Gallup: Young voters not engaged on ObamaCare

posted at 12:41 pm on December 3, 2013 by Ed Morrissey

If there’s one thing that feeds the ObamaCare beast, it’s young, healthy consumers — the same people who voted and worked to put Barack Obama in the White House twice.  In order for the system to work, insurers need to get them into the system, paying exorbitant premiums for services they will likely never use, in order to keep prices down for older, less healthy Americans who not coincidentally tend to be more politically engaged.  Gallup inadvertently tested that hypothesis and proved it its latest survey:

Americans younger than 30, a key group targeted by the Affordable Care Act, continue to be the least familiar with it. Another important group, those with lower incomes, are less familiar with the healthcare law than are those with higher incomes.

The new healthcare law’s success will rest at least partially on young Americans’ enrollment rates, given the need to have uninsured but healthy younger people sign up for insurance to help subsidize the cost of healthcare for those who are older and more likely to require benefits. These young people need to be familiar with the law if they can be expected to respond to its mandate requiring them to have insurance. There is clearly still work to be done on that front — with younger Americans significantly less acquainted with the law than those who are older.

That may be a blessing for Obama, since this law tends to get less attractive the more one becomes familiar with it:

Those who are familiar with the healthcare law are significantly more likely to oppose it than those who are not familiar with it. Among those familiar with the law, net approval is -19 percentage points, slightly more negative than is the case for the overall population. Those who are unfamiliar with the law are evenly divided, with 41% approving and 43% disapproving.

The overall approval rating for ObamaCare is now 40/54, and there is still plenty of downside left among the low-information adults in the survey. Just wait until most of them lose their employer-based coverage before the midterm elections, eleven months from now or sooner.

The Washington Post’s Sean Sullivan doesn’t think that the ignorance of youth is a good sign for Obama, though.  The President needs young voters to become activists for his law, and — more importantly — make themselves subject to it:

A new Gallup poll shows that Americans age 18-29 are less familiar with the federal health-care law than any other age group. While 63 percent say they are familiar with the law, that’s nine to 12 percentage points lower than older demographics. An August Kaiser Family Foundation poll, meanwhile, showed that 43 percent of Americans age 18-25 and 41 percent of those between 26 and 35 had heard nothing about their new state insurance exchanges. By comparison, just 33 percent of all adults said the same thing.

Why does the lag matter? In short, because Obama needs a lot of young, healthy people to enroll in plans offered through the exchanges in order to keep premiums down and make the system work as it was designed. Specifically, he needs about 40 percent of enrollees to be younger than 35. (Sarah Kliff gives you everything you need to know about these so-called “young invincibles” over on Wonkblog.)

It certainly doesn’t help the president that young people seem to be the least attuned to the new law. What’s more, early problems with the federal health-care exchange Web site didn’t make it an easier for the administration to woo the young people it badly needs to sign up for coverage. …

Thanks in large part to the young, Obama won two terms in office. Now, the same youthful demographic will decide whether his signature legislation succeeds or falls flat.

When they see that they will have to pay thousands of dollars for comprehensive coverage they don’t need and spend thousands of dollars on deductibles before the first benefit is paid, young Americans will likely opt to pay retail and the fine and save themselves a lot of money. If disaster strikes, they can buy insurance at that point to cover it, thanks to the law Obama passed. Obama’s only real hope is that the youth remain ignorant and follow like sheep into the shearing yard.  They’ve done it twice so far for Obama even with the economic incentives clearly marked out for them the second time, and there’s no reason to think they’re wising up yet.

Update: Right on time, here comes a pivot attempting to keep them distracted.


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Do I hear the sheep bleating yet?

I thought not.

Wino on December 3, 2013 at 12:45 PM

Sorry, they can try all the “distractions” they want. Most of them won’t notice the effects until they see it come out of their tax return.

Very few are going to actually purchase insurance, so they won’t be dealing with writing a check every month.

Once the fine/tax for non-compliance is in full force (not the $98 this upcoming year), then they might wake up. Unfortunately that will be after the ’14 midterms.

ButterflyDragon on December 3, 2013 at 12:46 PM

Specifically, he needs about 40 percent of enrollees to be younger than 35.

Baaaaaaaaaaaaah
Splat

bazil9 on December 3, 2013 at 12:47 PM

Do I hear the sheep bleating yet?
I thought not.
Wino on December 3, 2013 at 12:45 PM

You’ll hear a lot of bleating during the SHEARING.

Marcola on December 3, 2013 at 12:47 PM

If there’s one thing that feeds the ObamaCare beast, it’s young, healthy consumers — the same people who voted and worked to put Barack Obama in the White House twice.

Young white voters went for Romney, like whites of both sexes and every age group.

The idea that young people are pro-Obama are fools that will get what they deserve is wrong and an evasion. The whites will get hammered, but a majority voted for Romney. The non-whites voted massively for Obama, but that’s all fight for them as they will benefit, including through jobs in the huge affirmative action make-work machine.

David Blue on December 3, 2013 at 12:50 PM

Giving Obama your vote is one thing. Giving Obama $3000/yr for freeeeeeeeeee birth control is another.

jukin3 on December 3, 2013 at 12:53 PM

they all thought they were getting free stuff and it turns out that they are paying for it all. of course they’re disengaged.

homesickamerican on December 3, 2013 at 12:54 PM

Young voters not engaged on ObamaCare

I agree from first hand experience.

My wife and I have our 27 year old niece living with us while she attends nursing school. She graduated with a BA in dance, but after figuring out she needed to actually support herself, decided to become a nurse.

She’s a smart, hard-working girl who will likely do well in the long run, and I’m happy to help support her while she works towards her goal. In the meantime, I’m doing everything I can to convert her to conservatism.

Anyway, I was talking to her about Obamacare at dinner one night and told her that she would have to enroll or pay a penalty. The girl was dumbfounded. I mean absolutely gobsmacked.

She said “they can’t make me do that! How can they make me buy anything!” I just smiled and said welcome to liberal-land sweetie. You might want to look into this Obama character without the rose colored glasses on”.

BacaDog on December 3, 2013 at 12:54 PM

To paraphrase Charlton Heston:

“ObamaCare is made out of young people! ObamaCare is made out of young people!”

/Soylent Green — it tastes good, and is good for you. Give it a try.

Paul-Cincy on December 3, 2013 at 12:54 PM

And people mock Boomers? Bwahahahaha!

rhombus on December 3, 2013 at 12:56 PM

They were all for everyone having a piece of the pie until they realized that they were the filling.

29Victor on December 3, 2013 at 12:57 PM

Young Peoples KOOL_AID Spigot has done run dried!!

canopfor on December 3, 2013 at 12:58 PM

Giving Obama your vote is one thing. Giving Obama $3000/yr for freeeeeeeeeee birth control is another.

jukin3 on December 3, 2013 at 12:53 PM

Not even our own trolls are willing to explain why a young, healthy person would pay for this crap sandwich. Anyone who believes in the magical thinking that young, healthy people will actually surrender all of their money to this should be committed.

NotCoach on December 3, 2013 at 12:58 PM

What? The healthiest people aren’t volunteering in droves to be ripped off to pay for others’ health care bills? The h-ll you say!

MJBrutus on December 3, 2013 at 12:58 PM

And people mock Boomers? Bwahahahaha!

rhombus on December 3, 2013 at 12:56 PM

We don’t mock Boomers for being stupid, we mock them for being selfish, self-absorbed and making the rest of the country pay for their livelihoods.

29Victor on December 3, 2013 at 12:58 PM

Due to deliberate government policies to replace whites with non-whites, “youth” is often a euphemism for non-white now, like “urban”.

If when you think of “young people” supporting Obama the image in your mind is dumb whites, you’ve been fooled by people hiding a truth in plain sight.

Don’t get too excited about young people “learning” from “their mistake” either. First, it wasn’t their mistake; the blame belongs to older people who chose to accept policies that guaranteed young whites would be out-numbered and out-voted. And second, because every white baby being born now is a minority, no matter what they learn, they’re still out-voted. Electorally, they were born to lose. That’s what their parents have done to them.

So enough of bashing young people for things that old people are to blame for.

David Blue on December 3, 2013 at 12:59 PM

Whatevs… Obama is awesome!

teacherman on December 3, 2013 at 1:00 PM

29Victor on December 3, 2013 at 12:58 PM

Well, if it makes you feel better for paying for my social security and medicare to an extent that you will never enjoy, thank you :-)

MJBrutus on December 3, 2013 at 1:01 PM

Young white voters went for Romney, like whites of both sexes and every age group.

David Blue on December 3, 2013 at 12:50 PM

AFAIK, single white women went for Obama.

happytobehere on December 3, 2013 at 1:01 PM

These young people need to be familiar with the law if they can be expected to respond to its mandate requiring them to have insurance.

I think they are. You ever think about that? I think they know that enforcement is nill, and the penalty/tax is cheaper. The Hindenburg went down slower.

Patriot Vet on December 3, 2013 at 1:02 PM

WHYouth not as easily fooled as in

2008, and

2012

…go figure!

Schadenfreude on December 3, 2013 at 1:03 PM

“Racist kids of America”

Schadenfreude on December 3, 2013 at 1:03 PM

AFAIK, single white women went for Obama.

happytobehere on December 3, 2013 at 1:01 PM

Right, but what I said still stands.

David Blue on December 3, 2013 at 1:04 PM

Update: Right on time, here comes a pivot attempting to keep them distracted.

Goebbels is dead, moronic kids. Pay NO attention to him.

Schadenfreude on December 3, 2013 at 1:04 PM

But doesn’t the whole scam depend on the “young healthies”? I shocked that they won’t participate.

oldroy on December 3, 2013 at 1:07 PM

The NSA will start going after the 20 and 30 somethings to get them in-line…..

redguy on December 3, 2013 at 1:09 PM

Young white voters went for Romney, like whites of both sexes and every age group.

Mr. Blue, that minorities are vastly over represented in democrat demographics is not the fault of whites. They are being pandered to and it is getting results. Reality will eventually bite.

DanMan on December 3, 2013 at 1:10 PM

Soon, the government will start deducting the young’s paychecks (or welfare checks) to pay for policies they don’t want or need.

redguy on December 3, 2013 at 1:11 PM

The irony seems to be lost on most.

Why aren’t younglings interested in ObamaCare? Because ObamaCare says they can stay on mummy and daddy’s policy until they’re 26.

Self-inflicted wound. In political circles, they are the best kind.

BobMbx on December 3, 2013 at 1:11 PM

“Obama’s only real hope is that the youth remain ignorant and follow like sheep into the shearing yard. They’ve done it twice so far for Obama even with the economic incentives clearly marked out for them the second time, and there’s no reason to think they’re wising up yet.”

This is only true until they have to start writing checks. If they decide to forgo insurance and pay the penalty the system collapses. If you force them to pay full premiums to prevent this they will finally become high information voters and revolt.

tommyboy on December 3, 2013 at 1:11 PM

But doesn’t the whole scam depend on the “young healthies”? I shocked that they won’t participate.

oldroy on December 3, 2013 at 1:07 PM

Specifically “young healthies” who have or will get jobs and earn income for the government to rip off and redistribute to other people it likes better.

David Blue on December 3, 2013 at 1:12 PM

So 40% of enrollees must be 27-35 years old? Is that even statistically possible?

jdpaz on December 3, 2013 at 1:13 PM

obama assumes that people, youth too, have only him and obama’care’ on their mind, 5 minutes ahead of X-mas.

Well, they do, and they will save their dough….for….their healthcare in 2014.

2014 will bring a drop in everything. obama’care’ will have dire ramifications, the dead on TV being the worst.

2014 will be epic and the site will be peanuts in comparison.

Do not be distracted by this.

Schadenfreude on December 3, 2013 at 1:14 PM

I guess only if they kick their parents off their insurance.

jdpaz on December 3, 2013 at 1:14 PM

This going on today

Schadenfreude on December 3, 2013 at 1:14 PM

An 18-25 year old-insurance or the weekend party’s and club nights.Can’t do both on part time wages and student debt loans.

docflash on December 3, 2013 at 1:15 PM

They voted for him (twice) because there was no direct cost attached to that Hope&Dream….
with BarryCare, there is a direct cost, and they’re not going to pay it.

Another Drew on December 3, 2013 at 1:15 PM

We don’t mock Boomers for being stupid, we mock them for being selfish, self-absorbed and making the rest of the country pay for their livelihoods.

29Victor on December 3, 2013 at 12:58 PM

Huh?
Leftists set up a system of incentives that rational people respond to by maximizing their ‘benefits’. It’s the system that’s irrational. The New Deal and Medicaid/Medicare are ponzi schemes. 0′care is a redistribution scheme.

Incidentally, “The point is, ladies and gentleman, that greed — for lack of a better word — is good.

Greed is right.

Greed works.

Greed clarifies, cuts through, and captures the essence of the evolutionary spirit.

Greed, in all of its forms — greed for life, for money, for love, knowledge — has marked the upward surge of mankind.

And greed — you mark my words — will not only save Teldar Paper, but that other malfunctioning corporation called the USA.”

freedomfirst on December 3, 2013 at 1:16 PM

Mr. Blue, that minorities are vastly over represented in democrat demographics is not the fault of whites. They are being pandered to and it is getting results. Reality will eventually bite.

DanMan on December 3, 2013 at 1:10 PM

Older whites who agreed to massive non-white, Democrat-voting mass immigration, and who never tried to stop it, have a lot to answer for.

It is not the fault of white kids that they are increasingly out-numbered and out-voted.

Shots at how dumb kids are come off badly from the generations that sold those kids down the river.

David Blue on December 3, 2013 at 1:18 PM

Specifically “young healthies” who have or will get jobs and earn income for the government to rip off and redistribute to other people it likes better.

David Blue on December 3, 2013 at 1:12 PM

Uh oh. We better pivot to jobs then.

oldroy on December 3, 2013 at 1:18 PM

Don’t parents discuss anything at all with their children these days?

MisterElephant on December 3, 2013 at 1:21 PM

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canopfor on December 3, 2013 at 1:26 PM

Do I hear the sheep bleating yet?

I thought not.

Wino on December 3, 2013 at 12:45 PM

“You still wake up sometimes, don’t you? You wake up in the dark and hear the screaming of the lambs.”

Barack Obama: Yes.

“And you think if you save poor ObamaCare, you could make them stop, don’t you? You think if ObamaCare lives, you won’t wake up in the dark ever again to that awful screaming of the lambs.”

Barack Obama: I don’t know. I don’t know.

“Barack, you will let me know when those lambs stop screaming, won’t you?”

Paul-Cincy on December 3, 2013 at 1:27 PM

Uh oh. We better pivot to jobs then.

oldroy on December 3, 2013 at 1:18 PM

But only part of the time.

redguy on December 3, 2013 at 1:33 PM

But only part of the time (jobs).

redguy on December 3, 2013 at 1:33 PM

Fixed that for free.

oldroy on December 3, 2013 at 1:34 PM

Coming thrill

Schadenfreude on December 3, 2013 at 1:50 PM

Coming thrill

Schadenfreude on December 3, 2013 at 1:50 PM

“Matthews will discuss a number of topics with Obama, including voter suppression, healthcare, political gridlock in D.C., growing dissatisfaction with the government and more.”

Voter suppression, cuz Barry won twice.

fogw on December 3, 2013 at 2:02 PM

WHYouth not as easily fooled as in

2008, and

2012

…go figure!

Schadenfreude on December 3, 2013 at 1:03 PM

.
Apparently, some of them have been woken up by Obamacare.

Forgive the Facebook link – it is to a conservative page – “Girls for Gunslingers”

A Facebook Throwdown on Obamacare over a Democratic Fundraiser Bake Sale at their College

https://www.facebook.com/#!/photo.php?fbid=546284855466561&set=a.300286756733040.66584.274105099351206&type=1&theater

PolAgnostic on December 3, 2013 at 2:05 PM

King Barack is in for a rude awakening. Today’s youth can’t think or plan beyond next weekend.

GarandFan on December 3, 2013 at 2:43 PM

Obama’s only real hope is that the youth remain ignorant and follow like sheep into the shearing yard. They’ve done it twice so far for Obama even with the economic incentives clearly marked out for them the second time, and there’s no reason to think they’re wising up yet.

Votes are cheap, ObamaCare insurance is not. They’re lazy, not stupid. And those young LIVs aren’t going to waste their money on ObamaCare.

Greg Q on December 3, 2013 at 2:59 PM

I’m suggesting to every youth I know to pay the penalty instead. $95.00 If they sign up—somewhere between $2500.00 and $3000.00. What would you do?

tmgrant on December 3, 2013 at 5:48 PM

Why do people keep quoting the lie of $95 if you don’t sign up? It’s 1% of your pay or a minimum of $95. So, if you make only $9500, it’s $95. If you make $95,000, it’s $9500. Of course the “rich” will buy even the overpriced insurance. At least you get something for your money.

Wino on December 3, 2013 at 7:44 PM