NBC/WSJ poll puts Obama approval at 44%

posted at 8:01 am on April 30, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

Yesterday’s Washington Post/ABC News poll put Barack Obama at his recent nadir on approval ratings. The White House gets better news from today’s NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, but as its pollster says, there is a difference between better and good. Obama’s approval rebounded slightly to 44% and his personal favorability has gone back to slightly positive, but the midterms still look bad for Democrats nonetheless:

But in spite of slight improvements from March, the poll still represent difficult terrain for Obama and the Democratic Party with six months to go until November’s midterm elections.

Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducted the survey with Democratic pollster Peter Hart, says the results highlight the difference between “better” and “good” for Democrats.

“These are very, very difficult numbers,” McInturff explains.

Hart borrows a baseball analogy to make a similar point: “It’s like the difference between from being five runs down, to one or two.”

Some highlights from the poll:

  • Obama’s job approval rating now stands at 44 percent, a three-point increase from last month, though that movement falls within the poll’s margin of error.
  • For the first time since early October – before the federal health care website’s disastrous launch became a months-long national story – the president’s personal favorable/unfavorable is right-side up, at 44 percent positive and 41 percent negative.
  • And 36 percent see the health care law as a good idea, versus 46 percent who view it as a bad idea – an uptick from 35 percent and 49 percent respectively back in March.

NBC might put a nice spin on this poll, but it’s not good news, and it’s really not that much better news either. First, the improvements aren’t really all that significant. Even on job approval, Obama’s still 44/50, which is underwater outside of the MOE. Neither of the numbers has moved outside the MOE since early October, when Obama was at 47/48. His approval numbers since have ranged from 41-44, and disapproval from 50-54. This change is statistical noise, especially given the very clear triggering event in the ObamaCare launch.

The same is true of his personal favorability. It’s 44/41 now, but it was 41/44 in March, 42/44 in January, 42/46 in December, and 41/45 in late October. At the start of ObamaCare, it was 47/41. Again, today’s result is basically statistical noise.

By the way, this poll was taken between April 23-27, well after Obama declared that “the debate is over” on ObamaCare and took his victory lap over the supposed eight million enrollments. That didn’t get even so much as a blip in this poll series. That should be an indication that Obama’s not moving the needle any longer. In fact, the NBC/WSJ poll asked whether respondents feel more or less confident in ObamaCare based on what they’ve heard over “the last few weeks,” and the results are … less than encouraging for Democrats. Eleven percent feel more confident, while 28% feel less confident, and 58% haven’t changed their opinion at all.

We will hear plenty today about a rebound in polling for Obama, but this is actually bad news for the White House, and especially for incumbent Democrats foolish enough to take Obama’s advice and run on ObamaCare.

Update: One last point about the sample — only 34% of respondents voted for Mitt Romney in 2012, while 43% voted for Obama. That’s low for both, but Obama only won that election by half that gap — and I think the turnout model won’t be as friendly as 2012 was to Democrats this November, either.


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An NBC poll showing Obama improving from 41% to 44%? What a surprise, coming from NBC!

olesparkie on April 30, 2014 at 8:04 AM

That should be an indication that Obama’s not moving the needle any longer.

I think another indication was that vacation he just took to Asia. What was the point of it? If it was to make the filthy rat-eared wonder look Presidential it was an epic fail. Even the Malaysian monarch had greater stature when compared to the lazy stupid community organizer.

Happy Nomad on April 30, 2014 at 8:06 AM

WOW 3% increase in approval… Best improvement ever in history of Presidential polls… Time for Republicans to commit suicide because all is lost…

mnjg on April 30, 2014 at 8:06 AM

Break out the confetti.

crankyoldlady on April 30, 2014 at 8:07 AM

What was the sample? Yesterday they needed a D+11 to get him to 41%. Was this D+15?

Bitter Clinger on April 30, 2014 at 8:09 AM

and I think the turnout model won’t be as friendly as 2012 was to Democrats this November, either.

I realize that the mid-terms are notoriously low turnout when compared to the Presidential elections but don’t you think the Dems are going use Autumn to whip their base up in a frenzy over abortion (for tha gals), amnesty (for the Hispanics), same sex marriage (for the gays), and freeing criminals (for the potheads)?

Happy Nomad on April 30, 2014 at 8:09 AM

WOW 3% increase in approval… Best improvement ever in history of Presidential polls… Time for Republicans to commit suicide because all is lost…

mnjg on April 30, 2014 at 8:06 AM

Get Boehner on the phone! We need to pass amnesty now!!!!

Happy Nomad on April 30, 2014 at 8:11 AM

President Job Killer
President Downgrade
President Wet Noodle
President Say one thing and do another
President Your point of view is not valid
President Crony
President “fundamentally change America”

Privatize It on April 30, 2014 at 8:11 AM

Well, we should see him campaigning with every candidate now…

right2bright on April 30, 2014 at 8:11 AM

This poll is racist.

TypicalLib on April 30, 2014 at 8:15 AM

Well, we should see him campaigning with every candidate now…

right2bright on April 30, 2014 at 8:11 AM

Yep, Obamacare is settled law that will be neutral at worst during the mid-terms. Obama’s foreign policy promises a nuclear-free Iran, peace in Israel, and stability in Eastern Europe. The recovery is going so well that inflation is becoming a real concern and employers are clamoring for workers.

Dems would be foolish not to attach themselves to this administration.

Happy Nomad on April 30, 2014 at 8:15 AM

So we are down to only 56% of the country being RAAAAACIST this week?

ConstantineXI on April 30, 2014 at 8:15 AM

Yep, Obamacare is settled law that will be neutral at worst during the mid-terms. Obama’s foreign policy promises a nuclear-free Iran, peace in Israel, and stability in Eastern Europe. The recovery is going so well that inflation is becoming a real concern and employers are clamoring for workers.

Dems would be foolish not to attach themselves to this administration.

Happy Nomad on April 30, 2014 at 8:15 AM

I could totally see libfree making that exact argument sans the sarcasm.

Bitter Clinger on April 30, 2014 at 8:19 AM

What was the sample? Yesterday they needed a D+11 to get him to 41%. Was this D+15?

Bitter Clinger on April 30, 2014 at 8:09 AM

Yes, be sure to unskew it. Very good strategy.

Louey on April 30, 2014 at 8:19 AM

Sterling bounce?

*blech*

workingclass artist on April 30, 2014 at 8:21 AM

38… 46… 41… 59… 44… at this point what does it matter?

MT on April 30, 2014 at 8:24 AM

Obama…. he so dreamy!

/barf

Key West Reader on April 30, 2014 at 8:25 AM

Of course, you guys will say you’re just giving up because of the futility of it all, and will never admit to yourselves that its because the negro is no longer in the white house.
 
everdiso on April 30, 2014 at 2:26 AM

rogerb on April 30, 2014 at 8:26 AM

MSM endlessly propping up democrats and pounding on republicans… at this point, what does it matter?

MT on April 30, 2014 at 8:26 AM

I could totally see libfree making that exact argument sans the sarcasm.

Bitter Clinger on April 30, 2014 at 8:19 AM

Well then, I’ll have to up the sarcasm factor! Must-not-be-mistaken-for-libfree!!!!! ;0

Happy Nomad on April 30, 2014 at 8:29 AM

One last point about the sample — only 34% of respondents voted for Mitt Romney in 2012, while 43% voted for Obama. That’s low for both, but Obama only won that election by half that gap — and I think the turnout model won’t be as friendly as 2012 was to Democrats this November, either.

The “last point” is probably the most significant point.
Mr Obama seems to be still at 41%, not 44%.

itsnotaboutme on April 30, 2014 at 8:30 AM

Obama…. he so dreamy!

/barf

Key West Reader on April 30, 2014 at 8:25 AM

If this administration were a television series, it would be about this point Mooch would be announcing she’s pregnant or something. It’s hard to keep an administration relevant heading into the middle of the second term. And it is going to be even harder for the rat-eared wonder since his signature achievement, Obamacare, is an epic fail.

Happy Nomad on April 30, 2014 at 8:32 AM

He gained 5 percentage points among Republicans, to 12 percent approval

Not sure why it took six years, but glad to see some real Republicans finally starting to recognize President Obama’s true greatness. …now we know at least 12% of Republicans aren’t racist trailer park white trash.

Frank Lib on April 30, 2014 at 8:32 AM

So basically the drive-bys have to skew these polls in order to keep Obama in the low 40′s. In other words, he’s widely perceived as unpopular and a failure.

Doughboy on April 30, 2014 at 8:34 AM

Not sure why it took six years, but glad to see some real Republicans finally starting to recognize President Obama’s true greatness. …now we know at least 12% of Republicans aren’t racist trailer park white trash.

Frank Lib on April 30, 2014 at 8:32 AM

You just accused people of being racist by being racist.

Axe on April 30, 2014 at 8:35 AM

Posted this on the other thread…

Worth the read…

“Seven of the ten richest counties in the country voted for Barack Obama in 2012, many of them by huge margins. Six of the ten are in the Washington, D.C., metro area, which has benefited from government employment and payment regulations, from government contracting, and from consulting, lobbying, and lawyering for clients petitioning the government. The median income of Falls Church City, Va., is $121,250 dollars. In 2012, Falls Church City voted for Obama 70 percent to 30 percent.

Democrats represent eight of the ten richest congressional districts in the country. Democrat Carolyn Maloney represents the district with the highest per capita income of $75,479. Outgoing congressman Henry Waxman represents the district with the second-highest per capita income of $61,273. The only two Republicans on the list are Representative Leonard Lance, whose New Jersey district ranks seventh, and outgoing Representative Frank Wolf, whose Virginia district ranks tenth. The average per capita income of Democratic House districts is $1,000 more than Republican ones.

Congressional Democrats have a higher median net worth than congressional Republicans. House Democrats have a higher median net worth ($929,000) than House Republicans ($884,000), while the median net worth of Senate Republicans ($2.9 million) is higher than that of Senate Democrats ($1.7 million). But it is not like the Senate Democrats are hurting financially. They have lost some wealthy members in recent years (Herbert Kohl, John Kerry, Frank Lautenberg). Of the ten richest members of Congress, only three are Republicans…”

“Who runs the world? The liberal elite,” writes Matthew Continetti at National Review Online, in a piece titled, likely with a wink to Emmanuel Goldstein, “Oligarchy in the 21st Century:”

http://pjmedia.com/eddriscoll/2014/04/27/american-oligarchy/

workingclass artist on April 30, 2014 at 8:36 AM

You just accused people of being racist by being racist.

Axe on April 30, 2014 at 8:35 AM

He’s still working on his Bishop impersonation.

Bitter Clinger on April 30, 2014 at 8:39 AM

If this administration were a television series, it would be about this point Mooch would be announcing she’s pregnant or something. It’s hard to keep an administration relevant heading into the middle of the second term. And it is going to be even harder for the rat-eared wonder since his signature achievement, Obamacare, is an epic fail.

Happy Nomad on April 30, 2014 at 8:32 AM

Getting pregnant would be a BETRAYAL of the Womynhood. Barry getting her pregnant would be a betrayal of the Gheyhood.

50 year old women basically cant get pregnant, fortunately.

ConstantineXI on April 30, 2014 at 8:39 AM

Frank Lib on April 30, 2014 at 8:32 AM

Oooh…bigotry, arrogance and a self-inflated sense of superiority all in one package…

How’s your life, downwind from the landfill.

Newtie and the Beauty on April 30, 2014 at 8:40 AM

Well then, I’ll have to up the sarcasm factor! Must-not-be-mistaken-for-libfree!!!!! ;0

Happy Nomad on April 30, 2014 at 8:29 AM

Heh!!

Bitter Clinger on April 30, 2014 at 8:40 AM

So basically the drive-bys have to skew these polls in order to keep Obama in the low 40′s. In other words, he’s widely perceived as unpopular and a failure.

Doughboy on April 30, 2014 at 8:34 AM

No, he IS unpopular and a failure. The media has become the administration’s chief propagandists because they don’t want the narrative to be that the nations first non-white President is a worthless unfit leader, husband, father, and human being. A filthy (as in corrupt) lazy stupid bastard who has done fundamental harm to this nation.

In short, the narrative was written back in 2008 and the media is doing everything to hide the real record of Obama behind the veneer of a Potemkin facade.

Happy Nomad on April 30, 2014 at 8:41 AM

He gained 5 percentage points among Republicans, to 12 percent approval

Not sure why it took six years, but glad to see some real Republicans finally starting to recognize President Obama’s true greatness. …now we know at least 12% of Republicans aren’t racist trailer park white trash.

Frank Lib on April 30, 2014 at 8:32 AM

Yup, Snoop Dog straightened me out. I’m no longer one of those
nasty racist R’s

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BQlsSk7sCRM

ToddPA on April 30, 2014 at 8:41 AM

Getting pregnant would be a BETRAYAL of the Womynhood. Barry getting her pregnant would be a betrayal of the Gheyhood.

50 year old women basically cant get pregnant, fortunately.

ConstantineXI on April 30, 2014 at 8:39 AM

Well then, another puppy then!

Happy Nomad on April 30, 2014 at 8:42 AM

Getting pregnant would be a BETRAYAL of the Womynhood. Barry getting her pregnant would be a betrayal of the Gheyhood.

50 year old women basically cant get pregnant, fortunately.

ConstantineXI on April 30, 2014 at 8:39 AM

Actually, the best way for Moochelle to support the Womynhood would be to get pregnant and then have a 3rd trimester abortion. Oh, and have it be botched and let the baby die in a closet just for good measure.

Bitter Clinger on April 30, 2014 at 8:43 AM

Oooh…bigotry, arrogance and a self-inflated sense of superiority all in one package…

How’s your life, downwind from the landfill.

Newtie and the Beauty on April 30, 2014 at 8:40 AM

newtie, ease up…..you’re being “played”

ToddPA on April 30, 2014 at 8:44 AM

Oooh…bigotry, arrogance and a self-inflated sense of superiority all in one package…

How’s your life, downwind from the landfill.

Newtie and the Beauty on April 30, 2014 at 8:40 AM

Everything “Frank Lib” writes is sarcasm… He is just making fun of the extreme stupidity of the liberal mind…

mnjg on April 30, 2014 at 8:45 AM

ToddPA on April 30, 2014 at 8:44 AM

Is there an “Edit” button?

Newtie and the Beauty on April 30, 2014 at 8:49 AM

mnjg on April 30, 2014 at 8:45 AM

I really need a new thermometer to check the water temperature before I jump in–my big toe isn’t cutting it any more :(

Thank you (and Todd) for the heads-up. I’m going to go lurk in the corner now… [fans Burning Red Face...]

Newtie and the Beauty on April 30, 2014 at 8:51 AM

Actually, the best way for Moochelle to support the Womynhood would be to get pregnant and then have a 3rd trimester abortion. Oh, and have it be botched and let the baby die in a closet just for good measure.

Bitter Clinger on April 30, 2014 at 8:43 AM

And, for good effect, have it performed live on The View!

Happy Nomad on April 30, 2014 at 8:52 AM

He’s still working on his Bishop impersonation.

Bitter Clinger on April 30, 2014 at 8:39 AM

Ah. :)

Carry on.

Axe on April 30, 2014 at 8:53 AM

38… 46… 41… 59… 44… at this point what does it matter?

MT on April 30, 2014 at 8:24 AM

Precisely… “boys, all we need is a good, homegrown crisis, something the people can relate to, say, late August, early September? Start working on that”.

leftamark on April 30, 2014 at 8:54 AM

Frank Lib on April 30, 2014 at 8:32 AM

I shall refrain from jumping the gun until I get a better lay of the land.

Newtie and the Beauty on April 30, 2014 at 8:54 AM

If this administration were a television series, it would be about this point Mooch would be announcing she’s pregnant or something.

Happy Nomad on April 30, 2014 at 8:32 AM

Not by him. I’m a bad person.

crankyoldlady on April 30, 2014 at 9:07 AM

Frank Lib on April 30, 2014 at 8:32 AM

What are you going to do when Obama is out of office and you no longer have that race card?

You racists liberals who see nothing but color, you dems who created and supported the KKK for all of these years, knowing that your only hope is to keep the races divided, are beginning to see you have lost, and are losing.

LBJ’s admonition to his fellow democrats of “Pass this bill and the ni…ers will vote for us for generations” has come true.

At a huge cost, just how the democrats have treated education to the minorities is enough to turn your stomach. Every inner city school district is run my democrats, and have for decades, and every one a failure, a disaster to the minorities.

But keeping “them” uneducated is the liberals goal, the democratic goal, keep them uneducated, and keep them out of a job…

The racists mindset the democrats is mind boggling…toss the “boss man” a few good jobs, keep a few on the “porch”, and let the other suffer.

right2bright on April 30, 2014 at 9:10 AM

The fact that WSJ willingly partners up with BigPink to do these polls should help to illustrate, to the learning-challenged, why America keeps taking “friendly fire” from the GOP on immigration amnesty.

The suggestion that we live under a two-party system is laughable, unless the two parties that you’re talking about are political/economic elites versus the rest of America.

bofh on April 30, 2014 at 9:10 AM

Thank you (and Todd) for the heads-up. I’m going to go lurk in the corner now… [fans Burning Red Face...]

Newtie and the Beauty on April 30, 2014 at 8:51 AM

Relax. :)

Axe on April 30, 2014 at 9:11 AM

I shall refrain from jumping the gun until I get a better lay of the land.

Newtie and the Beauty on April 30, 2014 at 8:54 AM

Plenty of others have been punked at some point.

Now you’ve been baptized. :-)

lynncgb on April 30, 2014 at 9:16 AM

You news idiots are advancing dubious conclusions, well within the error of the poll and the biases of the pollsters. When willthe eastern libruls learn that they are the only idiots in town, not us.

Old Country Boy on April 30, 2014 at 9:22 AM

I am amazed at how these lib pollsters lie. They have a gap of 9% between Romney and obama. That’s ridiculous. If you give dems a +5 going into this election ( which is generous to dems) then obama is around 39-40%. Honesty doesn’t exist with many of these pollsters.

Ta111 on April 30, 2014 at 9:41 AM

What is the sample size? D+40?

neyney on April 30, 2014 at 9:44 AM

He gained 5 percentage points among Republicans, to 12 percent approval

Not sure why it took six years, but glad to see some real Republicans finally starting to recognize President Obama’s true greatness. …now we know at least 12% of Republicans aren’t racist trailer park white trash.

Walter on April 30, 2014 at 8:32 AM

Going for the limit again, I see!

A+

Del Dolemonte on April 30, 2014 at 9:46 AM

Obama’s approval rebounded slightly to 44%

Just goes to show what happens when you poll ‘the right people’.

GarandFan on April 30, 2014 at 10:02 AM

In another poll, Obama’s approval rating is 74%.

The question was worded, “In all who do you approve of more? Barack Obama, Satan, Don’t know”. The results were 74/21/5 with a D+9 sample.

Nethicus on April 30, 2014 at 10:51 AM

NBC poll, seriously? I mean seriously? Send in the clowns!

apeks on April 30, 2014 at 11:01 AM

One last point about the sample — only 34% of respondents voted for Mitt Romney in 2012, while 43% voted for Obama. That’s low for both, but Obama only won that election by half that gap

No. He won that election by a third of that margin…

JohnGalt23 on April 30, 2014 at 11:16 AM

I am amazed at how these lib pollsters lie. They have a gap of 9% between Romney and obama. That’s ridiculous. If you give dems a +5 going into this election ( which is generous to dems) then obama is around 39-40%. Honesty doesn’t exist with many of these pollsters.

Ta111 on April 30, 2014 at 9:41 AM

Don’t blame the pollsters. Those were what the people sampled reported. It suggests that some of those people have bad memories, said they voted for Obama when they didn’t, or just lied.

jim56 on April 30, 2014 at 11:44 AM

Ridiculous to think that with

.1 1st Q growth
no jobs, lowest workforce participation rate in decades
$4 gas
abysmal foreign policy including Kerry saying Israel is an apartheid nation, instead of truthfully stating that it’s the Palestinians that are isolationists
lies by Hillary, Carney, Rhodes, et al, proven about Benghazi talking points
Lois Lerner and the IRS fiasco/stonewalling
Eric Holder and all his racist rhetoric and stonewalling

…and on and on and on, that he/this administration would supposedly have a 44% approval? Give me a break.

DebraChicago on April 30, 2014 at 11:45 AM

I’m sure NBC and the rest of the slobbering lapdogs will squeal like piggies that Obama’s “approval” ratings are up to 60-70% as we get closer to the NOV elections.

And the bobblehead sheep will bleet their approval. *eye roll

DebraChicago on April 30, 2014 at 11:47 AM

…what are they putting…in the water?

KOOLAID2 on April 30, 2014 at 12:00 PM

ROFL jimbo3 on a thread like this?

Murphy9 on April 30, 2014 at 12:11 PM

It’s pretty clear that the approval rating rebound will continue for the forseeable future.

All but one poll in the last couple of weeks has him around 5pts underwater, with only the one outlier poll at 14pts under. This has been steadily shrinking ever since the ocare news started to turnk and the days of all polls hovering in double figure negatives ar long gone.

Pretty clear that the negative ratings peaked in october after the screwed up website launch…and now its a race to november to see if republicans can throw enough crap at the wall to stop the bleeding.

My guess is that 7 months is an eternity in politics, and that his approval rating will be at worst at par come november, as the good obacamare news becomes hardbaked political reality.

everdiso on April 30, 2014 at 12:30 PM

“You’re struggling Andrea [Mitchell]. Struggling.

———– John Sununu

What NBC won’t do for their Kenyan pharaoh?

viking01 on April 30, 2014 at 12:32 PM

Please tell me why I should believe this poll?

Amjean on April 30, 2014 at 12:48 PM

hardbaked

The only thing hardbaked is the contents of your skull.

Murphy9 on April 30, 2014 at 12:55 PM

everdiso on April 30, 2014 at 12:30 PM

Are smoking pot?

avagreen on April 30, 2014 at 1:04 PM

BAAAAARRRRYY,
BAAAARRYYYY BABY,
BAAAAARRYY, YOU SCREWED THE POOCH!!!!

conservative hispanic on April 30, 2014 at 1:04 PM

I wonder how they had to change the demographics and the way the questions were asked, to get this to move up 3 points?

bflat879 on April 30, 2014 at 1:08 PM

The RCP average approval rating peaked at around -16 at the start of december after the website faceplant and weak early enrollment numbers.

But by the end of March when enrollment ended it was around -10.

Now at the end of april it’s already down another couple points to -8.

And every day we see new success stories – insurers finding a good risk pool signed up, that people are making their payments, that virulently anti-ocare citizens are now pleased with their new healthcare, and that republicansnare finding it impossible to find any of these horror stories they promised us – but not for lack of trying.

7 months left, 8 points to make up.

It’ll be close.

everdiso on April 30, 2014 at 1:16 PM

And every day we see new success stories – insurers finding a good risk pool signed up, that people are making their payments, that virulently anti-ocare citizens are now pleased with their new healthcare, and that republicansnare finding it impossible to find any of these horror stories they promised us – but not for lack of trying.

For example?

It’s not unusual for Obama’s numbers to gradually creep up. All he needs is no news, no more examples of his incompetence like the ACA website or Ukraine. As these stories fade in the rearview mirror, the MSM/Liberal propaganda machine continues to whir with new stories of ObamaCare “success” and the non stop demonizing of Republicans, the war on women, evil capitalists etc. Benghazi, IRS brushed under the carpet. Slowly, Barry’s numbers creep up from his rock solid base of 40% to an electable number. This is how he won in 2012. This is the game plan for 2014. All he needs is the absence of news, LSM will do their best to provide, just like with Benghazi in 2012. The real stories of O’care “enrolments” and costs will be suppressed.

However, its not working as well this year. He’s -9% on RCP, remarkably consistent this year. By now in 2012, he was ahead or level. Maybe enough people have finally seen through him? We can only hope. He just needs MSM to suppress the news for him. It’s getting harder. For example, the Rhodes e-mail obtained by judicial watch not by our “media”, puts the Benghazi cover up firmly in the West Wing.

breffnian on April 30, 2014 at 1:39 PM

0.1% growth in Q1??
That’s exactly the kind of news Barry doesn’t need.
Even MSM can’t spin that kind of incompetence, until they blame the sequester and the shut-down that is.
Don’t expect his numbers to improve with news like that
Who knows what else is around the corner?
The chickens are coming home to roost

breffnian on April 30, 2014 at 1:50 PM

However, its not working as well this year. He’s -9% on RCP, remarkably consistent this year. By now in 2012, he was ahead or level.

Untrue.

On RCP was at around -16 to start DEC, around -11 to start 2014, around -10 to start APR, and is at -8 now to start MAY.

That’s a clear trend, not a consistent level.

everdiso on April 30, 2014 at 2:12 PM

And of course that mirrors the trend in Ocare polling.

RCP average ACA approval was around -19 to start december, around -15 to start 2014, around -13 at the end of march, and now -11 at the end of april.

And only 3 of those polls are from within the last two weeks, and those three polls average a -7.

everdiso on April 30, 2014 at 2:17 PM

everdiso on April 30, 2014 at 2:17 PM

Not sure we’re looking at the same graph.
Since January his approval has gone from 42% to 43%
Since the end of January his disapproval has not shifted from close to 52%
I’d look at those trends, not from when he cratered last October.
That trend isn’t linear

Like I said, he just needs the absence of bad news for his numbers to creep up and friendly media to spread his propaganda
Like Mediaite
He has a high base of support, he just needs to win over enough ill-informed swing voters
or slander his opponents enough to make 48-50% as he did in 2012

But he won’t do it this year
That 52% disapproval hasn’t budged all year
A climb in approval of 1% in 4 months won’t cut it
And who knows what bad news is around the corner
like 0.1% growth for January or an e-mail linking Benghazi to the White House
Another year like 2013 would finish him
Around this time last year, Barry was up by 2 points

Re O’Care, I’m a lot more interested in how people react to it
Like the people who lost their insurance, doctors or face higher deductibles and premiums or have less access to healthcare on narrowed networks.
I want to see how many paid who were on the exchanges, their age mix and health status and how many were previously uninsured.
Obama has this information but won’t release it.
Those are the numbers that will affect approval of the law.

Not the fact that an insurance company is profiting off it
I would expect that to be the case in a crony capitalist law like O’Care
Obama will do everything to keep insurers on board including a bail out if necessary.
Everyone benefits but the patients.

breffnian on April 30, 2014 at 2:44 PM

http://hotair.com/archives/2014/04/30/mission-accomplished-u-s-health-care-spending-soars-nearly-10-percent-in-first-quarter-most-since-1980/

I feel so sorry for you Le-a(Ledasha) and all the misfortunate ones who know you.

Murphy9 on April 30, 2014 at 2:44 PM

I wonder how they had to change the demographics and the way the questions were asked, to get this to move up 3 points?

bflat879 on April 30, 2014 at 1:08 PM

Actually they were aiming for a 10-point bump, but too many of the respondents had trouble translating the questions into their own language, whereas others simply could not read the questions at all.

ricoliv on April 30, 2014 at 2:46 PM

What was the sample? Yesterday they needed a D+11 to get him to 41%. Was this D+15?

Bitter Clinger on April 30, 2014 at 8:09 AM

If you also consider the idea that many of the indies in yesterday’s poll are actually democrats you see it’s even worse than D+15.

Zero is at 20%

dogsoldier on April 30, 2014 at 4:56 PM

Everdiso you statist whore. I sure hope you’re getting paid for carrying that water. Keep dreaming.

Do tell us how this WSJ poll based on a lopsided obama loving sample makes sense.

Remember too who the true paternalistic party is- it is YOUR party.

CW on April 30, 2014 at 6:01 PM