumped on the Obamacare exchanges after their employers dump their insurance programs.

Let’s see how popular Obamacare is then.

The poll results after that will be a turd for Democrats and MSM-types no amount of questionable phrasing or favorable samples can polish.

DRayRaven on May 21, 2014 at 5:41 AM

GOP should stay away from doing anything on ObamaCare. The left totally shut them out from the start, why should the republicans bail them out? The only way they should offer to help is by repeal.

watertown on May 21, 2014 at 7:16 AM

NO ONE can do a ‘better’ job with the ACA because it is a non-representative, UN-Constitutional, UN-Lawful, economy-destroying, American citizen-victimizing, Socialist piece of Shi’ite!

easyt65 on May 21, 2014 at 7:59 AM

BS

neyney on May 21, 2014 at 10:44 AM

Gee ! Does anyone know what health-insurance policy the President and his family are on ? They are covered by a “PRIVATE !” Blue-Cross and Blue-Shield “Cadillac-Plan !” This is one of the best health-care plans on the planet earth !(Take note; they are NOT members of the “Obamacare-plan,”…after all, they would not want to be associated with a bunch of loser’s, us, the down-trodden, “The Great Unwashed !”)

Bugdust172 on May 21, 2014 at 11:41 AM

Gallup: Democrats lead by eight when voters are asked which party would do a better job on the Affordable Care Act

Riiiiiiiight. The same majority that hates this law also thinks the b@st@rds who foisted it upon us are the best folks to fix it?

olesparkie on May 21, 2014 at 1:12 PM