Poll: Plurality of Republicans now say Christie shouldn’t run for president

posted at 11:21 am on February 26, 2014 by Allahpundit

Of the five big names polled — him, Jeb, Rubio, Rand Paul, and Cruz — Christie’s the only one who’s net negative when Republicans are asked whether each should jump in. Not only that, but the guy with the most support among the five is Bush.

Have RINOs settled on a new champion?

run

The good news for Christie: Bush is deep underwater at 26/43 when independents are asked this question. The bad news: Christie himself trails the other three Republicans named in the poll. Rubio stands at 26/24 among indies, Paul at 30/29, and Cruz at 20/25. Christie is six points underwater at 28/34. Maybe that’s a function of name recognition, with the other, lesser known candidates destined to see their negatives rise as independents get to know them better. But remember, indies are supposed to be Christie’s bread and butter irrespective of how his competition polls with them. He’s the blue-stater who’s going to expand the GOP tent, right? And it’s really not the case that the other three guys are far less well known than him. He and Paul are comparable and Paul polls marginally better. Rubio has a serious liability on his record from spearheading amnesty and he polls better. Even Cruz, whom the media disdains as a kamikaze conservative, doesn’t attract as many thumbs down among independents. What happens between now and next year to turn this around for Christie?

The numbers back home in Jersey are brutal for him too. A morsel from the new Monmouth poll:

temper

Back in September, the split on that question was 56/34. The rest of the poll is littered with sour opinions of him — New Jersey voters think he was personally involved in Bridgegate (50/44), think it was politics as usual for his administration (49/46, versus 39/55 just a month ago), believe he hasn’t been completely honest about the scandal (33/61), and believe that it’s very or somewhat likely that Christie’s administration used Sandy relief funds to exert power over local officials (60 percent). Most strikingly, more Jersey voters would now give the administration a C, D, or F in its handling of the Sandy recovery, which is supposed to be Christie’s most sterling leadership credential, than an A or B. (Six months ago, 72 percent gave them an A or B.) His job approval is down to 49 percent among registered voters, the first time it’s been below 50 since 2011. Absent a major unexpected turnaround, what’s left of the idea that Christie alone among major Republican candidates has some special crossover appeal to Democrats and independents?

Makes me wonder what happens if his numbers haven’t rebounded by this fall. Will he go ahead with a run anyway on the theory that he’ll never have an opportunity as good as 2016 again, no matter how damaged he might be? Or will he calculate that he’s better off passing and campaigning hard instead for someone like Jeb in exchange for a cabinet appointment later? He can’t run again for governor in 2017 and he’s not going to beat Cory Booker for Senate, so unless he’s planning to challenge Bob Menendez, his options are basically 2016 or bust. Exit question: Who’s the biggest winner from that CBS poll up top? Is it really Jeb or is it Rubio? Rubio’s supposed to be DOA because of immigration reform but neither Republican voters nor indies oppose the prospect of him running. If Jeb decides to pass, he’s potentially well positioned as a center-right alternative to Paul and Cruz.


Related Posts:

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Comment pages: 1 2

Over

Bmore on February 26, 2014 at 3:58 PM

right2bright

Speaking of fools.

Then why did the NYT and MSDNC come down on him like a ton of bricks over such a minor incident?

For the same reason they will come down on any other potential candidate: Because they want a democrat president. Not complicated.

They’re going after Scott Walker now for the same reason. They can’t run the “War on _____” campaign against him. They can’t caricature him and make people afraid of him. He has experience and is articulate.

rockmom

Proving just how out of touch with reality you truly are. They can run whatever campaign against him or any other candidate that they want. Making things up doesn’t require any facts.

The media/Democrat complex is telegraphing for us who they fear and who they don’t. If only we will pay attention.

rockmom

No they aren’t. They are simply doing whatever they can to damage every potential candidate that comes forward. It has nothing to do with the “they’ll show us who they fear most” baloney.

xblade on February 26, 2014 at 4:00 PM

If Milton Wolf disqualified himself from office, no way in hell is the fat man any more qualified than that. Go home, Chris.

gryphon202 on February 26, 2014 at 4:26 PM

Cruz/Christie 2016!

Ha

verbaluce on February 26, 2014 at 5:08 PM

They’re going after Scott Walker now for the same reason. They can’t run the “War on _____” campaign against him. They can’t caricature him and make people afraid of him. He has experience and is articulate.

rockmom

Proving just how out of touch with reality you truly are. They can run whatever campaign against him or any other candidate that they want. Making things up doesn’t require any facts.

Very true. There was never any indication that the GOP planned any “war on women” by banning contraceptives, yet, to help his Democratic buddies George Stephanopolos introduced that meme nationally at the New Hampshire Presidential debate. Now the GOP was moronic by agreeing to Stephanopolos as debate moderator.

bw222 on February 26, 2014 at 6:43 PM

Mike Pence
Scott Walker
Bobby Jindal
Mitch Daniels
Mary Fallin
Nikki Haley

I know not one of these names is perfect idioticeologically

Ted Cruz fights, has experience.

Obama was a 2-year Senator idiot and still is!eologue with no governing experience and his administration has botched one thing after another.

It’s not all idiocyeology; practical experience helps as well.

huh4 on February 14 at 11AM

….edited for accuracy !

cableguy615 on February 26, 2014 at 9:18 PM

I peed my bed again

verbaldouche on February 26, 2014 at 5:08 PM

cableguy615 on February 26, 2014 at 9:20 PM

Then why did the NYT and MSDNC come down on him like a ton of bricks over such a minor incident?

Because he made himself an easy target. Mr-Reformer-as-just-your-average-run-of-the-mill-shady-pol, whether it’s true or not. I remember a time when simply the accusation was enough to render someone “damaged goods”.

Good grief. They want someone as far right as possible so they can run the “war on women/blacks/immigrants/gays/poor” campaign again.

rockmom on February 26, 2014 at 11:40 AM

So why aren’t they talking up Cruz? Or even *gasp* Palin? The idea that the media wants a conservative to run (in your lingo that would be “far right”) is ridiculous. For example, they got just the GOP nominee they wanted in 2012. And we were told they were sooooo afraid of Mitt.

ddrintn on February 26, 2014 at 9:30 PM

The “conservative media” will do pretty much whatever it can to destroy any candidate that can actually win an election. About 35% of the electorate nationally is Republican. Less than half of that number is far right “true conservative”. To get the candidate all the “true conservatives” like would mean a guaranteed Democrat President for decades. What you are witnessing is doing the same thing to Christie they did to Romney and helped get Obama elected — twice.

Hell, they will probably want to run Rand Paul or Ted Cruz, lose by 10 or more points, and want to blame “the establishment” because the independents wouldn’t vote for him. You can get every single Republican vote and still lose by a double digit margin. What are any of the alternative candidates doing to attract independents and crossover Democrats? Without them you lose — every single time.

crosspatch on February 26, 2014 at 11:48 PM

crosspatch on February 26, 2014 at 11:48 PM

Awww the flawed purity argument. You do realize that the tea party wasn’t even in existence until 2009, so your Obama won twice because of conservatives doesn’t wash. You had Ford, Dole, McCain, and Romney and they all LOST. Romney lost because he had no platform, stood for nothing, and basically invented Obamacare. If you want somebody to blame, look in the mirror and blame the Neostatists who keep trying to prop up these losers

Brock Robamney on February 27, 2014 at 5:59 PM

Christie is pro Obamacare, pro gun control, pro amnesty, and pro climate change. The motto is “Don’t expect us to support another North Eastern Liberal”

Brock Robamney on February 27, 2014 at 6:03 PM

Comment pages: 1 2