Two new polls show growing momentum for Huckabee

posted at 2:41 pm on April 3, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

Let’s start off with the caveat that 2016 polls at this point share something in common with John Nance Garner’s view of the Vice Presidency — “not worth a bucket of warm piss,” although it’s often used with “spit” as a euphemism. Had we taken polls seriously in early 2006, the nominees in 2008 would have been Hillary Clinton and, er … John McCain. Still, we haven’t even seen a partial roster of people actually aiming for the nod, and yet Mike Huckabee — who came in second or third in 2008, depending how one counts — seems to be gaining some ground in the public imagination, in Iowa anyway:

Mike Huckabee, whose win in the Iowa caucuses in 2008 put him on the national political map, holds an early lead there if he were to run again in 2016, according to a new poll.

The WPA Research poll shows the former Arkansas governor on top of a field of potential candidates at 14 percent.

Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) is in second place at 10 percent, while the rest are in single digits.

Even more oddly, Huckabee comes up on top in the Reason-Rupe poll, hardly the kind of result the libertarian news magazine would normally cheer. Hillary Clinton once again leads the Democratic field by more than 50 points over her nearest competitor, VP Joe Biden, who may be experiencing the wisdom of Garner in these results. It’s tighter on the GOP side, with Huckabee barely edging out other double-digit candidates like Paul Ryan, Rand Paul, Jeb Bush, and Chris Christie. The rest of perceived Republican gubernatorial bench  — other than Christie — all fall to the second tier. Scott Walker gets 5%, Bobby Jindal just 1%, and Mike Pence, Susana Martinez, John Kasich, and the others don’t even get a mention.

What might account for Huckabee’s sudden emergence? For one thing, it’s not so sudden; he’s been cultivating his national presence through media efforts ever since the end of his 2008 primary campaign. Huckabee is also adept at media exposure on his own, and has clearly used that to his advantage. However, it will take more than that to convince Republicans to do the “next in line” thing again in 2016, and that gubernatorial bench hasn’t even begun to make a move yet (except perhaps Jindal this week, after the survey was taken). If one of the old guard emerge as the frontrunner when the 2016 primary cycle starts in earnest, I’d be stunned.

The Reason/Rupe poll has some other interesting nuggets, too. Barack Obama gets a 43/51 approval rating, and only 37% approve of his handling of the crisis in Ukraine, with 21% not having an opinion on it. Two thirds of respondents favor raising the minimum wage to $10.10, even though 38% think it would decrease the number of jobs in the economy; 60% think it would either have no impact or create jobs. A thin majority of 51% still back the change even if it means prices go up, which of course would erode the buying power for those earning the least. (Perhaps they should read Kellan Howell’s piece on how that policy fared in American territories after Congress forced a hike._

Finally, ObamaCare’s favorability is underwater by a wide margin at 36/53. The Democratic attempt to blame insurers for price hikes has failed; a plurality of 43% blame the ObamaCare law, while only 26% blame insurers. That doesn’t sound like the debate is over, despite what Obama declared this week.

 


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He’ll always have cschande.

Schadenfreude on April 3, 2014 at 2:41 PM

That doesn’t sound like the debate is over, despite what Obama declared this week.

That’s “racist”.

Schadenfreude on April 3, 2014 at 2:42 PM

Bush/Huckabee 2016!!!!

tominsd on April 3, 2014 at 2:43 PM

I truly think this is a fake sell by the media like they try to push Jeb Bush knowing he will never win. I don’t even think most of my socon friends like Huck. He is big government fiscally.

melle1228 on April 3, 2014 at 2:43 PM

Why?

jawkneemusic on April 3, 2014 at 2:44 PM

He’s not dynamic enough, not knowledgeable enough.
That would give us 2 incompetents in a row.
The country needs better than that.

vityas on April 3, 2014 at 2:44 PM

Who is voting in these polls??

Jack_Burton on April 3, 2014 at 2:44 PM

No. I will not vote for the Huckster even if the Fascist-Democrats nominate Killary.

rbj on April 3, 2014 at 2:44 PM

Great.

Well, if this rino is the nominee I’ll be writing in a candidate (if I can). No way am I ever going to waste a vote on someone that’s really a democrat wearing bible print underwear.

Diluculo on April 3, 2014 at 2:45 PM

Are you *trying* to mess with my blood pressure, Ed?

Jeff Weimer on April 3, 2014 at 2:45 PM

We’re going to see A LOT of these bogus polls. Let the propaganda war begin.

katy on April 3, 2014 at 2:46 PM

ObamaCare at 36/53 in Reason-Rupe poll.

11% are missing.

53% are “racists”.

Schadenfreude on April 3, 2014 at 2:46 PM

Hillary/Huckabee, together — 2016

Schadenfreude on April 3, 2014 at 2:47 PM

Huckabee is the GOP’s shame showing through.

He is a complete Jackass

jake-the-goose on April 3, 2014 at 2:48 PM

Two new polls cause growing momentum for puke coming up my throat.

Mark1971 on April 3, 2014 at 2:49 PM

Oh please. Be serious. Huckabee? Really?

This has to be a joke or Democrat op.

Marcus Traianus on April 3, 2014 at 2:49 PM

He’ll never take a cut.

His FL mansion and NY life-style, clan and all, need to be sustained.

Schadenfreude on April 3, 2014 at 2:49 PM

The Reason-Rupe poll just went directly to ludicrous speed.

tominsd on April 3, 2014 at 2:49 PM

The Reason-Rupe poll just went directly to ludicrous speed.

tominsd on April 3, 2014 at 2:49 PM

But have they gone … plaid?

Ed Morrissey on April 3, 2014 at 2:51 PM

:)

tominsd on April 3, 2014 at 2:53 PM

Bush/Huckabee 2016

myiq2xu on April 3, 2014 at 2:53 PM

Two new polls show growing momentum for Huckabee

…oh Lord!…please God…NO!

KOOLAID2 on April 3, 2014 at 2:53 PM

Please make it stop.

Whiterock on April 3, 2014 at 2:55 PM

If he wins, I’ll be in cryogenic freeze until 2020.

Wake me when the nightmare is over.

portlandon on April 3, 2014 at 2:56 PM

I’m just hoping and praying that Ted Cruz will run (and win!). Cruz is exactly what this country needs to get back on the right track.

Bob Davis on April 3, 2014 at 2:56 PM

Never heard of Reason-Rupe. Whoever they polled certainly had a lot of patience to answer all of those poll questions!!! In order to believe any poll, you must assume the answers are truthful. I didn’t see much consistency in the answers and there should have been.

Huckabee? LOL, wishful thinking.

bluefox on April 3, 2014 at 2:57 PM

Put Schmuck in the ‘Hell no!’ column for me.

annoyinglittletwerp on April 3, 2014 at 2:58 PM

With the growing trend towards the legalization of marijuana its time to end primaries and go back to the smoke filled room. We would get better candidates.

meci on April 3, 2014 at 2:58 PM

Don’t care if he were running against Lucifer in the flesh, ain’t contributing to or voting for Huckabee.

Murphy9 on April 3, 2014 at 2:59 PM

But have they gone … plaid?

Ed Morrissey on April 3, 2014 at 2:51 PM

My collie says:

Captain! She canna’ take much mora’ this! She’ll likely overload!

CyberCipher on April 3, 2014 at 3:00 PM

Sigh…how many months are we going to have to endure of ‘moderate’ GOP candidates being thrown at us by the GOP establishment, like so much mud being thrown at a window to see which one sticks?
If it’s not someone like Rand Paul, or Ted Cruz, I’ll just vote 3rd party like last time or do a right in candidate.
Enough of democrat lights, but then do the GOP establishment really want to win?

RAN58 on April 3, 2014 at 3:02 PM

The poll shows 53% oppose, but less than half only blame the law. So perhaps 26% might be motivated to vote against the Dems on Obamacare, less than the third who approve of it.

Doesn’t seem that positive to me.

My developing guess is that perhaps not much of this anti-Obamacare sentiment will develop into Republican votes as was expected/hoped.

antisense on April 3, 2014 at 3:03 PM

Another spin on the same results: 85% of Republicans don’t want Huckabee to be the Republican nominee.

We’re over two years from the primaries, and there is no clear leader yet. So what?

Let’s concentrate on taking back the Senate in November 2014, and worry about 2016 later.

Steve Z on April 3, 2014 at 3:04 PM

This has to be a joke or Democrat op.

Marcus Traianus on April 3, 2014 at 2:49 PM

No reason those have to be mutually exclusive options.

GWB on April 3, 2014 at 3:04 PM

No gravitas.

crankyoldlady on April 3, 2014 at 3:06 PM

Huckabee has expressed support for illegal alien amnesty and calls people who support immigration law enforcement “race baiters”:
http://youtu.be/ypdd0AKJ_Qs
(note: I didn’t make the video, and please excuse the weird sound effects and the Ron Paul promotion at the end. I link this video because it shows Huckabee’s dishonesty on the issue.)

Also, I wish HotAir would cover the House Republican traitors’ latest push for amnesty:
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2014/04/02/exclusive-house-republicans-secret-immigration-ploy

bluegill on April 3, 2014 at 3:07 PM

No retreads, dynasties, or scandal ridden loudmouth backstabbers.

So Huckabee (murderer pardon, 2008 loser), Jeb “if you loved my family’s RINOish ways, you ain’t seen nothing yet!” Bush, Paul Ryan (Amnesty lover, fake fiscal conservative, retread backbencher), and Chris “Lap dance Obama and I love Jihad” Christie are definitely.

NWConservative on April 3, 2014 at 3:07 PM

Don’t waste thespace,
Just say no to:

McCain
Bush
Huckabee
Ryan
Romney
Christy
Rubio
Perry (Good guy, waste of time b/c of Bush 43)
Trump (uses up all the oxygen then “fails to Launch”
Gulliani (baggage)

These names should never be used in connection to running in 2016.

Whiterock on April 3, 2014 at 3:08 PM

Nothing wrong with Reason-Rupe polls guys… Those are my libertarian friends. They certainly had no reason to pump up huck artificially.

Depressing poll, nonetheless. As to who is voting for him? Probably the same people commenting about the evils of marijuana on here lol.

nullrouted on April 3, 2014 at 3:09 PM

Good news: Republicans have a deep well of excellent candidates for Prez.

Bad news: The Dems have a womyn.

vnvet on April 3, 2014 at 3:09 PM

Whiterock on April 3, 2014 at 3:08 PM

Perry’s my first choice, followed by Mike Pence.
Palin’s in 3rd.

annoyinglittletwerp on April 3, 2014 at 3:12 PM

Here’s pro-amnesty RINO Huckabee whining about being called out as a RINO:
http://hotair.com/archives/2014/01/23/huckabee-on-the-rino-label-the-nazis-devalued-people-too-you-know/

“Let’s stop calling each other somehow less Republican than someone else. Be for the person you’re for,” Huckabee said.

He said that he will be traveling to Auschwitz next week for the anniversary of the liberation of the concentration camp, and noted that the horror of the Holocaust began with the devaluation of people.

“It all started when people were devalued, when people were deemed ‘less than someone else,’” Huckabee said. “We look back on that time in history and we think, ‘How can educated people, university trained, how can a nation like Germany with all of its resources, with its vast level of its population with higher education, get to a place where they can do something so heinous?’ You realize that the only way you can end up there is when you start with the idea that people just aren’t as valuable as you are.”

The clear implication by Huckabee was that those within the GOP who make a habit of demeaning others as not conservative enough are flirting with behavior that can have grave ramifications down the road. It was a serious charge…

“And if I accept that for the great human family, and I’m willing to value every human life as having worth and intrinsic value, then surely I’ll be able to value the life of those who voluntarily join me in a party that I joined when I was a teenager,” he said.

Related: http://hotair.com/archives/2014/01/14/mike-huckabee-isnt-it-time-we-retire-the-term-rino/

bluegill on April 3, 2014 at 3:13 PM

A little late, Ed.

I keep forgetting that links to CNN won’t work here. *Duh!*

Fallon on April 3, 2014 at 3:16 PM

bluegill on April 3, 2014 at 3:13 PM

It’s a recurring theme:

Sluts? Stop slut-shaming us!
Islamists? Stop being islamophobic!
Minorities? Stop being racist!

and now full-circle to:

RINO – Let’s retire that term.

Reality is hard for these people.

nullrouted on April 3, 2014 at 3:16 PM

Depressing poll, nonetheless. As to who is voting for him? Probably the same people commenting about the evils of marijuana on here lol.

nullrouted on April 3, 2014 at 3:09 PM

You are the absolute king of ASSumptions on HA aren’t you?

melle1228 on April 3, 2014 at 3:20 PM

Perry’s my first choice, followed by Mike Pence.
Palin’s in 3rd.

annoyinglittletwerp on April 3, 2014 at 3:12 PM

You sir, are a PERRYTROOPER!

And no Pence. No more $200 haircuts.

Lanceman on April 3, 2014 at 3:27 PM

49. Which comes closer to your own opinion?

“The less government the better”…… 50%

• “There are more things government should be doing” 47%

• Don’t Know……………………………………… 3%

• Refused………………………………………….. 1%

• Total…………………………………………… 100%

Should have asked this follow-up question:

Did you vote in the last presidential election?

Wait, that adds up to 101%

Fallon on April 3, 2014 at 3:28 PM

I was glad t see Huckabee in the lead. The GOP really needs to try and run an electable moderate this time.

Minnfidel on April 3, 2014 at 3:29 PM

I only have three things to say about Hucka-stupid-finn running:

1. NO

2. HECK NO

3. HELL NO!!!!!!

ZeusGoose on April 3, 2014 at 3:31 PM

Two prominent Republicans, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and likely 2012 presidential candidate Mike Huckabee, came to the defense of First Lady Michelle Obama’s efforts to reduce childhood obesity.

Speaking on separate Sunday talk shows, the Republicans said they stood behind Mrs. Obama’s “Let’s Move” campaign despite conservative criticism.

Mr. Huckabee, a former Arkansas governor who shed many pounds himself when in office, said on “Fox News Sunday” that obesity is a problem threatening the welfare of the entire country.

“What Michelle Obama is proposing is not that the government tells you that you can’t eat dessert,” Mr. Huckabee said. Rather, the first lady wants Americans “to recognize that we have a serious obesity crisis–which we do,” Mr. Huckabee said.

Recently, prominent voices on the right including Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann, 2008 vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin and radio talk show host Rush Limbaugh have criticized the antiobesity efforts. They say it’s a sign of overbearing government.

Maurice Clemons&amnesty shilling rino&crappy fox show&you won ONE state that voted Obama twice&siding with Michelle Obama with that other fatty on her move campaign are a few of my favorite things to say no to you, chubs.
And once again, Sarah Palin was RIGHT!

Cheese Wheel on April 3, 2014 at 3:36 PM

I was glad t see Huckabee in the lead. The GOP really needs to try and run an electable moderate this time.

Minnfidel on April 3, 2014 at 3:29 PM

Say, you may be on to something.

Lanceman on April 3, 2014 at 3:41 PM

Hell to the no.

Nineball on April 3, 2014 at 3:42 PM

If he wins, I’ll be in cryogenic freeze until 2020.

Wake me when the nightmare is over.

portlandon on April 3, 2014 at 2:56 PM

I’ve been there since Jan 2009. Keep hoping to join the world. I want my nightmare to stop in Jan 2017. Night terrors suck.

freedomfirst on April 3, 2014 at 3:42 PM

I’m just hoping and praying that Ted Cruz will run (and win!). Cruz is exactly what this country needs to get back on the right track.

Bob Davis on April 3, 2014 at 2:56 PM

Cruz/Gowdy!

freedomfirst on April 3, 2014 at 3:43 PM

Huckabee appeals to the Lawrence Welk crowd.
It’s largely the same demographic tuning into Huckabee’s show on Fox News that watches those tired old Welk reruns on PBS. And, of course, most of them switch channels before the British comedies come on…unless it’s the 500th rerun of Hyacinth Bucket on “Keeping Up Appearances.”

As far as 2016 goes, if Huckabee is the nominee, I’ll vote third party.

I don’t like big government types. I don’t care if they’re RINOs like Christie or Jeb…or socons like Huckabee and Santorum.

NO THANKS!!!

DRayRaven on April 3, 2014 at 3:50 PM

Huckabee may be strong in Iowa again, but his appeal is clearly limited to evangelical Christians who don’t care about fiscal responsibility, taxes, or freeing murderers from prison if they praise Jesus a few times. He won only 6 primaries and 2 caucuses. The only primary he won outside the Old South was Kansas.

If he chooses to run again, he will be contender in those states again, and nowhere else.

Personally, I think Huckabee likes making some real money for the first time in his life and won’t give that up for a long shot Presidential bid.

~~~

****

Thanks, Ed, for the shout out in the first line, saving me the long paragraph!

****

Adjoran on April 3, 2014 at 3:59 PM

I have to admit that, on the surface, Huckabee is kinda-sorta likable. This should give him a chance in any election. But, before you make the fateful decision to vote for him, never forget HE’S THE GUY WHO PARDONED THE CON WHO WENT ON TO MURDER 4 COPS!!!!

MaiDee on April 3, 2014 at 3:59 PM


Huckabee/Lukewarm Milk 2016!

…well, perhaps not. A glass of milk would overshadow the Huckster with its glamor and appeal. Maybe run the glass of milk for POTUS, with Huck as VP.

Here’s a crazy thought: This time, let’s NOT nominate the dullest, most insufferably milquetoast Country Club Republican available to be the nominee. I’m sure Bob Dole, McCain and Romney (whom I liked) would disagree: but then, they’re disagreeing from the sidelines, aren’t they?

orangemtl on April 3, 2014 at 4:02 PM

Mike Huckabee, whose win in the Iowa caucuses in 2008 put him on the national political map, holds an early lead there if he were to run again in 2016, according to a new poll.

HAHAHAHHAHAH!!

The only thing Huckabee holds is a Shrimp Po Boy.

ToddPA on April 3, 2014 at 4:03 PM

Why does Iowa matter? Only because the MSM try and make it matter. They never vote GOP in the Presidential anyway. Huckabee is a big government, social conservative in the image of European Christian Democrats.He loves government and he loves taxes. I am for Senator Cruz until he states he isn’t running.

searcher on April 3, 2014 at 4:17 PM

No. Just… no.

bettercallputin on April 3, 2014 at 4:19 PM

I’m as SoCon as one can be. Christian Conservative, pro-life, anti-marijuana, marriage is between one man and one woman, etc, etc, etc.

Huckabee, just go home.

John Hitchcock on April 3, 2014 at 4:30 PM

please NO…stop it already..just the fact his name gets thrown around scares me … this would be a disaster

Paula3758 on April 3, 2014 at 4:32 PM

Why not McCain/Dole.

they lie on April 3, 2014 at 4:36 PM

So what were Huckabee’s ratings again?

workingclass artist on April 3, 2014 at 4:41 PM

Well, the Establishment has moved on to another BIG GOV’T conservative now that Christie has self-destructed…
Now, if the grass-roots can nominate a small government Conservative…what are they going to do on K-Street, sit on their hands?

Another Drew on April 3, 2014 at 4:45 PM

Second look at a retirement in Costa Rica for me.

trigon on April 3, 2014 at 4:45 PM

Huckabee will do well in Iowa.He will mobilize the Christian right,many of whom will follow him bleating like sheep only because he is a former preacher,regardless of his political record as Governor.Big government loving Huckabee will successfully divide the conservative vote one more time so a moderate RINO can lose again as the GOP nominee in 2016.Stick to strumming and preaching you phony!

redware on April 3, 2014 at 4:49 PM

I’m as SoCon as one can be. Christian Conservative, pro-life, anti-marijuana, marriage is between one man and one woman, etc, etc, etc.

Huckabee, just go home.

John Hitchcock on April 3, 2014 at 4:30 PM

Dittos! Same here!

Bob Davis on April 3, 2014 at 4:52 PM

ALT, not saying all three of your picks wouldn’t make GREAT Presidents. I want an articulate debate, not a candidate playing defense for two years. Perry will be cast as Bush II. It would be unfair because I know they are much different, but they walk, talk the same, from the same state, and there is the issue of the 2012 crash and burn.
Palin …. love her forthrightness but truth is the Rinos feel about her like I feel about Christy.
I don’t know much about Pence, but If he runs I will be fair. $200 haircut? is he related to Edwards. :-)

Whiterock on April 3, 2014 at 4:52 PM

And we care about what Iowa thinks; why?

Let’s ask the tough questions that America really cares about- what is Huck’s stance on ethanol subsidies?

Pless1foEngrish on April 3, 2014 at 4:57 PM

Huckabee? I’ll take Clinton over him.

lonestar1 on April 3, 2014 at 4:58 PM

He will mobilize the Christian right,many of whom will follow him bleating like sheep only because he is a former preacher,
redware on April 3, 2014 at 4:49 PM

Tell us how you really feel about Christians, there, Sparky.

I take it you aren’t one, correct? But you know how stupid they are.

Pless1foEngrish on April 3, 2014 at 5:00 PM

Count me in the “not just no, but hell no” camp.

deepdiver on April 3, 2014 at 5:31 PM

Let’s start off with the caveat that 2016 polls at this point share something in common with John Nance Garner’s view of the Vice Presidency — “not worth a bucket of warm piss,” although it’s often used with “spit” as a euphemism.

Ed Morrissey working blue????

Ow, my delicate ears… :-)

JohnGalt23 on April 3, 2014 at 5:41 PM

We’re going to see A LOT of these bogus polls. Let the propaganda war begin.

katy on April 3, 2014 at 2:46 PM

Most polls today are designed to drive rather than reflect public opinion. If the Huckster doesn’t get the GOP nomination, he can always run on the Bad Music Party ticket.

bw222 on April 3, 2014 at 5:52 PM

Lanceman on April 3, 2014 at 3:27 PM

Sir?
*Looks down shirt.*
FLINK!!!

annoyinglittletwerp on April 3, 2014 at 6:06 PM

There are so me about Huckabee. He has a genial persona, weshare spiritual and social values, and I think he has good values. Having said that, he isn’t a proponent of small government. He would be a George Bush retread. Oh I would vote for him if he won the nomination, but he is not what the country needs.

TMink on April 3, 2014 at 6:07 PM

Sorry, editing problems! I like Huck, but we need a small government conservative, not a big government social conservative.

TMink on April 3, 2014 at 6:08 PM

..oh, Keeeeeeee-rist!

The War Planner on April 3, 2014 at 6:40 PM

The War Planner on April 3, 2014 at 6:40 PM

Good evening to you..:)

PS..As for Huckabee..No..:)

Dire Straits on April 3, 2014 at 7:12 PM

We all know the Huckabots are notorious for voting en masse on internet polls . They can’t win anything else./

iwasbornwithit on April 3, 2014 at 7:12 PM

Let the heavens collide!

I may not vote

Obamatrix on April 3, 2014 at 10:42 PM

I’m glad to see Huckabee still polls at the top, despite not having run since 2008, and with essentially no one from the pundit class backing him. Perhaps the establishment will take notice, and recognize that he has a genuine, grassroots-level of support, and try to build on that.

Stoic Patriot on April 4, 2014 at 7:15 AM