Run toward the Obamacare, not away from it! And, do it with this deft, nuanced, sunny pitch from the intellectuallyest of the left
“The prognosis for Democrats isn’t any better: the median estimate is a small seat loss (to 196 seats). The chance of their regaining the House is still very low — about 1%.” (Make sure to read Sides’ full post for an explanation of what factors go into the model and how it produces the results.)
The most likely outcome, according to Sides, is a five-seat gain for Republicans — meaning that they would control somewhere in the neighborhood of 239 seats in the 114th Congress. If Republicans did get to 239 seats, it would be the second most seats they have controlled since the 80th Congress, which spanned from 1947 to 1949. (Republicans controlled 242 seats after the 2010 tidal wave election.)
The danger for Democrats’ in Sides’ model is that donors sometime soon begin to walk away from giving to the House cause to devote all — or most — of their cash to trying to keep control of the Senate.