Obama to faith leaders: I have no plans for an executive amnesty on immigration

posted at 3:21 pm on April 16, 2014 by Allahpundit

Must be hard for O to suppress a laugh when he’s meeting with pro-amnesty social conservatives, knowing how this issue is going to play out at the polls for the social-con agenda in the years ahead. Same with pro-amnesty libertarians, I’d imagine.

Anyway, I think he’s telling the truth here. And not just in a weaselly “I have no plans right now but might have them five minutes from now” kind of way.

President Obama has no plans to enact unilateral immigration overhaul by executive action, faith leaders from across the country said Obama told them today…

Obama had asked the director of Homeland Security to look at ways to reduce the number of people deported for entering the United States without documentation. But White House press secretary Jay Carney says that is different from implementing immigration overhaul on his own…

“While his Administration can take steps to better enforce and administer immigration laws, nothing can replace the certainty of legislative reform and this permanent solution can only be achieved by Congress,” Obama emphasized, according to the statement.

I wrote about this a few weeks ago when Democratic immigration advocates emerged from a meeting with O claiming that he promised to act on deportations within three months if nothing’s passed Congress. He will do that, I think; he’s got to throw them some kind of bone now that they’re calling him the “deporter-in-chief” (which, of course, is a lie). But there’s a huge difference between tweaking deportation policy to spare a few thousand people who’d otherwise be removed and declaring a mass moratorium on removals that would give de facto legal status to the many millions of illegals already here. He won’t do that, for reasons already explained. But if you don’t trust me, trust Mickey Kaus:

It’s not going to happen. Why? 1) It won’t help Democrats that much in the 2014 elections (key Senate races, for example, are mostly not in Latino-heavy states) and might even motivate the GOP base; 2) It would lower the chances of getting some legislative amnesty passed before the end of the current Congressional term. Legislative amnesty’s not dead, and even if it were Obama would probably be reluctant to give up on it. There’s always the lame duck session.

I agree with WaPo‘s Greg Sargent that amnesty backers are increasingly realizing that it may be now or never for legislative action–in part because the “comprehensivist” coalition has begun to splinter, in part because it would be difficult for the GOP establishment to pass an amnesty bill in 2015 or 2016 without sinking the presidential candidacy of what may be their last, best horse in the race, Marco Rubio. But the desperation runs on both sides of the aisle–affecting Democratic amnesty backers (including maybe Sargent) as well as GOP businessmen scared of tight labor markets, GOP strategists whose seemingly only strategy is to “get right” with Latinos, and the GOP House leaders who love both groups.

In particular, it’s hard to believe that, after confidently predicting a legislative win this term, Democrats and ethnic activists are now content to see their dream slip away until at least 2017, when their coalition may have splintered further.

Executive amnesty is the nuclear option, something Obama will resort to only when he’s fully convinced that immigration reform is dead in the House for the rest of his term. It isn’t. Republicans might not agree to the sort of omnibus reform bill lefties want but they’ll agree to something before the next presidential election to woo Latinos, be it a DREAM amnesty or something more. If O goes nuclear now, the upset on the right will be such that (a) Boehner won’t dare touch reform again and (b) Republican turnout in November might be even greater than Democrats fear, producing a total rout. Better for the White House to play it safe for now, do something modest on deportations, and give Boehner another 12-18 months to see if he can make something happen. Once the midterms have passed and Democrats no longer have to worry as much about GOP turnout, then they can play hardball. Frankly, I’ll be shocked if we *don’t* see an Obama executive amnesty either next year or in 2016 in the name of turning out Latinos for the next presidential election. I wonder if Boehner’s worried about that too and planning for a new immigration push first thing next year, to beat O to the punch before he blows up immigration reform with a unilateral measure. What’s the reason for Obama not to do it once the midterms are over?

One nitpick about Kaus’s argument, though: Why would having the GOP pass amnesty next year necessarily be disastrous for Rubio? If Rubio decides this year he’s running, he’ll stay far away from the next immigration reform effort. The Gang of Eight bill that he quarterbacked will be officially dead once this congressional session ends so he won’t be stuck defending that anymore if he doesn’t want to. What I expect, in fact, is that once Obama makes a move this year to reduce deportations, Rubio will seize it as an excuse to throw up his hands and declare that reform is pointless as long as O’s in charge. He’s now come to realize, he’ll say, that the current president simply can’t be trusted to enforce the laws responsibly and therefore reform should be postponed until 2017 at the earliest. (Never mind that in the past Rubio’s used Obama’s unilateralism as a reason for why Congress should hurry up and pass reform right away.) That’ll ease some fears on the right about him, no matter what the House ends up doing.


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I guess that, since we like our borders, we can keep our borders. But why is that bus aiming right at us?

MTF on April 16, 2014 at 3:24 PM

But, if I would, I would.

OT – fyi only

Schadenfreude on April 16, 2014 at 3:24 PM

All amnesty shills are traitors to the land, the children and all legal American workers and immigrants.

Schadenfreude on April 16, 2014 at 3:24 PM

If only those cows in Nevada were illegal aliens…if only…

Schadenfreude on April 16, 2014 at 3:25 PM

If the Rs pass amnesty they can go under, with glee.

It all is upside down already, as is.

Schadenfreude on April 16, 2014 at 3:27 PM

He’s already done an executive amnesty.

Wigglesworth on April 16, 2014 at 3:28 PM

Anyway, I think he’s telling the truth here.

I guess you also know a peaceful muslim and an illegal with a genuine SS# .

burrata on April 16, 2014 at 3:29 PM

OT – fyi only

Schadenfreude on April 16, 2014 at 3:24 PM

Hmmm…

kcewa on April 16, 2014 at 3:33 PM

And you can keep your borders….

d1carter on April 16, 2014 at 3:35 PM

Obama had asked the director of Homeland Security to look at ways to reduce the number of people deported for entering the United States without documentation. But White House press secretary Jay Carney says that is different from implementing immigration overhaul on his own…

Really? Different? How?

Oh, I see! Same result…different ways of getting to the same result.

I understand now.

NavyMustang on April 16, 2014 at 3:35 PM

Just de facto….

Oil Can on April 16, 2014 at 3:39 PM

It ain’t over as long as we got Boehner…

d1carter on April 16, 2014 at 3:42 PM

OT:

Judge overturns tough North Dakota abortion law

A US federal judge has overthrown a North Dakota law banning abortion after the foetus’ heartbeat can be detected, as early as six weeks in some cases.

District Judge Daniel Hovland found the law “invalid and unconstitutional” on Wednesday.

The North Dakota abortion law was considered the most restrictive in the nation.

“The United States Supreme Court has spoken and has unequivocally said no state may deprive a woman of the choice to terminate her pregnancy at a point prior to viability,” Judge Hovland wrote in his ruling

kcewa on April 16, 2014 at 3:49 PM

These faith based leaders need to lose their tax exempt status if they have it. I’m tired of these stupid people undermining Americans because of their pathetic attempt to reach new converts. Go to the third world countries and stop trying to import them here.

NWConservative on April 16, 2014 at 3:55 PM

“I have no plans for an executive amnesty on immigration”

“I will get to the bottom of the IRS scandal”
“I will be the most transparent president, evah”
“I will reduce the debt”
“Obamacare will reduce costs of medical insurance”
“I will draw a red line on Syria”
“I will draw a dead line on Crimea”
“Benghazi was caused by an anti-Muslim film”
“If I had a son he would look like Trayvon Martin”

If you believe this guy, give me your name and address and I’ll sell you solar energy stock.

MaiDee on April 16, 2014 at 3:55 PM

But thanks for the votes in the last two elections-you suckers

rjoco1 on April 16, 2014 at 3:59 PM

Well we know how his word holds up, so maybe he will evolve on this when political pressure increases.

jake49 on April 16, 2014 at 4:01 PM

Obama’s executive immigration policy: Look the other way.

Steve Z on April 16, 2014 at 4:04 PM

“While his Administration can take steps to better enforce and administer immigration laws, I REFUSE TO TAKE ANY SUCH STEPS ,” Obama emphasized, according to the statement.

FIFY.

fred5678 on April 16, 2014 at 4:12 PM

Dream act:

Fed’s Yellen: Return to full employment, stable prices by end of 2016 is ‘quite plausible’ – @MarketWatch

davidk on April 16, 2014 at 4:16 PM

Dream act:

Fed’s Yellen: Return to full employment, stable prices by end of 2016 is ‘quite plausible’ – @MarketWatch

(Had to separate market watch for the mod.)

davidk on April 16, 2014 at 4:18 PM

…let’s just call him President Bullshit!

KOOLAID2 on April 16, 2014 at 4:37 PM

Obama to faith leaders: I have no plans for an executive amnesty on immigration

Amazing that the filthy stupid rat-eared bastard doesn’t get struck by lightning for showing up at prayer breakfasts. Bonus points for the faith whose God smites this worthless arrogant bastard!!!

That being said, I don’t agree with Kaus that Marco Rubio is a contender. He lost an awful lot of conservative good will when he got caught telling folks stuff in Spanish that was completely different than what he was saying in English. And the take-away here is not a politician getting caught lying. It goes to Rubio’s character.

Happy Nomad on April 16, 2014 at 4:40 PM

I’m glad that I’m on the way out, but still would like being able to ‘look down’ and enjoy the show that is sure to come. O has already set the stage for ‘divide and conquer’ politics based on race, ethnicity, social status and income. He’s pure gold there, as is the Dems. Once he has opened the borders and allowed, pretty much, millions upon millions more Third Worlders from Mexico, Central and South America, the Middle East and the African continent (all Dem voters) it should be a real Holy War to determine which group is the paramount victims (Whites will be in low double digits of the population, but without ‘Minority Rights’ status due to their previous ‘depredations’)status and, therefore, subject to getting the biggest piece of the zero-sum pie. I submit that the ‘victors’ will be Muslim, since they will be able to blow up more ‘enemies’. O should be in his dotage by then, awaiting his turn at the chopping block.

vnvet on April 16, 2014 at 4:45 PM

Boehner will have something ready circa February/March of 2015. Book it.

cdog0613 on April 16, 2014 at 4:45 PM

Boehner will have something ready circa February/March of 2015. Book it.

cdog0613 on April 16, 2014 at 4:45 PM

Why would that matter to whoever is the Speaker?

Happy Nomad on April 16, 2014 at 5:05 PM

Faith leaders..who….. jeremiah wright..these so called faith leaders better shake the scales fom their eyes quit climbing into bed with obama. It didn’t help the Catholic church and it won’t help you.

crosshugger on April 16, 2014 at 5:11 PM

Does he keep a continuous wad of bakkey just inside his lip, you think?

avagreen on April 16, 2014 at 6:07 PM

President Obama has no plans to enact unilateral immigration overhaul by executive action, faith leaders from across the country said Obama told them today…

Since we know Obama has a proclivity for lying, he means just the opposite of what he said.

sadatoni on April 16, 2014 at 7:16 PM

Mr. Pundit:

“Anyway, I think he’s telling the truth here.” You’re kidding, right?

tenore on April 16, 2014 at 7:45 PM