WSJ: Get ready for some state legislatures to flip for the GOP, too

posted at 1:21 pm on May 5, 2014 by Erika Johnsen

Not to get too hasty here, but speaking of election-year indicators that currently bode somewhat ill for Democrats, U.S. Senate seats aren’t the only potential game-changing gains that Republicans have in their sights this November. A handful of chambers on the state-legislature level could be ready to move significantly rightward as well, and while nobody is trying to predict that it’s going to be a 2010-level blowout or anything yet, there are some distinct possibilities for adding on to the 26 states in which the GOP already has legislative control, via the WSJ:

Control of five state Senates would swing to the GOP with a gain of no more than three seats, and the party is targeting four additional state legislative chambers, believing the political environment favors Republicans this year. …

“Republicans are at something of a high-water mark,” said Tim Storey, who tracks elections at the nonpartisan National Conference of State Legislatures. “However, there are still a number of states where Republicans could flip chambers and come out even stronger than they came in.”

In Colorado, where Republicans are one seat away from control of the Senate, proposed limits on hydraulic fracturing could be curtailed. In the Nevada Senate, a Republican gain of one seat to take a majority could thwart the repeal of a constitutional ban on same-sex marriage. And if Republicans gain two seats to win control of the Iowa Senate, they are expected to push income- and corporate-tax cuts. …

Oregon, where the GOP needs two seats to gain a Senate majority, and Maine, where it needs three, are also high on the party’s target list. The more remote prospects on the party’s radar include the New Hampshire House, which has seen control flip three times in the past four elections; the Kentucky House; and both chambers in West Virginia, a state where President Barack Obama‘s low approval ratings have created a particularly large burden for his party.

Democrats, for their part, look like they may be able to wrest state-level control from the GOP in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire:

cat

The Democrats will be working diligently to boost their turnout on election day, but a lot of these races do look like they’re Republicans’ to lose; in West Virginia, for instance, strong anti-Obama sentiment and the state’s reddening tendencies are setting up the legislature for a possible GOP takeover, and in Colorado, the grassroots-driven recall of two state senators over their pro-gun control package votes is still pretty fresh in voters’ minds.


Related Posts:

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Two words: Constitutional Convention.

For more words: Raise the voting age.

K. Hobbit on May 5, 2014 at 1:31 PM

Article V CoS here we come! If the state GOP made restraining the federal government an issue they could win big.

Charlemagne on May 5, 2014 at 1:33 PM

And then we keep hearing from the knuckleheads on TV that the Republican party is about to go extinct… Do they even bother to read the news?

ojfltx on May 5, 2014 at 1:37 PM

For more words: Raise the voting age.

K. Hobbit on May 5, 2014 at 1:31 PM

You’ll have revolts on every campus – and unlike in 1968, many of the people who will be revolting could have been swayed. The idea of being reamed raw by the hippie generation gradually begins to seep into the collective head of the millenials. What the conservatives should be clamoring for is abolishing public education, including colleges.

Rix on May 5, 2014 at 1:37 PM

Democrats, for their part, look like they may be able to wrest state-level control from the GOP in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire:

Smart move Wisconsinites. Experience marked improvement and decide it’s smart to turn left.

BuckeyeSam on May 5, 2014 at 1:39 PM

The most significant is Wisconsin. If Walker can’t hold his legislative majority even while winning re-election himself, it will hurt his resume for a 2016 run. IMO.

Toocon on May 5, 2014 at 1:40 PM

Two words: Constitutional Convention.

For more words: Raise the voting age.

K. Hobbit on May 5, 2014 at 1:31 PM

Not necessary Hobbit. Young millenials are already more Republican.

Younger millennials strikingly more Republican than their millennial elders

ojfltx on May 5, 2014 at 1:40 PM

Article V CoS here we come! If the state GOP made restraining the federal government an issue they could win big.

Charlemagne on May 5, 2014 at 1:33 PM

I don’t trust the GOP with running a CoS anymore than I do the Democrats.

Occams Stubble on May 5, 2014 at 1:43 PM

One wonders if this would be news if it were the democrats looking to make gains.

ojfltx on May 5, 2014 at 1:40 PM

The University of Hard Knocks wins every time.

WryTrvllr on May 5, 2014 at 1:46 PM

as mentioned above, the reason this is important is it makes an Article V convention much more likely, particularly for a Balanced Budget Amendment

commodore on May 5, 2014 at 1:49 PM

Heartening interpretation for Democrats: These young millennials have yet to be influenced by the Left-leaning atmosphere on campuses and in unemployment lines. They’re still reflecting the views of their parents, a disproportionate number of whom because of higher birth rates may be evangelical Christians. When that wears off they’ll find Republicans more repugnant, as older millennials do.

Repugnant!!! And Proud of it. Time to go shower.

WryTrvllr on May 5, 2014 at 1:49 PM

Momentarily I thought the picture was of the Illinois capital building. Then I realized it wasn’t and came crashing back to reality.

Hendo on May 5, 2014 at 1:51 PM

Democrats already have state-level control in New Hampshire where they control the house and governorship. It would not surprise me if the morons in this state go all out dem. Even if the repubs have huge wins, it won’t change much. They won’t roll back regulation because that would lessen their power. This country is toast, it is just so big it will take a while to completely fall apart, but it has a good start.

Belize is beginning to look much better than this fascist police state.

earlgrey on May 5, 2014 at 1:52 PM

If Republicans can win a few more state legislatures, it might be time for Republican candidates in Federal elections to push for more States’ rights and less Federal control over government.

Steve Z on May 5, 2014 at 2:04 PM

Remember 70-80% of govt employees vote democrat. Why? Risk averse and no accountability.

IF Rs gain control of states, they will have to do what Govs. Jindal and Walker did: Take on the unions, cut budgets and hold firm, no matter what.

Either Rs stand up and fight or it won’t matter b/c the Dems will turn on the RINOs.

MN J on May 5, 2014 at 2:07 PM

The only hope now is to solidify GOP control in the states, and
Nullify, Nullify, Nullify all unconstitutional federal legislation.
Of course Holder’s DOJ will challenge the decisions, but there’s only
so much they can do. Also, offense is the best defense.
Tie up Holder’s thugs in court, while moving the line locally and statewise.
Federal is now purely defense.

flawedskull on May 5, 2014 at 2:09 PM

Article V. Article V. Article V.

cdog0613 on May 5, 2014 at 2:18 PM

The problem with Republicans is their lack of vision. They talk a big game but when it gets right down to it, they change nothing. At least the Democrats are bold enough to try and change things. I admit, that not everything they do works out, but at least they try.
Now if Republicans could catch a vision of a good governance, then they might be able to win and keep ahold of the states they target (like Wisconsin). But as govenor Walker may soon find out, one time political fight does not gaurentee a free ride. He may win, but you can be damm sure the Democrats are going to go after change if they retake the state. Had the Republicans been bold and continued to further the fight (like make the police and fire fighter unions pay), or privatize several state functions, tell the feds to pound sand (like they did at the park) about state education and O-care, then walker might be on the easy train. Seems his easy ride will be done.
Overall, I dislike both parties, but the Democrats seem to know how to fight and win. Principles be dammed, the GOP need to learn to not only win, but obliterate the competition. Until such time, I like be with the winners!

libbyscooter on May 5, 2014 at 2:35 PM

WSJ: Get ready for some state legislatures to flip for the GOP, too

…the rest of the MSM are going to be pissed…when they read about that!

KOOLAID2 on May 5, 2014 at 2:44 PM

Seems his easy ride will be done.

His “ride” has been anything but easy.

Overall, I dislike both parties, but the Democrats seem to know how to fight and win. Principles be dammed, the GOP need to learn to not only win, but obliterate the competition. Until such time, I like be with the winners!

Good to know you are principled.

Missy on May 5, 2014 at 3:06 PM

Wisconsin? Yeah, I guess that makes sense. The people in that state won’t lose anything if the Dems re-take control. Only the new budget surplus they enjoy. And the new lower property taxes. And a growing economy. And more teachers being hired in local schools.

Yeah, let’s end all that. Time for the Madison thugs to swing into action!

forheremenaremen on May 5, 2014 at 3:10 PM

Remember 70-80% of govt employees vote democrat. Why? Risk averse and no accountability.
IF Rs gain control of states, they will have to do what Govs. Jindal and Walker did: Take on the unions, cut budgets and hold firm, no matter what.

MN J on May 5, 2014 at 2:07 PM

Bingo. Northern Virginia – the once great heart of the East – is now a shithole of Democrap making. A fake economy built on stolen tax money and Big Government. If they vote for conservatives, they cause a shrinking of DC, a sell off of real estate, a local recession where they can’t sell their homes. They vote Lib out of self-interest.

Jaibones on May 5, 2014 at 3:36 PM

Wisconsin isn’t flipping – I live in dale Shultz district – he’s retiring – the dems might maybe possibly pick this district up… They need another – where? I’d like to know the other vulnabrale districts…

Green_Bay_Packers on May 5, 2014 at 3:50 PM

If they were competent they could pick up the 1 or 2 seats they need for the NY Senate, and solidify control. Right now some rogue dems are caucusing with the Republicans to give effective control.

Iblis on May 5, 2014 at 4:18 PM

Remember 70-80% of govt employees vote democrat. Why? Risk averse and no accountability.
IF Rs gain control of states, they will have to do what Govs. Jindal and Walker did: Take on the unions, cut budgets and hold firm, no matter what.

MN J on May 5, 2014 at 2:07 PM

Yeah, but I think that the anti-PEU traction is wearing thin. It’s not just the public employees, but their families, friends, and acquaintances. So you can’t just write off Y number of public employee/voters as inconsequential-you have to multiply Y by X.

I think the GOP may be inadvertently perpetuating the idea that public employees should work for next to nothing. Many may agree, but when it comes to their services, etc. being cut, they won’t like it. And what if they do get elected and things don’t get better, or even worse? Somehow I think that would be something most Dems can survive, but not Republicans.

Either way, there are simply many luxuries that we can no longer afford, and that’s the bottom line. Now, should a greater economic disaster occur, and the GOP has made gains in Congress and the various states, who do you think will suffer the bigger backlash?

Republican legislators will either have to be austerity mongers (I don’t think they have the stomach for that) or increase Socialism as a means of relief. If they don’t, they will be branded by most as uncaring and cruel-natured.

See the results of Herbert Hoover’s 1932 presidential campaign.

Be that as it may, we can no longer assume that the policies of modern Republicans are going to be diametrically opposed to those of the Socialist Democratic Party. Oh, they might (like Walker) take calculated risks, but all in all they will sing the Internationale if it means re-election.

Bingo. Northern Virginia – the once great heart of the East – is now a shithole of Democrap making. A fake economy built on stolen tax money and Big Government. If they vote for conservatives, they cause a shrinking of DC, a sell off of real estate, a local recession where they can’t sell their homes. They vote Lib out of self-interest.

Jaibones on May 5, 2014 at 3:36 PM

I agree with your northern Virginia assessment, the first part that is. As to the second part, about shrinking, I don’t think this lot will do that…they’ll just grow government, but at a snail’s pace compared to what the Dems do.

Dr. ZhivBlago on May 5, 2014 at 5:01 PM

If we get to 38, we’ll own the Constitutional Convention.

Then we’ll just have to time it right to get the Convention started, done, and those 38 states to vote on it within a two year period.

Dusty on May 5, 2014 at 5:59 PM

When that wears off they’ll find Republicans more repugnant, as older millennials do.

This phase lasts until the cellphone gets turned off for non-payment.

Repugnant parents: “No job, no phone”

BobMbx on May 5, 2014 at 6:22 PM

If we get to 38, we’ll own the Constitutional Convention.

Then we’ll just have to time it right to get the Convention started, done, and those 38 states to vote on it within a two year period.

Dusty on May 5, 2014 at 5:59 PM

We don’t want a Constitutional Convention. What we want is a Convention of the States to amend the Constitution.

Article the V:

The Congress, whenever two thirds of both houses shall deem it necessary, shall propose amendments to this Constitution, or, on the application of the legislatures of two thirds of the several states, shall call a convention for proposing amendments, which, in either case, shall be valid to all intents and purposes, as part of this Constitution,….

A Constitutional Convention would be a complete re-write….a new Constitution.

BobMbx on May 5, 2014 at 6:28 PM

This phase lasts until the cellphone gets turned off for non-payment.

Repugnant parents: “No job, no phone”

BobMbx on May 5, 2014 at 6:22 PM

You mean, we’re allowed to do that???? whoa.

WryTrvllr on May 5, 2014 at 6:47 PM

The Dems think they might take back the Wisconsin Senate? Seriously?

Gawd, that is rich. They already blew their life savings trying to recall Walker and he won by a larger margin than when was first elected.

What are they gonna do now, rob banks?

Meanwhile, Walker’s programs are working and everyone knows it. The Dems will be lucky to hold their current levels in the legislature — damn lucky.

Pythagoras on May 5, 2014 at 9:12 PM