Yikes: Wendy Davis trails Greg Abbott in Texas — among women

posted at 5:21 pm on April 15, 2014 by Allahpundit

Via the Caller, pollster Kellyanne Conway surveys the state of the “war on women” in Texas: “Women get exhausted with women candidates who say they are pro-woman and then run on issues that real women don’t say are most important to them.”

No worries. Wendy’s rolling out a plan for universal pre-K at a cool $750 million per year in taxpayer expense. That’ll show ‘em.

gender

The favorability numbers are even starker. Among women, Abbott scores 35/27 while Davis clocks in at … 32/46. That’s basically identical to her 33/48 favorability among men. She ran on her biography, and this is where it got her.

This isn’t the only core constituency with whom she’s underperforming, though. If that earlier post about the CIS study on immigration bummed you out, here’s a ray of hope from Texas. All it takes to narrow the margin among Latinos in a red state is a terrible Democratic candidate who’s famous as an abortion warrior:

race

Even a bad Democrat is good enough to lead among Latinos in a conservative stronghold, but to scare Abbott she’d need to be somewhere around +30, not +10. There was speculation after she lost some of the heavily Latino southern counties to her no-name primary opponent that her abortion record had alienated some Catholic voters. These numbers will keep that theory alive.

It’s not all good news, though. Here’s a warning from the Ghost of Elections Future:

age

It’s true nationally and also true here — younger voters lean left. To some extent, though, the age split is a function of the state’s racial split: There are more Latinos under age 40 in Texas than there are whites, and the disparity is more pronounced among younger children (in fact, a majority of Texas public-school students are Latino). If a reliably Democratic group is overrepresented in a demographic that’s already more inclined to prefer Dems, having come of age when the country was souring on Bush and embracing Hopenchange, then yeah, even Wendy Davis will benefit. Not enough to win the election, but check back in 10 years and see how Governor Abbott’s numbers look then.


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Yes but look at the Aaaafrican Ameeeericans.

When are you blacks gonna wake the fvck up?

Lanceman on April 15, 2014 at 5:24 PM

Yeah, but she has pink tennies!

Jaibones on April 15, 2014 at 5:25 PM

This campaign has been going on forever!

ctmom on April 15, 2014 at 5:26 PM

We women of Texas ain’t stupid.

annoyinglittletwerp on April 15, 2014 at 5:27 PM

I still think it’s disturbing that a devious, unqualified abortion enthusiast is pulling 37% in Texas.

forest on April 15, 2014 at 5:28 PM

Go Wendy!

You can do it.

cozmo on April 15, 2014 at 5:28 PM

Pulled herself up by her bootstraps. Lived in a trailor house as a single mother. Put herself through Harvard Law school. Good taste in shoes. No exaggeration in her resume.

butch on April 15, 2014 at 5:30 PM

Universal Pre-k, eh?

The libs have to get at the kids because it seems some of the college tactics are coming home to roost. Make sure you read enough to find out who got blamed.

BobMbx on April 15, 2014 at 5:30 PM

Its not just in Texas, Alex Sink just announced that she will not run against David Jolly this November. There must be some bad poll numbers the democrats are getting behind closed doors.

meci on April 15, 2014 at 5:33 PM

Ain’t voting for that crazy chica Wendy.

terryannonline on April 15, 2014 at 5:33 PM

This is just…awesome.

Word is that Dems are pretty much giving up on Wendy Davis and focusing their energy and resources on their Lt. Gov. candidate, Leticia Van de Putte.

GOPRanknFile on April 15, 2014 at 5:33 PM

The “solution” is simple – eliminate marriage.

After all, that IS the goal of gay “marriage” advocates.

Steve Eggleston on April 15, 2014 at 5:36 PM

This is just…awesome.

GOPRanknFile on April 15, 2014 at 5:33 PM

Dude, this is just horrible.

The Texas dem convention ain’t ’til the end of June.

Wendy baby has until then to have an accident, illness or decide to finally spend time with her family. And open the door for one of the Castro brothers.

She must be propped up until at least then.

Go Wendy!

cozmo on April 15, 2014 at 5:37 PM

cozmo on April 15, 2014 at 5:37 PM

One of the Castrohole bros? Get out!

Lanceman on April 15, 2014 at 5:38 PM

Texas – the ONLY STAR State

jake-the-goose on April 15, 2014 at 5:38 PM

Yikes? Allah, Have you ever left you secret lair in Manhattan?

Abortion Barbie’s message does not play well outside of the DFW and Houston.

And BTW, predicting out the mood of the nation 10-years out is pretty bold. Given that one massive incident (like the 9/11/01 atrocities) can change that dynamic in an instant. IMO the pollsters of 2014 don’t have a clue what the touchstone issues will be in 2024. Certainly the gays will have finally shut up- no matter how that issue pans out. There will have been some version of amnesty with all sorts illegals not voting “Americans” despite the fact they are criminals. And who knows what else will factor into the mix.

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 5:38 PM

It’s not all good news, though. Here’s a warning from the Ghost of [Elections Future:]

This is due to the fact that the Left has a stranglehold on the education system. Pry their hands off that and you’ll have a reliably conservative to moderate young electorate.

Dusty on April 15, 2014 at 5:39 PM

Texas – the ONLY STAR State

jake-the-goose on April 15, 2014 at 5:38 PM

Seriously,

I do not know one family from Texas who does not have a star on display in a prominant place in their home. It’s like it is a state law or something.

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 5:40 PM

Dyson Rally For Wendy!

Murphy9 on April 15, 2014 at 5:40 PM

Allah, could we put the Party of each candidate somewhere at the beginning where they are mentioned? I have no idea who’s running in Texas, but am interested in hearing about it.

MrX on April 15, 2014 at 5:41 PM

Both Abbott and Davis have admirable life stories and hers was only slightly inflated to very very compelling what was in truth just a very compelling life story.

rogerb on April 15, 2014 at 5:43 PM

And BTW, predicting out the mood of the nation 10-years out is pretty bold. Given that one massive incident (like the 9/11/01 atrocities) can change that dynamic in an instant. IMO the pollsters of 2014 don’t have a clue what the touchstone issues will be in 2024.

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 5:38 PM

Especially since, thanks to Abortion Barbie and her STD-spreading ilk, the only people who will be having, or who are even capable of having, kids by that point will be religious and social conservatives.

I love how the Party of Young and Stupid is aborting itself right out of power. Demographics as destiny, baby. No wonder they are desperate to import 20 million new illiterate socialists.

northdallasthirty on April 15, 2014 at 5:44 PM

I still think it’s disturbing that a devious, unqualified abortion enthusiast is pulling 37% in Texas.

forest on April 15, 2014 at 5:28 PM

Three words. Sheila Jackson Lee.

Not everybody in TX is smart. Sometimes even the most ignorant among them end up in Congress.

“Maybe I should offer a good thanks to the distinguished members of the majority, the Republicans, my chairman and others, for giving us an opportunity to have a deliberative constitutional discussion that reinforces the sanctity of this nation and how well it is that we have lasted some 400 years, operating under a constitution that clearly defines what is constitutional and what is not.”

Sheila Jackson Lee, March 12, 2014

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 5:46 PM

Endless propaganda from teachers and news organizations has to be expected to have some effect. When those young people get jobs and have to support families, their views might change a bit.

MTF on April 15, 2014 at 5:46 PM

This is due to the fact that the Left has a stranglehold on the education system. Pry their hands off that and you’ll have a reliably conservative to moderate young electorate.

Dusty on April 15, 2014 at 5:39 PM

Young women grow up, get married and have kids (Mostly they do. It is the norm, TigerPaw). This turns them Conservative.

cptacek on April 15, 2014 at 5:50 PM

I love how the Party of Young and Stupid is aborting itself right out of power. Demographics as destiny, baby. No wonder they are desperate to import 20 million new illiterate socialists.

northdallasthirty on April 15, 2014 at 5:44 PM

Yep. I live in the DC area. The city itself is somewhat under a political identity crisis. Since home rule, DC has always been a chocolate city. Always governed by a black male.

In 2014, the demographics are changing. DC has growing and vibrant. Neighborhoods filled with young, non-chocolate, professionals and that is changing the voting patterns. In November, DC could actually find itself with its first openly gay white mayor. And the establishment is appalled.

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 5:52 PM

Very few people I would say that I honestly can’t stand. She’s one of them.

I don’t know that the future numbers is that big a deal. Lots of misusing of data for the sake of propaganda going around (Census Bureau included)

I’d love to see a data correlation about when the shift towards Conservatism occurs across ethnicities, though. Does it happen younger for people of one ethnicity than it does for another? Why?

Now, as for the AA voting block….there are a few challenges to that going on (see Southside Chicago as a reference) but apparently not in TX

lineholder on April 15, 2014 at 5:54 PM

The organization I work for tried to get her to come speak in West Texas. She refused unless she had the floor to herself, no opposing candidates allowed. None of us were surprised.

TexasJack on April 15, 2014 at 5:54 PM

She once shot a gun, that should be good enough.

Bishop on April 15, 2014 at 5:59 PM

She once shot a gun, that should be good enough.

Bishop on April 15, 2014 at 5:59 PM

Bishop-

Weren’t you once lauding her for breastfeeding her child in a trailer park while fending off the junkies with a piece of rusty angle iron?

Why the sudden lack of support? ;0

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 6:03 PM

It’s true nationally and also true here — younger voters lean left.

As a wise man once said – “If you’re not a liberal at age 20, you have no heart; but if you’re not a conservative by age 35, you have no brain.”

Just as the young don’t make as much money, but (mostly) progress up through the income brackets as they get older; they (many, not all) also get wiser as they age and their voting shifts to the right.

dentarthurdent on April 15, 2014 at 6:04 PM

Especially since, thanks to Abortion Barbie and her STD-spreading ilk, the only people who will be having, or who are even capable of having, kids by that point will be religious and social conservatives.

northdallasthirty on April 15, 2014 at 5:44 PM

They got that covered. It’ll be referred to as “child re-distribution”, and there’ll be a guy who promises to take “just a few more children” from large families and give them to the childless gheys.

“Under my plan, the cost having kids will necessarily skyrocket”

BobMbx on April 15, 2014 at 6:04 PM

It’s true nationally and also true here — younger voters lean left

The younger demographic has always leaned left though, correct? So can’t we continue to count on a sizable portion of them getting hit in the face by reality when they finally have to get a job/pay back student loans/start a business/etc? Just because they lean left now, doesn’t mean that they will all stay foolish.

Komsomoletz on April 15, 2014 at 6:04 PM

The organization I work for tried to get her to come speak in West Texas. She refused unless she had the floor to herself, no opposing candidates allowed. None of us were surprised.

TexasJack on April 15, 2014 at 5:54 PM

I’m guessing that West Texas isn’t Davis country to begin with.

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 6:05 PM

Don’t worry, Wendy. I saw a bumper sticker supporting you just this morning.

In California.

Socratease on April 15, 2014 at 6:06 PM

dentarthurdent on April 15, 2014 at 6:04 PM

You beat me to it. :D

Komsomoletz on April 15, 2014 at 6:06 PM

Any black or hispanic HotAir folks want to explain her appeal? I’m stupefied why predominantly Catholic (true?) hispanics are down with her outer-space views on abortion. I’m not being sarcastic; I would really like to know what drives those numbers.

KS Rex on April 15, 2014 at 6:06 PM

Yes but look at the Aaaafrican Ameeeericans.

When are you blacks gonna wake the fvck up?

Lanceman on April 15, 2014 at 5:24 PM

Probably never. They’ve been conditioned that Republicans are racist and bad. They don’t even listen to the message. It’s just automatic.

Bitter Clinger on April 15, 2014 at 6:07 PM

Just as the young don’t make as much money, but (mostly) progress up through the income brackets as they get older; they (many, not all) also get wiser as they age and their voting shifts to the right.

dentarthurdent on April 15, 2014 at 6:04 PM

The conversion starts with the first movement into a higher tax bracket (or the first they have a tax liability), and accelerates as income increases over time and the tax breaks begin to drop like flies.

BobMbx on April 15, 2014 at 6:08 PM

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 6:05 PM

Inner city is about the only Wendy country there is (after she aborted, then shot, her Texas senate career, ). In Texas anyway.

cozmo on April 15, 2014 at 6:08 PM

Bitter Clinger on April 15, 2014 at 6:07 PM

Thus reinforcing the stereotype.

cozmo on April 15, 2014 at 6:09 PM

You beat me to it. :D

Komsomoletz on April 15, 2014 at 6:06 PM

I think AP is falling victim to the liberal mentality of viewing all demographics as static.
The Dems don’t seem to understand that the people making good money now started out at minimum wage years ago, and those making minimum wage now, may very well be upper middle class or even “evil wealthy” 20 years from now.
Same goes for which way they vote – young and stupid/inexperienced/ignorant lean left – with a few years of real world experience and wisdom, they lean right.

dentarthurdent on April 15, 2014 at 6:11 PM

Any black or hispanic HotAir folks want to explain her appeal? I’m stupefied why predominantly Catholic (true?) hispanics are down with her outer-space views on abortion. I’m not being sarcastic; I would really like to know what drives those numbers.

KS Rex on April 15, 2014 at 6:06 PM

Minority Catholics generally worship Chicago Jesus rather than the real one.

Add to that the type of “social justice” Catholicism that flourishes in Latin America, and it’s not too hard to figure out.

northdallasthirty on April 15, 2014 at 6:12 PM

Probably never. They’ve been conditioned that Republicans are racist and bad. They don’t even listen to the message. It’s just automatic.

Bitter Clinger on April 15, 2014 at 6:07 PM

The true legacy of LBJ. Republicans were not the ones standing in school doorways denying blacks entry. Republicans were not the ones opposing them at the Edmund Pettis Bridge. Republicans are the party that supported emancipation. All of that legacy warped by propaganda in the 1960s.

Martin Luther King was a Republican.

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 6:16 PM

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 6:16 PM

Not MLK, or Jesus, could give them free stuff. Democrats can.

cozmo on April 15, 2014 at 6:18 PM

I saw a dude driving a KIA with a Go Wendy bumper sticker the other day….
I really wanted to ram him off the road…..

redguy on April 15, 2014 at 6:19 PM

Wendy will probably move to Boston after she gets her ass kicked in Texas…..

redguy on April 15, 2014 at 6:20 PM

It’s true nationally and also true here — younger voters lean left.

That’s because younger voters are stupid and poor. They turn to the party that promises to steal money from people who have it (a smaller and smaller cohort nowadays, those with money) to give to those too stupid to know how destructive and unsustainable such policies truly are.

Give them time to grow up, grow wiser, and accrue some assets they wish to protect. They’ll be singing a different tune, regardless of race/ethnicity.

xNavigator on April 15, 2014 at 6:28 PM

Thus reinforcing the stereotype.

cozmo on April 15, 2014 at 6:09 PM

I’d say the evidence is in the voting patterns. Consistently, Blacks vote Democrat by margins of 85-15 to 95-5.

Bitter Clinger on April 15, 2014 at 6:33 PM

Not MLK, or Jesus, could give them free stuff. Democrats can.

cozmo on April 15, 2014 at 6:18 PM

Okay, I can’t go without challenging your statement- especially this week.

MLK couldn’t give them free stuff. Christ gave all freedom from their sins (grace) through His death.

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 6:35 PM

@Happy Nomad

Her “country” in this case is Texas. I’m not voting for the woman, but I would still want to her in person. I hate forming opinions of people without first meeting them. I still do it though. Who knows, maybe she is a good gal. Girlfriend leans Democratic, gotta make sure I cross all my t’s when talking about women candidates.

TexasJack on April 15, 2014 at 6:37 PM

Her “country” in this case is Texas. I’m not voting for the woman, but I would still want to her in person. I hate forming opinions of people without first meeting them.

TexasJack on April 15, 2014 at 6:37 PM

What I’m hearing you say is that Davis isn’t making much effort to campaign outside the more urban areas of the state. Spending her time among swing areas outside DFW, Houston, and Austin instead of really campaigning throughout Texas.

Who knows, maybe she is a good gal.

No, she is not.

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 6:44 PM

Baby killers …..

crosshugger on April 15, 2014 at 6:58 PM

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 6:35 PM

Leeches are materialistic. They only pay lip service to what can save their soul.

cozmo on April 15, 2014 at 7:34 PM

Good to hear the majority of women in Texas don’t appear to be radical pro baby slaughtering ghouls.

pannw on April 15, 2014 at 8:02 PM

Allah: keep in mind that this is PPP. If Davis is under water with women, there is no way Abbot is only up 14 points. I guarantee some of those internals you are doing your usual eeyoring over aren’t nearly as bad as Tommy Jenson is feeding you. Abbot’s floor is a 25 point win at this point. Book it.

cdog0613 on April 15, 2014 at 8:15 PM

Baby killing Bit5Ch

TX-96 on April 15, 2014 at 8:20 PM

The true legacy of LBJ. Republicans were not the ones standing in school doorways denying blacks entry. Republicans were not the ones opposing them at the Edmund Pettis Bridge. Republicans are the party that supported emancipation. All of that legacy warped by propaganda in the 1960s.

Martin Luther King was a Republican.

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 6:16 PM

I’ll go further than this, and argue that Democrats pushed Great Society as hard as they did so they could get Blacks back onto the proverbial plantation ASAP after ’64.

Just a reminder for any Black person who believes JFK was a champion of civil rights legislation, from my home state (emphasis mine):

On Oct. 12, 1963, just 41 days before his assassination, President Kennedy signed the bill into law that expropriated the Fazendeville property owners’ land. No one came to their defense. The St. Bernard Voice reported: “At 8:00 a.m. Wednesday November 25th 1964 the Fazendeville Road running from the Mississippi River to St. Bernard Highway was closed to public travel by the federal government.” At the Police Jury meeting the Tuesday before, District Attorney Leander Perez was requested by the jury to seek a restraining order to prevent closing of the road. They reasoned that no notice of closing had been given to Police Jury in advance. Was someone finally coming to the defense of this helpless community of black citizens? No – the Police Jury’s concern was not about displacing the Fazendeville community but about access to the sewerage treatment plant that occupied that parcel of land between the community and the river.

All that community wanted was to be left alone, to live their lives in peace: something to which the statists have been, and remain, vehemently opposed.

Wanderlust on April 15, 2014 at 8:21 PM

Ha Ha!

- Nelson Muntz

22044 on April 15, 2014 at 8:33 PM

Girlfriend leans Democratic

TexasJack on April 15, 2014 at 6:37 PM

Sorry to hear that.

Murphy9 on April 15, 2014 at 8:59 PM

@Happy Nomad

You’re absolutely right. My point was I’m upset that she us playing the cliche partisan politician. I was hoping for something different.

@Murphy9

It’s not as bad as you’d think. We agree to disagree on a few things.

TexasJack on April 15, 2014 at 9:34 PM

I would still want to her in person. I hate forming opinions of people without first meeting them. … gotta make sure I cross all my t’s when talking about women candidates.

TexasJack on April 15, 2014 at 6:37 PM

Make sure you are meeting the right person. Seems there is someone out there impersonating someone else.

RushBaby on April 15, 2014 at 9:40 PM

Seriously,

I do not know one family from Texas who does not have a star on display in a prominant place in their home. It’s like it is a state law or something.

Happy Nomad on April 15, 2014 at 5:40 PM

Metal star on the front exterior of my house, one on the fireplace mantel, outdoor post lamps with a star, and a huge painted Texas flag on my back porch. We love our star and flag here! :)

maables on April 15, 2014 at 10:15 PM

The organization I work for tried to get her to come speak in West Texas. She refused unless she had the floor to herself, no opposing candidates allowed. None of us were surprised.

TexasJack on April 15, 2014 at 5:54 PM

She went to West Texas alright:

https://twitter.com/bbhack/status/452142203599458304

bbhack on April 15, 2014 at 10:39 PM

This is that lady who likes the idea of killing babies, right?

Galtian on April 16, 2014 at 8:34 AM

Her supporters are so nice. Last week, they ripped half my Abbott sticker off my car.

Hat Trick on April 16, 2014 at 9:35 AM

I’m a Texan. I am a woman. I wouldn’t vote for Wendy Davis if she promised me a million dollars. I’ve been telling y’all for months that she stands a snowballs chance in he// of winning the governorship here. We pretty much regard her as a joke.

neyney on April 16, 2014 at 12:10 PM

haha! I get such a chuckle out of seeing headlines like this about Wendy Davis. So glad she’s finally feeling the blisters from those pink tennis shoes.

LH4 on April 18, 2014 at 9:09 AM