VA special election: Republican trails by 10 votes in big Democratic district

posted at 9:31 pm on January 8, 2014 by Mary Katharine Ham

A few leaves for your 2014 tea reading from John McCormack at The Weekly Standard:

A special election held Tuesday for a Norfolk-based state senate seat should have been an easy win for Democrats. President Obama won the district by 15 points (57 percent to 42 percent) in 2012, and Democratic governor-elect Terry McAuliffe won the district by roughly 12 points (52 percent to 40 percent) just two months ago.

But as of Wednesday evening, we still don’t know the result of the election, which will determine control of the Virginia state senate. As election officials continue to double-check the accuracy of vote tallies, Democrat Lynwood Lewis holds just a 10-vote lead over Republican Wayne Coleman.

“I’m amazed that Lewis didn’t win by more in that district,” says Larry Sabato of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics. “Lewis is a member of House of Delegates. Coleman’s barely known.”

Sabato goes on to suggest this poor performance for Democrats, particularly in a special election, could speak to a substantial enthusiasm gap between motivated Republicans and blase Dems.

Here’s hoping. As is customary, almost no one will notice this election whereas a similarly good performance for a Democrat in a similarly Republican district would be a National Story of the Coming ’14 Comeback.

As for the comeback, January is looking better for Democrats than December, but that should be little comfort as December was horrible. The high/lowlights:

After a plunge which saw his job approval rating drop from 46 – 48 percent in August to a negative 38 – 57 percent December 10, his all-time lowest score, President Barack Obama has stopped the drop, but not started the rebound, with a negative 41 – 53 percent job approval in a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.

Women go negative 44 – 49 percent, unchanged from last month. Men are negative 36 – 58 percent, compared to 31 – 64 percent last month, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Negative approval is 9 – 86 percent among Republicans and 35 – 58 percent among independent voters. Democrats approve 81 – 15 percent.

The 2014 congressional races are tied as 38 percent of American voters say they would back a Republican candidate, while 37 percent would back a Democrat.

Voters want Republicans to take the U.S. Senate 46 – 42 percent, with independent voters going for the GOP 45 – 40 percent. Looking at the House of Representatives, 46 percent want Republicans to keep control and 44 percent want Democratic control.

Independents still want Republicans in charge of the Senate, and I’ve heard that segment of voters is growing. President Obama’s only positive rating comes on terrorism, and one wonders how much coverage of Robert Gates’ revelations might change that, if at all:

Obama gets a negative 35 – 61 percent approval rating for handling health care. His ratings for handling other issues are:

Negative 39 – 58 percent on the economy;
Negative 34 – 60 percent on the federal budget;
Positive 52 – 41 percent for handling terrorism;
Negative 41 – 51 percent for handling foreign policy.

Exit question: Is this what momentum looks like?

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Welcome to Virginia State Board of Elections

http://www.sbe.virginia.gov/

canopfor on January 8, 2014 at 9:39 PM

So? They will recount until the dem wins. Happens every time.

cozmo on January 8, 2014 at 9:40 PM

Negative 39 – 58 percent on the economy;
Negative 34 – 60 percent on the federal budget;
Positive 52 – 41 percent for handling terrorism;
Negative 41 – 51 percent for handling foreign policy.

Where was our Commander-n-Chief when 4 Americans died?

Crickets….

Where was our Commander-n-Chief this Christmas?

No crickets///

Electrongod on January 8, 2014 at 9:40 PM

Welcome to Virginia State Board of Elections

2014 Election Results

January 7th Special Election
Election Changes (.csv)

http://www.sbe.virginia.gov/2014ElectionResults.html

canopfor on January 8, 2014 at 9:41 PM

Where was our Commander-n-Chief when 4 Americans died?

Crickets….

Where was our Commander-n-Chief this Christmas?

No crickets///

Electrongod on January 8, 2014 at 9:40 PM

Electringod: Two Helicopter Accidents:)
==========================================

United Kingdom
7h

RAF: US crew who died in helicopter crash named as Capt Christopher S Stover, Capt Sean M Ruane, Sgt Dale E Mathews & SSgt Afton M Ponce – @SkyNewsBreak

http://www.breakingnews.com/topic/us-helicopter-crash-in-england-jan-7-2014/
===========
===========

Norfolk, VA, US
2h

Navy confirms a second crewman has died following the helicopter crash this morning off the coast of Cape Henry, Va. – @WAVY_News
see original on twitter.com

http://www.breakingnews.com/topic/us-navy-helicopter-down-near-norfolk-va-jan-8-2014/

canopfor on January 8, 2014 at 9:45 PM

Positive 52 – 41 percent for handling terrorism

Credit where it’s due, Obama has a good handle on terrorizing people. Look at what he did to Tea Party groups via the IRS. Sheryl Attkisson’s plundered computer files? Yeah, haven’t heard much about that lately. And who can persuade the Chief Justice of the US to change his vote on a major case?

Premier Obama, that’s who.

forest on January 8, 2014 at 9:49 PM

10 votes is not a lead. It is a statistical tie.
An accounting error.
1/10th of one percent.

NeoKong on January 8, 2014 at 9:53 PM

I bet the Republican didn’t run on helping illegal aliens and cutting vet pensions.

Wigglesworth on January 8, 2014 at 9:57 PM

Got to be some extra ballots in a glovebox somewhere.

jeffinsjvca on January 8, 2014 at 9:59 PM

Wow. 10 votes. And just think of all the eligible voters that didn’t vote.

SoulGlo on January 8, 2014 at 10:00 PM

10 votes is not a lead. It is a statistical tie.
An accounting error.
1/10th of one percent.

NeoKong on January 8, 2014 at 9:53 PM

Yep, but it’s a Democrat area. The democrat might as well be ahead by 10,000 votes.

forest on January 8, 2014 at 10:00 PM

Even if the republican were ahead by 10, even a 100, even a 1,000 votes, the dim would still win after all the “lost votes” were found.

VorDaj on January 8, 2014 at 10:12 PM

Sadly guys named Coleman don’t have a good history when it comes to recounts and dodging election fraud…

Gingotts on January 8, 2014 at 10:21 PM

Yes, because anyone who let the underwear bomber in, watched the Times Square Bomber set his device, ignored the Boston Bombing warning signs, and got many Americans killed in Benghazi surely deserves to be President.

HopeHeFails on January 8, 2014 at 10:27 PM

Yep, this election is well within the margin of theft for the DimocRat vote manufacturing machine.

Chalk it up to the Dims, they WILL steal it. Bank on it.

Meople on January 8, 2014 at 10:31 PM

Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell’s finances investigated
4m

In outgoing speech, Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell apologizes for role in gifts scandal – @washingtonpost
read more on washingtonpost.com
=================================

canopfor on January 8, 2014 at 10:32 PM

Is Al Franken around, there should be a bag of ballots in his trunk.

Bishop on January 8, 2014 at 10:36 PM

Sadly guys named Coleman Rossidon’t have a good history when it comes to recounts and dodging election fraud…

Gingotts on January 8, 2014 at 10:21 PM

And I don’t mean that guy ‘calling from the Trib’…

Lanceman on January 8, 2014 at 10:40 PM

Is Al Franken around, there should be a bag of ballots in his trunk.

Bishop on January 8, 2014 at 10:36 PM

If not him, they’ll probably fly in Christine Gregoire from Washington State and whatever ballots she’s still got in her trunk.

theotherone on January 8, 2014 at 10:42 PM

Wow. 10 votes. And just think of all the eligible voters that didn’t vote.

SoulGlo on January 8, 2014 at 10:00 PM

For that matter, think of all the dead, non-existent, and multiple vote persons who surely did. And all for the Democrat.

And I think that the reactions here, where the truthful assumption is that successful Democrat vote fraud is automatic, says something vital about the legitimacy of a government so “elected”. Or more accurately, the lack of legitimacy. So at what point is there resistance?

Subotai Bahadur on January 8, 2014 at 10:50 PM

So? They will recount until the dem wins. Happens every time.

cozmo on January 8, 2014 at 9:40 PM

…57 times eleventy multiplied by a google!

KOOLAID2 on January 8, 2014 at 11:12 PM

The Dems surely have at least 50,000 votes in a car trunk nearby if needed, so I think we already know the official results of this election.

Goodale on January 9, 2014 at 2:38 AM

We have our special election on the 21st.

It features a carpetbagger D with the ‘War on Wimminses’ banner.

An ‘Independent’ who is an ex-Republican squish.

And a R that is half-way decent on a few fiscal policy points.

Oh, joy.

Oh, rapture.

I do understand why so many are turned off by voting. But a civic duty is a civic duty and must be performed. Like taking out the trash at home, save not as pleasant.

ajacksonian on January 9, 2014 at 7:32 AM

Democrat Lynwood Lewis holds just a 10-vote lead over Republican Wayne Coleman.

Don’t worry, once all the ballots are counted and the Republican actually pulls ahead, the VA Dem machine will bring in the big guns, aka Jim Moran, to finish this off. I mean, seriously, is there anyone in this Commonwealth better at ALWAYS, EVERY DAMN ELECTION, finding previously uncounted ballots which somehow were ~99.9% cast for the Dumdasscrat? The VA election for AG was clearly stolen, by none other than Jim Moran and his car trunk missing ballots which were found just in time for the recount. My prediction, the Dem steals wins this seat by ~300 votes.

RandallinHerndon on January 9, 2014 at 7:34 AM

“VA special election: Republican trails by 10 votes in big Democratic district”

You can’t fix ‘stupid’.
— John Wayne

easyt65 on January 9, 2014 at 7:39 AM

The Republican may only trail by 10 votes but, in the words of my old coach, “Second Place is No Place.”

potkas7 on January 9, 2014 at 8:34 AM

The Republican may only trail by 10 votes but, in the words of my old coach, “Second Place is No Place.”

potkas7 on January 9, 2014 at 8:34 AM

You beat me to it.

We lost the MN Senate seat a few years back by a hair-thin margin.

Look where that got us. (Obamacare for those that have forgotten.)

Losing is losing. And losing is for loser’s.

Carnac on January 9, 2014 at 8:58 AM

I bet the Republican didn’t run on helping illegal aliens and cutting vet pensions.

Wigglesworth on January 8, 2014 at 9:57 PM

I read that as “pet venison” at first. Have I been reading too much politics lately, or not enough?

GWB on January 9, 2014 at 9:56 AM

Even if the Democrats find votes for their guy, this election should have been a walk, y’all. This suggests more about Dem voters’ enthusiasm than anything

Sekhmet on January 9, 2014 at 10:03 AM