Report: 100,000 people selected a plan on in November

posted at 11:21 am on December 2, 2013 by Allahpundit

By “selected a plan,” do they mean people who’ve completed enrollment or people at some lesser step in the process, like placing a plan in their virtual shopping cart without proceeding to checkout? Remember, you’re not officially enrolled until you’ve paid your first month of premiums. Could be that some people have chosen a plan but then gotten rate-shock jitters and decided not to pull the trigger until they’ve scraped together enough dough to cover the cost. Or, worse, it could be that some think they’re covered now that they’ve completed the sign-up process and somehow missed the fine print about that first-month payment. Hmmmm:

Anyway, good news and bad news for the White House here.

About 100,000 people signed up for health insurance through the online federal exchange last month, a roughly four-fold increase from October even as a team of U.S. government and contractor programmers was fixing the troubled Affordable Care Act website, said a person familiar with program’s progress.

The preliminary November numbers reflect individuals who successfully selected a plan. The administration expects that most consumers will sign up early next year as the enrollment period nears its March 31 close, said the person who asked for anonymity because the final numbers were still being calculated.

The obvious good news for O: Enrollments — er, I mean “plan selections” — on more than tripled from October’s number of 26,794 to November. Then again, given that the site was largely inoperative in October, that was an easy bar to clear. The less obvious good news: According to the NYT, 50,000 people had enrolled/selected a plan on the federal website by mid-November. Subtract the 27,000 or so from October and that means 23,000 signed up in the first two weeks last month. Assuming Bloomberg’s figures in the excerpt above are correct, another 75,000 signed up in just the last two or three weeks alone, a big increase. Maybe that’s proof of the website becoming more stable, maybe it’s proof of demand increasing as we approach the December 23rd deadline for coverage, maybe it’s both.

The bad news: The target for total enrollments through November was … 800,000. The federal website, which covers nearly three-quarters of the states, has produced just 125,000 “enrollments,” not all of which are actual enrollments, so far. They’re going to miss the bullseye, probably badly. That all depends on the state exchanges now, though, and those include hugely populous states like California and New York. In October, the state exchanges generated roughly three times the number of enrollments than the federal exchange. If that trend repeats, it would mean 300,000 state enrollments in November; add that to the federal numbers and the October state numbers and you’ve got something in the vicinity of 500,000 sign-ups total. Still way, way, way off the 800,000 mark they laid down, but if being “in the zone of about 80 percent” usability for the website is enough for the White House to declare its “tech surge” a success, hitting 60-65 percent of its target enrollment is probably enough for Sebelius to declare the process “on track,” kinda sorta.

Two things to bear in mind going forward. One: As the enrollment numbers inevitably swell (they’re bound to, thanks to the coercion of the mandate), lefties will forget Ezra Klein’s advice from last week not to focus on the number of sign-ups but rather the demographic mix. ObamaCare can survive falling short of its numerical target; it can’t survive a risk pool that’s badly skewed towards sicker people. The early state data was … not encouraging for O-Care fans on that point, but everyone expected early enrollees to skew towards the sick. We’ll see how the trends shifted in November, if they did at all. Two: Amid all the government hoopla today about working better, remember that the feds still consider the site to be so fragile that they asked liberal groups not to launch a big PR campaign encouraging people to sign up. A last-minute PR push is the only thing that might get the feds to their year-end goal for enrollments. The fact that they’re standing down anyway, knowing that it’ll mean a round of “ObamaCare off-track” news stories in January, tells you a lot about how far the website still has to go.

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Comment pages: 1 2

Only morons, who want their identity stolen, go there.

Schadenfreude on December 2, 2013 at 11:35 AM

Also, those who trust the government with the most intimate data about themselves.

listens2glenn on December 2, 2013 at 2:00 PM


Schadenfreude on December 2, 2013 at 2:00 PM

Good news for my kids, I signed up for thousands of dollars worth of electronics at!

mankai on December 2, 2013 at 11:26 AM

And I filled up my cart! I’ll make sure to tell the little tykes that as they open up all their empty boxes Christmas morning.

Chuck Schick on December 2, 2013 at 2:07 PM

Oh, I guarantee the sign-ups are going to skew towards older and sicker individuals. I myself am planning on taking the penalty, hook line and sinker. I just cannot afford spending so much on a service I’m only going to use maybe twice a year, if that. It’ll be cheaper for me to just take the penalty, and pay for any doctor visits I need out of my own pocket.

It’s their own fault really. I need catastrophic coverage, the overpriced bull-crap plans they’re offering.

WolvenOne on December 2, 2013 at 2:39 PM

The answer I am looking for is if people can’t get the actual payment in (whether late or whatever), how is that going to affect the cost of the plans?

Does everybody get an extra, extra surprise when that first premium is due?

TerryW on December 2, 2013 at 3:07 PM

Great piece at Ace of Spades about how the media Narrative is shifting from focus on failures of Obamacare to critique of stupid, unappreciative and unworthy Americans. The economy doesn’t work because we complain too much and Obamacare doesn’t work because we’re too peabrained to grasp it.

rrpjr on December 2, 2013 at 3:17 PM

They can simply add it to your taxes due, and if you do as you describe, you won’t pay enough – then, they could theoretically even ding you for not paying enough and on time, so you get additional penalties and interest until you *do* pay the penalty in addition to the taxes you owe…

Midas on December 2, 2013 at 1:50 PM

I guess no matter how patriots try to maintain freedom under a rule of tyranny, the tyrant will always find a way to implement more restrictions.

csdeven on December 2, 2013 at 4:34 PM

I didn’t hear Cruz mention this point once in his filibuster. Maybe he did, I didn’t hear it. No one does. The most damning case I’ve heard has come from a liberal, Camille Paglia. She attacks Obamacare ENTIRELY based on its violation of individual sovereignty. Haven’t heard one conservative politician make the same forceful case. We’re a dumb-f*ck, timid and morally bankrupt party. The only thing we dare talk about is money.

rrpjr on December 2, 2013 at 1:54 PM

I think I heard it mentioned a few times, but you’re right, it was mostly about money. Haven’t heard it at all from the establishment GOP.

csdeven on December 2, 2013 at 4:37 PM

Amazing what you can achieve WHEN YOU SET THE BAR LOW ENOUGH!

GarandFan on December 2, 2013 at 5:43 PM

100,000 people selected a plan on in November

The obvious question, given the difficulty of completing the process, was: “How often?”

David Blue on December 2, 2013 at 7:02 PM

Too lazy to see if this has been posted already but…

Defenestratus on December 2, 2013 at 8:18 PM

Ed Henry

Fox News any of or all of those who get to ask questions at White House Press Conf.’s.

Ask this simple question, smile, be nice, try to seem to be on their side, and slip in a request for a follow up question.

“As we all know you guys are doing all you can to fix the AHC web site to include the security of the site to be sure Americans do not get their ID’s ect. hacked, can you tell us in a short answer why you did not get the help of the high tech lines of code writters and security tech people of Sandia Lab in New Mexico?”

blah blah they will go

“In that case why have you not done so now that you know the problems, and why did not some one from the Energy Dept., the NSA, the CIA, the FBI or the Pentagon let you know of the assets available to help inside the government.”

APACHEWHOKNOWS on December 2, 2013 at 8:19 PM

I “SELECTED” A Got-damn TV I couldn’t afford either, but I don’t own that one. I have a less expensive one.

TX-96 on December 2, 2013 at 8:28 PM

The media may be complicit

The government may lie about the numbers and plans

But in the end

People will see major $$ increases, loss of coverage, can’t keep their doctor

Nobody likes someone messing with their hard earned $$$

People will feel ripped off and this time they WILL take it out on the dems and heil bama

audiotom on December 2, 2013 at 11:35 PM

“She attacks Obamacare ENTIRELY based on its violation of individual sovereignty.”

Too many big words. Make head hurt. You go away now.

-Low Info Mofos

Meremortal on December 3, 2013 at 2:13 AM

Good news: The Insurance company’s report that they received a whopping 5000 actual payments from the 100,000 who signed up. I still say this is a joke. Funny, funny, funny.

tmgrant on December 3, 2013 at 7:30 AM

I created 5 accounts and selected 5 plans from 4 different states for which I do not reside.

So you can cut 5 off that number.

astonerii on December 2, 2013 at 12:04 PM

Good…the dems have been stealing elections by doing this for years. I’m glad we’re finally returning the favor.

JetBlast on December 3, 2013 at 1:51 PM

If you don’t pay you don’t have a policy.

claudius on December 3, 2013 at 2:57 PM

do not fall for the MISS DIRECT in this. The question should be, “How many people would normally sign up for health insurance in November?”. Also why was it 100,000 people and not 987,312 people or 101,087 why just a generalized number?

jpcpt03 on December 4, 2013 at 4:17 PM

Comment pages: 1 2