Kentucky poll: Mitch McConnell now trails Democratic challenger by four points in Senate bid

posted at 4:01 pm on February 7, 2014 by Allahpundit

Each of the five polls taken since December have had the race tight, but this is the first one showing Alison Lundergan Grimes in the lead. Noise or omen?

I know what you’re thinking, but don’t celebrate just yet.

“This is not going to be a coast for Mitch McConnell,” said pollster Jay Leve of Survey USA. “It’s going to be a dogfight. Every vote is going to matter. This election is going to have national consequences. We’re going to see a lot of money from outside interests flow into Kentucky.”…

Sixty percent of likely voters in the Bluegrass Poll disapprove of McConnell’s job performance, matching President Barack Obama’s sixty percent disapproval rating in Kentucky…

Among likely voters, McConnell and Grimes have virtually identical favorability ratings in the poll, 27 percent for McConnell and 26 percent for Grimes.

But McConnell’s 50 percent unfavorability rating is nearly twice Grimes’ 27 percent unfavorability rating.

A 27/50 favorability rating is not the stuff of which reelection is made. That means Matt Bevin’s the obvious choice on electability grounds in the GOP primary, right? He’s doing about as well as McConnell is against Grimes right now, trailing by just five points. One recent poll from Rasmussen even had him outperforming McConnell head to head with the Democrat.

Maybe not. Survey USA has McConnell leading Bevin in the primary by 26 points, 55/29. Why? Because, while McConnell may be toxic to Democrats and independents, he’s still above water within his own party. Among Republicans, his job approval is net positive at 51/41 while his favorable rating is 46/30. Even more interesting, when you ask Kentucky GOPers if McConnell compromises too much, too little, or just the right amount with Democrats, they split 35/20/32, i.e., there’s a clear majority who either approve of his dealmaking or wish he would do more, a mild surprise among a base that nominated Rand Paul four years ago. The knock on him from grassroots righties is that he’s the RINO di tutti RINOs but, if you believe Survey USA, Kentucky Republicans aren’t seeing it.

Bevin’s numbers on the “compromise” question, incidentally, are 19/16/22, but it’s hard to draw firm lessons about him from that given that he’s still unknown to so many voters (when asked whether they view Bevin favorably or unfavorably, fully 64 percent of GOPers either said “neutral” or “no opinion”). Right now, as is always true of a tea-party challenger in the early stages, he’s more “Republican who isn’t the incumbent I dislike” than he is a candidate with discrete views of his own. What happens, though, once voters realize he’s running to McConnell’s right? In theory, the fact that even Republican voters prefer compromise would hurt him; Bevin himself is sufficiently worried about that that he took care to denounce the government shutdown last October (sort of) to put voters at ease. On the other hand, he’s posted photos of himself attending Bircher events, which is … not so compromise-y. He’s trying to find the sweet spot between being conservative enough to get tea partiers psyched to turn out in the primary and swamp the moderates backing McConnell and not so conservative that it’s easy for Grimes to demagogue him if he makes it to the general. Not easy, but Rubio was facing the same problem against Crist four years ago and you know how that turned out.

By the way, keep an eye on the proxy war that’s brewing here between the Clintons and Rand Paul, who’s taken to calling Bill a “sexual predator” lately. Grimes is bringing Bill Clinton to Kentucky to try to seize the electoral middle ground, in the expectation that McConnell and Bevin will spend the next few months tacking right for the primary. McConnell will, at some point, bring in his pal Rand to go to bat for him, whether in the primary or the general. Will Monica Lewinsky be name-checked before November? Fingers crossed.


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Noob Bishop?

Exninja on February 7, 2014 at 4:03 PM

But Matt Bevin beats “Grimey”, huh?

22044 on February 7, 2014 at 4:03 PM

Slaughter that RINO!!!

WryTrvllr on February 7, 2014 at 4:04 PM

Hey Old McDonnell, how’s that attack the TEA Party strategy of your working out now?

oscarwilde on February 7, 2014 at 4:05 PM

With numbers like those he is detrimental to Republicans in Kentucky. Shouldn’t McConnell take a page from his own establishment book and step down for the good of the party?

NotCoach on February 7, 2014 at 4:05 PM

Free McConnell from his JobLock! FREE HIM!!

Bevin for Senate!

Left_is_Wrong on February 7, 2014 at 4:05 PM

We need to throw as many as these cons out as we can!

They’re holding up my unemployment and I’ve had to buy mids instead of my usual dank weed.

LISTEN UP CONS! WE MAY NOT BE WORKING AND WE MAY LIKE TO GET HIGH, BUT WE ALSO VOTE!

LeftoCenter on February 7, 2014 at 4:07 PM

Noob Bishop?

Exninja on February 7, 2014 at 4:03 PM

Bishop is currently busy stocking his bunker… Don’t ask with what…

oscarwilde on February 7, 2014 at 4:07 PM

Meh. RINO…

OmahaConservative on February 7, 2014 at 4:07 PM

GOOD RIDDANCE!
Lets hope the primary ousts the loser so the seat can be retained. But if it is Mitch vs any Democrat, I hope Mitch loses.

astonerii on February 7, 2014 at 4:08 PM

Rand shouldnt reduce Clintons depraved behavoir to Monica Lewinsky. There are a lot more women in Clintons closet. If you wanna call out Democrats for turning a blind eye to the abuse of women by their politicians, name-checking Juanita Broaddrick is a must.

Valkyriepundit on February 7, 2014 at 4:08 PM

If we had to lose two seats to the marxist dems, I would say that the loss of Weeping John and Mitch the Turtle would pretty much send a statement and cut the head off the snake that is the crony capitalist caucus.

Exninja on February 7, 2014 at 4:08 PM

Pshaw! Nothing that another dam can’t fix. That’s the sweet spot.

butch on February 7, 2014 at 4:09 PM

I hope he loses to the Dim.

The only way to beat the establishment is to prove to them that are so laim they can’t even beat a Dim in a fairly Red state.

RINOS – YOUR TIME IS OVER.

GTFO

HondaV65 on February 7, 2014 at 4:09 PM

They should hand out cigars at every Clinton event ask all the women to wear blue dresses with irregular white spots.

2Tru2Tru on February 7, 2014 at 4:10 PM

Dear KY GOP primary voters: before you cast your ballot, please don’t overlook this important fact about McConnell.

Kataklysmic on February 7, 2014 at 4:10 PM

I put zero stock in any poll….

liberalrules on February 7, 2014 at 10:54 AM

Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:10 PM

How comical would it be to see GOP take the six seats needed. Then lose in Kentucky, the home of the guy who would be Majority Leader.

kevinkristy on February 7, 2014 at 4:12 PM

Keep kicking your base in the face and see what happens.
And, get your mouth fixed,

HillC Liver Spot on February 7, 2014 at 4:12 PM

Rand shouldnt reduce Clintons depraved behavoir to Monica Lewinsky. There are a lot more women in Clintons closet. If you wanna call out Democrats for turning a blind eye to the abuse of women by their politicians, name-checking Juanita Broaddrick is a must.

Valkyriepundit on February 7, 2014 at 4:08 PM

Yes, a lot of fruit on that tree.

the_nile on February 7, 2014 at 4:12 PM

I don’t care if Grimes wins. I want McConnell gone. RINOS are worse than democrats.

ConstantineXI on February 7, 2014 at 4:13 PM

And the loser is

Rand Paul.

huckleberryfriend on February 7, 2014 at 4:14 PM

Oh thank God. I can’t WAIT for the 2014 mid-terms. I am SO looking forward to dumping every Rino and handing that seat over to the Democrats.

Smells like….victory.

WryTrvllr on February 7, 2014 at 4:15 PM

Vote ‘em out. Dems take over? So what’s the difference?

MMK on February 7, 2014 at 4:15 PM

But he’s old and tough.

Go for the younger ones first.

Them’s good eatin.

WryTrvllr on February 7, 2014 at 4:15 PM

November 2004, John Thune (R-SD) defeated Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle (D-SD). While uncommon, McConnell losing would not be unheard of, unless it were to happen during the primary.

Would Mitch pull a Murkowski if he lost the primary even if it would likely assure a pickup of the seat for Dems?

airupthere on February 7, 2014 at 4:16 PM

Oh thank God. I can’t WAIT for the 2014 mid-terms. I am SO looking forward to dumping every Rino and handing that seat over to the Democrats.

Smells like….victory.

WryTrvllr on February 7, 2014 at 4:15 PM

People like Mitch make the choice almost meaningless. Except for the problem that his putridness rubs off on the rest of the party.

astonerii on February 7, 2014 at 4:16 PM

Watch Mitch do the right-side slide….he’s a dancin’ man and he just can’t lose

Art Vandelay on February 7, 2014 at 4:17 PM

Another moderate being pushed around? Gee, what a surprise.

right2bright on February 7, 2014 at 4:17 PM

Let’s see, Establishment GOP RINO is losing by four. That can only mean one thing: time to rally the HotAir team.

reddevil on February 7, 2014 at 4:17 PM

You lousy socons are gonna lose us the Senate!

Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:17 PM

How comical would it be to see GOP take the six seats needed. Then lose in Kentucky, the home of the guy who would be Majority Leader.

kevinkristy on February 7, 2014 at 4:12 PM

fluking hysterical

WryTrvllr on February 7, 2014 at 4:18 PM

People like Mitch make the choice almost meaningless. Except for the problem that his putridness rubs off on the rest of the party.

astonerii on February 7, 2014 at 4:16 PM

Great. So we’re in agreement. Vote Democrat!

WryTrvllr on February 7, 2014 at 4:19 PM

Not to delve into the obscure arts of unskewing polls, but McConnell couldn’t possibly win with a D+14 electorate, like this poll suggests.

Next.

GerGOP on February 7, 2014 at 4:19 PM

O/T, but when is a special forces team going to track down that military dog and kill the shit out of the terrorists who kidnapped him?
That would do great things for moral.

HillC Liver Spot on February 7, 2014 at 4:21 PM

I’m as hardcore as anybody but losing a republican senate seat to get rid of McConnell is no win for us. We really need to take back the senate even if it is not as conservative as we want it to be.

jukin3 on February 7, 2014 at 4:21 PM

FWIW – Even with McConnell’s apparent polling troubles, Sabato says this is an overrated race. And that McConnell will win when all said and done, and won’t really be close.

The odds of McConnell, even with his weak approval ratings, losing either the primary or general election are not impressive. In the primary, McConnell has a gigantic money advantage and sizable polling edge over Bevin, and for all the hype surrounding the “Establishment vs. Tea Party” narrative in Republican primaries, we need to be mindful of history.

Since 1946, only 5 percent of all sitting senators running for reelection have been defeated in a primary (as have only 2 percent of all House members running for reelection in the same time period). And despite banner headlines every time an incumbent falls, the proportion has not been steadily increasing—only eight of those 46 primary defeats have happened in the last 30 years. Yes, incumbent Republican senators Robert Bennett of Utah, Richard Lugar of Indiana, and Lisa Murkowski of Alaska lost primaries over the past two cycles, but there were extenuating circumstances beyond the Establishment-Tea Party divide: Bennett was surprised in a restrictive nominating convention of conservative ultra-activists and thus didn’t advance to a primary that he likely would have won; Lugar had basically abandoned Indiana as his residence and was overconfident and ill-equipped for Richard Mourdock’s challenge; and Murkowski remains in the Senate after winning a remarkable write-in race against the fatally flawed GOP primary winner, Joe Miller. While the 2010 Tea Party insurgencies were notable, one year does not a trend make. (For more on this topic, we highly recommend Clark University political scientist Robert Boatright’s Getting Primaried.)

Unlike Bennett, Murkowski and Lugar, McConnell has not been napping. He understands his character is chilly and his personal appeal is limited, and that he is not going to be re-nominated and reelected on a tide of voter love and gratitude—the egotistical assumption of many Senate old bulls. With blunt anti-President Obama issue positioning on health care and most other things, McConnell has left as little ground as possible for Bevin to till; McConnell and his aides have made it abundantly clear that they’re watching as state bigwigs choose sides, and names of supporters and opponents are being carefully noted by a man with a long memory.

Assuming, as we do, that McConnell makes it to the general election, he faces an appealing foe in Grimes, who (with the help of her father, a former state Democratic Party chairman) knows her way around the Bluegrass State. In the right year, under the most favorable circumstances, one could conceive of Grimes ending McConnell’s career. But 2014 is not that year, with a Democratic president on the ropes in the red states. Even factoring in “McConnell fatigue” after his five terms, is it really reasonable to expect the Republican Senate nominee to lose an election where Obama’s 2013 approval rating (according to Gallup) was only 35 percent, among the lowest in the country? Always possible, but not especially plausible.

This is all to say that while the Kentucky Senate race might be the most-watched contest right now, it probably shouldn’t be by the fall. Control of the Senate will likely be decided elsewhere. For example, we suspect the side that wins two of the following three currently Democratic-held seats—Alaska, Louisiana and North Carolina—will capture control of the Senate.

(Just to illustrate the amount of undue coverage the Kentucky race is getting, we used the LexisNexis Academic database and found 135 newspaper stories mentioning McConnell and Grimes since the start of last year; that’s more than the combined number of stories—128—featuring the top candidates in those key Alaska, Louisiana and North Carolina races, which are the only Senate races in the country that our Crystal Ball election ratings call “Toss-ups.” Our rating for the Kentucky Senate race is “Likely Republican.”)

kevinkristy on February 7, 2014 at 4:21 PM

Just what we need. Another progressive minded woman in the Senate.

HillAREwe on February 7, 2014 at 4:21 PM

If Bevin is able to make a good demonstration that he can be able to be conciliatory, I’d say he’s worth it. Too early to tell how it’ll go, but hey there is an opening…McConnell isn’t exactly a worthy individual to defend here. We shall see.

zacmidnigh on February 7, 2014 at 4:22 PM

Just what we need. Another progressive minded woman in the Senate.

HillAREwe on February 7, 2014 at 4:21 PM

Boy howdy! You ain’t lyin’! We’re full up with enough of them as it is!

Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:23 PM

Although his turkey neck excites me, he needs to go.

PrettyMooch on February 7, 2014 at 4:23 PM

O/T, but when is a special forces team going to track down that military dog and kill the shit out of the terrorists who kidnapped him?
That would do great things for moral.

HillC Liver Spot on February 7, 2014 at 4:21 PM

Depends. Did they get much yield out of Moochelle’s garden?

WryTrvllr on February 7, 2014 at 4:24 PM

You lousy socons are gonna lose us the Senate!

Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:17 PM

Ugh. Put your inner Panther back. Put. It. Back!

22044 on February 7, 2014 at 4:24 PM

Ugh. Put your inner Panther back. Put. It. Back!

22044 on February 7, 2014 at 4:24 PM

I was Bishing!

Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:24 PM

You lousy socons are gonna lose us the Senate!

LancePantherman on February 7, 2014 at 4:17 PM

Now, can you keep that up for 5 hours straight?

NotCoach on February 7, 2014 at 4:25 PM

Plagiarized entirely from an anon commenter on isteve:

The late Lawrence Auster on the ‘stupid party’ and its support for amnesty:

“So the death of the GOP as a national party is assured—at the hands of the very ethnic group whom in their fantastical mindless delusion they are now embracing, thinking it will mean their salvation.

And I think the GOP has now also assured its death from another quarter—from white conservatives who will now finally realize that the Republicans do not stand for America but for its undoing. How could any conservative now support the GOP? It deserves to be destroyed. I, for one, wish it to be destroyed, and to be replaced by genuine conservative party.”

MMK on February 7, 2014 at 4:26 PM

O/T, but when is a special forces team going to track down that military dog and kill the shit out of the terrorists who kidnapped him?
That would do great things for moral.

HillC Liver Spot on February 7, 2014 at 4:21 PM

Depends. Did they get much yield out of Moochelle’s garden?

WryTrvllr on February 7, 2014 at 4:24 PM

I’m sorry. What?

HillC Liver Spot on February 7, 2014 at 4:26 PM

Boy howdy! You ain’t lyin’! We’re full up with enough of them as it is!
Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:23 PM

Unfortunately not enough. :D

HillAREwe on February 7, 2014 at 4:26 PM

Pantherman on February 7, 2014 at 4:17 PM

Now, can you keep that up for 5 hours straight?

NotCoach on February 7, 2014 at 4:25 PM

Ha! Pantherman! I love it!!!

Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:26 PM

It will be funny when McConnell owes his job to a wacko bird that he tried to knee cap a few years ago.

besser tot als rot on February 7, 2014 at 4:26 PM

On the other hand, he’s posted photos of himself attending Bircher events, which is … not so compromise-y.

Sigh.

At least it’s late enough in the day to respectable start drinking.

And hurry up with those replacement livers.

rbj on February 7, 2014 at 4:27 PM

I am a Kentucky voter. I am voting for Matt Bevin. If McConnell wins the primary I’m not voting for anyone for Senate in November.

ConstantineXI on February 7, 2014 at 4:27 PM

Unfortunately not enough. :D

HillAREwe on February 7, 2014 at 4:26 PM

No, one of those mindless b!tches is one too many.

Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:27 PM

How comical would it be to see GOP take the six seats needed. Then lose in Kentucky, the home of the guy who would be Majority Leader.

kevinkristy on February 7, 2014 at 4:12 PM

Honestly? Better than winning the six seats and having him as Majority Leader. He’s proven he is not leadership material. His disdain for the conservative base of his own party is unconscionable, and he refuses to do anything to alter the downward trajectory of our country. None of that will change just because Repubs take the Senate. It’s hard for a tiger to change his stripes, especially after how many years in office?

yaedon on February 7, 2014 at 4:29 PM

“I am Panther Man. Thank you for banning my son, Panther Pajama Boy. He needs help, so I have sent him off to a mental institution. John Hinkley will be his roommate.”

22044 on February 7, 2014 at 4:29 PM

I’m just amazed that Kentuckians–from Kentucky!–are at this point even remotely considering voting for a Democrat. McConnell sucks, but I’d vote for a dead cockroach if he had an R next to his name over another Obama/Reid rubber stamp. Just unbelievable.

WarEagle01 on February 7, 2014 at 4:29 PM

This is what happens when you kick your nation in the teeth. When you oppose a health care bill that has me on Medicaid and not costing me a DIME!

This is what happens when you cut off MY unemployment. Oh, are you affraid I’ll get high with it? Well it’s none of your business if I buy a little weed with it. It’s my money after all! I can do what I want with it!

Buh-Bye Mr. Turtle. I’ll rip a nice hit for ya!

LeftoCenter on February 7, 2014 at 4:29 PM

No, one of those mindless b!tches is one too many.
Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:27 PM

This is the kind of rhetoric that will guarantee Grimes wins.

HillAREwe on February 7, 2014 at 4:29 PM

LMAO. Any other eeyore polls for us today, AP? Nothing on the series of Harper polls showing good news across the board for the GOP in the Senate? Survey USA is absolute garbage these days by the way.

cdog0613 on February 7, 2014 at 4:31 PM

Would Mitch pull a Murkowski if he lost the primary even if it would likely assure a pickup of the seat for Dems?

airupthere on February 7, 2014 at 4:16 PM

Hadn’t thought about that, but it wouldn’t surprise me.

yaedon on February 7, 2014 at 4:31 PM

This is the kind of rhetoric that will guarantee Grimes wins.

HillAREwe on February 7, 2014 at 4:29 PM

Yep. She and Davis are shoo-ins.

Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:32 PM

I figure it this way, Mitch loses and his constituents send a message. Don’t mess with the base. Even if we lose the senate, 2015/2016 will be too close to the election to get burned and it will be usual gridlock.
Obama may try to use his pen and phone, but Hillary’s people will keep him in pocket.
Then, in 2016, we pick up McCain’s seat and that is one less democrat vote, as long as Arizona does their duty.
Now, can we go kill those terrorists and feed them to the dog?

HillC Liver Spot on February 7, 2014 at 4:32 PM

Yep. She and Davis are shoo-ins.
Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:32 PM

Wendy? Not in Texas – yet.

HillAREwe on February 7, 2014 at 4:33 PM

People like Mitch make the choice almost meaningless. Except for the problem that his putridness rubs off on the rest of the party.

astonerii on February 7, 2014 at 4:16 PM

Great. So we’re in agreement. Vote Democrat!

WryTrvllr on February 7, 2014 at 4:19 PM

I would say vote third party or write-in if you want to make any point other than, “Be more like the Dems.” But hopefully, this whole argument will be moot with a Bevin win in the primary.

yaedon on February 7, 2014 at 4:35 PM

I for one will be donating some of my UC insurance and maybe helping out OFA since I’m not working to get Ms. Grimes in office.

The Senate is an old white man’s sausage party. Time to get more estrogen in there.

LeftoCenter on February 7, 2014 at 4:35 PM

I don’t care enough to look but I think it’s a safe bet that so far the polls are of the public in general or at best registered voters (given the results specific to Republicans).

As we all know, polls mean more closer to elections when they poll likely voters. Which favors the right. Then add that this is an off year election, more favoring of the right.

So none of this means much of anything, imho.

I’d vote against the incumbent and hope turnout proved that the people who cared enough to turn out were in fact the better-informed, smarter, conservative voters.

bertielou on February 7, 2014 at 4:35 PM

And with 20 million sitting he is struggling? Oh Mitchy baby we can help! Just put that money into every Tea Party around the nation and you can be popular again while you drink your margaritas at home!

Come on Mitch, you sly dog you, putting it where it works is the best plan baby! Come now, you know you want to do it!

OregonPolitician on February 7, 2014 at 4:36 PM

Another moderate being pushed around? Gee, what a surprise.

right2bright on February 7, 2014 at 4:17 PM

If he lived up to his campaign promises, he would be neither “moderate” nor being pushed around.

yaedon on February 7, 2014 at 4:36 PM

I’m sorry. What?

HillC Liver Spot on February 7, 2014 at 4:26 PM

They call the guy “Barky” for a reason

WryTrvllr on February 7, 2014 at 4:36 PM

Wendy? Not in Texas – yet.

HillAREwe on February 7, 2014 at 4:33 PM

I can see I’m going to love you, Hill. No sarcasm intended. The other regs understand.

Just do me a favor – PLEASE do not get banned too soon.

Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:37 PM

I am a Kentucky voter. I am voting for Matt Bevin. If McConnell wins the primary I’m not voting for anyone for Senate in November.

ConstantineXI on February 7, 2014 at 4:27 PM

With all due respect, you’re a fool.

Donald Draper on February 7, 2014 at 4:37 PM

I can see I’m going to love you, Hill. No sarcasm intended. The other regs understand.
Just do me a favor – PLEASE do not get banned too soon.
Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:37 PM

Hey, I try to be respectful of you guys. I hope to get a few of you on my winning side.

HillAREwe on February 7, 2014 at 4:38 PM

I would say vote third party or write-in if you want to make any point other than, “Be more like the Dems.” But hopefully, this whole argument will be moot with a Bevin win in the primary.

yaedon on February 7, 2014 at 4:35 PM

If he loses in the primary, but we keep the seat….GREAT!
Otherwise…..nice job.

WryTrvllr on February 7, 2014 at 4:38 PM

Kentucky poll: Mitch McConnell now trails Democratic challenger by four points in Senate bid

But, but, but, How can this be true?

McConnell has all the independents, moderates and illegals that he panders to on his side and he’s punched the Conservatives and TEA Party folks out of the way, he’s riding a winning strategy to a landslide.

RJL on February 7, 2014 at 4:38 PM

So we’re supposed to be rooting for the Dem. in this race?I’m no McConnell lover but I would rather have him then a Dem…

sandee on February 7, 2014 at 4:38 PM

This is the kind of rhetoric that will guarantee Grimes wins.

HillAREwe on February 7, 2014 at 4:29 PM

Yep. She and Davis are shooshoe-ins.

Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:32 PM

At least give Wendy a shout out for what she is known for; her pink shoes, her marital expertise, her mothering skills, and her need to murder babies.

HillC Liver Spot on February 7, 2014 at 4:38 PM

Once the primary shakes out. Grimes has no shot. She will lose by 6-10 points against either Repub. Kentucky is deep red and hates Obamacare.

kevinkristy on February 7, 2014 at 4:39 PM

kevinkristy on February 7, 2014 at 4:21 PM

He has had a huge number of close calls for a sitting incumbent senator. These are McConnell’s wins in previous years:

52-47 2008

65-35 2002

56-43 1996

52-48 1990

49.9-49.5 1984 (First Election)

The fact that he is sitting on a 50% disapproval with a FORTY TWO PERCENT RE-ELECT is scary.

In ALL his previous matchups he was sitting on an over 50% re-elect number in polls before the election. His average now is 43%. When we say the democrat senators are in danger with these numbers, McConnell is not exempted.

NWConservative on February 7, 2014 at 4:39 PM

I’m as hardcore as anybody but losing a republican senate seat to get rid of McConnell is no win for us. We really need to take back the senate even if it is not as conservative as we want it to be.

jukin3 on February 7, 2014 at 4:21 PM

Yes, it is and no we don’t.

I am done with fighting for Republican majorities regardless of whether they are conservative or not. I will no longer vote for the “lesser of two evils.” And I think a lot of voters are in the same boat. McConnell is a disgrace. A Republican majority in the Senate with him as Majority Leader would be utterly worthless. If defeating him means a Democrat in the seat, so be it.

Shump on February 7, 2014 at 4:39 PM

According to the GOP’s mantra, we should all support Bevin and McConnell should step aside, right? This is what they keep saying… to go for the sure seat.

MrX on February 7, 2014 at 4:40 PM

Once the primary shakes out. Grimes has no shot. She will lose by 6-10 points against either Repub. Kentucky is deep red and hates Obamacare.
kevinkristy on February 7, 2014 at 4:39 PM

So deep red that they have a Democratic governor.

HillAREwe on February 7, 2014 at 4:41 PM

Hey, I try to be respectful of you guys. I hope to get a few of you on my winning side.

HillAREwe on February 7, 2014 at 4:38 PM

Well, you know what they say, hope in one hand and sh!t in the other. See which one gets full first.

Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:41 PM

Yep. She and Davis are shooshoe-ins.

Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:32 PM

At least give Wendy a shout out for what she is known for; her pink shoes, her marital expertise, her mothering skills, and her need to murder babies.

HillC Liver Spot on February 7, 2014 at 4:38 PM

ISWYDT

Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:42 PM

I am a Kentucky voter. I am voting for Matt Bevin. If McConnell wins the primary I’m not voting for anyone for Senate in November.

ConstantineXI on February 7, 2014 at 4:27 PM

Does Kentucky not have third parties or write-ins?

I’m asking sincerely, b/c GOPe is evidently not getting the right message when conservatives stay home on election day. You’re saying, “I won’t vote for you b/c you’re not conservative.” They’re hearing, “Conservatives don’t vote anymore, so we need to find another group of constituents.”

yaedon on February 7, 2014 at 4:43 PM

Let’s review what a GOP majority did for us last time. Massive spending increases. Massive growth of government. GOP voter disgust.

Now, let’s review what a Dem majority has been doing for us. Massive spending increases. Massive growth of government. GOP voter disgust.

And I care which party wins why?

Capt Blasto on February 7, 2014 at 4:43 PM

Hey, I try to be respectful of you guys. I hope to get a few of you on my winning side.

HillAREwe on February 7, 2014 at 4:38 PM

Well, you know what they say, hope in one hand and sh!t in the other. See which one gets full first.

Lanceman on February 7, 2014 at 4:41 PM

That seems to be the republican election process.

Pickle on February 7, 2014 at 4:43 PM

I would love to see this turd go down in flames but the dems will protray it as a victory for liberlism even though Mitch defeat would be a defeat for liberalism. At this point I just don’t care anymore.

unseen on February 7, 2014 at 4:45 PM

I am a Kentucky voter. I am voting for Matt Bevin. If McConnell wins the primary I’m not voting for anyone for Senate in November.

ConstantineXI on February 7, 2014 at 4:27 PM

With all due respect, you’re a fool.

Donald Draper on February 7, 2014 at 4:37 PM

Why? Because he chooses to do something with his vote (or lack thereof) that you don’t agree with? No one is obligated to vote a certain way. If he doesn’t like the candidate, why should he vote for them? It is his right. It’s not how I would do things, but others are free to do as they please.

zacmidnigh on February 7, 2014 at 4:46 PM

I’m as hardcore as anybody but losing a republican senate seat to get rid of McConnell is no win for us. We really need to take back the senate even if it is not as conservative as we want it to be.

jukin3 on February 7, 2014 at 4:21 PM

Good luck with that, but you will be doing it without most of us. We have unsuccessfully held our nose and voted for these idiots over and over again, and it has gotten us nowhere. We have Obamacare, debt ceiling raises, taxes raises, talks about amnesty,veteran cuts, etc. They sound like frickin democrats, so who the frick cares if there is a Dem or a Repub in the spot? If they won’t fight the Dems, and they vote just like them; there is no difference.

melle1228 on February 7, 2014 at 4:47 PM

am a Kentucky voter. I am voting for Matt Bevin. If McConnell wins the primary I’m not voting for anyone for Senate in November.

ConstantineXI on February 7, 2014 at 4:27 PM

With all due respect, you’re a fool.

Donald Draper on February 7, 2014 at 4:37 PM

No, the fool is the one who keeps voting the SAME way and expecting different results. How is that debt ceiling, debt, Obamacare, raised taxes etc going for you? Amnesty calling your name yet?

melle1228 on February 7, 2014 at 4:49 PM

I hope that ALL GOPe leadership in the house and senate gets voted out. Hopefully this can happen without losing the house and still winning the senate. Boy that would send a message. I’m sure after 2010 the GOPe will then redouble their efforts to destroy the tea party instead of embracing the voter’s desires.

unseen on February 7, 2014 at 4:49 PM

I’d still be surprised if MM lost in on off-year election, especially a year like this one, in a state like Kentucky. Most Kentuckians hate Obama and why they would want to help him by electing a woman who will support Obama’s handmaiden Reid I can’t see.

Though I still think MM should have retired. He’s 71, and he’s been there half his life.

BushyGreen on February 7, 2014 at 4:50 PM

Wendy? Not in Texas – yet ever.

HillAREwe on February 7, 2014 at 4:33 PM

FIFY

Bitter Clinger on February 7, 2014 at 4:52 PM

I am done with fighting for Republican majorities regardless of whether they are conservative or not. I will no longer vote for the “lesser of two evils.” And I think a lot of voters are in the same boat.

Shump on February 7, 2014 at 4:39 PM

That about sums it up for me.

According to the GOP’s mantra, we should all support Bevin and McConnell should step aside, right? This is what they keep saying… to go for the sure seat.

MrX on February 7, 2014 at 4:40 PM

Do as I say, not as I do. You know the rules.

yaedon on February 7, 2014 at 4:54 PM

GOOD RIDDANCE!
Lets hope the primary ousts the loser so the seat can be retained. But if it is Mitch vs any Democrat, I hope Mitch loses.

astonerii on February 7, 2014 at 4:08 PM

+1, the most important thing is to dislodge the corrupt status quo and getting rid of their so-called “leaders” is a step in the right direction.

FloatingRock on February 7, 2014 at 4:55 PM

BushyGreen on February 7, 2014 at 4:50 PM

turnout will be key. since its an off year election many people will stay home. Lower turnout means that MM will need to turn out his base. thus his retreat on amnesty. But I think MM has really upset his base. When he needs them in Nov I would not be surprised if the base didn’t turn out for him. The Tea party drove Rand Paul to victory. MM spend the last 4 years trying to destory that Tea party. Nothing is for sure atm. but it will not be a surprised to see MM lose in a close election on low turnout. This is why Obama won in 2012. The GOPe waged a 2 year long battle with the TEa party to surpress the turnout. they suceeded and lost becaus eof it. Idiots should have been fanning the flames for the last 4 years not making fire breaks.

unseen on February 7, 2014 at 4:56 PM

I never liked Rand’s father (all that vile StormFront association) but calling out Bill Clinton and the Democrat-enablers takes huge courage. The Clintons go after people, after all. I admire this courage.

MTF on February 7, 2014 at 4:57 PM

IF MM loses in 2014 Jeb bush will not run in 2016.

unseen on February 7, 2014 at 4:59 PM

C’mon McConnell, embrace the suck

307wolverine on February 7, 2014 at 5:00 PM

For people that are asking:

Kentucky has a sore loser law that prevents Mitch from appearing on the ballot after losing the primary. He can do a write in it seems a la Murkowski.

NWConservative on February 7, 2014 at 5:00 PM

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