I’m honestly surprised. The last three national polls before this one showed his job approval rebounding somewhat from the depths of November. He’s still bleeding politically from ObamaCare, but perceptions that the website has at least improved a little seem to have slowed it for awhile. And last Friday’s jobs report was downright upbeat by the standards of Obamanomics. You’d think The One would, at last, have a little good news in store for him from Quinnipiac.
Nope. This is a bloodbath.
President Barack Obama’s job approval among American voters drops to a new low, a negative 38 – 57 percent, as the outlook for Democrats running for Congress and the U.S. Senate fades also, according to a national poll released today. He even gets a negative 41 – 49 percent among voters 18 to 29 years old and a lackluster 50 – 43 percent approval among Hispanic voters.
The president’s job approval compares to a negative 39 – 54 percent score in a November 12 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. ..
American voters say 41 – 38 percent that they would vote for a Republican over a Democrat for the U.S. House of Representatives, the first time this year the Democrats come up on the short end of this generic ballot. Independent voters back Republican candidates 41 – 28 percent. Voters also say 47 – 42 percent that they would like to see Republicans gain control of the U.S. Senate and the House. Independent voters go Republican 50 – 35 percent for each.
Democrats led by nine on the generic ballot in October thanks to a swell of upset at the GOP over the shutdown. Two months later, Quinnipiac’s seeing the same sort of reversal that made Charlie Cook’s jaw drop a few days ago. None of that springs from any love for the GOP, either: Approval of congressional Republicans is at 19/74 versus 27/67 for congressional Dems, and yet when people were asked which party they’d rather see win the House and Senate respectively, the GOP wins by five points on each score. Obama’s simply killing the Democrats. Even on the question of whether he cares about their needs and problems, a metric where he usually cleans up, he’s at 48/49. And here’s what happens when you ask whether he’s honest and trustworthy. Bambi doesn’t seem bambi-ish after lying egregiously about whether people could keep their plans or not:
That too is a new low for him; two months ago, he was at 54/41. One thing to pay attention to in that graphic, though, is the gender gap. There’s an eyepopping split among men and women on various questioned related to O in this poll, starting with job approval. With women, he’s at -5; with men, he’s at … -33. The spread’s even wider on the “honest and trustworthy” question. See now why Democrats are hyperventilating over losing white women? If his numbers with women start to slide from mild disapproval to robust disapproval, he’ll be in Dubya territory poll-wise. And on some key questions, they’re already starting to trend that way:
Being below 40 percent with women on health care is … not where he wants to be. In fact, one other interesting metric where the gender gap is noticeably smaller is when people are asked what they think of his handling of Iran, specifically in terms of the Geneva agreement. I think this says more about public distrust of Iran than it does about distrust of O, but if the nuke negotiations fall apart, his overall numbers with women might start to look more like they do in the second table here:
When you ask the public whether Obama’s administration is doing a competent job of running the government, the split right now is … 40/56. A lot goes into that, but sour views of health care and the Iran deal are two big parts. Exit question: Follow the link up top and you’ll see that Obama’s numbers on the economy are also gruesome, notwithstanding the fact that last week’s jobs report was better than usual. Why is that? Is it just that the poll was conducted shortly before and then after the announcement, so that the full impact of the report hadn’t been priced into the numbers yet? Or have people given up on Obama to the point where even comparatively good news doesn’t register at this point?