Yikes: ObamaCare signups slowed down in February

posted at 6:01 pm on March 11, 2014 by Erika Johnsen

That the 7 million people the Obama administration once hopefully projected would enroll in ObamaCare before the end of the open enrollment period on March 31st, haven’t, was to be expected; after all, they did rather tremendously screw up the rollout of their flagship website, but once they patched the federal exchange up a little (and that’s to say nothing of several individual states’ exchange calamities), signups started trickling in more smoothly. If the Obama administration was really hoping that a better-functioning website and their various PR efforts would help to spread national enthusiasm and set off a late enrollment “surge,” however… things aren’t looking too great so far. The administration just released a report on February’s ObamaCare signups, coming in at 942,000+ — a significant deceleration from January, and a lot less than their February prediction of 1.3 million. Philip Klein breaks it down:

Weeks before the health care law’s exchanges launched Oct. 1, an HHS memo projected that 5.7 million individuals would enroll in a plan through one of Obamacare’s exchanges by the end of February. In reality, HHS said Tuesday, just 4.2 million Americans had signed up in the first five months.

HHS still hasn’t disclosed how many Americans who have signed up for a plan through the website have consistently paid their premiums, which is how enrollment is typically measured. Thus, HHS figures could overstate enrollment by around 20 percent to 25 percent. …

In January, 1,146,071 individuals signed up for insurance on the exchanges, according to HHS. In February, that number declined to 942,800.

That ever-present caveat — that “selecting a plan” and “actually purchasing said plan” are not necessarily one and the same thing — means that enrollment could really be somewhere in the three-to-four million range. If the pace of March’s signups don’t pick up a lot, that could be bad news for the president’s crowning legislative achievement (or, perhaps I should say, bad news for the taxpayer dollars that will then be used to bail out the president’s crowning legislative achievement, for the increasingly expensive healthcare plans consumers will have to buy, and for the overall hot mess that the administration has managed to make of the entire insurance industry and economy at large).

The even worse news, as ever, is that the proper mix of young people evidently remain oh-so-stubbornly disinterested in following the administration’s desperate recommendations that they sign up for ObamaCare. The White House was originally hoping that 40 percent of those hoped-for 7 million enrollees would be those relatively low-risk, low-cost young people to help keep prices down, but so far, it’s not even close.

Figure 1 and Table 1 show that, consistent with expectations, the proportion of young adults (ages 18 to 34) who have selected a Marketplace plan through the SBMs and FFM has remained strong. Young adults continued to account for 27 percent of the Marketplace plan selections during the fifth month, which was consistent with their share of plan selections during the fourth month (27 percent) and 3 percentage points higher than their share of plan selections during the first three months (24 percent). Meanwhile, the proportion of older adults (ages 35 and over) selecting a Marketplace plan has continued to decrease (from 70 percent during the first three months to 67 percent during the fifth month).

The law’s supporters are banking on young people being procrastinators and waiting until the tail end of the enrollment period, and no doubt some of them will — but the January-to-February ratios didn’t budge, and those ratios only barely budged from December. Hence… this.


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Yeah right, like we can believe anything they tell us.

otlset on March 11, 2014 at 6:08 PM

Single payer coming very soon…

OmahaConservative on March 11, 2014 at 6:08 PM

Down with the Queen of Death, Zeke Mengele, and the King of Liars!

22044 on March 11, 2014 at 6:09 PM

Someone needs to hack HHS and get the real numbers. Is Snowden available?

Sven on March 11, 2014 at 6:12 PM

It’s a little month rethuglicans. Leap year would have been much better.

hawkdriver on March 11, 2014 at 6:13 PM

I found out today that I’m a Blue Cross ObamaCare OB but unfortunately the only hospital in the city that is, is the community charity hospital. LOL. This went over with the O-Care Mammas like a skunk at a picnic.

Marcus on March 11, 2014 at 6:22 PM

Is the thing even a law anymore? There have been so many changes/delays how can they even know what to predict as far as enrollments go? Sebelius should be brought before congress and forced to answer the enrollment questions, if she doesn’t know she should be called incompetent and asked to resign in front of the cameras. Single payer just may be the end game here.

major dad on March 11, 2014 at 6:22 PM

Does anyone know if the original projection numbers included the 5-6.5 Million people who were kicked off plans at the end of last year?

I assume not, since they’d be admitting a bit of a hole there, but my understanding is that is where most of the paid enrollees are from.

MC88 on March 11, 2014 at 6:29 PM

The numbers will be faked.

albill on March 11, 2014 at 6:29 PM

Single payer just may be the end game here.

major dad on March 11, 2014 at 6:22 PM

Of course it is…

OmahaConservative on March 11, 2014 at 6:29 PM

Now is this a “rebound”?

CWchangedhisNicagain on March 11, 2014 at 6:29 PM

I found out today that I’m a Blue Cross ObamaCare OB but unfortunately the only hospital in the city that is, is the community charity hospital. LOL. This went over with the O-Care Mammas like a skunk at a picnic.

Marcus on March 11, 2014 at 6:22 PM

I know you don’t care for my comments but I’d love to recommend that you thank them for taking one for the team.

hawkdriver on March 11, 2014 at 6:29 PM

Huge Success!

with a smidgen of BS

trs on March 11, 2014 at 6:30 PM

Someone needs to hack HHS and get the real numbers. Is Snowden available?

Sven on March 11, 2014 at 6:12 PM

As amateur as that one is, B.More could be in in ten seconds. The password is probably ‘Messiah’.

Lanceman on March 11, 2014 at 6:30 PM

Young healthy knuckleheads.

T.S.S. on March 11, 2014 at 6:31 PM

Single payer just may be the end game here.

major dad on March 11, 2014 at 6:22 PM

Of course it is…

OmahaConservative on March 11, 2014 at 6:29 PM

Always was.

Rio Linda Refugee on March 11, 2014 at 6:35 PM

The WH can explain why:

WH Official On Why Obamacare “Sign Ups” Dropped In February: “There Are Fewer Days In January Than February”…

http://weaselzippers.us/wp-content/uploads/550x410xScreen-shot-2014-03-11-at-4.42.39-PM-550×410.png.pagespeed.ic.-SvQFKSpgu.png

http://weaselzippers.us/179020-senior-white-house-communications-director-tara-mcguinness-is-a-moron/

DinaRehn on March 11, 2014 at 6:38 PM

But hey because of the unfunny or dye thingy with that Zack Girlyfunkyackus guy the regime will recruit more of the under 30 stupids. Didn’t you hear?

neyney on March 11, 2014 at 6:38 PM

Single payer just may be the end game here.
major dad on March 11, 2014 at 6:22 PM
Of course it is…
OmahaConservative on March 11, 2014 at 6:29 PM
Always was.
Rio Linda Refugee on March 11, 2014 at 6:35 PM

Only viable option. He should have fought for single payer from the get go.

i_am_liberal on March 11, 2014 at 6:41 PM

Just remember, boys and girls, ObamaCare won’t cost the US Taxpayer ONE DIME!

GarandFan on March 11, 2014 at 6:42 PM

Only viable option. He should have LIED for single payer from the get go.

i_am_liberal on March 11, 2014 at 6:41 PM

Corrected.

Sven on March 11, 2014 at 6:47 PM

Obama promised me a pony and all I got was a pile of equine excrement.

Corporal Tunnel on March 11, 2014 at 6:47 PM

Good luck with the healthy young.

My daughter is 27 and, fortunately, has a good job. She says that everyone she knows will definitely not sign up for ObumbleCare. They are mostly liberals or LIVs but they all hate it. They may be dumb but they’re not stupid.

tominsd on March 11, 2014 at 6:48 PM

Only viable option. He should have fought for single payer from the get go.

i_am_liberal on March 11, 2014 at 6:41 PM

It’s not “single payer” … it’s millions of taxpayers.

darwin on March 11, 2014 at 6:54 PM

Only 21 days left to sign up, boys ‘n girls! Until Barry moves the end of March to the end of May or something. After all, He’s. The. Law.

Since its inception, provisions of the law have been delayed a total of 28 times; the average delay was six months and three weeks. Put another way, the cumulative delays add up to an astonishing 15 years and three months.

de rigueur on March 11, 2014 at 6:58 PM

Only viable option. He should have fought for single payer from the get go.
 
i_am_liberal on March 11, 2014 at 6:41 PM

 
+1 except for that thing that the majority of the nation was satisfied with before y’all forced Obamacare through.
 
But other than that, great point.

rogerb on March 11, 2014 at 6:59 PM

Sitting here with a smile on my face….knowing that Kathleen Sea Hag Sebelius will someday die.
Hopefully a painful death.
III

Sgt Stryker on March 11, 2014 at 7:05 PM

Ka-plagh!!!

Eric in Hollywood on March 11, 2014 at 7:06 PM

Only viable option. He should have fought for single payer from the get go.

i_am_liberal on March 11, 2014 at 6:41 PM

That’s right. And now that the whole thing looks like one gigantic lie, who is going to believe the next push.

I get a good feeling we might be able to abolish this yet.

hawkdriver on March 11, 2014 at 7:49 PM

Just remember, boys and girls, ObamaCare won’t cost the US Taxpayer ONE DIME!

GarandFan on March 11, 2014 at 6:42 PM

…all the advertising is free!

KOOLAID2 on March 11, 2014 at 7:50 PM

God, she’s one ugly broad.

lostmotherland on February 26, 2014 at 4:09 PM

She looks better in the original SS black uniform.

slickwillie2001 on March 11, 2014 at 7:54 PM

Next up: Hillarycare. Post Hillarycare: Euthanasia

vnvet on March 11, 2014 at 7:57 PM

Only viable option. He should have fought for single payer from the get go.

i_am_liberal on March 11, 2014 at 6:41 PM

HUH? Look at the turd they rolled out with partial govt intervention…no one is ever going to buy into the idea of single payer except for the unicorn riding crowd….

hillsoftx on March 11, 2014 at 8:04 PM

Only viable option. He should have fought for single payer from the get go.

i_am_liberal on March 11, 2014 at 6:41 PM

Yeah…And if a frog had wings, he wouldn’t bump his arse when he tried to fly, either…

bimmcorp on March 11, 2014 at 8:53 PM

SHOCKED!

SHOCKED I TELL YOU!
(image of trainwreck)

Pelosi Schmelosi on March 11, 2014 at 9:20 PM

They may be dumb but they’re not stupid.

tominsd on March 11, 2014 at 6:48 PM

Well, even if they are, they aren’t willing to shell out the kind of bucks they would need to to support Obamacare. There’s no way this will work because it’s just too expensive for young people.

talkingpoints on March 11, 2014 at 9:29 PM

EPIC FAIL!

Just like it’s namesake.
I’m shocked…shocked I tell ya!

Time for another Executive Order Barry ya dope!

Pelosi Schmelosi on March 11, 2014 at 9:29 PM

One of the first things that an upcoming Republican Administration should do is to sue each and every Obamacare contractor for breach-of-contract and damages. They were all selected for political reasons to funnel public money to cronies, and there is no reason at all not to gouge every cent back from them, ruin them, destroy them, bankrupt their officers, and salt their fields.

cthulhu on March 12, 2014 at 3:58 AM

The WH can explain why:

WH Official On Why Obamacare “Sign Ups” Dropped In February: “There Are Fewer Days In January Than February”…

DinaRehn on March 11, 2014 at 6:38 PM

942k / 28 * 31 = 1.04m

The White House has a dumb.

The Schaef on March 12, 2014 at 9:49 AM

Got ourselves a little Irish Democracy going here.

jdpaz on March 12, 2014 at 10:23 AM

Single payer just may be the end game here.

major dad on March 11, 2014 at 6:22 PM

While that is the end game, I don’t think it has the possibility of flying any more. If they screwed up the ACA this badly, who in their right mind would think that they wouldn’t screw up single payer.

dominigan on March 12, 2014 at 11:26 AM