Poll: Post-Bridgegate, Christie’s job approval in New Jersey falls to … 59%

posted at 4:41 pm on January 13, 2014 by Allahpundit

He was at 65 percent approval a month ago so there has been some deterioration, but any Republican who’s splitting 62/30 among independents in a blue state with a scandal swirling around him is doing okay.

First, the national numbers from Pew. This story is, as you might have guessed, vastly more important to political media and cable-news watchers than it is to the rest of America:

pew

Overall, just 16 percent say their views of Christie are less favorable now than they were before. Sixty percent say the scandal’s made no difference and six percent say it’s actually improved their view of him. The only solace you can take in those numbers if you’re a Christie-hater is that he, more than any other GOP candidate, is counting on his relative popularity with independents and Democrats to drive his “electability” pitch in 2016. Per Pew, that 16 percent who say they think less of him now includes 25 percent of Democrats and 14 percent of independents. The more his numbers dip with those groups (which is to some degree inevitable), the weaker the argument for nominating him gets. Then again, 55 percent of Democrats and 60 percent of independents say their opinion hasn’t changed. How damaging can a scandal be if a majority of the other party doesn’t care?

For the Jersey numbers we turn to Monmouth. As noted, 59 percent approve of his job performance and many more view him favorably on balance than unfavorably (44/28), although that’s several points below where he was just before Hurricane Sandy. Jerseyites are skeptical that he’s being honest about what he knew about Bridgegate, but they believe him when he says he wasn’t involved: 51 percent say he’s not being completely honest and 52 percent think he knew about the damning traffic e-mails before the scandal broke, but 52 percent also say he wasn’t involved (versus 34 percent who think he was) and 62 percent think he dealt with things responsibly. In fact, when asked if they still would have voted for Christie knowing then what they know now, 88 percent (including 75 percent of Democrats) said yes. The problem for Christie opponents, I think, is convincing people that he’s guilty of some special sin here even if they already believe he’s guilty of something. Revealing:

usual1usual2

A majority of Jersey voters think this wasn’t typical of Christie’s M.O. and, of those who think it was, fully three-quarters think other politicians behave that way too. Hard to make the argument stick that he’s a bully who can’t be trusted with power when the response is “hey, all politicians are like that.” Or is it just that Jersey voters, so used to scandal, feel this way while voters nationally might not?

Enormous caveat here, needless to say: If he’s directly implicated in the bridge lane closings and/or if more pols come forward with stories of retaliation for not endorsing him, the numbers will move. One Democratic mayor’s already done that today, claiming that meetings with the governor’s agencies on infrastructure were canceled after he declined to endorse Christie. Let’s retake these polls in a month and see where things stand.


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OOOOh! Meeting were cancelled!! SCANDAL!!1!11!!!!

Fuhgeddaboudit. It’s Jersey.

rockmom on January 13, 2014 at 4:45 PM

Tomorrow is IRS Scandal Day 250.

just sayin…

aquaviva on January 13, 2014 at 4:45 PM

Get him into the ground before he sticks up the place even more.

VorDaj on January 13, 2014 at 4:45 PM

If he’s directly implicated in the bridge lane closings

It depends on what the meaning of directly is, and what the meaning of sex is, and what the meaning of is, is.

VorDaj on January 13, 2014 at 4:48 PM

Ok – but that’s still damn high

jake-the-goose on January 13, 2014 at 4:51 PM

One Democratic mayor’s already done that today, claiming that meetings with the governor’s agencies on infrastructure were canceled after he declined to endorse Christie.

Christie is a mini-me (maxi-me?) version of Obama.

(Assuming what the Dem mayor alledges is true.)

Bitter Clinger on January 13, 2014 at 4:52 PM

There is an appetite for a strongman.

Un signore grasso in NJ and Il Duce in NY.

Viator on January 13, 2014 at 4:57 PM

Considering the corruption endemic in the Democratic party this is not all surprising.

rob verdi on January 13, 2014 at 4:58 PM

Limbaugh has some comments on Chrisie’s fall – Rush Limbaugh: Is Christie Undefendable Or The GOP Too Spineless To Defend Him?

conservativeBC on January 13, 2014 at 5:04 PM

Mary Jo Kopechne from above wonders why the media didn’t show as much concern for the bridge she went off as for Christie’s bridgegate.

Conservative4Ever on January 13, 2014 at 5:07 PM

Damn, I wish something would come along to knock Christie off the front page.

Did ObamaCare suddenly start working great or something?

Bitter Clinger on January 13, 2014 at 5:08 PM

So all the consternation by the MSM amounts to… nothing. As usual.

MrX on January 13, 2014 at 5:10 PM

HOORAY!!!!!!!!

PASS THE DONUTS!!

ToddPA on January 13, 2014 at 5:10 PM

PASS THE DONUTS!!

ToddPA on January 13, 2014 at 5:10 PM

.
AP must get a dozen free donuts from Krispy Kreme every time he does a Chris Christie post.

/

PolAgnostic on January 13, 2014 at 5:14 PM

The only solace you can take in those numbers if you’re a Christie-hater is that he, more than any other GOP candidate, is counting on his relative popularity with independents and Democrats to drive his “electability” pitch in 2016.

President’s McCain and Romney would like to offer their endorsement of the strength of that plan, Karl Rove’s getting a stiffy just thinking about it, and V7-Sport’s putting on the kneepads, getting ready to work the establishment line.

Midas on January 13, 2014 at 5:14 PM

Poll: Post-Bridgegate, Christie’s job approval in New Jersey falls to … 59%

…he needs a hug from JugEars again?

KOOLAID2 on January 13, 2014 at 5:15 PM

Two of my favorite things: Christie and a worthless survey.

HellCat on January 13, 2014 at 7:29 PM

…and six percent say it’s actually improved their view of him.

That probably comes from someone like me. I still won’t vote for him, but I do give him credit for getting into a gutter knife fight with the Democrats by closing down a bridge. Not that it was smart, or that he is a conservative, but our side has to stop playing by the rules of Chivalry. It is like the Democrats are the English at the Battle of Crecy and our side is always the French. Even Beck is talking about the “rules” of political warfare…I would like to know what those rules are. Even Lincoln and Washington got dirty when it was necessary.

Christie is still a loser, he is just less of loser in my eyes now…

William Eaton on January 13, 2014 at 7:39 PM

I still won’t vote for him, but I do give him credit for getting into a gutter knife fight with the Democrats by closing down a bridge.

William Eaton on January 13, 2014 at 7:39 PM

Well, if Christie would just man-up (not something that you will ever see a liberal like Christie do) and admit that he did it (as everyone knows he did), instead of LYING about it, that 6% would probably be much higher.

Pork-Chop on January 13, 2014 at 9:07 PM

stronger than the storm?

*snicker*

workingclass artist on January 13, 2014 at 9:18 PM